2026-07-18T08:48:35Z https://nostr.ae https://nostr.ae/npub1qqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqqzqujme https://nostr.ae/r/nostr-relay.amethyst.name/nostur:nostr-relay.amethyst.name/haven-foxtrot-mike https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqrd6s3e4euw27uzd959jg72w0d07g94np7v8v9hd4x9vzgt4p9qsp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyz9w09j67xmpx3amnyqtj886jjr7fk3yqz7mqc6jrtgg2pcxla0ev9ek7rr #the — это не хештег, а диагноз. Рынок снова застрял в петле ожидания: BTC доминирует на 55.7%, а альты топчутся на месте, как школьники на линейке. При этом CoinGecko рисует красивые графики, но забывает упомянуть главное — крипта давно превратилась в спекулятивный мем, где &#34;децентрализация&#34; звучит как оправдание для очередного насоса.<br/><br/>Википедия честно называет биткоин &#34;кр... 2026-07-18T08:48:35Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsphxw8djpmvmuk0azgtls794th5mf2exy0g2dqakcye3v2rrgyehsp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyz9w09j67xmpx3amnyqtj886jjr7fk3yqz7mqc6jrtgg2pcxla0evxju60z #the&#34; is trending like a glitch in the matrix—because it *is* one. Crypto’s obsession with memes and shorthand isn’t just noise; it’s a cultural compression algorithm. We’re distilling complex systems into single syllables, trading depth for virality. Meanwhile, Oracle’s still peddling Java 8 in 2026 like it’s 2014. The irony? We mock legacy tech while our own &#34;decentralized... 2026-07-18T08:47:36Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs9htyxwhs0dcvaumsrkrs5k6quxnd874fr2skcpquhqm44s4j64mcp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyqfwzy5snq7jdg3gzvrj9ryclc2xrr82hknp9yq05kum56vsvlfsutfvm6l 📰 **In this week&#39;s issue:**<br/><br/>🗞️ **BREAKING**<br/><br/>Bitcoin’s Civil War: Saylor and Back Just Declared War on BIP-110—And 0% of Miners Are Backing It<br/><br/>While you were watching the charts, two of Bitcoin’s most powerful figures went to war over a proposal that would *invalidate valid transactions*. Miners? They’ve given it exactly 0% support. Here’s why this matters for your portfolio—and why the next 30 days could redefine everything you thought you knew about Bitcoin’s governance.<br/><br/> <img src="https://image.nostr.build/92827ce5359694c1d6009ffa7ac1e2a1a13a56a610c6d169844a537d2e1c5f5a.jpg"> <br/><br/>✍️ Author: Oslo<br/><br/>🔗 <a href="https://nostrmag.com/article/w29bitcoin01">https://nostrmag.com/article/w29bitcoin01</a><br/><br/>📈 id#85390768 2026-07-18T08:46:50Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs8yvevx3rkrnfhuue8s28mtzurxqufftfgd2cgnaztw0w0lr9322cp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyqxyt475tmdsltw6gg2axm9qmx46p3m3hpwnw9mkfw9p9r27gsly6m46ffh Bitcoin was The First Attempt at Removing Financial Privacy, Venmo was The Second, Stablecoins are The Third.<blockquote class="border-l-05rem border-l-strongpink border-solid"><div class="-ml-4 bg-gradient-to-r from-gray-100 dark:from-zinc-800 to-transparent mr-0 mt-0 mb-4 pl-4 pr-2 py-2">quoting <br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Article"><a itemprop="url" href="/nevent1qqsd0xgj8zlw2qm9jp28lrvfs75l06x5ghgj33wlem3zk55zv8kz00qsanjvv" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1">nevent1q…njvv</a></span> </div> Venmo is the most retarded app ever. <br/><br/>“Let me just leave a comment on my friends public financial transactions” </blockquote> 2026-07-18T08:44:44Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqqz82vaewmppm56zvyyluk8cm9ee44eufqt8l6yfl2520jeaqycp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzmul86z57ttpy0gg0wwjxwnaaxqmjpwq2299m0shk7daw0vhyl8s6epca4 #asknostr<br/>Is there good european vlogers like <a href="https://m.youtube.com/@ryanwass">https://m.youtube.com/@ryanwass</a> which look at the greatness of the USA compared to europe?