I think I have a unique and genuine insight: bitcoin is following a power law with exponent 5 and bubbles superimposed on top making the exponent look closer to 6.
A lot to explain, but summary analysis at https://quantoshi.xyz/8.5 Support power law model + bubble modeling or some periodic component are areas worth investigating. This think I’m getting fairly close with my bubble model; interestingly, there seems to be a relationship between area under the curve of the bubbles and power law exponent…high exponent predicts small bubbles and small exponent predicts larger bubbles…but floor and bubble ceiling converging.
drgo / Quantoshi.xyz
npub1fa…nthnd
2026-03-20 05:48:20 UTC
Author Public Key
npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthndPublished at
2026-03-20 05:48:20 UTCEvent JSON
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"content": "I think I have a unique and genuine insight: bitcoin is following a power law with exponent 5 and bubbles superimposed on top making the exponent look closer to 6. \n\nA lot to explain, but summary analysis at https://quantoshi.xyz/8.5 Support power law model + bubble modeling or some periodic component are areas worth investigating. This think I’m getting fairly close with my bubble model; interestingly, there seems to be a relationship between area under the curve of the bubbles and power law exponent…high exponent predicts small bubbles and small exponent predicts larger bubbles…but floor and bubble ceiling converging.",
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}