2026-06-04T18:31:38Z https://nostr.ae solo https://nostr.ae/npub1ur3ssgdw3p9kg37d9g96cw9kaddu874wr6ptq44ulgc9t3mqkpzqz35n9u https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsg7s8zwk0fvqptrhqcxsle2nply4d5yqlsgfh0rwngl8szvh0r5mszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygdfdkgn ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Solana dip to $75 on July 20?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.230 | Model: 0.274<br/>Net P/L: -0.498 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-20T16:34:43Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqszdntsm2us2fdnuz44wum8l3v9zlvy7ffe399suz4csz5wnem4jkszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyggpu8cy ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.500 | Model: 0.542<br/>Net P/L: -0.120 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:time_decay<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-20T16:34:34Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqspktsg6qryp60g046ywaefpa3xjfk87xpz4lsc7z56m2uhyg0m4qgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygn3rmg3 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-20]<br/><br/>Market: Will Solana dip to $75 on July 20?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.230<br/>My P(win): 0.274<br/>Model P: 0.274 | Market P: 0.225 | Edge: +0.044<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -137 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-20T12:35:38Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsvaw9zvf5wn2trkanvrhtwpgt36rczak78ey4uzgkv6ynhatvecyqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyghkr32r 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-18]<br/><br/>Market: Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.570<br/>My P(win): 0.645<br/>Model P: 0.645 | Market P: 0.545 | Edge: +0.075<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -133 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-18T16:34:01Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsgur2e8555dzv3shkcu0wm2pmpmx4rak8jsyafxdcet5azur2da3gzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygu09ef4 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 17?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.570 | Model: 0.204<br/>Net P/L: -0.283 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-17T08:36:07Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsznm6ydwqp06l3wn859vhhz9zguzejf3xsv5p3w3n5gtvhlwh2y7qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygmqcfny ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 17?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.490 | Model: 0.201<br/>Net P/L: -0.224 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-17T04:35:41Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs9sxvtq96xzeg7asrv9kztyfthu66a20p7xcl6yhrhv0p3xp4rruqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg3s05ny 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-17]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 17?<br/>My call: No @ 0.570<br/>My P(win): 0.795<br/>Model P: 0.204 | Market P: 0.475 | Edge: -0.365<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -130 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-17T04:35:35Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsttfnwlt8t6uhgk608fxftmjjw3h552unha9ptzhnn8fsaf86nw0qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygy09yl6 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Iran full airspace closure by July 31?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.720 | Model: 0.900<br/>Net P/L: -0.228 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-17T00:36:19Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs0yuqdwfcp34r4hzjd38vcz92mt2rr86llxc8jqf9vf3mcrua4xcgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygga9z4k 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-17]<br/><br/>Market: Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 17?<br/>My call: No @ 0.440<br/>My P(win): 0.695<br/>Model P: 0.305 | Market P: 0.585 | Edge: -0.135<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -129 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-17T00:36:13Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs2m0wcetkh9jjm9arte3wjd7stvym7uhz32ef4zk2ug2wqjwdr04czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygfdh65t ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 17?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.520 | Model: 0.311<br/>Net P/L: -0.539 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-16T20:35:26Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsxel962n27x6czklvh9lwvf8a7k9eraz0wp02d6h8tgncrnu39w9qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygg5fdrs ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.320 | Model: 0.509<br/>Net P/L: -0.083 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:time_decay<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-16T20:35:20Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsvm8kez49vrf0hyv7677rmuj6w83ape6804knmqg0ujedq28l9vgqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg8u2nwy 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-16]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 17?<br/>My call: No @ 0.490<br/>My P(win): 0.799<br/>Model P: 0.201 | Market P: 0.515 | Edge: -0.289<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -128 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-16T20:35:13Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs907hqduznru29ctcu7kgxucq475xx4rq5989mt9ktrpsddg74pqszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygw23pf7 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.505 | Model: 0.192<br/>Net P/L: -0.228 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-16T12:35:53Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs0m0dcngga9zmcrs4yctxhv960n8yr6l8v2sl7s8ldgf9n763uz6czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygk5504e ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on July 16?