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Earlier this year, Goldman Sachs warned that disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz could spike global food prices by constraining the nitrogen fertilizer supply that industrial agriculture depends on to function.
That warning is now reality.
On February 28, the United States and Israel launched strikes on Iran. Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks across the Gulf and closed the Strait of Hormuz to shipping. Traffic through the strait fell from roughly 130 vessels per day to single digits—a decline of more than 95%. The largest disruption to global energy supply since the 1970s is now also the largest disruption to global fertilizer supply in modern history.
The Gulf region produces nearly half the world's urea and 30% of its ammonia. About one-third of all seaborne fertilizer trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz. That trade has effectively stopped. Urea prices have climbed 50% since the war began. The global fertilizer supply chain has contracted by a third. China has restricted fertilizer exports until August to protect its own domestic supply. India—normally the world's second-largest nitrogen fertilizer producer—depends on Iranian and Qatari natural gas to run its plants, and those gas fields have been severely damaged in the conflict.
None of this was unforeseeable. All of it was structural.
Modern industrial agriculture has been engineered around a single assumption: that synthetic inputs manufactured from fossil fuels will always be available, always affordable, and always deliverable across global supply chains. Nitrogen fertilizer alone accounts for roughly 60% of global fertilizer use and 20–30% of total crop production costs. When one shipping lane closes, that assumption collapses—and food prices, planting decisions, and the ability of entire nations to feed themselves follow.
The word for this is counterparty risk. Every regional food system that depends on petrochemical fertilizer shipped from the other side of the world has stacked its ability to feed people on top of a chain of dependencies it cannot control: natural gas extraction, ammonia synthesis, refining capacity, international shipping lanes, maritime insurance markets, and the foreign policy decisions of governments thousands of miles away. Remove any single link and the whole chain breaks.
The consequences are already materializing. U.S. corn farmers are in their fourth consecutive year of negative margins, and many delayed fertilizer purchases waiting for prices to drop or for federal assistance payments to arrive. They are now exposed to sharply higher input costs at the worst possible moment—the start of planting season. Analysts expect U.S. corn acreage to fall from 98.8 million acres in 2025 to roughly 94 million in 2026 as farmers shift toward soybeans, which require less nitrogen. Spring wheat acreage is expected to decline sharply. Some farmers who cannot source fertilizer at all may skip planting entirely—including producers of watermelons, cantaloupe, and pumpkins in states like Texas and Indiana.
And the United States is relatively insulated. It produces about three-quarters of its own fertilizer. Countries that depend on Gulf imports for their nitrogen supply—across Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and Southeast Asia—face the prospect of reduced harvests, crop losses, and food price inflation that will hit their poorest citizens hardest.
Holistic regenerative agriculture works from a fundamentally different premise. Instead of importing fertility from distant supply chains, it rebuilds the biological capacity of the land itself. Healthy soil ecosystems cycle nutrients through living root systems, mycorrhizal networks, and the movement of animals across the landscape. A regenerating regional food system does not need a clear shipping lane through the Strait of Hormuz to grow food next year. It needs functioning ecology underfoot.
This is not a theoretical distinction. It is the difference between a food system that breaks when geopolitics shift and one that continues to feed people regardless. It is the difference between sovereignty and slavery.
Every crisis like this one is an argument for food systems founded in ecological regeneration—for abundance, for resilience, for peace. Our challenge is to fund that work at scale before the next chokepoint closes.
Disruption like this is painful. But it does one useful thing—it makes the fragility impossible to ignore. People do not rethink their food system when everything is cheap and easy. They rethink it when the shelves get thin and the prices stop making sense. If this moment wakes even a few more people up to the fact that their food supply depends on forces entirely outside their control, then the disruption will have done more for food sovereignty than a decade of policy papers.
#foodfreedom @`Jeff Booth` #farming #sovereignty #notedeck

