Ideas about possible scenarios evolving in Global Markets and Economy. Looking at charts often is the best way to read news.. Not financial advices, a bit of astrology for man mixed with intuitions that I don't trade.. but I should have often. #economy #macro #charts #geopolitics #finance
Public Key
npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Profile Code
nprofile1qqs0vd5nn4tm58yp6azsecged3ylslwaxkyszs5gysqfu0qj9rapg7spz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0ds58xdsv
Show more details
Published at
2026-04-17T18:52:36Z Event JSON
{
"id": "4d038656c39cab6c15c24ab2fe51c967851407696ec2ce9fae9e13b69186a864" ,
"pubkey": "f636939d57ba1c81d7450ce1196c49f87ddd358901428824009e3c1228fa147a" ,
"created_at": 1776451956 ,
"kind": 0 ,
"tags": [],
"content": "{\"display_name\":\"Macro_Intuitions\",\"name\":\"Macro_Intuitions\",\"about\":\"Ideas about possible scenarios evolving in Global Markets and Economy.\\n\\nLooking at charts often is the best way to read news..\\n\\nNot financial advices, a bit of astrology for man mixed with intuitions that I don't trade.. but I should have often.\\n\\n#economy #macro #charts #geopolitics #finance\",\"picture\":\"https://blossom.primal.net/0bc06204750ffa921285affeb54d343db7d470c2f58b46bd06e47ec8283c8377.jpg\",\"banner\":\"https://png.pngtree.com/thumb_back/fw800/background/20260114/pngtree-laptop-displaying-financial-charts-on-a-modern-table-business-data-analysis-image_21106545.webp\",\"lud16\":\"[email protected] \"}" ,
"sig": "acb2cf957470f7bf8841243d31b0411d6973e43a2b3e7495b8e77822dddfbcb1bafd6f8e4ccfabd849e3245f20ce0bdf50fcd311ffe786abc4dcf5c41bd314d5"
}
Last Notes npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions BREAKING NEWS: Indian Prime Minister ask Indians to avoid buying gold and silver for at least one year in order to avoid price of gold raising too much (and for Rupees of falling toomuch.. lol). "Everything is fine.." https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c775v7dlndyo #gold #economy #finance #macro npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions A wide view and a lot of data where you can see how big the discrepancy is between the stock market and real economy.. It's all fine and going up until it isn't anymore. https://youtu.be/3B4VvgJegT8 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions #nevent1q…khyn npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: 🚨🚨🚨 TREASURY EMERGENCY 🚨🚨🚨 Shit is about to hit the "fun".. and I believe the stock market. US 2yr BOND.. https://i.nostr.build/NkubNXMT1bQ4vOVY.png https://i.nostr.build/VVWB7CTEGjoJeLDq.png US 10yr BOND.. https://i.nostr.build/UFX1SA0JZpotPeFW.png https://i.nostr.build/uGC6L6nOkizvilq3.png #economy #finance #bonds #macro #nevent1q…pmg3 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions In the movie Too Big To Fail, when the '08 financial crisis was ongoing Secretary of Treasury visited China and there is a scene you should watch again and remember.. https://youtu.be/obXnwsVdcxE Now imagine that instead of Freddy Mac and Fannie Mae the talk is about US Treasuries.. and this time Trump went himself there with all the stuff and CEOs of the biggest US companies and Banks, not just Bessent. Situation is serious.. #finance #economy #macro #geopolitic #treasury npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions DESERVED! SO HAPPY FOR YOU UTXO! Can't wait to see what you'll ship next 🤙🏼🍀👊🏼💜 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions @nprofile…7p82 I am sure you will like this npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Is it? I thought it was a way ti say in English (not my first language) to say things are about to get really messy and bad.. Ah wait.. I see it now! Ahahahaha lol. Yes #typostr lol. This was FAN! 🤣😂😅 i am retarded. https://blossom.primal.net/b391f4c95407a9b9c7754230df9cb5c50619fb03d1f5d891e9738311dac3e1d1.gif npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 🚨🚨🚨 US TREASURY BONDS 🚨🚨🚨 Here we are again, shit is about to hit the fun, critical level being hit on the 2yrs and 10yrs for the 3rd time at least in less than two weeks. https://i.nostr.build/9Lo1NntffSGwrHo5.png https://i.nostr.build/yYGWzpkO2kk2OCgt.png If you saw the previous notes I made yuo lnow this is the chart big player Govt and the FED are looking at, and you should also.. because when/if it goes ballistic, they'll print big to drive those down again: this is Yeald Curve Control. BRRRRRR! (They need a motivation to print big.. means they need shit to hit the fun as excuse) #macro #economy #finance #markets #bonds #treasuries npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I still believe this is the ATH week for stock market. #economy #stocks #QQQ npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Exactly! npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 🚨🚨 US 2 and 10 years bonds again at critical levels.. 