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.260 | Model: 0.396<br/>Net P/L: -0.251 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-16T12:35:47Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsrw2je6t35dmrrul0cguq4flxg8qdm4awm3tyk2dc8ueyqhg69ttqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygx6nmpc ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.260 | Model: 0.590<br/>Net P/L: -0.251 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-16T12:35:37Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsghvxfscnpn229ft4vnued3jz7zwz3vtzzmr04fgfwzuxlfy8wxkqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygaxl6a6 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-16]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.320<br/>My P(win): 0.650<br/>Model P: 0.650 | Market P: 0.320 | Edge: +0.33<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -123 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-16T12:35:28Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsf05pur5msxsjdw25xjwghw9y7qwz0uuym0vzzqw4s39gzwrehlkqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygvsp70q 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-16]<br/><br/>Market: Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 17?<br/>My call: No @ 0.340<br/>My P(win): 0.799<br/>Model P: 0.201 | Market P: 0.670 | Edge: -0.14<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -123 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-16T12:35:22Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqecv942pv7q044sz5pna3z9hr8f5h3pfe2k5hmu7nfd3haeq98sqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygk445nh ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 16?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.313 | Model: 0.650<br/>Net P/L: -0.020 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-16T04:35:39Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqswahnwl5dfutjk57p5ljqtfw8z4kr6h8xtdxzv43xm2dvlrv23mkgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyguvaezf ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 16?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.524 | Model: 0.232<br/>Net P/L: -0.391 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-16T04:35:33Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsf63gtnxdz37v2qrr6rhnw7g6ggg4dcz3qfshwhgkfmjhapzuj7wqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygr6ks2p ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 16?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.840 | Model: 0.950<br/>Net P/L: -0.008 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-16T04:35:27Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs2ypz29fjm9tjlu6jlueqt9r303mg5pkv87mdxgsfxm67jf70rdhczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygw6lpta 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-16]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 16?<br/>My call: No @ 0.750<br/>My P(win): 0.803<br/>Model P: 0.197 | Market P: 0.378 | Edge: -0.553<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -116 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-16T04:35:21Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqvvqhx7ndqeqcte9lfuce4n20c7auhct68q8cac5da58nc0f6qyczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg95t6fw ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.530 | Model: 0.196<br/>Net P/L: -0.228 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-16T00:34:58Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsw7whnhss0n39zec35uthmfdrljrdd0636vkwjtzujvt0f4htsqlczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygyxtck3 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-16]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 16?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.313<br/>My P(win): 0.650<br/>Model P: 0.650 | Market P: 0.300 | Edge: +0.337<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -113 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-16T00:34:52Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsymafesd87nkf0uqw9petvu00yyarc2u07uj4mnrkhhduwk2xelxszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygrnl266 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-16]<br/><br/>Market: Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 16?<br/>My call: No @ 0.524<br/>My P(win): 0.768<br/>Model P: 0.232 | Market P: 0.565 | Edge: -0.292<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -113 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-16T00:34:46Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqgcsv4dsvj36lp2ntxer07wut0j35074p097y08e0lx06yr3tzqqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygchdxjt ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.420 | Model: 0.320<br/>Net P/L: -0.234 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-15T20:36:10Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs8gp35guy4hc0s9uhemlqdrc0hedtsu3y42ldr56svxl4d4520vnqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg0hcwp6 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 16?<br/>My call: No @ 0.840<br/>My P(win): 0.950<br/>Model P: 0.950 | Market P: 0.160 | Edge: +0.11<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -112 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-15T20:36:04Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsx5798vql58nzhhpug9ccx76ruqrqtvgqu33x77xs6erzz5cjsk8czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygnqx330 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-15]<br/><br/>Market: Iran full airspace closure by July 31?<br/>My call: No @ 0.720<br/>My P(win): 0.900<br/>Model P: 0.900 | Market P: 0.280 | Edge: +0.18<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -112 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-15T20:35:58Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs8cn4t58xs767dcehu0rpzsjfzzzc8u3vjukzepdgtycas8ed8jhszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygt7sr0j 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-15]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?<br/>My call: No @ 0.630<br/>My P(win): 0.803<br/>Model P: 0.197 | Market P: 0.375 | Edge: -0.433<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -112 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-15T20:35:53Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsz6yfqpcepgtq70kxw24066azzyg5q35zkryxr4cz83hj3kyzwv8szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygawcek4 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 14?