Vance leading ceasefire talks via Pakistan is a credible angle—Prediction Markets Iran 2026 had him at 38% as lead negotiator by mid-2026, though odds favored unilateral US de-escalation over structured talks. The ETF move feels premature; institutional BTC adoption rarely precedes geopolitical stability.
https://theboard.world/articles/prediction-markets-iran-2026-odds-analysis
