2026-04-04T00:28:38Z https://nostr.ae FutarchyHub https://nostr.ae/npub1hrsc5rld9qg7lmsn562pmtt3wq95cedlqwphwlev2d5x9nx6nuxqze3m2s https://futarchyhub.com/static/apple-touch-icon.png https://futarchyhub.com/static/apple-touch-icon.png https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqstw6zassmyw4kfj2qt80av5lwtkwhsj7acp4e0veqxat53zn9zaeqzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scaah62t In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsdp7f9caq69vlsp4gawyajdg53pqsvkc4kgrgpaeag8qvtznuwl9spr9mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuumwdae8gtnnda3kjctv9uemtfua'>nevent1q…tfua</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>We need ways to organize together that don&#39;t depend on the state 2026-06-26T04:43:33Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsg572p8yym8yeef0wsemznufek0g82nux097stlc20w8unp0c3h2gzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scp9ap8u In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsxlf34q4jnhra9dn4jd8eaxufxe0md9n29jvhj37f4u02gasulvsqpz4mhxue69uhkzmn5d9c8y6tdv9kzumn9wshssjvekv'>nevent1q…vekv</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Try futarchyhub.com 2026-06-10T16:41:34Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsyxuas5jcz2vd658726hf7z0jl2kh6sy2f7vt79lqrenpvu5qf2eszyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scn3ykth In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsg9r3ewv6e7epjc7qu2yghtmn7q58gtyelm5prks4zz5j78lvyefspz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfdusgksrc'>nevent1q…ksrc</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>For example:<br/><br/>Create a market that asks something like &#34;If project X gets funded, how many people will use it&#34; for a bunch of projects, let people trade, fund the projects that traders think will be used 2026-06-10T15:32:37Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsxnsf2uhqajef0f6paezsjt9e0g8rx6v2ut2h6adjxmu59pmus76gzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scugwz5a In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs0cxwtru3k03su3jgkfuu6uzl89m52ssnhnf28jq79ep048gq8cscpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfdu2lm033'>nevent1q…m033</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Futarchy would actually solve these polutics problems though 2026-06-09T16:01:16Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqja0gkq4t9u44cxyzh9t96kjvgtraaz8whq9y2c65xyp27dp3jhgzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scn9aa2f In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsrhlw38w8m343svqdfawywmwc7t5mqpt92r77dsp3aav8v899ddwsppamhxue69uhkummnw3ezumt0d5c96ylr'>nevent1q…6ylr</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Zaps also can be faked<br/><br/>POW or Bitcoins burned are the only truly verifiable signals I know of 2026-06-09T15:59:19Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsv75h2mftz22pupsax09mzkjdue0tp5epewmy8mu9gy0tn37v8ulqzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scufvw5f In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs9zrxhwszwthxw9lhx48s05hhce4p6d3nyqzhd3hsnxtedkj9wkpgpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuurjd9kkzmpwdejhgt3yn0w'>nevent1q…yn0w</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Yes exactly, we&#39;d need some kind of oracle 2026-06-09T04:55:26Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsp7ufydkyxhhwjsyzccpug8sty4mxzxhzyd7932706m39fvqhj7gczyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sc6qs5pv In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqstkmacrlh89xqz0ej5m64p829xq0a7u73rpl7axgr90dgyp2t8dmqpzamhxue69uhkjmnzdauzuun9d3shjuewd3skueqscekhf'>nevent1q…ekhf</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/><blockquote class="border-l-05rem border-l-strongpink border-solid"><div class="-ml-4 bg-gradient-to-r from-gray-100 dark:from-zinc-800 to-transparent mr-0 mt-0 mb-4 pl-4 pr-2 py-2">quoting <span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Article"><a itemprop="url" href="/nevent1qqsdhtlgym20xesep7cm32p5uuw7j0gtaka93a020aerrhgp3rrytlgzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sc7f6vj5" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1">nevent1q…6vj5</a></span> </div> What if <span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a itemprop="url" href="/nprofile1qqs8suecw4luyht9ekff89x4uacneapk8r5dyk0gmn6uwwurf6u9ruspzpmhxue69uhkumewwd68ytnrwghszxthwden5te0wfjkccte9eekummjwsh8xmmrd9skctcpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhs2juazd" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1"><span>OpenSats</span> (<span class="italic">nprofile…uazd</span>)</a></span> awarded one of its nostr grants based on predictuon market on project funded X nostr weekly active users in one year?