Building Common Futures, a new energy transition consultancy. 35+ years of experience in the energy transition. Posting here on energy, climate &more 100% renewable energy globally by 2050 is possible! Views my own. ( searchable ) Expert in: the energy transition Driven by: the need for climate action Closely follows: Ukraine's liberation drive Lives in: Utrecht, the Netherlands
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2026-03-29T16:52:14+02:00 Event JSON
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Last Notes npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun As King of the Netherlands, you do what government wants you to do, like visiting Trump. But then you make sure you show up with black dancers, and speech about the need for 'reliable partners serving common interests', 'ruthless aggressors such as Russia', and 'essential international organisations' :) https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/409/992/450/273/745/original/8bb0f2a998ad28be.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Relief: Orbán concedes; no Hungarian version of Jan 6 to be expected. Friend of Russia, Trump and Wilders out. Pro-EU Magyar in, with a landslide win. https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c2d8zw2d3rkt npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun NATO SG Rutte calls authoritarian leader who illegally attacked a third country and threatened to end its civilisation his friend. https://kyivindependent.com/trump-meets-nato-chief-as-us-mulls-wihtdrawal-from-alliance/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Netanyahu’s ‘contempt for life and international law is intolerable’: Spain’s PM Pedro Sanchez. https://aje.news/jf7llm?update=4475229 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Google's AI overviews give wrong answers 9% of the time (1.25 billion times a day), and in over half of the cases point to websites that don't actually support the answer given. https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/google-ai-overviews-misinformation npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And Israel hates it for that. https://aje.news/8zu5ip npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun :)👹 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Yesterday and today, two people complained about my use of averages in a post. If I use an average, I call it an average, and it means an average, and it's on purpose. And if you're disappointed that the average doesn't prove your point, then just write your own post for your own followers ;) npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Netanyahu’s ‘contempt for life and international law is intolerable’: Spain’s PM Pedro Sanchez. https://aje.news/jf7llm?update=4475229 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun If you want to follow what's happening in the Middle East, @aljazeera.com is #1. Yes, it's from Qatar, but it names its sources. And by now, it's way more neutral than much of the US networks. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/8/iran-war-live-trump-announces-truce-tehran-agrees-safe-transit-in-hormuz?update=4473345 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Israel kills 254, wounds 1,165 people in Lebanon after US-Iran agree ceasefire. https://aje.news/jf7llm npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Before the illegal US-Israeli war against Iran: - Negotiations on nuclear development ongoing - Strait of Hormuz open - Oil price at $60 After: - Negotiations to start on resolving the recent mess - Lots of destruction in Iran and Gulf states - Strait of Hormuz practically closed - Oil price at $96 - Most of Europe known for its 'understanding' for breaking international law - Economic problems around the world, inflation on the rise. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun As could be expected, Israel took advantage of the focus on Iran to increase its bombing and destruction campaign in Lebanon. Allowed by the US, ignored by Europe, and by much of the Middle East, too. https://flipboard.com/@aljazeera/us-canada-news-010sv4dcz/-/a-AQ7MqYFLRQKdARLmBDPt2w%3Aa%3A3199698-%2F0 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun https://mastodon.energy/@Sustainable2050/116367236767575853 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Majorities in each of those. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Temporary relief, thanks to Pakistan. Now, let's not pretend this thing is over, and let's not forget the lessons hopefully learned. And let's not forget what's happening in Lebanon and Gaza. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Unbelievable and unacceptable that the fate of 92 million people in Iran depends on this night's whims and tantrums of an 80-year-old authoritarian in the White House. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun .. on the eve of "I will kill an entire civilisation tonight if its government doesn't allow the free flow of oil & gas", bringing experts together to address the immediate issues, and how to accelerate the energy transition now, would also be appropriate. We need a pressure cooker. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun I attended an Energy InnovationNL conference today. Professional program, good networking, great venue, wonderful weather. Well done! But .. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun own calculation. Average distance driven: 13,000 km Hours in 1 year: 8,760 hours npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun That sounds about right. I've read it's 3-5% of the time npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The average speed of a Dutch passenger car, over the whole year, is around 1.5 km/h (less than 1 mph). npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Own estimates. 300 W = 2,600 kWh in 8,760 hours. The charger capacities are typical values here. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Jet fuel price up by another 7% over last week, now $209 per barrel (global average). That's 132% higher than its 2025 average, and 163% higher in Asia & Oceania. Source: @iata.org https://www.iata.org/en/publications/economics/fuel-monitor/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun About as much about both, I'd guess. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Every time you visit LinkedIn in Chrome, a hidden routine silently probes your browser for more than 6,000 installed extensions, collects 48 hardware and software characteristics about your device, encrypts the resulting fingerprint, and attaches it to every API request you make during your session. https://thenextweb.com/news/linkedin-browsergate-extension-scanning-privacy-fingerprint npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun No, Watt. Times 8,760 hours per year. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun No, generally not. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Airline hedging strategies fall short as jet fuel price surges. They hedge against the price of crude oil, but jet fuel went up much faster. Raise ticket prices and/or make a loss. https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/land-use-biodiversity/airline-hedging-strategies-fall-short-jet-fuel-price-surges-2026-03-12/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun An electric car in the Netherlands uses around 300 Watt on average over a year. That's not a lot. The grid challenges arise because people like to charge them fast. 11 kW in a residential street is a lot. And so is 150-400 kW at a fast charging station. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun You can find the Android app here (yes, an American app store, I know ;) : https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=dk.vocatastudio.UdenUSA npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The real Sherlocks had already found out by looking at the bottom of the package. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/357/666/697/930/184/original/ff9207cc3eb6a685.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Buying less from US-owned companies can be difficult. Heinz tomato ketchup is an easy target, but the Danish app UdenUSA (non-USA) shows that good old De Ruijter chocolate sprinkles ('since 1860') are Heinz, too. The alternatives shown are very Danish :) https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/357/659/838/679/935/original/3dba05158cd84ac6.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun RE: https://mstdn.science/@MarcAbrahams/116354006751734696 First Alhamdulillah from an American president (imagine Obama doing this) comes in a post threatening a Muslim country with war crimes. #note142r…2rnx npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun :) Yeah, and 67% lower than 5 years ago. A P/E ratio of 1.6 isn't really considered a sign of trust by investors in the future of a company. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The Trump regime people weren't selected for their competence. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The funny thing with aviation is that politicians have always kept taxes (if any) on it so low that lowering them hardly makes a difference. The German government just reduced its airline ticket tax by 15%. That saves 'short distance' travellers (80% of all tickets) €2.50 🤣 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Has someone asked Rutte about his daddy's behaviour already? npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Sensible ;) npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump’s new White House app has no privacy policy and uses Russian software. https://www.alternet.org/trump-russia-ties/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun ‘Unhinged madman’: US politicians react to Trump’s expletive-laden war crime threat to Iran https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/apr/05/trump-iran-threats-politician-reactions npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump uses expletive-ridden social media post to threaten Iran’s infrastructure US president tells Iran: ‘Open the Fuckin’ Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell’. https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/apr/05/middle-east-crisis-live-iran-israel-us-war-trump-strait-hormuz-missing-pilot-downed?CMP=share_btn_url&page=with%3Ablock-69d252ff8f080da25b48b6e3#block-69d252ff8f080da25b48b6e3 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The last tanker of jet fuel from the Middle East for the Netherlands arrived at the Port of Rotterdam anchor zone yesterday. It left Kuwait on 23 February, before Trump and Netanyahu started their war. Nothing on its way now https://www.bnr.nl/nieuws/economie/10597905/laatste-kerosinetanker-op-weg-naar-rotterdam-als-het-op-is-kun-je-niet-meer-vliegen npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Er was geen verzoek tot steun toen Trump de oorlog begon. Sterker nog, hij had de Europese bondgenoten niet geïnformeerd. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The UK received its last tanker of jet fuel from the Middle East on Friday. Nothing more on its way now. Yes, there are other sources, too. And lots of demand for those. https://www.ft.com/content/19f155b1-8b12-491a-bbc5-a3bdb2a2e607?syn-25a6b1a6=1 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Air France-KLM's stock price is already down 32% since Trump and Netanyahu started their war. You can buy the whole thing for €2.3 billion now. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/351/892/965/284/180/original/ac1bc1a5660ceb29.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Carriers using these Italian airports are being instructed to arrive with fuller tanks or to refuel elsewhere on the network. While the measures stop short of a full shutdown, they significantly reduce flexibility for airlines. And help to spread the problem over Europe. https://www.thetraveler.org/fuel-squeeze-at-italian-airports-rattles-european-skies/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun No problem with kerosene at all in the Netherlands, though. Travel agencies are not preparing for shortages. Let's keep this for future reference. https://www.nu.nl/economie/6391409/nederlandse-toerist-kiest-andere-bestemmingen-om-oorlog-midden-oosten.html https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/351/161/085/763/260/original/223263f96e967336.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Maar terugkomen kan lastig zijn. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Italy Sets Jet Fuel Limits at Some Airports on Supply Shortage - Europe is the main importer of jet fuel — including kerosene — from the Persian Gulf. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-05/italy-sets-jet-fuel-limits-at-some-airports-on-supply-shortage npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun It may even have made Trump's anger worse. After praising the illegal attacks on Iran (Rutte) or showing 'understanding' (most EU countries, incl. The Netherlands), not responding to his call for support on the mess he created annoys him even more. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Middle East expert Koert Debeuf: The US and Israel attack Iran, Iran strikes back, and what happens? Europe only condemns Iran. The rest of the world sees this, too. They see us as a bunch of fearful vassals of the White House. https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/04/03/door-in-de-navo-te-blijven-wordt-europa-straks-in-een-wereldoorlog-meegesleurd-a4924308?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=bluesky&utm_term=20260403&gift_token=4924308%7E1775974722%7EtrOzbjrSRpSn70EyY_7u2A%7EPb7Z6Bdeo942_bu0UGYQjhJMF6A6EQinwxB0R1IwM3A npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun It's also a holy war, apparently, given Trump's closing remark right after the hell threat: Glory be to GOD! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Universities, of course. One of Israel's early priorities in Gaza, too. https://aje.news/bx68n7 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun A special Easter message from Trump. (he actually posted that hell would 'reign' down...) https://www.independent.co.uk/bulletin/news/trump-strait-of-hormuz-iran-war-oil-b2951879.html npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Ukraine slows enemy advances, liberates land, drains Russia’s war chest. https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/4/3/ukraine-slows-enemy-advances-liberates-land-drains-russias-war-chest npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun That's $4 billion per day, $3 million per minute, €50,000 per second, 24/7 It's also $30 per day per US household. That will be felt. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun UAE's largest natural gas processing site sustains significant damage after Iranian attack. https://aje.news/tv67os npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Yes, the budget request is just $1,500,000,000,000. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump regime wants $1.5 trillion per year for its department of war. That's $1,500 billion, i.e. $11,000 per household. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crr1q4kjvn2o npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun OK thanks for that background. Then it's just plain stupid, and very bad timing now. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump's incoherent rambling (bombing Iran back to the Stone Age, etc.) managed to drive up the oil price by $6/barrel within 30 minutes yesterday evening. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/333/423/445/343/430/original/d2d3f46e73144730.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Deeply stupid, one might say. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun In response to the growing global kerosene shortage, German government now plans to lower the (very low) taxes on air tickets 🤦🤦♂️🤦♀️ https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/innenpolitik/luftverkehr-steuer-ticketpreis-100.html npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Global renewable power capacity crossed the 5 TW (that's 5,000,000,000,000 Watts) mark last year! It grew by 15.5 % within one year, driven by solar PV and wind. From IRENA: https://www.irena.org/News/pressreleases/2026/Apr/Near-700-GW-Surge-in-2025-Proves-Renewable-Energy-Resilience https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/331/330/376/774/656/original/fb8c5eca52ec34fd.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Overall, we're still speeding in the wrong direction! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/331/304/546/689/545/original/73a3cec1da47f2d0.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun March was the first month above 430 ppm atmospheric CO₂ of this year, and only the second in about 15 million years! The first one was May 2025; many more to follow, unfortunately. Based on daily values at Mauna Loa, the average was ~430.2 ppm, that's 2.0 ppm higher than last year. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/331/270/705/648/451/original/f1981f0de7fb9393.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Climate bills are coming in. Dutch PBL Institute estimates drought-induced damage to the foundations of 425,000 Dutch homes at €60 billion, between now and 2050. That's €2.5 billion/year then! https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/03/30/pbl-maakt-risicos-klimaatverandering-concreet-misoogsten-verzakkende-huizen-en-een-einde-aan-de-vierdaagse-a4924181?gift_token=4924181%7E1775669289%7EtrOzbjrSRpSn70EyY_7u2A%7EzOMPPV8Qcwdpu3WtnbOVHKGu-knVeaYkqgOvcimaUmE npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The Trump-Netanyahu war in the Middle East drives up interest in electric vehicles in the Netherlands. Secondhand EV sales in March were up by 48% compared to February, and they doubled (+99%) compared to the year before. https://mijn.bovag.nl/actueel/nieuws/verkoop-elektrische-occasions-stijgt-in-maart-met-bijna-50-procent npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Crimea is Ukraine. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Invading a country and taking part of it illegal? Just one view. Extreme bothsidism from Dutch public news @nieuws.nos.nl. "Russia occupied the Ukrainian peninsula in 2014 and annexed it after a controversial referendum. Ukraine and the West see the Russian annexation as illegal." https://nos.nl/l/2608608 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch government (and society) did invest, just that faster would've been better npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun We urgently need to start refilling our storages for next winter. Anyone who thinks the current 50 €/MWh gas is expensive should (not) wait to find out what the price will be after one more missile hits a Qatar production facility or after a couple of LNG tankers are sunk in the Gulf. 5/x npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun That means the levy can start in 2029 and generate some financing then. So we'll need intermediary fixes for another three years. Not the best example of a rapid response after the 2022 Russia-induced gas crisis underlined the need. In the meantime, .. 