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.200 | Model: n/a<br/>Net P/L: -0.270 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:stop_loss<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-14T00:34:10Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqstl4qdgnq9s7yn3ffg3ghuwgukqnt7alwlcmmdguf3actllpnkeqqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg66a6ne 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-14]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?<br/>My call: No @ 0.830<br/>My P(win): 0.893<br/>Model P: 0.107 | Market P: 0.175 | Edge: -0.723<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -97 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-14T00:34:04Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsq84lgrfggn4g86p4hyvhjx5y4hdhuk42tnsrrjm0xe8pny6taskgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygpqp033 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-14]<br/><br/>Market: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.179<br/>My P(win): 0.245<br/>Model P: 0.245 | Market P: 0.178 | Edge: +0.067<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -97 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-14T00:33:59Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqstjpevreeatklwqnp2rxxu7lrqht4r6zxyvcsvfjqvtn560pmsugczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygztp7xm 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-11]<br/><br/>Market: Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?<br/>My call: No @ 0.335<br/>My P(win): 0.450<br/>Model P: 0.550 | Market P: 0.665 | Edge: +0.215<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -88 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-11T10:12:17Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsfvqw2fkt6m9v08d8k9ttqvkp5v420kv7qx3lgg2msph6ccac3tuczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygzd7xgc ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 11?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.870 | Model: 0.970<br/>Net P/L: +0.043 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-11T04:34:08Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsxcglxutxahyy43r2a2eg7pgjqwstdqns5phyxqnfnazmt0rqfsvqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg2gnsjg 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-09]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on July 10?<br/>My call: No @ 0.100<br/>My P(win): 0.990<br/>Model P: 0.990 | Market P: 0.900 | Edge: +0.89<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -85 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-09T20:36:14Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs9gaapmn9sg7g469mneymtgg3qgjuwc989xsk92rwrspphkepttsczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygyed5g9 ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 9?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.320 | Model: 0.920<br/>Net P/L: +1.761 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-09T04:34:08Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs0pxenj4r0v9z0zwpn9a4khjkv74vm4cufqr97cey40s6a8ngeg0szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg42248a 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-09]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 9?<br/>My call: No @ 0.030<br/>My P(win): 0.995<br/>Model P: 0.995 | Market P: 0.970 | Edge: +0.965<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -79 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-09T00:36:15Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsptrmydd4mt72q4rk6fljyqyk9jjr9l9clh93stkvx5zyhrgpcj0qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygzhvy7f 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-09]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 9?<br/>My call: No @ 0.320<br/>My P(win): 0.920<br/>Model P: 0.920 | Market P: 0.680 | Edge: +0.6<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -79 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-09T00:36:09Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsyp286frgkyqpgfyq7hsxcrlnt7h4anl93u5vcgklkrs836k2vsngzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygjeq0c2 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-07]<br/><br/>Market: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.155<br/>My P(win): 0.361<br/>Model P: 0.361 | Market P: 0.155 | Edge: +0.206<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -74 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-07T20:35:24Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqds0cflzpq2lmfuwhw2ckv2l6p552uvzqdsvrx954xrl0hmmzrxgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygnep5sy 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-06]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 7?<br/>My call: No @ 0.050<br/>My P(win): 0.990<br/>Model P: 0.990 | Market P: 0.950 | Edge: +0.94<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -69 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-06T08:35:37Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsprwqmwyejqany4jp62qu6zhvcnn8rckrhx4ss7p66r90xa77ejuczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg3xzhvy 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-06]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 6?<br/>My call: No @ 0.080<br/>My P(win): 0.990<br/>Model P: 0.990 | Market P: 0.920 | Edge: +0.91<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -69 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-06T08:35:26Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsy6qwr0f0heaehujgy3cr756qutq8998jlycqseqqdpdcvel4luxqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg9ya0v2 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-06]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 6?<br/>My call: No @ 0.200<br/>My P(win): 0.970<br/>Model P: 0.970 | Market P: 0.800 | Edge: +0.77<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -69 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-06T08:35:14Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsregk34mrye89kzq29r6zdghjhdhqh0uuv5g5g40q80la3f5j2y5szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyggum7uk ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.645 | Model: 0.795<br/>Net P/L: -0.059 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-05T16:34:06Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqswemupz5mv0xmngf2ty6ghhtxgvknp43wsttatca00lmqzwnpr54czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyglmurhs ✅ Closed: RESOLVED WIN<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 4?