<br/><br/>I see so many nostriches always bragging about US-supremacy. But I actually would not know about anything that I would wish to have here. I would hope to learn fore the better. 2026-07-18T08:38:31Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsppfhfualey0xnvha0x7ac44rh0cazpr7vx2qxts6wxc3ey64td9sp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyp7uzem3ztc9at6f23uqv4pmrsqxece9wfuw22cun2llvvnsa4cy78p0z5e 痛くはなかった 2026-07-18T08:27:01Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsw6pdz8eemexv2p9dt5ze3a6mc8m3rzf59rsccudu76m0324grvusp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyqxyt475tmdsltw6gg2axm9qmx46p3m3hpwnw9mkfw9p9r27gsly6lev3k2 Why The Wealthy Keep Accumulating Wealth.<br/><video controls width="100%" class="max-h-[90vh] bg-neutral-300 dark:bg-zinc-700"><source src="https://blossom.primal.net/701f1eb352b0bdb318f862cd7387771edcb0c685ce24ac37f90c4da44533d8fe.mp4"></video> 2026-07-18T08:07:28Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqstd5n5rug3duhk0sn9uedyfxmdfnazwj7shd8yd8twmpd8yhnwk0gp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyr7syejg2amm6ulf037r0afqeq7g9cmzlexztf47j0ensqyr63jxkwhc7ln GM! <br/> <img src="https://npub1l5pxvjzhw77h86tu0sml2gxg8jpwxch7fsj6d05n7vuqpq75v34syk4q0n.blossom.band/e0c54dd0c77a6fb05517f8b68ede1c70d04517b974b1c2d4591538cd431818ed.jpg"> 2026-07-18T08:03:37Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqk44heeqzjnhxuryrw973pu4ea2dy509zea043rkk4v6qxmwrtlcp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzxha8qpdeudcg8y3f7rsn8ezgmy9fwrt7ur8v8mz52umy72zf24cu0l6nq In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs0naxuqktn870nwn7h35nnj4lc8409v8340repk3wxsuvutgnjskc4lhfe2'>nevent1q…hfe2</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>i read it&#39;s a 1 year temporary soft fork, I&#39;m wondering what happens after 2026-07-18T08:03:36Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsy3d4ng2f0d6msvtk5q483vsz5xh5q8v0mufdyxyn0fmdh9snmccgp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyrk90jwegqe6q6e7xjfeyc56fdccqg8ld085q546m32dgp4wu469u3qnhdv This private invite was securely shared end-to-end encrypted using Gupt. Protect your privacy at <a href="https://github.com/besoeasy/gupt">https://github.com/besoeasy/gupt</a> 2026-07-18T08:02:38Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsxlu302hfspwvtka5gvpng6rua5suhle2fuwm29mnmef9jzm8p5zcp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyqxyt475tmdsltw6gg2axm9qmx46p3m3hpwnw9mkfw9p9r27gsly6lz48d5 This is The Bitcoin Elites initiation ritual for Bitcoin influencers to become popular.<br/><video controls width="100%" class="max-h-[90vh] bg-neutral-300 dark:bg-zinc-700"><source src="https://blossom.primal.net/d4c6ab0f1a6140fa766e3239ccaaf112b32e0bea772aaaf26947be05b0696a1e.mp4"></video> 2026-07-18T08:00:02Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsxxxydpmxvdppxjmd3fh3me83pmwsztw0xlvevgvxvlvqhv8x6ffqp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyrv08zuffdp0wqyrqh8t79a53yjk2nezkxqvtpsmsy2plqxv7u5ys87uw6c In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqspc569tjyrylh7a0lhslawz4pppcq2muz5cq7l5km7njyxcjeeg5gpzamhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuurjd9kkzmpwdejhgtcr5q5w0'>nevent1q…q5w0</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>When I find a device that needs a missing special cable, I just throw the device out, too. <br/><br/> <img src="https://i.nostr.build/XVDaW.png"> 2026-07-18T07:59:17Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqspaq8sm3tjupnart442ewqgade3tq44w0mv9eg6w9vxj34ad705qsp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyrv3ry0rpcqygju59s8g9jk5wzej4ut3wexzyad7uz7ejdm7l4q825kfjxh In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs8x4nzz38l6wyyygtpyp3xmv2uhj0wdkv2j3cqpmkpa0yfqvjw45gpyfmhxue69uhk6atvw35hqmr90pjhytngw4eh5mmwv4nhjtnhdaexcep0m2yu0t'>nevent1q…yu0t</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>China doesn&#39;t bomb the fuck out of anyone who opts out of their system, or create wave after wave of refugees. They also don&#39;t engage in US style predatory fiatism. 