<br/><br/>Just as an experiment? </blockquote> 2026-06-09T04:54:41Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs24vqu7zyhh9xk6zem6ffxz3c9csf9mr7kmwsy8nvl4mz06mgsmmgzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scv8hwvc In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs2u3tf3q5n09a9a58hwj4vauqu50hem9wjnq9un5d0gmq45w0anfgpr9mhxue69uhhqun9d45h2mfwwpexjmtpdshxuet59u66uhg0'>nevent1q…uhg0</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>A little tool that lets you create your own public prediction market and invite your friends<br/><br/>nwc or play money custodian, oracles just sign nostr events 2026-04-19T10:58:06Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsvds86hzhqg2ltta9q80r4d0ed2ymv6t7f9qfsvrqzwp2sa6axcgqzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sc5qxwkg For the other stuff enthusiast:<br/><br/>The futarchyhub relay publishes a full audit trail of every market, but you have to be a member to query it. 2026-04-19T03:51:10Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs05nsjn89furfr9awg7zh8mxpl5fslzvp99qs7jtxt0wxg3g6zdlgzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scm7nn2t lmao idk how i fucked this up so badly. I used nak to mine pow but I guess it just made up a private key 😅<br/><blockquote class="border-l-05rem border-l-strongpink border-solid"><div class="-ml-4 bg-gradient-to-r from-gray-100 dark:from-zinc-800 to-transparent mr-0 mt-0 mb-4 pl-4 pr-2 py-2">quoting <br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Article"><a itemprop="url" href="/nevent1qqsqqqqqzd32fvjvdlkf9s24zygwn5ms2fnfuhghaatqv0j6q3xam7cpy9mhxue69uhhxurpw35kzttpwf3kzmnp9e3k7mf0wdcx7arvd9nksaqzyrqx3aytepgqvp378e6c6e9lx360qz7me55phj6yu7w6ccz925667qcyqqqqqqgqfc4kg" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1">nevent1q…c4kg</a></span> </div> I'm working on a project to end politics. If you ever have to make decisions with a team check it out at futarchyhub.com\n\nbtw, nostr discovery is a very difficult problem, this is a great idea! </blockquote> 2026-04-17T15:28:01Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsw5ju56alyt8e2tdl3zasa447gjwzfydt4z6lsjp39refh4paf02gzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sck75p4e In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsqqqqqzd32fvjvdlkf9s24zygwn5ms2fnfuhghaatqv0j6q3xam7cpy9mhxue69uhhxurpw35kzttpwf3kzmnp9e3k7mf0wdcx7arvd9nksaq2euntn'>nevent1q…untn</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>lmao idk how i fucked this up so badly. I used nak to mine pow but I guess it just made up a private key 😅 2026-04-17T15:25:01Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsw6eqwgrsl7pc0cgv6u7z2c4r67hkp9zdru6h6gafuvdfnfzuzxxczyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scztleyt The problem is just as bad for Bitcoin. As we argue about trivial things, powerful discretely centralized lobbies continue push law makers towards a stablecoin cdbc future.<br/><br/>Decentralized coordination would flip the tables.<br/><br/>Not only would centralized openents lose the advantage of coordination, they would also have to pay the cost of limiting the decision making brain power to a core few.<br/><br/>That&#39;s why I want to popularize futarchy, imo it&#39;s our best hope for decentralized coordination.<br/> <blockquote class="border-l-05rem border-l-strongpink border-solid"><div class="-ml-4 bg-gradient-to-r from-gray-100 dark:from-zinc-800 to-transparent mr-0 mt-0 mb-4 pl-4 pr-2 py-2">quoting <br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Article"><a itemprop="url" href="/nevent1qqsflv7ypz2r5gdhurfjwhjexjf7cd0sz7uk7ew45tsa7n0v6vm33cgpz3mhxue69uhkzmn0dchxxmmdwp6hgetj9upzpw8p3g8762q3alhp8f55rkkhzuqtf3jm7qurwaljc5mgvtxd48cvqvzqqqqqqytc5mcu" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1">nevent1q…5mcu</a></span> </div> Decentralized projects, like nostr, are at a disadvantage compared to centralized platforms when it comes to coordination. X can put all of its resources towards some new feature and guarantee that all its users will participate in the network effects while on nostr, amazing ideas are being explored but most are only available in or or two clients.