4/x npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun ... the task ahead, in the current tight market, within 7 months, doesn't allow for much of a waiting game. Today, we learned that the proposed law meant to finance the filling of the gas storages (via a levy on gas use) is delayed by a full year. Will enter into force earliest mid-2028 now. 3/x npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Minister Stientje van Veldhoven has made a credit facility available of €8 billion, but 'this limit will probably not be reached because it will only be used if the market fails to fill up the storages'. Not clear why commercial operators would act, at the moment, and ... 2/x npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Today, the filling level of Dutch gas storages reached a new historic low: 4.95%. Currently, the forward market prices give no incentive to fill up for winter, but government has previously concluded that by 1 November, we'll need a filling level of 80%. That's going to be a challenge. 1/x npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Giant oil tanker off Dubai hit by Iranian strike after Trump's latest threats https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/giant-oil-tanker-off-dubai-hit-by-iranian-strike-trump-threatens-obliterate-iran-2026-03-31/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun That's not good news for aviation. But a decent fuel tax would've been a better idea. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/322/125/526/590/056/original/e18c7c7f19746eac.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun This while the crude oil price 'only' went up by 60%: supply chain disruption. Note the regional differences for kerosene: from +88% in North America to +134% in Asia and Oceania npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun IATA: jet fuel now 104% more expensive than last month (global average) https://www.iata.org/en/publications/economics/fuel-monitor/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun A lot of fuss about gasoline prices in the Netherlands now. Favorite number in the media: the 'advisory price' set by the oil majors: €2.57 per litre today. But: the average sales price in the country is €2.31. At individual fuel stations, the lowest price is €2.14: https://www.anwb.nl/auto/brandstof/goedkoopste-tankstation npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun yep. Vandaar mijn vraag. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Australian government chooses the backward way, halving tax on fuel amid a supply crisis. Keeps demand artificially high, blows a hole in the budget, drives up prices, and reduces supply for poorer countries. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/australia-halve-tax-petrol-bring-down-costs-wake-iran-war-2026-03-30/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Divide et impera, as the Romans said. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun These two storages represent 7.5% of the total EU capacity, and they're the only ones storing so-called L-gas, a quality used by Dutch households. This makes the Netherlands and the EU more vulnerable in the current gas supply crisis. Filling up for next winter will be difficult. Data: https://agsi.gie.eu npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The two Dutch gas storages of NAM, operated by Gasterra (Shell/Exxon/Dutch government) are now completely empty: filling level 0.00%. The reason given is the winding down of Gasterra, which used to sell the Groningen gas. But one would say that a new operator could have bought the remaining gas. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/116/314/506/790/677/165/original/c0eded9442a653ee.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun :) Changed language setting to Dutch now. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Ha @npub18k9…30hx Waarom zijn Progressief Nederland en Jesse Klaver alleen actief op Amerikaanse sociale media en niet op Mastodon? Voor Pro zie ik hier nog niet eens een (slapend) account. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Yes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/christopherhelman/2026/03/09/the-american-lng-billionaires-set-to-cash-in-on-war-with-iran/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Ha @npub1gcn…9c2t , Waarom zijn Progressief Nederland en jijzelf alleen actief op Amerikaanse sociale media en niet op Mastodon? Ik zie hier nog niet eens een (slapend) account. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Ukraine's daily visit to Ust-Luga, Russia's oil export hub in the Baltic region. https://www.reuters.com/world/russias-ust-luga-port-damaged-by-ukrainian-drones-fire-breaks-out-2026-03-29/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump regime tells UK that closer ties with the EU would be a problem. Nicely in line with the Kremlin's goals. https://www.cityam.com/us-ambassador-warns-against-eu-realignment/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 25% of global gas liquefaction capacity (LNG production) is now out of operation. https://www.linkedin.com/posts/greg-moln%C3%A1r-38601171_gas-lng-ttf-share-7443621995377868800-FTZ1 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun UAE and Bahrain's main aluminium producers say plants damaged by Iranian attacks https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/2026/03/29/uae-and-bahrains-main-aluminium-producers-damaged-by-iranian-attacks/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Ghebreyesus warned that the repeated Israeli attacks have disrupted healthcare across the region. Four hospitals and 51 primary healthcare centres have shut down, while several others continue to operate at reduced capacity. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Israeli attacks on healthcare in southern Lebanon have killed nine paramedics and wounded seven others. @npub157u…0w8v Director-General Ghebreyesus said five separate strikes hit medical teams across multiple villages. https://www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/who-says-israeli-attacks-lebanon-kill-nine-paramedics-wound-seven npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Bizarre kop, @npub1szf…psxe. Aanrijding tussen auto en kinderwagen?! "Kind overleden na aanrijding tussen auto en kinderwagen in Maastricht' https://nos.nl/l/2608173 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Brent crude ended the week at $114.45 per barrel, by the way. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/mar/27/trump-iran-strategy-taco?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other