🚨🚨 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions #nevent1q…70hj npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions For reference.. https://i.nostr.build/86MwsmocSZLXpDD1.png #chart #QQQ #markets #economy #finance #Stocks #nevent1q…sjl3 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Yes. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 🔮🔮 BOLD CALL 🔮🔮 I believe it will happen this week.. maybe starting today. #QQQ is at 711 now, I see it dropping to 638 at least (-10%).. #economy #markets #finance #macro #nevent1q…tx7l npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 💯 #nevent1q…9zma npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: They needed to act, and they did precisely where they I thought they would. This are the chart GOVT and the FED keep looking at.. https://i.nostr.build/xekJBtWWF53JOGVX.png https://i.nostr.build/MTJJPjLHMvrCyn7b.png #economy #bonds #treasury #macro #finance #chart #nevent1q…ks7r npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions After it breaks 85k.. #nevent1q…t6zs Over 92/95 you'll start to hear people calling ATH before year ends. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Soon you'll see more and more lasers on eyes that were crying not long before.. 😜 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: BTC/GOLD chart is very promising.. for bitcoin. I unfortunately deleted that first #stoopidline that I made the 11 of March.. 😅 It was 14 ounces of gold per bitcoin in March, it's 18 now.. I draw a new line the 10th of April (short term) https://i.nostr.build/s3weAuoWtu07uqdm.png 35 ounces will be a huge resistance we are trying to break since March 2021.. that's the real deal in #BTC if you are concerned about price.. the FIAT doesn't have much sense. #economy #gold #macro #finance #chart #nevent1q…wfl7 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Absolutely! 2022 vibes all over.. #nevent1q…fn6s npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions So she quit?.. She was not fired.. she quit by her own?! Lol npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions *more than one npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions And then FOMO for all the 60/70k sellers that were wishing for sub 50k or even sub 40k! Can't wait to see billions in short liquidations over 85k #nevent1q…nlu2 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Pelosi in despair.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions The 10yrs bond broke the level, let's see what the market and Govt/FED response will be. https://i.nostr.build/BkrGokY5vYIGV8ib.png The 2yrs also very close to a key point, last time at same level was the announcement of the start of #Iran war and retraced from there sharply in less than 2 days. https://i.nostr.build/EzkeDqIwuqk25NIi.png Both charts looks bullish with RSI looking like more chance to go higher. Just reading new firing in the Iran war.. where is the ceasefire? Lol Meanwhile #oil went from 101$ to 105$ in less than 3hrs.. we'll see +110$ again? Like I said already in a note some days ago I don't think so, but the wat escalating can ofc destroy my actual view. #macro #finance #geopolitic #economy #nevent1q…rtrp npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions #QQQ going down -10% or more in a week or less? Very possible. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions (lol sorry wrong npub 😅) npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Hopefully one day I will be able to retire and avoid wearing shoes at all, great life goal ahah I noticed more shoe company are starting to have a wider end making it more comfortable and more apace for spreading fingers as should be. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 🚨🚨 USD Treasury Yealds 🚨🚨 Currently 2yrs at 3.930% and the 10yrs at 4.418% hitting critical level again in both charts. Those are the level US Govt and the FED wants to protect and not break. Maybe we'll see a Trump comment soon.. or maybe J.D. Vance. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 80k ✅ 85.. #nevent1q…cgsa npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Indeed! Nice race all considered npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 🫂 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions https://youtu.be/AbLig2FUAxI #nevent1q…sfg4 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions The empty closet full of good pleb 😁🤙🏼🍀 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I posted 2 times the same chart.. here you can much easily spot how crucial that levels is in the 10yrs treasury: https://i.nostr.build/8Eg4bp4YQJbViNDL.png npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Commodities have being much more volatile than they used too, from metals to oil, we saw fast and sharp spikes in both directions as news hit mainstream media.. but the trends looks still the same: probably they peaked. (I didn't short gold, is just the same imaginary position I post about days ago..) https://i.nostr.build/Oqsl8cw1O1oLPtpq.png Gold, Silver and Oil spiked and reached levels they saw just few times. While metals are already in their chopping/consolidating flohase since a couple of months, oil apparently just started and IMO may go down from here and we shouldn't see it over 110$ again for this summer.. unless same other big thing happens or escaletes rapidly again. https://i.nostr.build/AbpEeLSy3OdcX3hU.png Another interesting chart is BTC/GOLD were you can see how bitcoin bottom and Gold peak are very likely confirmed. Not saying Gold will go lower for all the year on, just that compared to bitcoin will lag a lot IMO. (To be fair, Gold RSI in the 4hr chart doesn't look bad and like wants to revert, but looks weaker than bitcoin.) The stoopid line looks like is working.. https://i.nostr.build/29Tp9INJ8e4IdnvN.png #macro #commodity #finance #economy #gold #btc #oil npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions The disbelief rally is what starts the buill run.. https://miro.medium.com/v2/1*-iKFWkSRqRYlxmde3Uo57A.jpeg npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Shit was about to hit the fan and Central Banks needed to act, and they did. There are some levels on different charts that all at same time were signalling stress in markets, and the most blatant ones that currently make more noise IMO are the 10yrs US interests yeald, and the USD/JPY rate. https://i.nostr.build/OywqNgMr63zat7zo.png https://i.nostr.build/xTjx8Fxn4A5PdjFI.png When the 10yrs goes near 4.45% range you can almost bet that Trump and or the FED will do everything they can to lower it down. With a Teump tweet saying Strait is open again (lol) or the FED opening Swap Lines for other Central Banks in stress because of oil price and their currency falling. And you can tell looking at Japanese Yen that can't go over 160, and if does JCB will sell everything to avoid it, and US govt will try to avoid having Japan to sell US treasury or Assets.. sooo Swap Line opened to convert Foreign currencies with Dollars to increase liquidity and trying to stabilise markets. Check what they did yesterday.. https://i.nostr.build/ausdZpCGZfQ3ycys.png https://i.nostr.build/OywqNgMr63zat7zo.png DXY ofc corrected too at same time going from almost 100 to 98 in some hrs and also € strengthened with 1% raise at same time. So what is US purpose? IMO keeping lower interest rates as they have to refinancenad reroll 10T debt in the next months with lowest yealds thwy can, while inflation going up, basically destroying purchasing power of Treasury owners in the long time.. someone has to pay the debt, and is never the government. Some is spotting this and that's why Investors looks for higher yealds pushing it up forcing the FED to act.. those months as we go to mid election and new FED chair while all markets, economic balances and supply routes changing, will be interesting to watch developing. They'll print, and things like bitcoin are spotting it first.. IMHO. #Economy #markets #finance #macro #geopolitc #currency #yeald npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions So much chart to post.. so less time to do it. Sorry, will catch up soon as looks we are again at crucial spot on many important charts, from bond yealds to foreign currencies and commodities. #macro #economy #finance #charts npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Volatility ✅ Liquidations ✅ 80k.. #nevent1q…96dj npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I have a feeling.. Volatility.. liquidations.. 80k.. 85k.. FOMO. 🚀📈 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions https://youtu.be/9AAG6dpEgjs #economy #macro #finance #liquidity #markets npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Maybe is time for some late longs to be liquidated.. .. probably soon on your feed if you follow @rektbot #bitcoin #btc npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I understand you, we weren't trying to time the market and wishing for lower price, you just weren't able to deploy 😅 I do see a possibility of 72k again. This move up was very sharp and quick and probably nkw exhausted (?). Maybe you are lucky to see 72k before 80k.. but if you'll see 80k first, not sure you'll see 72k again. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: Bears, shorters, #58k gang.. all in disbelief. I also was surprised by the strength of bulls around 74k, and honestly tought we could see at least 72k again before moving higher. This sharp move is mostly Shorter closing shorts or getting liquidated, spot volume high is helping that. https://i.nostr.build/pvU1CH8iopcFISKa.png Not the best line draw, but not far from what happened as movement and time. #macro #finance #btc #chart #economy #nevent1q…xc8s npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 27D chess playing? I don't know, but more and more convinced we'll see temperature warming up in South East Asia in the next months.. https://youtu.be/oDw3mxI3-t0 #economy #macro #China #oil #finance #malacca #nevent1q…0mga npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions - Saylor's coins becoming the US Btc Treasury npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Mainstream #macro podcast inviting guests that have non-mainstream views talking about niche assets.. should tell you something. Gradually, then suddenly. @nprofile…szx8 on the #PBD Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/live/Ly3-gXJOIc4 #economy #finance #bitcoin npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Many don't understand how much the Iranian thing is diverting (or maybe always was? 27Dchess?!) to an #economic war against China.. #nevent1q…c2cs npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions It was a greendildo trend from 27k to 126k indeed 😜🍀 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Forgot to post the #chart with the line.. https://i.nostr.build/4V55yQypX3lYvZe7.png #btc #economy #stoopidline #nevent1q…6rtp npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions #BTC at 75.720$ maybe be a bit overbought.. A fast dip to 70.720$ possible short term opportunity.. If +70k acts as resistance for this week, end of April you can see 85k/90k again. Smell of summer FOMO.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Soon on your feeds: Strait of #Malacca and the importance of Sulfuric Acid in the world #economy for fertilizers production, chemicals manufacturing, metal processing, batteries, oil refining.. We are learning geography and much more thanks to 2026! Lol https://i.ytimg.com/vi/0gL51nblJZg/hq720.jpg?sqp=-oaymwEhCK4FEIIDSFryq4qpAxMIARUAAAAAGAElAADIQj0AgKJD&rs=AOn4CLDpiuqiaiz3nQqBCRRS8so2dVT0gw #nevent1q…pjm2 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions How is it going..? #nevent1q…3986 #nevent1q…0uw5 #58k gang, does it hurt? npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Yes.. I saw this pattern couple of years ago., looks very similar.. check here: nevent1qqsqqq86ygldktlww4s7llfagv0qktvjkwsgmf6zej8k5amwpmpx7cczyrmrdyua27apeqwhg5xwzxtvf8u8mhf43yq59zpyqz0rcy3glg285uqfw0p 😜😂 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions That's a very positive way to look at it 🤣😂🫂 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I am starting to be more and more convinced this will be early than most (and cycle) expect. Possible we chop June/August in the 100k range and end of year you see already FOMO for new ATH.. we have been in a bear since October, the harsh part ended IMO. Grinding up already started, 58k gang in disbelief 😅 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions You bullish on Gold or Btc? npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: after almost ten days I must recognise this call was wrong, at least in time. I still do see #gold going lower from here, chances of a -18% are higher then going up +10% from here in next days/weeks. https://i.nostr.build/OoORpEWzGo0SpsyH.png I do see a confirmation on that also if compared it with #Bitcoin and this weekly chart looks very bullish for the latter.. probably because you can't buy Oil in the Ormuz strait with gold.. lol Jokes apart #btc looks very bullish in weeks ahead IMHO https://i.nostr.build/8qC7kU6FkZgXekxn.png #macro #finance #economy #charts #nevent1q…as9r npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions "Fourth Turning vibes like a motherfucker.." https://youtu.be/BhiiK4IekJA #economy #macro #US npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I just spotted the same #ass pattern I saw years ago.. Watching this #meme makes me laugh.. seeing the price and how it ended makes me laugh even more.. 