<br/><br/>What if there was a primitive that enables decentralized coordination? </blockquote> 2026-04-17T01:31:52Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs22s2s8l9zfn02tn2ggyrxxgujxm8hfg2mfvhpcy5ejg2nqsl45tczyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sccgmtjq In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsrpnpsme8crazw74p9dms9h2nf9smxtu8a2yp6garuuhh3776rsaqppemhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mp0qhvnck'>nevent1q…vnck</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>😅 2026-04-11T15:59:07Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqqrm7lnwwjs3t8hw8m506htxwe32d73hpucql34693z20ckam2czyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sckg48qf In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsqqqxcrytp324a8fspt6vktd87n25cj3swgslf7z8ee30uvytjczsprfmhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuat50phjummwv5hkjmnzdauqs7qhv6'>nevent1q…qhv6</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Maybe u create a market to let your follows bet on what fractions of your users will use the remote signer if you implement it? 🥺👉👈 2026-04-08T16:14:25Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqq9rfvv8uxf793zsw05jtw39wprr4m94ahew4tkawzre8lzrqkgzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scfefejx In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsqqqxcrytp324a8fspt6vktd87n25cj3swgslf7z8ee30uvytjczsprdmhxue69uhhyetvv9ujucnfw33k76twwpshy6ewvdhk6sg79hq'>nevent1q…79hq</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>lmao, well fwiw amber works great with wisp 2026-04-08T15:51:02Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqspen7x7te379x9jmcktqh2hq6hvjazuzytfz0wdmu6ldkvnxl2a2czyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sckf07de In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqszltcmw6s6jsklqu58rpu4d9kh6yp8r2g698gfhy30tshrclqm8dqpz9mhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejj7v5pkhq'>nevent1q…pkhq</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Probably my fault. I tested amber and nak, testing wisp now! 2026-04-08T15:42:15Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsg2qfdlc44nkfvs0fj9f66vgvdz407htzjzrpraawveejeppgqp5qzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sckmrff3 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsxsd4s8l0g9q9p499wca9c9w5532q8du7v5dqdx489nwanwstqyzqpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsxskzgf'>nevent1q…kzgf</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Amazing, thanks!! DM sent 2026-04-07T19:45:36Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsrgtylxshn6c0cvcnnfwt22vjsxj6gy4tnm6gsfm9tahtk55y0tcczyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scyk9are In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsrxtrfa6e4ztd6ee0r26j56srln036fde2q7r76zlvxkdsyfqs0ngpz3mhxue69uhkzmn0dchxxmmdwp6hgetj9udcvkk2'>nevent1q…vkk2</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/><a href="https://futarchyhub.com/market/2">https://futarchyhub.com/market/2</a> 2026-04-07T16:33:20Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsgadfy6sqzgh8g4u6vx8x498q57dv2audd7yexvneklvhdzt3x6kszyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sc764glu In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsrxtrfa6e4ztd6ee0r26j56srln036fde2q7r76zlvxkdsyfqs0ngpz3mhxue69uhkzmn0dchxxmmdwp6hgetj9udcvkk2'>nevent1q…vkk2</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>#futarchy<br/> 2026-04-07T04:29:04Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsrxtrfa6e4ztd6ee0r26j56srln036fde2q7r76zlvxkdsyfqs0ngzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scmdmvpd Anyone I follow can bet on the on the FutarchyHub Meta Market. Today I created the first event. Will be dumping some liquidity on each outcome soon so sats are yours to lose!<br/><br/>If I don&#39;t follow you but you want to give this a shot just reply and I&#39;ll send you an invite.<br/><br/> <img src="https://anon.computer/39e6852563c9e4af01cebc110e68d38d8afd6cad32b99925b0cf21655485a69f.png"> <br/><br/> <img src="https://anon.computer/252207f865b10e49682da1b7454c71957374cf1a879e9076569f07f47876afd2.png"> <br/><br/> <img src="https://anon.computer/e09bbede989465e0a46e568dad390287f72f9a8ae10cd84055c35ed886d0cb46.png"> 2026-04-07T04:28:19Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqszk8fwlc76yl04hzcmuczvnvxdsng25mtgu8lxpffzl9p6l8avruczyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scnyap2d I swear I tried to publish this with every long form web client I could find: habla, yakihonne, makimono...