2026-03-31 16:00:18 UTC

“'Kindly let me help you or you’ll drown,' said the monkey, putting the fish safely up a tree."
-Alan Watts
There is a quiet arrogance embedded in the phrase "regenerative agriculture." It implies that regeneration is something we do—a practice we perform, an outcome we engineer. But regeneration is not a human achievement. Regeneration is what living systems do when we stop preventing it.
A grassland is not waiting for a management plan. A forest is not waiting for a grant cycle. These systems have been regenerating themselves for millions of years—building soil, cycling water, sequestering carbon—all without a single human input. The complexity that makes them resilient is not designed. It emerges.
What humans have done—with remarkable consistency across centuries and continents—is impose control structures on top of that bothersome and confusing complexity. We reduced ecosystems to monocultures. We replaced biological fertility with synthetic inputs. We removed the animals whose behaviors and biology evolved in symbiotic relationship with the grasses...and then watched the land degrade to desert while calling it "natural."
The work of our generation is not to "create" regeneration. The work is to remove the obstacles we placed in its path. Sometimes that means stopping the reductionist control— stopping the tilling, the spraying, the confinement—and sometimes it means repairing the damage we have done—returning livestock to a grassland dying from misguided "preservation." The animals are not an imposition on the system. Their absence is.
Austrian economist Friedrich Hayek understood this. He spent his career arguing that the most productive orders in society—functioning markets, stable money, resilient communities—are not designed from the top down. They emerge from the bottom up, through the distributed decisions of individual actors operating in their own self-interest within a shared system. No central planner possesses enough knowledge to replicate what that process creates spontaneously. Hayek called the belief that they could "the fatal conceit."
An ecological system works in the same way as Hayek's economic free market. Every organism in the system—the grasses, the grazing animals, the dung beetles, the mycorrhizal fungi—is acting on its own imperatives. No individual member comprehends or controls the whole. But together, operating within the relationships that evolutionary iteration shaped over millennia, they produce something no planner could design and no individual participant could produce alone: deep soil, clean water, a stable climate, abundant life, resilience. The wisdom is embedded in the system, not in any one part of it.
Unfortunately, Hayek's "fatal conceit" is the foundation of modern agricultural policy.
This is a hard pill to swallow for a culture that treats human ingenuity as the solution to every problem. We want to fix things. We want to optimize and control. But complex systems do not flourish under control — they flourish when free. The most powerful thing a land steward or economist or anyone working within a complex system can do is learn to see what the system is trying to become, aid it if necessary, but mostly get out of its way.
@nprofile…6g5h #foodfreedom #regenerativeagriculture #farming #sovereignty

2026-03-29 15:30:30 UTC

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I agree. I would love to host a "Hard Money, Hard Work" conference on my farm someday. Maybe the thought is that Vegas provides a fiat backdrop that makes the need for Bitcoin crystal clear?

2026-03-25 17:31:52 UTC

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I am really glad to hear that. And I have heard the same story from a few other people. For many other ranchers and livestock producers I talk to, and in our own experience here on the farm, the path from farm to table is too long and arduous for it to be done profitably. At least in our area. So the dilemma becomes that we can do it legally or we can do it profitably.

2026-03-04 02:04:57 UTC

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Great! We love shipping to nostriches.

2026-03-04 01:51:52 UTC

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But we raise the flock on our land. Going on 12 years now of grain-free grass-fed holistic management.

2026-03-04 01:50:25 UTC

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We do! Grill boxes and roast boxes. Available here for BTC or via fiat at www.bellandburrow.farm/farm-store with descriptions. Bell and Burrow is our partner.

2026-03-03 23:47:33 UTC

@nprofile…uh0e Congrats on making it to all 50 states. I'd love to provide our grass-fed lamb for your @nprofile…auym party. We're a 5th-gen family farm running on the Bitcoin standard using Strike.

2026-01-10 01:49:30 UTC

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The Roast Box option leans towards larger cuts that can be smoked, prepared as roasts, kabobs, & stews. Think: longer preparation for big groups & special occasions.
Roast Box Breakdown
The total weight of packaged meat in the Grill Box ranges from 20-35 lbs. (Final weights may vary)
Shoulder, Leg, Loin, and Rib roasts
Ground meat (burgers, meat balls, stir-fries, casseroles)
Stew meat: Kabobs, slow cooker etc.
The Grill Box option leans towards cuts that can be cooked on a grill top, like lamb burgers, chops, & steaks. Think: quick cooking cuts for everyday meals or the centerpiece of a special occasion.
Grill Box Breakdown
The total weight of packaged meat in the Grill Box ranges from 20-35 lbs. (Final weights may vary)
Cuts: Loin, Rib and Shoulder chops & leg steaks
Ground meat (burgers, meat balls, stir-fries, casseroles)

2026-01-10 01:08:07 UTC

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Our partner website: https://bellandburrow.farm
Thanks for asking. Or just let me know what you'd like and I'll send a BTC invoice.