👀 #nevent1q…wxxf npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions GM https://blossom.primal.net/33e217731c987c1b1481cc4298d947f5bd7c14e39861ba97a0658532d85b1062.webp npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Nope.. i don't do trades or have a real account where I could. 😅 Some months ago I call the raise of silver, than the short from 117 to 72.. neither traded that. Oh Olson oil breaking 66$ as Iran war starting and so possibly making +100$.. ok I'll stop now. That's why I created this account, I make so many non trades that I want to count them and make me accountable at least with a note, and see how things goes. Maybe after sometime I'll understand I should trade lol Anyway it happens I throw some sats on lnmarkets.. I loved sport bets before stacking sats, then I stopped. This is a threat sometimes 🤣 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: https://i.nostr.build/jMhzvhRSwrcuXqKe.png #nevent1q…epqp npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I believe #oil is overbought at moment, I do see it retracing down +10% at least from here.. Current $OIL price is 115.58$ and target would be 98/100$.. 🔮 #macro #economy #finance npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions 😂😜🫡 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Yes, #YESTR 🫡 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions When intuition ans astrology meet, often magic happens ahahah 🫡😜 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: Well.. https://i.nostr.build/gzZvBCgZhvsBJt5r.png #macro #bitcoin #btc #chart #stoopidlines #economy #nevent1q…8pd0 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Didn't know that thanks for the info. What are some interesting to watch during those periods? npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions All #markets are closed for Easter (happy Easter!) but #bitcoin isn't, so here you are a short term most likely scenario until next market's open. https://i.nostr.build/FHsDeTho5fvPplLe.png I do see it bullish if 66.500 can act as support as it looks like, and so we'll basically see it again where it was before Trump's speech, classic (mini) Bart Simpson (reverse) pattern.. 😅😂 #macro #btc #finance #chart #economy npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: the 10yr followed the line and corrected to then raising straight up after Trump's speech while the 2yr first acted in time differently while still touching key points. Both signalling tension raises as soon as Trump's speak as instead of giving clarity it does create uncertainty as none can predict his next move.. markets don't like that. https://i.nostr.build/YkK4uCHHoEMij3WN.png https://i.nostr.build/oIUiay5akCeZu3sv.png I still see a tranding range going into the end of week.. after that will try to see to imagine a scenario for rest of weeks and month ahead. #macro #economy #bonds #charts #finance npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Forgot to add this.. https://i.nostr.build/iuhLnMB8Jy6Y7tqp.png npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: less than a day and 95$ was about to get tested, it went as I thought sharpply down to 96.5 approaching low levels when.. #Trump have his speech and.. Kabum! 😂 So I would say this short term #stoopidline worked ✅ We are back in the prior high range, still following the long trend scenario I draw some days ago. I still don't see prices to break 120 and stay over there. https://i.nostr.build/EZAsPEB3Ia1Np56O.png #macro #oil #economy #chart npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions It happens.. 🫡😁 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I should have waited a bit to do the screenshot, lol..🔮 https://i.nostr.build/Y8tKBSv1Bd22QH4I.png #bitcoin #chart npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: the #stoopidline did its thing, again.. 👀 https://i.nostr.build/k2hz6Pw03Pwkkg2C.png #bitcoin #btc #macro #economy #chart npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions As much as needed 😂 https://blossom.primal.net/df9fbbca3f6bfa2a920027e6380334ccc58eb1c82d3fbf029adbc3ce1b6683a8.gif npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions UPDATE: I guess also this aged well, more volatile than I expected, but still kinda following the line.. https://i.nostr.build/3K5OdphSIlWNL2t9.png #bitcoin #btc #bitcoin #chart npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Oh that's so cool! So this must be sooo interesting times for you with all this fuss about oil 😅😅🤣 I do come from completely different sectors (sport/tv/hospitality) but since found and studied bitcoin.. well you know how it goes, rabbit holes after rabbit holes. No end.