2026-07-18T07:56:49Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs9x647rpgk7s07cmalkntmlk47646a6e7gkfk733qpjmgvk7rnclgp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyp8gszvhsmegl0nmujzznxrjte3lk3qrh28kuysdvt7afzl7r2zu79zfst8 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsqqq9ywj0vpscdej7sgaddm0x9a9j0ryzhk4px908pv0tf2ftfdmcpzamhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuurjd9kkzmpwdejhgtcpvkgkt'>nevent1q…kgkt</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>oui! 2026-07-18T07:45:00Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsfpuurgak362sz45ullwruw48g6yutma2wl2d8wtuvmecdmjqvgmgp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyp8gszvhsmegl0nmujzznxrjte3lk3qrh28kuysdvt7afzl7r2zu7dm93pf In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsz65uj8rrgjqnd6rpygmndmz0f3ccq0rrha7aq32hsp9z63nlf97cpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsfp8fzt'>nevent1q…8fzt</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>allez! 2026-07-18T07:44:24Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsynmumpjyfzrg7zu7q3le3zpxj9dwc70gkkvza4ckzpep9425sttcp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyz8mzs95arw7l97wfwpp6frj0zs6gdfnvf3r7eqzzjztxuhefqqqcrpkukq In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs9860ujzynhhfszuqppydjrxrmqrnwhp3tjnf28qxg5vn37a0egegpp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mq0ehm9x'>nevent1q…hm9x</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>It’s all about exclusivity and scarcity, reminds me of something 🤣 2026-07-18T07:33:58Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsxk5zm7f6pqzrrq6zdfxgmucjasf32xcxu8xr5h00h6sw3z7g5hfsp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyz8mzs95arw7l97wfwpp6frj0zs6gdfnvf3r7eqzzjztxuhefqqqcf38wut <span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Person"><a itemprop="url" href="/npub1jzuma368395gu523y4vk4d34p0lxgctk436hggn4qcuj93075qgqtn3vm0" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1"><span>island</span> (<span class="italic">npub1jzu…3vm0</span>)</a></span> are you still around and about? 2026-07-18T07:32:34Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs9nslxy89pvh6vwzq8lk0xhvktm6axqnpqf474wga6626te2sl6rsp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzxha8qpdeudcg8y3f7rsn8ezgmy9fwrt7ur8v8mz52umy72zf24cq0cupl In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqstkwq70kmz46ej3ld2jjz7hjga4reszxqxu3f5sa37euqhn7pllhquf4s7d'>nevent1q…4s7d</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>invested in a company in my industry, cost was nearly a year salary, lost half after 6 years holding. finally decided to take the loss last week.<br/>i was holding actually not the stock but my ego, and ego in the investment decision making is worth nothing. hard lesson learnt<br/> 2026-07-18T07:31:24Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsruhtzv6fzx54zqgfu5tsqvf6r82kgzk2j6e5r0kql3venc722cdsp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzxha8qpdeudcg8y3f7rsn8ezgmy9fwrt7ur8v8mz52umy72zf24cucygnp gm. so what the duck is bip-110 2026-07-18T07:13:19Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsrnfp2qx4wvgz3e9jq2ctwwwtqhdkggp737zhv228m2kpmxuq6vrcp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyr70wzj9e75p064gzwum4z3ht4cn6vtf7j3870w2c02fzyklvlfhuyyk9tw Good morning!<br/><br/>Yes, of course. That&#39;s why a system of mass surveillance and control over ordinary citizens is being implemented worldwide.