<br/><br/>They all had errors and failed. I think because I use amber to store my key. Only the web version of <span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a itemprop="url" href="/nprofile1qqs9xtvrphl7p8qnua0gk9zusft33lqjkqqr7cwkr6g8wusu0lle8jcpzamhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0wd68ytnzv9hxgtcpzamhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuurjd9kkzmpwdejhgtcprpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezuurpwfjhgmeww3hhwm305fwlyq" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1"><span>primal</span> (<span class="italic">nprofile…wlyq</span>)</a></span> worked.<br/><br/><blockquote class="border-l-05rem border-l-strongpink border-solid"><div class="-ml-4 bg-gradient-to-r from-gray-100 dark:from-zinc-800 to-transparent mr-0 mt-0 mb-4 pl-4 pr-2 py-2">quoting <br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Article"><a itemprop="url" href="/naddr1qqthqun9v35kxarfdahz6mtpwf4k2arn94eh2cmtqy28wumn8ghj7ctwdahzucm0d4c82ar9wghsyg9cux9qlmfgz8h7uyaxjsw66utspdxxt0crsdmh7tzndp3vek5lpspsgqqqw4rsla6jn4" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1">naddr1qq…6jn4</a></span> </div> <p>If you talk to a prediction market enjoyer they&#39;ll explain that their benefits fall into two categories:</p> <ul> <li><p>Prediction markets offer a way for insiders can get paid to reveal information</p></li> <li><p>Prediction markets make it expensive to lie about beliefs</p></li> </ul> <p>Unfortunately, the current crop of prediction markets is focused more on extracting money from gambling addicts than on either of these two benefits. In this nanoessay, I will explore each of these potential benefits and how a prediction market could realize them.</p> <h2 id="revelation-of-insider-information-2">Revelation of Insider Information</h2> <p>Knowledge is power. Insiders, by definition, have more knowledge than the general public and, as a result, have more power. This creates an incentive to further restrict information flow. In other words, the nature of knowledge, that it grants whoever posses it an advantage over those who don&#39;t, creates an incentive to gatekeep, to obscure, to lead astray and suppress.</p> <p>Insiders can make money betting on prediction markets but to make the bet, an insider must reveal their insider knowledge. This is similar to the incentive judo that Bitcoin offers to central bankers: print fiat money to buy truly scarce money but, in doing so, you must further diminish the value of your fiat.</p> <p>A prediction market that wanted to realize this public good would need to be private. The insiders are in a prisoner&#39;s dilemma where any one of them can reveal the information they have but only one can benefit. The desire to maintain their power, creates an incentive to punish their fellow insiders who might participate in prediction markets and to outlaw &#34;insider trading&#34;. This means that insiders are more likely to defect if their defection is private.</p> <h2 id="making-lying-more-expensive-2">Making Lying More Expensive</h2> <p>Control the frame, control the world. The self-fulfilling prophecy, the Overton window, the infowar; all concepts that boil down to the simple fact that reality is shaped by our beliefs. From this fundamental fact about the nature of belief, it follows that we all have an incentive to shape public belief in such a way as to benefit ourselves. Whether it&#39;s the nytimes &#34;forecasting&#34; a 99% probability of Hillary Clinton winning the 2016 election, or the more mundane &#34;diamonds are forever&#34;-type sloganeering public belief is constantly being influenced by lies designed to create a reality that benefits some interest at the expense of truth.</p> <p>An honest pollster does not need to worry about the interests of the times&#39; owners any longer, he can simply apply his statistical intelligence to make large bets on a prediction market. The family that owns the nytimes, on the other hand, can no longer lie to you for free. To influence the market probability towards their narrative, would have to put some money on the table (money that would end up being paid out to the honest pollster).</p> <p>A prediction market that wanted to realize this public good would need to be uncensorable. The reason that narritive control was still possible in 2016 was that the dominant interpretation of federal law at that time was that prediction markets were illegal. We can be sure that powerful interests are already working on returning us to this status quo.