https://bip110.orange.surf/live.html
Knots is mining at 14% hash rate, roughly. Knots produced 2 blocks in the time Bitcoin produced 12. 2/14=1/7=14.285714% (repeating).
That is a shockingly high knots hashrate but of course it’ll take a while for statistical significance to accumulate. I guess the next question is: how long? In my younger years I would have whipped out the calculator and the probability distribution and answered the question immediately. But after 20 years in medicine, my math skills have atrophied.