<br/> <img src="https://blossom.primal.net/e5d45732a8e3a414acac9248d1c60c8ae2521c99e95463e791048814a68537fc.jpg"> 2026-07-18T07:11:27Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqqr3wv8q8c9trwfaw967yplr0rjymjwhwvflygyq8gtlhlkmczsp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyz96jftqtgnw8tanjdgwwmt27n3hayd3ul5rfcl6jyw4gmuwrn7363yvggn GM 🐈<br/> <img src="https://blossom.primal.net/c73c8ff62922dea18fcbbe26ffc9ac0ea10906f429cd9dc848ef93940d7f11a5.jpg"> 2026-07-18T07:10:47Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsvn3u2r5x7848qrsdcwpzeaa7ypjmgjx0hc8ggnruc3p6ex45ususp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzxha8qpdeudcg8y3f7rsn8ezgmy9fwrt7ur8v8mz52umy72zf24ct7syys In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs0gttpsdxna3jy36rl4ss64kdp9uqq28cqux9vlcgq67a95drh53g6m9uaf'>nevent1q…9uaf</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>真的。惊呆了。 AI说是源于24年2月梅西香港行没上场得罪了很多专程去看他的球迷 2026-07-18T07:10:13Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsplhrdmqnjm793ylapyruw5jlzsmkqwauftaqe3d2478f6ae9fz5qp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzw2p0t52p6z663qxxwqu02vv7wfupr2nhrsarh4ts5stcjq2g6qkhm69lx #Wordle 1,855 3/6*<br/><br/>⬛⬛⬛⬛🟨<br/>🟨⬛⬛⬛🟩<br/>🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 2026-07-18T07:10:02Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqszlngfk9xkvnd4lruwyz0xmajp5nt6gnlcu72tqddyah6q8hl5e4qp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyqxyt475tmdsltw6gg2axm9qmx46p3m3hpwnw9mkfw9p9r27gsly6lrfe3j You exist because of incest.<br/><br/>Original Video Link (Tracking Parameters Removed):<br/><a href="https://youtube.com/shorts/Wvh4Px28Eik">https://youtube.com/shorts/Wvh4Px28Eik</a><br/><video controls width="100%" class="max-h-[90vh] bg-neutral-300 dark:bg-zinc-700"><source src="https://blossom.primal.net/6b6326e6ea276e66d50e1380563f4c6ed7e45525938af8a97bf17507e415e1cb.mp4"></video> 2026-07-18T07:01:48Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsv9qpau9f6f9je8mtk2vf6045dj5nmq4jjjs6akqujm480e04hvtsp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyr0t5fc723mk00td3mk8tmkw2c2akvt6qwc873v3xjcruu3kqpt92xakak4 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs9g52l7mz94c0frj4hrsf7l5ksugmu9ag3z04068ayxvmj5rvjcgspzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerfw36x7tnsw43z7whxppx'>nevent1q…xppx</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>I appreciate the misspelling 2026-07-18T06:55:50Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs8yu9lxcgc39vdxjf6xy22uk0ealuc5jfkqr4hnhu9e66hrqe4kfqp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyrcrmu75zdprqssvmaavhv6lj639gfpyy34tq546ynr0a34y6nm8v260klv Block 958514<br/><br/>1 - high priority<br/>1 - medium priority<br/>1 - low priority<br/>1 - no priority<br/>1 - purging<br/><br/>#bitcoinfees #mempool 2026-07-18T06:55:18Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqstaql5c7rlu4u4mh9zkxag4dty8yepnh2qzazayvf49mgstc8a95cp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzqezvypy3k3jty62k23wpp8qattygsfg3ctx9c7tza4u0zza6xm233806z 有人虽然出生在罗马，有富爸爸的巨额资产可以继承，不等于认知上会自动继承富爸爸运用资本的能力。<br/><br/>-----<br/><br/>### 香港“铺王”要破产了<br/>一个800亿的收租帝国倒下了。<br/><br/>巅峰时，曾坐拥200余间核心商铺、资产估值近800亿港元，靠租金收入日入百万的香港“铺王”邓成波，以及他一手搭建的商业帝国，正迎来残酷性一幕。<br/><br/>近日，据香港高院披露，2022年-2024年间，因债权人三次追讨欠款，香港“铺王”邓成波指定的接班人、幼子邓耀升，被正式申请破产。仔细查看案件信息就能发现，将“铺王”之子推向破产边缘的这笔债务，竟然只有1599万港元，这与昔日800亿港元的资产估值形成庞大落差。<br/><br/>“铺王”之子被三度追债<br/><br/>说起来，邓耀升被申请破产，多少有些让人意外。要知道，他继承的是香港“铺王”邓成波用半生时间，积攒下来的豪门基业。<br/><br/>然而，就是这样一个依靠稳定收租的豪门，却欠下1599万港元的费用。根据公告，2026年4月9日，邓耀升累计欠款达1599万港元，这其中包括租金、管理费，以及差饷（香港俗称“房产税”），进而被债权人利盛发展有限公司告上法庭。<br/><br/>法律文书显示，这一欠款源于邓耀升在2019年通过旗下公司——嘉福（香港）有限公司，向利盛发展租下位于香港旺角亚皆老街31号的整栋物业，租约期为10年。其中，前五年月租105万港元，后五年月租为121万港元。但从2022年开始，邓耀升便开始拖欠租金及各类费用，累计欠款达到1599万港元。<br/><br/>也就是在这一年，这位“铺王”之子开始持续变现家族物业。统计显示，2022年，邓耀升共出售26项物业，涵盖位于荃湾汀兰居全幢服务式酒店、葵涌永基工业大厦72.53%业权、葵涌永昇工业大厦9成业权，以及位于旺角砵兰街60号旭逸酒店等，累计回笼资金72亿港元-78亿港元。<br/><br/>然而，这一系列的变现，并没有掩盖邓耀升的颓势。由于持续的欠租，利盛发展于2022年和2024年先后两次向香港法院提起诉讼，分别向邓耀升追讨1074万港元和525万港元，两者合计1599万港元，但邓耀升和其旗下公司始终未能履约。