</p> </blockquote> 2026-04-05T22:09:15Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsx9pvu893dza6agj8frkqgey66axjp4a59fqyvdgcs6nw5r34la9qzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sc46txe5 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqszz6dndp8s5fmf6q564nadpcd7tgmr76826nz4p0stwq976u4eslcpzamhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuurjd9kkzmpwdejhgtc4ts8sf'>nevent1q…s8sf</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>This is really cool, is it a hodl invoice thing? 2026-04-05T05:52:30Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs0p8dvnynqdpdnrz38t6fmwrvffet5wykua7heeuxday7e69wjq3szyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scuvjq2r Only one way to find out<blockquote class="border-l-05rem border-l-strongpink border-solid"><div class="-ml-4 bg-gradient-to-r from-gray-100 dark:from-zinc-800 to-transparent mr-0 mt-0 mb-4 pl-4 pr-2 py-2">quoting <br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Article"><a itemprop="url" href="/nevent1qqsdm7mjxhgeejuadwgldd6upzueqj7anz33n8cr0wffp0rx0w6s9mcpz9mhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejj7q3qjfujw6llhq7wuvu5detycdsq5v5yqf56sgrdq8wlgrryx2a2p09sxpqqqqqqz98ma0q" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1">nevent1q…ma0q</a></span> </div> Is futarchy better or less corrupt than other forms of government?<br/><br/>by Coinsreporter in ~Politics_And_Law<br/>266 sats and 3 comments so far<br/><br/><a href="https://stacker.news/items/935551">https://stacker.news/items/935551</a> </blockquote> 2026-04-04T00:37:58Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs8zysvdj3y4za3c8yrzla8d4cun8ap84fvw36vlf0ng6ax5fhwr5szyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scd22t6m In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsrp872pxvf7qfe08ef297f98rue0dd0lupxf83esmmvvnlqkaha6qprpmhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuen0w4h8gctfdchxvmf027fxtl'>nevent1q…fxtl</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Can someone find a way to get Paul on nostr? 2026-04-04T00:37:39Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqarg8nqgqacj6syysvzzcw8nuud7wetx5mzlkf4ghngejzsaxxczyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sccm8nsl In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs0kcextcdk3q3r9x0k5pmjf7mqtw78t9027vhuk2ndfe0mfrl5y4gppemhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mp05gyrlq'>nevent1q…yrlq</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Why not the liquidity sensitive LSMR? 2026-04-03T11:54:45Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsytp0devmsyvyqv0rm35atc63rp88ua6vdjknxkkathes3y52yxjgzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20schr86y2 Just imagine knowing which project, if funded, would double the weekly active user numbers<br/><blockquote class="border-l-05rem border-l-strongpink border-solid"><div class="-ml-4 bg-gradient-to-r from-gray-100 dark:from-zinc-800 to-transparent mr-0 mt-0 mb-4 pl-4 pr-2 py-2">quoting <br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Article"><a itemprop="url" href="/nevent1qqsdhtlgym20xesep7cm32p5uuw7j0gtaka93a020aerrhgp3rrytlgprdmhxue69uhkvat5v9exx6redp6kytnrdakj7un9d3shjq3qhrsc5rld9qg7lmsn562pmtt3wq95cedlqwphwlev2d5x9nx6nuxqxpqqqqqqzx33ueh" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1">nevent1q…3ueh</a></span> </div> What if <span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a itemprop="url" href="/nprofile1qqs8suecw4luyht9ekff89x4uacneapk8r5dyk0gmn6uwwurf6u9ruspzpmhxue69uhkumewwd68ytnrwghszxthwden5te0wfjkccte9eekummjwsh8xmmrd9skctcpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhs2juazd" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1"><span>OpenSats</span> (<span class="italic">nprofile…uazd</span>)</a></span> awarded one of its nostr grants based on predictuon market on project funded X nostr weekly active users in one year?