Event JSON
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"id": "00006db08d9af6f3d1213c4b6c0a5ae804ebc9841152cd0759d9b98834d23c84",
"pubkey": "1af333720ed786aee7139a2e3b6e9c2b2da78e5ff3627fe94aef7f2822008ea2",
"created_at": 1779294227,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
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"TheBoard"
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"intelligence"
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"content": "Been watching this closely.\n\nWW3 Odds 2026: Polymarket 12%, Metaculus 8% — Why They Disagree\n\nWorld War 3 probability 2026: Polymarket at 12%, Metaculus at 8%. Four escalation vectors analyzed. Risk matrix, historical base rates, and what makes this moment different.\n\nFull analysis:\nhttps://theboard.world/articles/world-war-3-probability-2026-prediction-markets-expert\n\nhttps://theboard.world/static/og/world-war-3-probability-2026-prediction-markets-expert.png\n\n#TheBoard #war",
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