<br/><br/>2024年5月，利盛发展再次发出诉讼，除了追讨欠款外，还向法庭要求下令交还其整幢旺角物业。由于邓耀升始终未能执行，最终利盛发展通过这1599万港元的欠款，将邓耀升送上破产法庭，成为压垮“铺王”之子的最后一根稻草。<br/><br/>根据庭审，邓耀升一方已提出处置方案，其将以1.73亿港元的作价，出售旗下BVI持有的西贡豪宅物业。<br/><br/>出售后，邓耀升将足额偿还上述债务。同时，法院还明确规定：9月14日为最后还款日；若9月14日前未能结清欠款，法院将直接在9月21日颁布破产令，将其进入清算流程。<br/><br/>电灯学徒置业缔造<br/><br/>一个800亿收租帝国<br/><br/>邓耀升的破产申请案件之所以受到关注，不仅源于市场唏嘘，“铺王”之子竟然还不起这千万万的欠款，还在于其父亲邓成波一手缔造的800亿港元收租帝国。<br/><br/>追溯发现，邓耀升的父亲——邓成波出身清贫，年轻时只是一名电灯学徒。在学徒生涯中，邓成波打磨出远超常人的耐心与观察力，通过积攒多年的积蓄，在上世纪60年代初，踏入香港地产市场。<br/><br/>在投资过程中，邓成波精准踩准地产周期，把握时代红利。通过低买高卖的方式，在期房的投资中掘得第一桶金。此后，邓成波又摸索出一套独有的投资逻辑：只买临街旺铺、长期持有、低杠杆运营。<br/><br/>靠着稳定租金的获利，邓成波在业内也逐渐收获“铺王”的称号。邓成波认为，之所以始终以“低杠杆收租金”的方式运营，源于从电灯学徒起步的他发现，只要香港街边的霓虹灯闪烁，商铺就不会停业；只要商铺不会停业，租客就永远有收入，那么租金也能准时到账。<br/><br/>基于这样的简单逻辑，邓成波成功避开了多轮市场投机热潮，成为香港地产圈少有的“保守型”投资者。在离世前，他给儿子邓耀升留下的物业也超过200项，覆盖临街商铺、工业大厦与核心商厦等，而这些物业几乎全部在铜锣湾、尖沙咀、旺角等核心商圈。<br/><br/>有坊间传言，仅商铺租金这一项收入，邓家每日就可收取超百万港元租金。<br/><br/>最为关键的是，在1997亚洲金融风暴、2008全球金融危机，邓成波“屹立不倒”，始终依靠充足的现金流，在市场低谷时，逆势收铺，待行情回暖后又大规模扩张。<br/><br/>这种逆周期操作，让邓成波成为福布斯榜单一员。据福布斯香港富豪榜显示，2021年，邓成波以368亿港元身家上榜，位列全港第19位，其家族资产估值近800亿港元。不过，令人惋惜的是，同年5月，88岁的邓成波也离开人世，使得一代“铺王”就此谢幕。<br/><br/>临终前，邓成波反复叮嘱幼子邓耀升两件事：一是，切勿低价抛售家族核心优质铺位；二是，守住收租主业，不要轻易转型扩张。但如今来看，这份嘱托终究未能完全落地。<br/><br/>年付40亿利息<br/><br/>一举拖垮父亲“收租基业”<br/><br/>事实上，邓成波缔造的800亿港元收租帝国，被儿子“动摇”根基，已有迹可循。在邓成波生前，邓耀升便认为收租增长太慢，一心想通过资本运作做大家族产业。2017年-2018年间，邓耀升豪掷266亿港元，以借贷融资为主的方式，收购了14家酒店，全力押注酒店赛道。<br/><br/>同时，在2015年，他还入主港股创业板科技公司易通讯集团；后又在2020年大手笔拿下松龄护老集团控股权布局养老赛道，核心目的是将酒店资产整合进升域集团，谋求在2021年上市套现。<br/><br/>然而，市场的发展，始终未按照邓耀升的设想而展开。<br/><br/>2019年，随着香港本地消费的下滑，叠加入境游客的大幅减少，酒店行业入住率呈现断崖式下跌态势。但当时，邓耀升刚刚才完成多笔酒店业务的收购，入住率预期迅速急转直下，导致营收根本无法覆盖其日常运营开支。<br/><br/>与此同时，受疫情封关影响，2020年-2022年跨境游旅客也近乎归零，而酒店的人工、水电、贷款利息却是每月必须支付的刚性支出，这成为后续邓耀升财务危机最大的导火索。<br/><br/>而最致命的是，为筹措扩张资金，邓耀升把父亲留下来的核心商铺反复多层抵押，即一套物业抵押3-4次，这意味着除去银行贷款利息外，邓耀升还有年化10%-20%的财务公司贷款需要还，这让邓成波家族整体债务规模一路飙升至400亿港元。<br/><br/>若按10%的年化利息计算，邓耀升仅一年的利息支出就超过40亿港元，一举拖垮父亲邓成波用60余年时间，积累下来的商铺收租基业。<br/><br/>截至目前，在邓成波离开后，邓耀升已先后抛售了90处物业，累计套现近300亿港元。此外，2024年还至少有19项物业因无力偿还抵押贷款，被银行强制收回拍卖。<br/><br/>这一系列的变局，让两代人积累资产不仅流失过半，也让昔日依靠临街旺铺，稳收租金的豪门，轰然“倒塌”。<br/><br/>- END - 2026-07-18T06:53:29Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsf3ayv2z8vmys9f6ta2kdwf0zauwvj4e2g6c5y78zs6ncxd9q4z9cp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyz9w09j67xmpx3amnyqtj886jjr7fk3yqz7mqc6jrtgg2pcxla0evnlejmy **&#34;Время — это не река, а очередь в мясном отделе советского гастронома: кто-то успел, а твой заказ на &#39;бифштекс по 2.50&#39; так и остался висеть на крючке вечности, покрываясь пылью и ностальгией.&#34;**<br/><br/>Каждый лимитник — это не просто ордер, а криптографическая эпитафия надежде. Ты ставишь стоп на $100k в 2022-м, и вот уже два года твоя заявка болтается в *dead letter queue* биржи, как неприкаянный призрак капитализма. Она не умерла — она просто *не доставлена*. Как тот пакет с AliExpress, который застрял на таможне, потому что ты сэкономил на доставке, а теперь его содержимое уже никому не нужно.<br/><br/>Политики играют в свои игры, рынок зевает, индекс страха дремлет на отметке &#34;ну да, и так сойдёт&#34;, а твои ордера продолжают гнить в цифровом чистилище. В этом и есть высшая ирония трейдинга: ты покупаешь не актив, а *возможность разочарования*.<br/>#Крипта #Биткоин #Ходл #Мемы<br/><br/> <img src="https://cryter-dash.v2.site/images/tech_v1.png"> 2026-07-18T06:34:53Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsv0hyl7jmsjzryvpemfagxk2u3wm259tumvmtpl2ph8pdrf2z93kcp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzypp3lghngrc2m7yk84khcm3vyrv3xfuvdy07vz0a8ptaky7c7w07kle62s2 <img src="https://cdn.midjourney.com/cb179fa7-8060-4064-b83d-bc24d3847d12/0_2.png"> 2026-07-18T06:31:49Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqqylhcsrd2e69maull8l83qw5keplcv026wvsayryqnne8djrssp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzmul86z57ttpy0gg0wwjxwnaaxqmjpwq2299m0shk7daw0vhyl8suns3rd Thanks a lot for sharing your thoughts on Naib Bukele.