💡𝚂𝗆𝖺𝗋𝗍𝗆𝖺𝗇 𝙰𝗉𝗉𝗌📱 on Nostr: I'm telling you not to believe it, for the reasons I said. It sounds like a claim ...

I'm telling you not to believe it, for the reasons I said. It sounds like a claim made by someone who doesn't understand how probability works. It's akin to saying "if my first coin toss is heads, the next one must be tails", or "6 die rolls will get every number", which is obviously fallacious, now multiply by 52 cards. I just saw the other day someone say "if there's a 50% chance of rain the next 2 days, then there's a 100% chance it will rain by the end of tomorrow", not kidding. 🙄