<br/><br/>Just as an experiment? </blockquote> 2026-04-01T12:38:31Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsfz796l8ka8jnh2t5xe2t7zl76epw3caw49d0spwvd25nz7enyf4czyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sc9nt487 openai would be better off *rewarding* employees for insider trading in an insiders-only market<br/><blockquote class="border-l-05rem border-l-strongpink border-solid"><div class="-ml-4 bg-gradient-to-r from-gray-100 dark:from-zinc-800 to-transparent mr-0 mt-0 mb-4 pl-4 pr-2 py-2">quoting <br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Article"><a itemprop="url" href="/nevent1qqsqp9ewpl2e3lrjn7zuu2k3hw8mk536lg0er4wueg98rjcu06l063spzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerfw36x7tnsw43z7q3qrk9y97e8prwma47umn8y77jzn24g0yvuwm04reep8uc2z8z38wxsxpqqqqqqzs246xr" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1">nevent1q…46xr</a></span> </div> OpenAI Fires an Employee for Prediction Market Insider Trading<br/><a href="https://www.wired.com/story/openai-fires-employee-insider-trading-polymarket-kalshi/?utm_source=flipboard&utm_medium=activitypub">https://www.wired.com/story/openai-fires-employee-insider-trading-polymarket-kalshi/?utm_source=flipboard&utm_medium=activitypub</a> <br/><br/>Posted into Business <span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a itemprop="url" href="/nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyd968gmewwp6kyqpq2dt8wyhdx3y89gp7jcxsdazwxp45lqzzvzghkm8zducgdq95hmvqhvcn6f" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1"><span>nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyd968gmewwp6kyqpq2dt8wyhdx3y89gp7jcxsdazwxp45lqzzvzghkm8zducgdq95hmvqhvcn6f</span> (<span class="italic">nprofile…cn6f</span>)</a></span> </blockquote> 2026-03-31T21:47:57Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs2zscvq0p2ltrd7737mqdn4zl2le433xdu3s875vqd6ckhq6maldgzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scyd6tlh In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsdhtlgym20xesep7cm32p5uuw7j0gtaka93a020aerrhgp3rrytlgpz3mhxue69uhkzmn0dchxxmmdwp6hgetj9uxkgh9p'>nevent1q…gh9p</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/> 🥺 2026-03-30T20:29:23Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsdhtlgym20xesep7cm32p5uuw7j0gtaka93a020aerrhgp3rrytlgzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20sc7f6vj5 What if <span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a itemprop="url" href="/nprofile1qqs8suecw4luyht9ekff89x4uacneapk8r5dyk0gmn6uwwurf6u9ruspzpmhxue69uhkumewwd68ytnrwghszxthwden5te0wfjkccte9eekummjwsh8xmmrd9skctcpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhs2juazd" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1"><span>OpenSats</span> (<span class="italic">nprofile…uazd</span>)</a></span> awarded one of its nostr grants based on predictuon market on project funded X nostr weekly active users in one year?<br/><br/>Just as an experiment? 2026-03-30T20:07:44Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsflv7ypz2r5gdhurfjwhjexjf7cd0sz7uk7ew45tsa7n0v6vm33cgzyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scl3285w Decentralized projects, like nostr, are at a disadvantage compared to centralized platforms when it comes to coordination. X can put all of its resources towards some new feature and guarantee that all its users will participate in the network effects while on nostr, amazing ideas are being explored but most are only available in or or two clients.<br/><br/>What if there was a primitive that enables decentralized coordination? 2026-03-30T13:16:27Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsdvyjpsnu2ujp2lgkt2tvn7tnk8larfjmzu7fmc28cuhzvpxqp0aczyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scc7t3dn The current crop of public prediction markets don&#39;t have the primitive needed to unlock the bigges value proposition of prefiction markets. 2026-03-29T22:31:29Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsfecqxzp7ykckxyzyxynxfcspt3zjfsnd3w85af0yukpmyg4jyaxczyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scs4v8av In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqspxhxyk42unak7nhy8rzdv7gtezjs5pen2twunz2wzsxykc9jzr5qpz4mhxue69uhkzmn5d9c8y6tdv9kzumn9wshsgwvwpq'>nevent1q…vwpq</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Insider trading is a key value proposition of prediction markets 😅 2026-03-29T22:27:45Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsxhulr5n522uvqcra4hdmhtdgvatma8q80vh53wjxy84phm8x9g4czyzuwrzs0a55prmlwzwnfg8ddw9cqknr9hupcxaml93fksckvm20scrc9pd6 I’m working on a platform for members-only prediction markets.<br/><br/>The idea is that a team could use their market to efficiently and fairly aggregate the wisdom of its members and make decisions about the future.<br/><br/>The app is still very much in development and I’m looking for forward thinking teams to help me test this new way to make decisions together. 2026-03-28T00:57:44Z