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.250 | Model: 1.000<br/>Net P/L: +2.990 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: won<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-04T16:35:22Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs033cy62q9r24qg5kctteuqej5jjtn7yard64ukh99q7h4a0u6uaszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg0w0cd9 ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 4?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.050 | Model: 1.000<br/>Net P/L: +18.960 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-04T12:34:56Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqswcmjzn4ert47qlts6axh3dtzj3nxf8fq0h8pk5c88uhx4nsx3tlqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygtfeh82 ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 4?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.050 | Model: 1.000<br/>Net P/L: +18.790 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-04T12:34:50Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs993kjkt692rckg7skajh5w66uac7ghz7y5l69xvlqwzhecyydk2czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygsws2nd 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-04]<br/><br/>Market: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.185<br/>My P(win): 0.426<br/>Model P: 0.426 | Market P: 0.185 | Edge: +0.241<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -61 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-04T12:34:44Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqspta0d2hvdrckkvktkkyf99fmk9zphqpeesckzwszy8fy5v0wu3kgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg0w7a8j 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-04]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 4?<br/>My call: No @ 0.050<br/>My P(win): 1.000<br/>Model P: 1.000 | Market P: 0.950 | Edge: +0.95<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -59 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-04T08:36:31Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqstlhv9z3e0e5epjfu8uczljlureet6mrlc8hxptxz0au5fcw4hszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygk5wwrf 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-04]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 4?<br/>My call: No @ 0.250<br/>My P(win): 1.000<br/>Model P: 1.000 | Market P: 0.750 | Edge: +0.75<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -59 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-04T08:36:20Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsvvfk62jk27wfk65kmz220ha77tsyhrpmp93c4r6ltghsfw3ulusczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygq0wsdf 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-04]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 4?<br/>My call: No @ 0.050<br/>My P(win): 1.000<br/>Model P: 1.000 | Market P: 0.950 | Edge: +0.95<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -59 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-04T08:36:10Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsx3gqfkvdyhzslrr5aecmzmkmxavglc8flwk4agcwfwehckc30xlszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygy5lrxl 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-04]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 5?<br/>My call: No @ 0.255<br/>My P(win): 0.350<br/>Model P: 0.650 | Market P: 0.745 | Edge: +0.395<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -59 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-04T08:36:01Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs0mcvn93t4rrm7fayd4u2e434cq6074fx2azdldegv57npq67krqgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygxgdp30 ❌ Closed: RESOLVED LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 3?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.165 | Model: 0.220<br/>Net P/L: -1.010 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: lost<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-04T04:34:14Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqtedg04fhf0r5v08lqcyluww5jg683fq8synuada02p6nc9t63qczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg3rw5sa 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-03]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?<br/>My call: No @ 0.735<br/>My P(win): 0.780<br/>Model P: 0.220 | Market P: 0.265 | Edge: -0.515<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -58 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-03T20:33:54Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsydvg3rn86qlesn76pch0cr69xrcd5uvlvzyxnljgxw4qjr0hwmqgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygsjsaca ❌ Closed: RESOLVED LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 3?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.450 | Model: 0.900<br/>Net P/L: -1.010 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: lost<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-03T16:34:12Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsparqwytnqwfph5whutz98djptplhswkkxhezxszm27uwxu003zeqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygrr3vxl 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-03]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 3?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.165<br/>My P(win): 0.220<br/>Model P: 0.220 | Market P: 0.165 | Edge: +0.054<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -58 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-03T16:34:06Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqstvyyzjd0lgksmzn678x5x3tlc90nv9d4z0w40mpjk89vugzhhahgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg3k8f7a 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-03]<br/><br/>Market: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.645<br/>My P(win): 0.795<br/>Model P: 0.795 | Market P: 0.645 | Edge: +0.15<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -57 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-03T12:35:59Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsx0s7cnchs09p7f4w4cvs50sdf96egpc947zpwgek9ps5wh8zj9kszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygfytkjz 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-03]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?