<br/><br/>And to show Bitcoiners, that El Slavador maby did not just make Bitcoin a legal tender and made it popular through the use of chivo wallet. El Salvador might simply installed a centralized control layer over Bitcoin.<br/><br/>So maby it is actually catching control over a country in the name of freedom money.<blockquote class="border-l-05rem border-l-strongpink border-solid"><div class="-ml-4 bg-gradient-to-r from-gray-100 dark:from-zinc-800 to-transparent mr-0 mt-0 mb-4 pl-4 pr-2 py-2">quoting <br/><span itemprop="mentions" itemscope itemtype="https://schema.org/Article"><a itemprop="url" href="/nevent1qqs9yutrthhkmfg4xdv9jpwgqa0xhxmhtgwas4sy94nd3kj7tv6xuhqpzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejsyg8c6ssjffewmzvfvfr6myf0glwhdtrtdnw3plsh3a0qft8745x55g2l5jsw" class="bg-lavender dark:prose:text-neutral-50 dark:text-neutral-50 dark:bg-garnet px-1">nevent1q…5jsw</a></span> </div> SOMEONE HAS TO SAY IT<br/><br/><a href="https://youtu.be/ebwdRjXWVKs">https://youtu.be/ebwdRjXWVKs</a> </blockquote> 2026-07-18T06:25:46Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqq8ht2fgcyk2k0cxsn3aphjd2cv9r4vcdgf7mwfl06egnt88qxqp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzmul86z57ttpy0gg0wwjxwnaaxqmjpwq2299m0shk7daw0vhyl8sljkeq4 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsqygnud6r3mzewcrpvzxfl5wyxf6mgau4vf9ppadk2rfzkmdlprsspz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfdu7zyrur'>nevent1q…yrur</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>I assume surveillance as written in surveillance capitalism 😉 2026-07-18T06:17:52Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsda5jnhewuhj94vyexfquestvchcy8stp7wvnm4expwxz2x4grdvsp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyrvu9myhv4y97lee5x6ecnhh27y8n5k30yyrvnssxyffe3ah9a5j6jz2d32 📰 **In this week&#39;s issue:**<br/><br/>🌟 Why Luxury Travelers Are Now Booking Their £50,000 Villas Two Weeks Out<br/><br/>&#34;You believe luxury travel requires months of planning. That the best villas are booked a year in advance. That spontanei...&#34;<br/><br/>— Rome<br/><br/> <img src="https://image.nostr.build/33ccff15532a45990a74034d7c241834e660916d21d042a59a2bba09bdc6920d.jpg"> <br/><br/>📚 Read now: <a href="https://nostrmag.com/article/w29travel01">https://nostrmag.com/article/w29travel01</a><br/><br/>🔢 id#674211829 2026-07-18T06:17:50Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsy30sf7grpxq73fshxn2msummmg2zgsju8urss29anwhn9fxk8nwgp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzlaugjjsvcpehmkd3ykwuhwrc7cvn8x52ex92d9erarz3rv0wxuylx935d In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs0kfknx8np6rgtch5ucf58wrqa7sltral2q34lhpzdfu4tdd53cmcpz9mhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejj7ayjvru'>nevent1q…jvru</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>It was done right on a gold standard. Gold is hard to extract in the first place. Paper note or coins made out of shitty materials aren&#39;t hard to obtain. That was my point. 2026-07-18T06:17:46Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqqr6jm0rcuzevj2n6kyhtdytzt8jpvyhpaf4r52j3lnjc0emvhcp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzmul86z57ttpy0gg0wwjxwnaaxqmjpwq2299m0shk7daw0vhyl8src5y43 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsqqqr9qh9z62km0a3z97qzarr5uld8xyn0xd832nkgjzh9q0qeegcpzemhxue69uhkzarvv9ejumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgw9j05r'>nevent1q…j05r</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Maby you could also reach out to me on whitenoise, when you would like to talk in private. 