šØ THE START OF A NEW WORLD ORDER
China is closing the gap on the US⦠fast.
And the US has 2 big problems:
1: Debt
2: China becoming #1
Yes, if the U.S. doesnāt do anything, China could become the āgreatest country in the worldāā¦
Donāt believe me? Hereās how:
CHINAāS EDGE (THE NUMBERS):
ā Energy: ~9,000 TWh vs US ~3,000 TWh (3x)
ā Manufacturing share: China 28% vs US 16%
ā Tech: 5G leader, catching up in AI
ā EVs: BYD > Tesla
ā Robotics: China ahead
If you think this doesnāt matter⦠you donāt understand hegemony.
China became the factory of the world.
The U.S. has one option to save themselves, and itās to devalue its currencyā¦
Letās take a look at what happened 40 years ago:
1985, PLAZA ACCORD (JAPAN).
US + Japan + Germany + France + UKā¦
met in NYCā¦
ā¦and coordinated dollar-selling to weaken USD.
Why?
Because Japanās exports were eating America alive.
WHAT HAPPENED NEXT (3 YEARS):
ā JPY 260 ā 120 (about +116%)
ā Japanese products got WAY more expensive overseas
Japan panicked.
THE BOJ DID WHAT CENTRAL BANKS ALWAYS DO:
They cut rates to save growth.
ā 1990: 6%
ā 1995: 0.5%
ā 2000: 0.1%
ā 2016: -0.1%
Decades of near-zero rates.
This is how lost decades are manufactured.
THEN THE BUBBLE / CRASH CYCLE:
ā Nikkei 10,000 ā 38,900
ā then 38,900 ā ~7,000 (-82%)
And the real monster showed upā¦
CARRY TRADE.
Borrow near-0% yen ā buy higher-yield US assets. Trillions flowed.
PLAZA ACCORD 2.0 MECHANIC:
1: USD down
2: Yuan up
3: China exports weaken
4: PBoC cuts rates
5: Carry trade shifts to cheap yuan
6: Multi-decade grind
ITāS SIMPLE MATH:
Right now: $1 ā 7 yuan
If USD weakens 50%: $1 ā 3.5 yuan
Thatās a yuan that effectively doubles.
And export models donāt survive that.
THE EXPORT SHOCK:
ā China exports: ~$3.5T (~20% of GDP)
ā 50% hit = -$1.75T/year
ā Export-linked jobs: ~220M
ā If exports halve: ~110M at risk
Thatās societal pressure.
Chinaās positioning (gold/silver, reducing Treasuries) helps at the marginsā¦
ā¦but currencies are the real battlefield.
1985 Japan. 2026 China?
Btw, I havenāt missed a major top or bottom in a decade. My next call is coming soon.
Trust me, youāll wish you followed me sooner.