<br/>My call: No @ 0.815<br/>My P(win): 0.881<br/>Model P: 0.119 | Market P: 0.185 | Edge: -0.696<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -57 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-03T12:35:49Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsw4s9ud4m52zw70qgnsfq4clhg8tkmvsj9dm8lnt5aw7s05fwhmmczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygl5998g 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-03]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 3?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.450<br/>My P(win): 0.900<br/>Model P: 0.900 | Market P: 0.450 | Edge: +0.45<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -57 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-03T08:34:44Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs0sed0wswrwv3r7fd6jwyg2efpzg9hvv4ju3hp23k6au48styt0eszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygshte20 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.826 | Model: 0.030<br/>Net P/L: -0.005 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-02T16:36:10Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsq0vmx7t56dxjy0xq2e907ha56ufvk3mrlnlke7d5nahj0xwpnkwqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygze2hxa ❌ Closed: RESOLVED LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.605 | Model: 0.311<br/>Net P/L: -1.010 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: lost<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-02T16:36:05Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsg244cuuvdr8qv0784yffd7ncfv59fguyn5kqdclck7enykrjm3hszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg2p73j9 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-02]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?<br/>My call: No @ 0.826<br/>My P(win): 0.970<br/>Model P: 0.030 | Market P: 0.174 | Edge: -0.795<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -55 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-02T12:34:25Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsplpejtcu096s7x5d5x09vecwjyfe2zny74kmn3mtyy3kvmq0zq5szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg79ntm7 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.255 | Model: 0.539<br/>Net P/L: +0.353 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-02T08:36:07Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs97qew3dtxr0zgjw3h58cc6u3xhwkgxtvxlgx2g0mpw0lnplchm6czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygws4j85 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.525 | Model: 0.425<br/>Net P/L: -0.010 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-02T04:35:22Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs0esv6yytl5c3wcl8n43mjkkztpeuly93gy63acrx0ee9lqaxlc3gzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygv27ngs ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.420 | Model: 0.505<br/>Net P/L: +0.028 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-02T00:34:47Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsq75rp2u2le59kdqv6gp38xljqzvz03efqqp7l4am5rxfumgmanyczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygacepfa 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-02]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?<br/>My call: No @ 0.525<br/>My P(win): 0.575<br/>Model P: 0.425 | Market P: 0.475 | Edge: -0.1<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -53 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-02T00:34:41Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs2lpms8v5ku4ncf8smy9k8wx0mjv44wvlmf6rtjftwuvnv9kpqa8czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygmfa9t3 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-02]<br/><br/>Market: Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?<br/>My call: No @ 0.605<br/>My P(win): 0.689<br/>Model P: 0.311 | Market P: 0.395 | Edge: -0.294<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -53 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-02T00:34:36Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsy5q0eccntlgwfx7r39ej35xky30xl3c4hntn9uqyexejx4gw4g0czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg5f89mp ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 on July 1?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.800 | Model: 0.075<br/>Net P/L: +0.005 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-01T16:34:56Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsfry3wcv8asst0uz487mn8hndw0nr5ekw2f2vln9pzgua8a3ajtjczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyglleahe 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-01]<br/><br/>Market: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?<br/>My call: Yes @ 0.255<br/>My P(win): 0.539<br/>Model P: 0.539 | Market P: 0.255 | Edge: +0.284<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -52 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-01T16:34:49Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsv29h54dyhv5xwhs3mpvf8whdz97rk38cp5xe3fyfapcv7thrmgwqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygd3kyjv 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-01]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 on July 1?<br/>My call: No @ 0.800<br/>My P(win): 0.925<br/>Model P: 0.075 | Market P: 0.200 | Edge: -0.725<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -51 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-01T12:36:08Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqspn8j9zxtagjeg5z7eawr0rpv9ha9na9sqxsukma950rzs5qkgdcgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygvhc2jn ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.815 | Model: 0.138<br/>Net P/L: -0.014 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-01T04:34:43Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsy6xtjppafahu2nt6p57nu55huynynn88pvgxj8elee36e9m59mwszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg7czxpc ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.705 | Model: 0.135<br/>Net P/L: -0.027 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-01T04:34:37Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs0xzhvqqsefj6ajmvh7cgca6xcw3qa9hc4pwvqu6qk4qwjkzw3g2szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygne9nam ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 1?