Building Common Futures,
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2026-07-18T20:57:19+02:00 Event JSON
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"content": "{\"name\":\"Kees van der Leun\",\"about\":\"Building Common Futures, \\na new energy transition consultancy. \\n35+ years of experience in the energy transition. \\nPosting here on energy, climate \u0026more \\n100% renewable energy globally by 2050 is possible!\\nViews my own.\\n( searchable )\\n\\nExpert in: the energy transition\\nDriven by: the need for climate action\\nClosely follows: Ukraine's liberation drive\\nLives in: Utrecht, the Netherlands\\n\",\"website\":\"https://mastodon.energy/@Sustainable2050\",\"picture\":\"https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/accounts/avatars/109/327/230/233/195/514/original/8763cba7e21c6d24.jpg\",\"banner\":\"https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/accounts/headers/109/327/230/233/195/514/original/f635e7c235fe8c1c.png\",\"nip05\":\"[email protected] \"}" ,
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Last Notes npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun So over 12,000 people were killed in a one-week heatwave last month, just in the Netherlands, Belgium, France, Spain, and Germany! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 6,800 excess deaths in Germany in the 22-28 June heatwave. https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Gesellschaft-Umwelt/Bevoelkerung/Sterbefaelle-Lebenserwartung/sterbefallzahlen.html npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Spain records more than 1,000 excess deaths due to June heatwave npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun France records 2,025 excess deaths at peak of heatwave as Europe braces for more extreme weather npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 480 killed in the same heatwave in the Netherlands, according to a preliminary estimate. https://www.rivm.nl/nieuws/voorlopige-eerste-schatting-laat-verhoogde-sterfte-zien-tijdens-hittegolf-in-juni npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 1,700 people were killed by the June heatwave in Belgium. Massive overload in hospital emergency rooms, 19,000 calls to the emergency number 112 in a day. Many brought to hospitals with heat stroke, body temperatures of 42°C. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Overall, we're still speeding in the wrong direction! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 🗓️1 July: Exactly 40 years ago, I started working on the energy transition! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun As a tribute to the fierce heatwaves roasting our cities these days, the city of Brussels just turned the Schuman roundabout facing the EC headquarters into a giant slab of concrete. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Planning a visit to Paris? npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Climate alarm! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Iranian regime npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Under the Trump-Iran MoU signed now: npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Before Trump and Netanyahu started their illegal war against Iran: npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Podcast! Over fietsen, de energietransitie (vanaf 05:30) en onze eigen acties om emissies te reduceren. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Overall, we're still speeding in the wrong direction! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 41% of new cars sold in the Netherlands last month were fully electric. We're getting close to the 50% mark! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Confirmed: atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa averaged 432.3 ppm in May, probably the highest in 15 million years, and 1.8 ppm higher than last year. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Overall, we're still speeding in the wrong direction! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump now threatens to blow up Oman, the country - known as a US ally - hosting the negotiations between the US and Iran until Trump and Netanyahu suddenly started their illegal war. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Looking at a blue sky with planes flying by. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Ja! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Big "Refugees welcome" demonstration in Utrecht, just now. A counterweight to the 'spontaneous local' violent protests against asylum seekers organised by the extreme right, and used by their politicians to claim that 'the people' are against taking up refugees. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun UK supports Russia's war financing. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Oh, and the situation in the field next to our neigbourhood is not good either: npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun As with climate, society as a whole has amnesia for this kind of thing. When you're young, or you moved into the area a few years ago, it's hard to know how many birds were singing, and butterflies and bees were flying around here, a few decades ago. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun We live in a village near Utrecht with lots of (small) gardens and fields and parks around it. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Silent spring in our village. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun People who are not aware of the practical irreversibility of climate change may think 'Sometime in the future, we'll figure out how to reduce emissions to zero, and then everything will be fine again'. While it won't. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun I have the impression that, while public awareness of climate change is widespread, awareness of its irreversibility and long-term lock-in remains limited and substantially below scientific understanding. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Bad news for New Orleans: get out of there within decades. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Probably for the first time ever, the Netherlands had to request international assistance to deal with its wildfires. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And more wildfires today, mostly in the south of the country. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Two Dutch papers opening with a major forest fire in the Veluwe region. Rare in the Netherlands, but not unexpected after almost zero rain in April. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun It was pretty clear how Iran would (try to) respond to an attack. See e.g. https://foreignpolicy.com/2016/05/05/irans-hollow-threats-to-close-the-strait-of-hormuz/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Europe is the fastest-warming continent: over half a degree C per decade; double the global average! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump's Sunday pastime: threatening to blow up the whole country Iran (93 million people live there). npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun New research combined real-world ocean observations on the AMOC circulation with a range of climate models to determine the most reliable, and this hugely reduced the spread of uncertainty. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun As King of the Netherlands, you do what government wants you to do, like visiting Trump. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Canada starts 'fuel tax holiday', including aviation fuel, expected to cost an estimated C$2.4 billion. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Relief: Orbán concedes; no Hungarian version of Jan 6 to be expected. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch satirical TV show #eventothier revealed Rutte's role at Trump's White House Easter celebration. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Once upon a time, Silicon Valley was going to drive forward the energy transition, although in practice mostly sticking to the electricity part. Now, they're messing up even that part with their giant AI electricity guzzlers running on new fossil gas power plants. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun NATO SG Rutte calls authoritarian leader who illegally attacked a third country and threatened to end its civilisation his friend. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Netanyahu’s ‘contempt for life and international law is intolerable’: Spain’s PM Pedro Sanchez. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Google's AI overviews give wrong answers 9% of the time (1.25 billion times a day), and in over half of the cases point to websites that don't actually support the answer given. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And Israel hates it for that. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun :)👹 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Yesterday and today, two people complained about my use of averages in a post. If I use an average, I call it an average, and it means an average, and it's on purpose. And if you're disappointed that the average doesn't prove your point, then just write your own post for your own followers ;) npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Netanyahu’s ‘contempt for life and international law is intolerable’: Spain’s PM Pedro Sanchez. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun If you want to follow what's happening in the Middle East, @aljazeera.com is #1. Yes, it's from Qatar, but it names its sources. And by now, it's way more neutral than much of the US networks. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Israel kills 254, wounds 1,165 people in Lebanon after US-Iran agree ceasefire. https://aje.news/jf7llm npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Before the illegal US-Israeli war against Iran: npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun As could be expected, Israel took advantage of the focus on Iran to increase its bombing and destruction campaign in Lebanon. Allowed by the US, ignored by Europe, and by much of the Middle East, too. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun https://mastodon.energy/@Sustainable2050/116367236767575853 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Majorities in each of those. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Temporary relief, thanks to Pakistan. Now, let's not pretend this thing is over, and let's not forget the lessons hopefully learned. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Unbelievable and unacceptable that the fate of 92 million people in Iran depends on this night's whims and tantrums of an 80-year-old authoritarian in the White House. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun .. on the eve of "I will kill an entire civilisation tonight if its government doesn't allow the free flow of oil & gas", bringing experts together to address the immediate issues, and how to accelerate the energy transition now, would also be appropriate. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun I attended an Energy InnovationNL conference today. Professional program, good networking, great venue, wonderful weather. Well done! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun own calculation. Average distance driven: 13,000 km npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun That sounds about right. I've read it's 3-5% of the time npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The average speed of a Dutch passenger car, over the whole year, is around 1.5 km/h (less than 1 mph). npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Own estimates. 300 W = 2,600 kWh in 8,760 hours. The charger capacities are typical values here. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Jet fuel price up by another 7% over last week, now $209 per barrel (global average). That's 132% higher than its 2025 average, and 163% higher in Asia & Oceania. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun About as much about both, I'd guess. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Every time you visit LinkedIn in Chrome, a hidden routine silently probes your browser for more than 6,000 installed extensions, collects 48 hardware and software characteristics about your device, encrypts the resulting fingerprint, and attaches it to every API request you make during your session. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun No, Watt. Times 8,760 hours per year. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun No, generally not. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Airline hedging strategies fall short as jet fuel price surges. They hedge against the price of crude oil, but jet fuel went up much faster. Raise ticket prices and/or make a loss. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun An electric car in the Netherlands uses around 300 Watt on average over a year. That's not a lot. The grid challenges arise because people like to charge them fast. 11 kW in a residential street is a lot. And so is 150-400 kW at a fast charging station. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun You can find the Android app here (yes, an American app store, I know ;) : npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The real Sherlocks had already found out by looking at the bottom of the package. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Buying less from US-owned companies can be difficult. Heinz tomato ketchup is an easy target, but the Danish app UdenUSA (non-USA) shows that good old De Ruijter chocolate sprinkles ('since 1860') are Heinz, too. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun RE: https://mstdn.science/@MarcAbrahams/116354006751734696 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun :) Yeah, and 67% lower than 5 years ago. A P/E ratio of 1.6 isn't really considered a sign of trust by investors in the future of a company. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The Trump regime people weren't selected for their competence. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The funny thing with aviation is that politicians have always kept taxes (if any) on it so low that lowering them hardly makes a difference. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Has someone asked Rutte about his daddy's behaviour already? npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Sensible ;) npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump’s new White House app has no privacy policy and uses Russian software. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun ‘Unhinged madman’: US politicians react to Trump’s expletive-laden war crime threat to Iran npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump uses expletive-ridden social media post to threaten Iran’s infrastructure npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The last tanker of jet fuel from the Middle East for the Netherlands arrived at the Port of Rotterdam anchor zone yesterday. It left Kuwait on 23 February, before Trump and Netanyahu started their war. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Er was geen verzoek tot steun toen Trump de oorlog begon. Sterker nog, hij had de Europese bondgenoten niet geïnformeerd. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The UK received its last tanker of jet fuel from the Middle East on Friday. Nothing more on its way now. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Air France-KLM's stock price is already down 32% since Trump and Netanyahu started their war. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Carriers using these Italian airports are being instructed to arrive with fuller tanks or to refuel elsewhere on the network. While the measures stop short of a full shutdown, they significantly reduce flexibility for airlines. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun No problem with kerosene at all in the Netherlands, though. Travel agencies are not preparing for shortages. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Maar terugkomen kan lastig zijn. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Italy Sets Jet Fuel Limits at Some Airports on Supply Shortage - npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun It may even have made Trump's anger worse. After praising the illegal attacks on Iran (Rutte) or showing 'understanding' (most EU countries, incl. The Netherlands), not responding to his call for support on the mess he created annoys him even more. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Middle East expert Koert Debeuf: The US and Israel attack Iran, Iran strikes back, and what happens? Europe only condemns Iran. The rest of the world sees this, too. They see us as a bunch of fearful vassals of the White House. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun It's also a holy war, apparently, given Trump's closing remark right after the hell threat: Glory be to GOD! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Universities, of course. One of Israel's early priorities in Gaza, too. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun A special Easter message from Trump. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Ukraine slows enemy advances, liberates land, drains Russia’s war chest. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun That's $4 billion per day, npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun UAE's largest natural gas processing site sustains significant damage after Iranian attack. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Yes, the budget request is just $1,500,000,000,000.
