predyx has this bet going for BIP110:
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509
The market seems to be roughly split 85/15, though it's not that liquid. Any movement in that market will be a way better signal than mere words and chest puffing by people on either side.
jimmysong
npub10v…psp42
2026-02-11 16:27:54 CET
Author Public Key
npub10vlhsqm4qar0g42p8g3plqyktmktd8hnprew45w638xzezgja95qapsp42Published at
2026-02-11 16:27:54 CETEvent JSON
{
"id": "af757bd469f90f2138531e3879b57a3097bc686a5e504198817a7ba9857ff3e0",
"pubkey": "7b3f7803750746f455413a221f80965eecb69ef308f2ead1da89cc2c8912e968",
"created_at": 1770823674,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"r",
"wss://relay.damus.io/"
],
[
"r",
"wss://nostr-pub.wellorder.net/"
],
[
"r",
"wss://nos.lol/"
],
[
"r",
"wss://nostr.mom/"
],
[
"r",
"wss://premium.primal.net/"
],
[
"r",
"wss://relay.noderunners.network/"
],
[
"r",
"wss://relay.primal.net/"
]
],
"content": "predyx has this bet going for BIP110:\n\nhttps://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509\n\nThe market seems to be roughly split 85/15, though it's not that liquid. Any movement in that market will be a way better signal than mere words and chest puffing by people on either side.",
"sig": "5cd11b646f3366abc2399e1e716f91c5190bf49b51e70cccd99e23f6f70465a13033bf53bd121ea149fe28490db20cddfdc1c44d3c32597f9eeb88b1f2242988"
}