In case like me you hadn't been keeping up on the Ukraine war, you might like to watch Anders Puck analyze the current situation and prognosticate here.
He and the host agree that Ukraine is now killing off Russian soldiers faster than Russia can recruit them. I never know if I can trust these numbers, but Ukraine claims to have killed ~35,000 last month and has a plan to kill 50,000/month - mainly by increasing its production and use of drones, I guess. Anders Puck and the host say that Putin will be driven to conscript troops, which so far he's avoided doing - and that this will force him to increase various repressive measures. But they think this will only slow the decline in Russian power: the only way out for Putin will be to stop the EU from supporting Ukraine financially. The defeat of Orbán makes that harder for him. They say he'll eventually threaten the Baltic states with war. He's already threatened Estonia, Finland and Latvia for letting Ukrainian drones fly over their territory.
In short, they think Putin is losing but he'll become more dangerous as he becomes more desperate.
(2/2)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iqkWf12Wcxo