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Thank you!! I made this alternative npub so people that aren't interested in charts and economic stuff don't get bothered ahaha I appreciate the follows 🫂 P.s. I am not financial litterate in any sort, my ideas do come from only by watching charts in the last 5+ years. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I don't think is absurd to see over 100k already this year. Over 95k the sentiment would completely change and FOMO will kick for many so.. ATH absolutely possible this year towards the end. If I would have to bet.. I would say In October we are over 90k already. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions #GOLD looks still weak IMO.. I do see another leg down to liquidate last bunch of retailers speculators that bought the top in last months. Of course I draw a line for next days going into first week of April.. https://i.nostr.build/ULj3FXS86wn7lbol.png #macro #economy #chart #finance npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Since Iran war started looks like #bitcoin doesn't care that much, or at least Seller looks more exhausted than in other markets. Short term chart looks weak as it was rejected at 69k.. anyway I do see another try to break it or be close tonit as both weeklt and monthly chart are about to close. I draw a line.. https://i.nostr.build/kkoxIlzxk6hLc5Gg.png #macro #btc #chart #economy #stoopidlines npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions This.. #nevent1q…0wl8 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions @nprofile…wf9r here it is.. #nevent1q…p3ls npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Thanks sir 🫡 npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions I see, thanks for this info, makes a lot of sense. Before the Iran war started I assumed it was about to happen something because of how Oil price moved towards and then broke that 65$ per barrel level. Will try to find the note and post down here.. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions US 2yr and 10yr bonds chart combined with Oil is what would signal in the best waybhow market sentiment is. Both charts reached very important key resistance level and since there are correcting. Bearish divergence in both chart and the most likely scenario isnfor both to go lower. I draw some line.. https://i.nostr.build/riqlX4XBXDgdSqki.png https://i.nostr.build/efpJSP1XVyuLVINR.png Inflation expectations are silly if correlated with Oil raise (120/150$), as it will move consumers price higher for very short term, while starting a Recession.. IMHO. https://youtu.be/wlHwsBvur5M #macro #economy #bonds #10yr #2yr #charts npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions #Oil short term looks a bit overbought. There is also a clear bear divergence between with RSI. Doesn't mean it couldn't do a small leg up more (109$?) to then retrace sharply. I believe 95$ is about to be tested again in next 2 days max. Draw a line.. https://i.nostr.build/7CwYpURn6fVSetvU.png #macro #oil #chart #economy npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Jump? Lol npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Yeah I agree with you, I used the 15 mins to draw a shorter term line 😜. Anyway the bullish divergence with RSI I was looking for you can spot it also on the 4hr, nice bounce, and yes now 69(420😜) is key. On daily looks very nice also.. few. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Bonds are signalling something all over the world.. https://youtu.be/2Ewg77MzHEg #nevent1q…g9ue npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Well I guess this aged very well.. https://i.nostr.build/SfT5i1W55iMgZOy7.png #bitcoin #chart #economy #macro #nevent1q…4qrd npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Stoopid lines did it.. 👀 https://i.nostr.build/SfT5i1W55iMgZOy7.png npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Covid low were made because completely block of the world and stop of comsume and so oil demand. To see something like it basically you are calling a depression, not even a recession. Could be, but I don't see that yet.. they'll not allow and print first otherwise people would revolt. npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions https://youtu.be/yIpipJl9zqs #oil #macro #economy #nevent1q…3vfl npub17cmf882hhgwgr469pns3jmzflp7a6dvfq9pgsfqqnc7py286z3aqhhhv06 Macro_Intuitions Even if retreat, to re-establish production levels and delivery it will take months. Price will still stay high for months, oil stable under 75$ would be the signal things are going better. .. Do gas.