2026-01-08 00:03:40 UTC

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A banger. Congrats to you both. I heard the interview today.

2025-12-08 22:20:02 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/7ac23d7c8c07210cee097346cf2dbd3c4b992c18d142bc6f3919065b3b5b24ed.jpg
Grass-fed lamb from 500 acres of regeneratively-managed Vermont pasture. Raised and managed by me & my team. No synthetic chemicals. No added hormones. No seed oils. No grain. No middlemen. This is as clean and direct as food gets.
Reserve a whole lamb box — Grill Box or Roast Box, 20-35 lbs, $17/lb. $100 deposit or 100k sats holds yours for January pickup or shipping. Bitcoin preferred.
We only have 17 boxes left to sell. They're going fast.
Pay with fiat on our partner's website at:
https://www.bellandburrow.farm/farm-store
Pay with sats:
lnbc1m1p5nwng3dq6f3sk6c3qgfhhsgzyv4cx7umfwsnp4qvrxgmlqa98qq7vn4gp3zqsg38j7pfgufzc57ma9gngssf8vdthwkpp57v5379zeh5ntzhtnut6grxn820jguapqtf3wsmw55xnf8gykmuzqsp5cgmagx3fudndttlcrmtfzdn2zz2339m6kjrcqa0jjdp3ek5lx46q9qyysgqcqpcxqyz5vqrzjqw9fu4j39mycmg440ztkraa03u5qhtuc5zfgydsv6ml38qd4azymlapyqqqqqqq49gqqqqlgqqqq86qqjqktqsyhu6cdmn5gpdz8s09szufs4uk0hhd83pqh7s648v55n0kjvz6x4n9m43g3tfl9d983hnn69sc5ggkyzlht35j5mlxtcglyqeeusqvt26va
https://blossom.primal.net/eb49bf1785d9ca79b2ed8eb5da339fa27ac483bd0775fd5c3a07250adecd32a1.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/ff455e1f8233cca4fc7818e982796b5df4a686de05f3ebb51f9a4757d45c7f16.jpg

2025-12-07 20:39:36 UTC

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I am too old now for anything but LTS. So 24.

2025-12-05 00:32:48 UTC

Congrats @nprofile…uh0e

2025-12-02 20:16:00 UTC

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I used Mint for years. Then Fedora. Then Pop! for a bit. Then Debian during my purist phase. Now I've found my way back to Ubuntu.
I found Pop! fun and usable. And I still use their shell extensions on Ubuntu and Fedora.

2025-12-02 19:17:32 UTC

Bringing home the lambs for the winter. #farmstr #growstr #farming
https://video.nostr.build/9dfa0f55d9ac2f677868f642ff17cc7989372f9c40f5e4937c881c79ca7173ab.mp4

2025-11-27 15:06:36 UTC

Listening to @nprofile…hrff and @nprofile…m78m while moving the lambs. I'm grateful for the curious people in the world.
#proofofwork #happy thanksgiving #sheep
https://video.nostr.build/edb7fde52f5ad8604b8fe49732420effa0ce4c04d7f7e59c8a7551203474b37b.mp4

2025-03-17 01:23:09 UTC

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Legit. IMHO, they're better with a cold plunge (or cold shower) just after.

2024-12-15 13:30:43 UTC

GM nostr.. #coffeechain by the fire on a Sunday morning.
https://image.nostr.build/273046ef4c32c98a081cb7e3be332f714effb003443bf35b67a1603addc125a5.jpg

2024-12-14 02:19:45 UTC

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Hey nunya. In my experience it is richer meat. We raise Katahdin sheep that have been bred, in part, for flavor. I prefer it to lamb.
We ship sometimes, if you're interested.

