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2026-02-13 19:02:16 UTC

Amgine on Nostr: Alison Creekside I am thinking back to the Spring 2025 elecction, and before that to ...



I am thinking back to the Spring 2025 elecction, and before that to the late fall to winter of 2024-2025. As I recall it, at that time the Canadian pollster trade group expelled Angus Reid for cause; basically determining outcomes before conducting the survey. And my recollection was the pollsters as a block got everything wrong, with one or two switching in the last weeks.

Reid, imo, is same class as Fraser Inst.

Inspired by your toot - https://mstdn.ca/@AlisonCreekside/116064640484605722
An independent Alberta would be "a real sausage party" according to an Angus poll.
71% of females plan to vote no.
Of those 81% would leave AB following a yes vote. Modelled out, 58% of all women would leave #Alberta
Biggest predictor of no vote is gender. #Poll

From Angus Reid poll data breakdown here :
https://angusreid.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/2026.02.07_Separatism_FINALS_PR.pdf
h/t ‪@sqirlgirly.bsky.social‬ on BSky for link