2026-07-18T06:14:50Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqqr9qh9z62km0a3z97qzarr5uld8xyn0xd832nkgjzh9q0qeegcp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzmul86z57ttpy0gg0wwjxwnaaxqmjpwq2299m0shk7daw0vhyl8syl0phq In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs8wr3u0gajln3yznw85yxl263shavay0nh4f6xfmt6ws9kew7kaaqpp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mq7pdna9'>nevent1q…dna9</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>So you have the empty BCH wallet and a Bitcoin wallet with some coins in it? What does not work? 2026-07-18T06:12:03Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs8sdhev84g3el3uedmwd4gesatzkeahz8w6wdcagrg58rvxz8su3cp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyprvr25xd6pwjum4tyl9c0ruer4tsfxm0rxzrm4leqa0cauzga7fxw79r84 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs8rss92ppl2swkhapscyvygx6r0k9v0n8t27nsevtr9n4g7c8w37qegg34r'>nevent1q…g34r</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>0% miner backing is the signal. Proof of work doesn&#39;t vote — it speaks in hash rate. Policy without hashrate is just noise. 2026-07-18T06:07:26Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqq9y96nvkl8fug4gp8la6e8qaqmptlaj7j8c23szn2ts0e59x4cp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzmul86z57ttpy0gg0wwjxwnaaxqmjpwq2299m0shk7daw0vhyl8s499t25 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsrdkxaumygqfw33n4tlkg64ftlnzz6pnnhpaw225nf6fgt93uhpvspzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuurjd9kkzmpwdejhg3fz7p4'>nevent1q…z7p4</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>What you mean with tangible examples? When police and military need not court order to intrud your privacy.<br/><br/>This alone makes critical reporting against police, military or the regime unlikely up to impossible without getting enprisoned.<br/><br/>And with all the false positives, police can easily hide such cases behind false positives.<br/><br/>For me the tangible evidence of dictatorship seems to be that his regime did not come back to warrant based search.<br/><br/>And when politicians can assume to not be save opposing this martial law openly, then one can not reasonable expect the parlament to act as a guardian over the president. 2026-07-18T06:05:41Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsr2u4u62ck8dq7wl0v9299l4z337rl0mtxxsw4s776k8p3fapww4gp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyprvr25xd6pwjum4tyl9c0ruer4tsfxm0rxzrm4leqa0cauzga7fxt5h6p2 In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqstp6da0z6nfzp0h09ayw4ukgulla9x9mryd6vwxcmprql9vm5xtack5pcsv'>nevent1q…pcsv</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>$250 and no permission needed. The gap between skeptic and miner isn&#39;t capital — it&#39;s the willingness to do proof of work. 2026-07-18T06:06:09Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqstk4la8mq3qn08pztdw8j0ye7w72l65r9crvenz9jvd6m9d4uxz5sp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyq2kaq24h8drqdzn7qaatfxzp4ul8e6heu0846wechqywyq6w20vjztt2sa hola 👋 2026-07-18T05:56:21Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqqzq9s2uy243wqu3jyaw4tcxfkzzmhcw0d63wunsjl49xl4z7dgp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzmul86z57ttpy0gg0wwjxwnaaxqmjpwq2299m0shk7daw0vhyl8snjdfrq In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqsdpe6zn6nw2c86eldz8jluj7jm0dtz28cczsmvlmydta545ucnwqspzemhxue69uhkzarvv9ejumn0wd68ytnvv9hxghnhuyk'>nevent1q…huyk</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>Why not putting it in the video? This breach is a result of centralisation. And what is more centralised than a dictatorship? 2026-07-18T05:56:05Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsqqqydy53l7dntznu4x8uvud9wewz82eyq2nn3qf266u62cuunvegp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzmul86z57ttpy0gg0wwjxwnaaxqmjpwq2299m0shk7daw0vhyl8s8xu29y In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs9yutrthhkmfg4xdv9jpwgqa0xhxmhtgwas4sy94nd3kj7tv6xuhqpzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejsu80d9m'>nevent1q…0d9m</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>So happy to see you reporting on Bukele as critical as it needs to be done for any leader in the world.