I speak about climate futures, mitigation and adaptation in the face of the climate crisis. 🇿🇦
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2025-11-20T07:11:49+01:00 Event JSON
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Last Notes Now that the Actuaries have woken up to the reality bearing down on us like a freight train, will the rest of us too? Berkely Earth: We are stepping into a brand new world. Our legacy in one graphic. https://berkeleyearth.org/whats-new/ Data just released by the team at Berkley Earth for August shows that the global mean temperature for the months of June to August above the 1850 to 1900 average looked like this: No surprise at all, the June-July-August season was warmest on record globally by a large margin. The heat is not done in Europe. September records set to tumble. Wet Bulb Temperature risks 2023-2050: As peer-reviewed science, is the most reliable source of scientific knowledge we have. Can ask that you point me to any reputable peer reviewed studies or publications that back up these statements? #ClimateLiteracy Current warming above the preindustrial average: +1.28°C US Heat Index forecast for Wednesday Aug 23, 2023 With June and July having been the hottest months ever recorded, and now August likely to follow, 2023 looks set to become the hottest year on record. This is a fire currently burning out of control in Alexandroupolis, Greece. ⚠️ Early Warning #EarlyWarning Pay attention. Whether you use the HadCRUT5 or ERA5 data sets one thing is crystal clear we are very close to making 15.3°C (that is +1.5°C above the preindustrial average of 13.8°C) the new global average temperature. Important comment from Susanna Ditlevsen co-author of the now famous study on the AMOC collapse possibility. Very sobering from Prof. Bob Watson as the impacts mount at +1.28°C of warming. The #Mediterranean is on fire at the moment. ⚠️ Early Warning Tourism on a heating planet. The truth is we are completely and utterly unprepared for a world at +1.5°C As heat domes sit over Asia, Europe and the US, this is a critical piece of #ClimateLiteracy regarding #Heatwaves #Japan experiencing some extreme precipitation in the southeast. World Meteorological Organization hosts special news briefing to address records in land and ocean temperatures. There is absolutely no way to “negotiate” with the physics of our dumping 39 Gt CO2 into the atmosphere per year. We are at +1.27°C of warming. And CO2 atmospheric concentrations at at 424.68 ppm (June) About 13 https://nostr.build/i/305aae5be6ec39a8ed9f8e1eacd5c3320712a3e882262517804ca12275ea4239.jpg What https://nostr.build/i/6674da6ec3d58ec9f13137e213f2f4312b32a31142047fcaf6e884e86f4cd3b0.jpg Image Context. So there will be no Threads for the EU for the “foreseeable future.” Yesterday we broke a record. The impacts of the #climatecrisis are being felt in #China there is no doubt about that: So the same as Twitter basically So basically like Twitter https://nostr.build/i/cee4b23b4673a41cfa77db72c3cfe80822248e211ec192bbe938e9c1e4a2f3c5.jpg So basically the same as Twitter https://nostr.build/i/cee4b23b4673a41cfa77db72c3cfe80822248e211ec192bbe938e9c1e4a2f3c5.jpg With your re acidification — and here is where we stand on that front: The heating ocean and melting ice, a hallmark of the evolving climate crisis, are causing seas to rise. (Global average sea level has risen 21–24 centimeters since 1880. In 2021, global sea level set a new record high—97 mm (3.8 inches) above 1993 levels.) How do we know that the #ElNino phase has arrived? The heat has already “lasted 20 days” The Texas heatwave as observed by NASA satellites. More than 40 million people in the US are currently under a heat alert and on some places the infrastructure is beginning to fail. You should check out this guys feed they are very much on the ground The only place I get to see the tech talk is when I check the BlueSky team feed 😅 otherwise I live in the science feed where there is everything but tech talk https://nostr.build/i/615452c575cc3fc9b0281ffb748c9083769c8ec9f2d934f4a626bc2bef851c42.jpg Hey that looks like a tracker he is wearing? China as a whole is under *severe* heat strain! You will notice in the text it makes reference to “Japan” this is a browser translation error. Here is the original text from the website: Today the Beijing Meteorological Bureau upgraded the city to a level red warning, the highest heatwave warning, as temperatures soared to just above 41°C ⚠️ Early Warning — Dangerous Wet Bulb Temperatures forecast for parts of Texas on Friday. South Africa has warmed +1.6ºC since 1881 and we are are on course to reach +4.4ºC of heating by 2100. Mexico is going through some things. Of course, it is at the top end compared to the other models but still, we keep skating closer and closer to chaos. https://nostr.build/i/9575523d81c21489a25142cfa5b00cbbef01cc5ee6e616195fda275fb9a2fc74.jpg ⚠️ Early Warning https://nostr.build/i/75de9ea84e5d46f865d3711825d6b0f16636e955c23eb70b54ba26063fb4cee6.jpg That is really interesting. This zooming into Croatia (2020 data) Did you know? Image credit: Figure 3.2, Pg 38, Synthesis Report of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_LongerReport.pdf From two countries in the Heat-Humidity risk zone: So much work has been done on the risk profiles of different places. For example check out the extensive reporting here https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGII_Annex-I.pdf Sure. There is more detail on the interplay here For every °C that Earth’s atmospheric temperature rises, the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere can increase by about 7%. The more water vapor that air contains, the more energy it holds, fuelling intense storms, particularly over land resulting in more extreme weather events. 35 million people find themselves under a heat/red flag advisory in the US on Friday. ⚠️ Early Warning NOAA’s May 2023 Global Climate Report has been released. A timeline cleanse. Here was the impact from the 2015/16 event in our region. Early Warning This is great piece by Jeff Berardelli (@WeatherProf on 🐦) on the current ocean heat phenomenon 🌡️ UK Heat-Health Alert 🌀#Biparjoy is gearing up to be a major incident and evacuations underway as the storm approaches. Early warnings: Just a correction in the text above this should read: Hey isn’t this at Rinkai Park? This is correct. Why the concern with current sea surface temperatures? Climate Literacy: Something unusual just happened in the southern hemisphere. Data sources: #ClimateLiteracy: The 1.5° limit applies to the average temperature over a year, and passing it would mean that the average will have been sustained for several years. Early Warning I must tell you that I actually made a decision not to travel to events to speak anymore 😅 - I have lost some gigs as a result but the 20/21 experience have made events more open to hybrid scenarios. Precipitation records tumble in #Portugal Bureau of Meteorology (BoM, Austraila) becomes the first to issue an El Nino ALERT. Excessive heat events are now becoming so common that it’s hard to keep up. You will find this interview interesting as it provides some insight into their AI approach and philosophy. Case in point. If this is not somehow solved, this here will remain a niche network. How is your country doing when it comes to matching its current emission reduction policies to its 2030 pledges? Prediction: The way of life in May places is going to be *severely* disrupted as we continue our heating trajectory. Human migration on a heating planet. Temperature records tumbled in #Canada yesterday #Japan has just experienced it’s warmest spring (MAM) since records began in 1898. We help companies adopt location independence as a resilience strategy in some of our work. This transition is actually fascinating to watch especially in the US As #ClimateChaos becomes a reality in many places we need robust #EarlyWarningSystems in place to help people stay safe.