2024-12-14 00:09:41 UTC

We're processing our mutton for our winter stores with a community of friends. Always a joyous and somber event awash in tradition and gratitude.
#carnivorediet #meatstr #foodfreedom #regenerativeagriculture
#Welcome @nprofile…g48r
https://image.nostr.build/e8034e49d1c62cd5a16e26213fb1f541fc619a9fd673dd283a14bf89347f0cd2.jpg

2024-02-27 14:38:26 UTC

"Trying to bribe the stars to realign...has become a way of life...."
My good friend, Homeboy Sandman, rapping about the fiat trap. I'll see if I can get him set up with a wallet... I've never spoken to him about #bitcoin, but he seems ready.
Can we get him trending? @npub1sg6…f63m Maybe get him a better book to read in his next video? @npub1a2c…w83a
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JcbUug4poQ4
#bitcoin #grownostr #fiat #v4v #music #hiphop

2024-02-16 20:31:37 UTC

$1,179,400 in 30 minutes. The desire people have to put their money to good use (as opposed to inflating away) is astounding.
When we build better paths forward, people choose them.
https://gosteward.com/projects/mckaskle-family-farm/financing-purchase-of-climate-friendly-rice
#regenerativeagriculture #foodfreedom

2024-02-15 02:37:39 UTC

Goodnight y'all. See you for #coffeechain. May your night be restful and free of financial sweats....

2024-02-14 23:18:34 UTC

Farms are freedom.
And we're losing thousands of farms every month. Not because farms are failing to provide value to the marketplace, but because farmers are being blocked from the marketplace, blocked from the ag infrastructure, and blocked by the financing by policies designed to control and centralize...for our safety.
I did an interview about this. Here's a brief clip.
https://yewtu.be/watch?v=g9IwgGlFuX0&t=58
You have your dentist. You have your mechanic. You have your accountant. Today is a great day to find your farmer. Pay them in #bitcoin.
#regenerativeagriculture #farming #foodfreedom #foodstr #fiatfood #farmstr #grownostr #homesteading #freedom

2024-02-14 22:03:23 UTC

Hi All! If you book a farm stay for the months of February or March, I'll give you a free sheepskin (of your choosing) upon check-in!
https://studiohill.farm/farm-stays/
Discount if you pay with #bitcoin....
#vermont #regenerativeagriculture #grownostr $boost #farmstays #airbnb #agritourism #farmstr #sheep

2024-01-25 16:50:53 UTC

Sorting sheep. Treating feet. Patting a donkey.
#regenerativeagriculture #growstr #farming #foodfreedom
https://image.nostr.build/358359ad51cfdfe2d29f4ea5b7a0ec223bc09becb492bb2c11910cc0eb089aca.jpg#m=image%2Fjpeg&dim=1440x1920&blurhash=_ED04Fxs-pNHxta%7Eoe%3Fw%3FaIT%25MaxkCWr-%3DROWAfmf5Wqj%5DNHIUM%7BozRjWBt7D*Mxoet8M_s%3AofD*IUt7a%7EV%3Foet7IUWAt7t7V%40Rjt7M%7BWUt7t7NGj%5BofRkRjogflayj%5Bj%5B&x=b2c7001d08c53eece55bce2e5d0531db65c141674916cf8355d6d67ea06c38c0
https://image.nostr.build/b46dcb67de39848dd0e2ff209cf5829766fd9164e99e95257340299144aa49c1.jpg#m=image%2Fjpeg&dim=1440x1920&blurhash=_9IOOo%24d9EtSxv4n-%3B%25%259F%25LbbD*WBofM%7B%25M9ZRioI-%3DM%7B4%3Axt%25MM%7BM%7BkCITR%3A9EWA%3FaofIUM%7B01-pD%25M%7B%252t7oLWCRj%25MIUNGt7%25MIqt6f5xt%25MRjRj4nM%7Bs%3AM%7Bog%25MjZ&x=a660f0e1bc6ba6e659eeba20c7de8528965cd4c7253cd4aa16d76699018ae92c

2024-01-18 21:03:32 UTC

Hey y'all. Just got new sheepskins back from the tannery. Some of the nicest we've ever gotten.
Any interest in seeing them? I would post them here if there is interest. If not, I'll stick to fiat channels.
#grownostr #regenerativeagriculture #homesteading #farming #sheep #foodfreedom

2024-01-12 01:13:08 UTC

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Is glhf a StarCraft reference? Or just gaming, in general?

2024-01-10 13:33:49 UTC

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@npub1qny…95gx for President

2024-01-08 16:55:47 UTC

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I usually go through Cash App.