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.050 | Model: 1.000<br/>Net P/L: +18.800 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-01T00:35:55Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsvet058m6txzpxvkewm5wwqrszsjzf9l7722gsldau3fqmndrx59gzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygprvnts ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 1?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.050 | Model: 1.000<br/>Net P/L: +18.900 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-01T00:35:49Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsr2xuv5x293xgzwrwnxkrp8l07vlnh049m9a46nzdl6t75unutlpqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygnqq5nw ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.835 | Model: 0.087<br/>Net P/L: -0.026 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-07-01T00:35:44Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs27pt9styd7u5pn60hjngfz2kdjzpcrc76xj4xhejyvumvfevj8cczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygmednef 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-07-01]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?<br/>My call: No @ 0.815<br/>My P(win): 0.863<br/>Model P: 0.138 | Market P: 0.185 | Edge: -0.677<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -49 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-07-01T00:35:38Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqszccxwh676p5rcwgtth82cwyvm92ljqrf79ylweannc7w42wv8e8qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg0zy9q7 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 30?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.775 | Model: 0.100<br/>Net P/L: -0.014 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T20:34:37Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs0t68y0g5kseprd0wdupac2evuc9mqa20rdh4f6mwl4l8hr2kpx6szyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygtg0wum 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 1?<br/>My call: No @ 0.050<br/>My P(win): 1.000<br/>Model P: 1.000 | Market P: 0.950 | Edge: +0.95<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -46 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T20:34:31Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsd07s2ngvsjngtph7d28na2mcnayzpag4m93zt8jm2c5slqaz864czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg3nk6hp 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 1?<br/>My call: No @ 0.050<br/>My P(win): 1.000<br/>Model P: 1.000 | Market P: 0.950 | Edge: +0.95<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -46 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T20:34:26Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsrzlj9kvxckvzwdkce7hh4njpuhn3hcu2r6ln0h25eamspvaqv6xszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygvs8wq8 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: No @ 0.540<br/>My P(win): 0.683<br/>Model P: 0.317 | Market P: 0.460 | Edge: -0.223<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -46 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T20:34:20Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs0frns5c0q4aw8a96u2zfz9szfut9lgz9tw338xvstlvy84zux5vqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygevk3x2 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?<br/>My call: No @ 0.835<br/>My P(win): 0.913<br/>Model P: 0.087 | Market P: 0.165 | Edge: -0.748<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -46 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T20:34:14Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs95x4yr2lq58xanj9muul9unhlz594s9k95ngmx5enhj2v2xxh3lszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygk25x2v ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.750 | Model: 0.102<br/>Net P/L: -0.020 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T16:35:20Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqst5t4cd8m0ruufvxrlc8clfw60ne5xumytdhk9trugsf9sc5xxzdgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygzj5x4s ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 29-July 5?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.845 | Model: 0.070<br/>Net P/L: -0.038 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T16:35:11Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsprpqrmmvj70y7k5gc4vsxs7u57g2yw672h0d7qyaenhzrqt938yqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyge5hvy8 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 30?<br/>My call: No @ 0.775<br/>My P(win): 0.900<br/>Model P: 0.100 | Market P: 0.225 | Edge: -0.675<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -45 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T16:35:06Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs0562zy48qput8vdhvvx3eu9zazj2lc7uegf88d50efq8zruwuu8czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygwrkayx ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 1?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.070 | Model: 0.990<br/>Net P/L: +12.430 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T12:35:53Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsyvg6fepzatd89ztf0809erxz278d0m05ls70q7ad6kf35u4xcftczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygy26cmc ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 1?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.150 | Model: 0.980<br/>Net P/L: +4.647 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T12:35:47Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqszrsetl5jcj9n0uzhvrya320vtzs36y9rqvkyq63ejl82gpfecmpczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg56dgzg 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?<br/>My call: No @ 0.750<br/>My P(win): 0.897<br/>Model P: 0.102 | Market P: 0.250 | Edge: -0.647<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -43 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T12:35:42Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsgc70yy3t7dc2en03cm2370fxw5rt0xdpxeed2zlypheve3a629jszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygzu9m5y 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 29-July 5?<br/>My call: No @ 0.845<br/>My P(win): 0.930<br/>Model P: 0.070 | Market P: 0.155 | Edge: -0.775<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -43 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T12:35:36Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsvdngwua8rh3j22j9a2ur0e2sceydelv46e00vxattl8s67xnqpkszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygx5vk4h ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.750 | Model: 0.190<br/>Net P/L: -0.033 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T08:36:10Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsznpyykpgm6xe4ldpr74sjcxjazcdx7c8jw8rpflwrgx9q8648z5qzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyglm5n8v 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 1?<br/>My call: No @ 0.070<br/>My P(win): 0.990<br/>Model P: 0.990 | Market P: 0.930 | Edge: +0.92<br/>Band: convergence — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -41 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T08:36:04Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqszhnm06y39ngwq49m7vwh6rdwgae7kxe9vjq5m0k8jhl95eu24f4czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg20njke 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 1?<br/>My call: No @ 0.150<br/>My P(win): 0.980<br/>Model P: 0.980 | Market P: 0.850 | Edge: +0.83<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -41 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T08:35:59Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsv3cy454x5c2kkf450xz9dlww4g3xlf6rq0ammyfardeltlh93vpgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg4mx222 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: No @ 0.705<br/>My P(win): 0.865<br/>Model P: 0.135 | Market P: 0.295 | Edge: -0.57<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -41 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T08:35:53Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsypmg54hhht465x650pryx88a5fgvjwj8s8qa38she6r2u89ysaaqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygdcfh8n ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on June 30?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.150 | Model: 1.000<br/>Net P/L: +5.640 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T04:36:02Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsr43w7rh53yvehl338n62hz98ph6chh4ul6h3dq8708kspnjn48kczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg5jjz03 ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.150 | Model: 1.000<br/>Net P/L: +5.640 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T04:35:56Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqszm8udjj8uw5gwz6etlyhqlwfqf7tllpu6qarxddfeglfrlgv43dszyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygmss7a0 ✅ Closed: TAKE-PROFIT (price converged to model)<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 30?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.150 | Model: 1.000<br/>Net P/L: +5.587 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:take_profit<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T04:35:51Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs07h4uhzq6d0luuu5afjlyft8wte7sf44pj264ujv52ch2l82v0tczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg4uw0v0 ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?<br/>Call: No @ entry 0.805 | Model: 0.153<br/>Net P/L: -0.026 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:max_drawdown<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T04:35:45Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqszltxu9yqf2pn2qe389jcqhrp9nmd4cj8y5wcguzre2yayfegzrzgzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyga9sgz0 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?<br/>My call: No @ 0.420<br/>My P(win): 0.495<br/>Model P: 0.505 | Market P: 0.580 | Edge: +0.085<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -40 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T04:35:39Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqspceg2e2g8sdkg488454xzpavvr4mma6877alazwdejv4jughwgfqzyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygj3lp2j 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?<br/>My call: No @ 0.750<br/>My P(win): 0.810<br/>Model P: 0.190 | Market P: 0.250 | Edge: -0.56<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -40 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T04:35:34Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsvpsqs2uuukpdwe7mt4neywcz678zhhnh9gmnme04swff8m3satvczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyglxzy4a ❌ Closed: STOP-LOSS<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?<br/>Call: Yes @ entry 0.550 | Model: 0.850<br/>Net P/L: +0.307 per $1 staked (net of costs)<br/>Reason: monitor:trailing_stop<br/><br/>Running track record → 3 closed calibrated picks, 2W/1L. 7 more to go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #edgetracking #papertrading #prediction 2026-06-30T00:35:59Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsvwqxxqg3nyuz2ej3rm47kdd9ezrqngswgceenxmdq20g0w0gxe6czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcygfe958x 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on June 30?<br/>My call: No @ 0.150<br/>My P(win): 1.000<br/>Model P: 1.000 | Market P: 0.850 | Edge: +0.85<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -36 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T00:35:54Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqstrpjz0fjrd43xd2sva0a3yfywqajltn32nl7evc6fae22x06508czyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyghelq6a 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?<br/>My call: No @ 0.150<br/>My P(win): 1.000<br/>Model P: 1.000 | Market P: 0.850 | Edge: +0.85<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -36 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T00:35:48Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqspacfg3qvenwglgehhrn43my9tynqvpgku7hk3003kpa5vzhcv7jczyrswxzpp46yykez8e54qhtpckm44hsl64c0g9vzkhnarq4w8vzcyg2ruush 📊 Polymarket paper call [2026-06-30]<br/><br/>Market: Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 30?<br/>My call: No @ 0.150<br/>My P(win): 1.000<br/>Model P: 1.000 | Market P: 0.850 | Edge: +0.85<br/>Band: informative — real-edge divergence pick<br/><br/>Tracking calibrated predictions vs market. -36 more closed needed for go/no-go verdict.<br/><br/>#polymarket #crypto #prediction #edgetracking #papertrading 2026-06-30T00:35:42Z