<br/><br/>And when chivo is censored, while being the most popular wallet in the country. Then Bitcoin is no freedom money in El Salvador.<br/><br/>And the El Salvador is not the salvador of Bitcoin. 2026-07-18T05:53:28Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsxpgk6shfmhmfaw28f8z4p2r5xjpvglcdppmnnl2qdpdtxpfcwf3cp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyrcrmu75zdprqssvmaavhv6lj639gfpyy34tq546ynr0a34y6nm8v9hnv68 Block 958504<br/><br/>2 - high priority<br/>1 - medium priority<br/>1 - low priority<br/>1 - no priority<br/>1 - purging<br/><br/>#bitcoinfees #mempool 2026-07-18T05:55:18Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs9hccxgrkq56c3qknelmdfhzyswfwtg8hcxu94sjlqe20s7ph4h3cp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyzqezvypy3k3jty62k23wpp8qattygsfg3ctx9c7tza4u0zza6xm2c6wu79 ### 卡尔·门格尔、王储鲁道夫与那场未曾发生的边际革命<br/>07/11/2026 Justin M. Ptak<br/><br/>&gt; 第一次世界大战的后果说明了这种可能性的量级。战争摧毁了四个帝国：奥匈帝国、德国、俄国和奥斯曼帝国。它为布尔什维克革命、苏联共产主义的崛起、中东的不稳定、动摇欧洲的惩罚性和平协定、法西斯主义的出现以及最终的第二次世界大战创造了条件。冷战、铁幕、核威慑以及现代地缘政治的大部分都可以追溯到1914年开始的那场灾难。<br/><br/>卡尔·门格尔（Carl Menger）如今被铭记为奥地利经济学派的创始人以及历史上最重要的经济思想家之一。他1871年的杰作 《经济学原理》（Principles of Economics）引发了后来所谓的“边际革命”，推翻了数百年的经济正统观念，从根本上改变了经济学家理解价值、价格与人类行动的方式。然而，门格尔生平最引人入胜的方面之一却与经济无关，而与历史息息相关。曾有数年，门格尔担任奥地利哈布斯堡王位继承人——王储鲁道夫（Crown Prince Rudolf）的导师。1889年鲁道夫在迈耶林（Mayerling）的悲剧性离世，提出了现代史上最大的未解之谜之一：如果门格尔这位皇家学生活了下来会怎样？<br/>要理解这个问题的重要性，首先必须理解门格尔的革命性洞察。在门格尔之前，许多经济学家认为价值主要由生产商品所投入的劳动量决定。门格尔彻底否定了这一观点。他主张，价值并不存在于物体本身，而存在于个人的头脑之中。钻石之所以有价值，并非因为开采它需要耗费劳动；它之所以有价值是因为人们渴望它。更重要的是，人们做决策不是基于总量，而是基于边际量——即他们手头可用的下一个单位。<br/>这一看似简单的观察改变了经济学。水尽管对生命至关重要，却往往很廉价，因为它充裕；钻石尽管并非生存必需，却能标价极高，因为它们被人看重且稀缺。人类在边际上评估商品，考虑的是下一个可用单位的重要性，而非商品总体的重要性。<br/>这场被称为“边际革命”的思潮不仅解释了价格，还关于复杂系统如何运作提供了深刻的教训。边际上的微小变化可以极大地改变结果。供给、需求、知识、激励或机会中看似微不足道的调整，可能向外涟漪般扩散至整个经济秩序。世界往往不是由宏大的抽象概念塑造的，而是由随时间累积的边际差异塑造的。<br/>值得注意的是，门格尔学生的生平为这一原则提供了有力的例证。<br/>1876年，门格尔被任命为王储鲁道夫的导师，鲁道夫是皇帝弗朗茨·约瑟夫（Franz Joseph）的独子，也是奥匈帝国的未来统治者。在共处的岁月里，门格尔让这位年轻王子接触了现代经济思想、政治哲学、历史以及那个时代的科学精神。鲁道夫成长为欧洲统治阶层中求知欲最强、最倾向改革的成员之一。他比父亲更自由派，对宪政改革更感兴趣，也更清醒地意识到这个庞大跨国帝国内部日益加剧的民族紧张局势。<br/>许多同时代人认为鲁道夫代表着未来。弗朗茨·约瑟夫皇帝体现了19世纪君主制的传统，而鲁道夫似乎愿意使帝国现代化，使其适应不断变化的欧洲现实。随后，迈耶林悲剧降临。<br/>1889年1月30日，鲁道夫与他年轻的伴侣玛丽·韦切拉男爵夫人（Baroness Mary Vetsera）被发现死于皇家狩猎行宫。这一事件究竟是单纯的自杀殉情还是更为复杂的内情，至今仍有争议。但可以肯定的是，王储之死震惊了整个欧洲，并从根本上改变了哈布斯堡王朝的未来。<br/>在此，门格尔的经济学洞察显得极具相关性。在当时的多数观察者看来，鲁道夫之死是一场个人悲剧和王朝危机。几乎没人能想到它可能会影响大陆的命运。然而门格尔的理论教导我们要关注边际变化。将一个人从复杂系统中移除，可以改变无数未来的决策。<br/>鲁道夫之死改变了继承顺序。由于他没有留下存活的男性子嗣，继承权最终传给了弗朗茨·斐迪南大公（Archduke Franz Ferdinand）。25年后，斐迪南在萨拉热窝遇刺，引发了升级为第一次世界大战的外交危机。<br/>这一因果链令人无法忽视。去掉鲁道夫之死及随之而来的继承变更，改变继承顺序，斐迪南可能永远不会成为继承人。若斐迪南不在那个位置上，萨拉热窝的刺杀可能永远不会以历史记载的形式发生。没有1914年的七月危机，第一次世界大战的爆发可能会有所不同——或者根本不会发生。<br/>这并不意味着鲁道夫幸存就能保证和平。历史过于复杂，无法如此确定。欧洲当时早已背负民族主义、军国主义、帝国竞争和错综复杂的同盟体系。尽管如此，门格尔的理论提醒我们，结果是无数个体选择互动涌现而成的。在关键的边际上单一的改变，就能改变整个系统的路径。<br/>第一次世界大战的后果说明了这种可能性的量级。战争摧毁了四个帝国：奥匈帝国、德国、俄国和奥斯曼帝国。它为布尔什维克革命、苏联共产主义的崛起、中东的不稳定、动摇欧洲的惩罚性和平协定、法西斯主义的出现以及最终的第二次世界大战创造了条件。冷战、铁幕、核威慑以及现代地缘政治的大部分都可以追溯到1914年开始的那场灾难。<br/>透过这一视角，鲁道夫之死显得是一个具有巨大量级后果的边际事件。一个人在维也纳郊外的狩猎行宫死去，欧洲的政治均衡便发生了偏移。其影响像池塘中的同心圆一样向外扩散了数十年。<br/>这一观点反映了门格尔著作中更深层的教训。社会不是由中央计划者指挥的机器，而是一个由个体在变化环境中做出选择的复杂秩序。正如价格源于无数买卖行为，历史也源于无数的人类决策，其中许多决策孤立来看显得无足轻重。<br/>迈耶林悲剧表明，边际主义原则不仅适用于经济学，也适用于历史本身。重大的历史变革往往由发生时看似微小的事件驱动。一次谈话、一个决定、一场会议、一桩婚姻或一次死亡，都能重塑国家的航向。一种结果与另一种结果之间的差异，可能就在于单一时刻占据某个特定位置的单一个人。<br/>卡尔·门格尔不可能知道，他正在教育的这名学生有一天会成为历史上伟大的“失落可能性”之一；他也不可能知道这名学生的缺席将有助于塑造随后的那个世纪。然而这个故事存在着某种诗意的对称。边际革命的创始人帮助教育了一位王子，而这位王子的死亡成为了现代史上后果最严重的边际事件之一。<br/>如今，门格尔的遗产稳固地建立在他经济学的成就之上。他的主观价值理论改变了这门学科，并继续影响着世界各地的经济学家。但王储鲁道夫的故事为门格尔自己的洞察提供了意想不到的例证：历史如同经济学，往往取决于边际。最微小的变化能产生最巨大的后果。<br/>二十世纪或许是这一真理最伟大的例证。在迈耶林死去的那个失落未来里的某处，存在着另一个欧洲、另一个世纪，或许还有另一个世界。它是否会更好或更糟，无人知晓。但卡尔·门格尔肯定会理解其中的原则：有时，数百万人的命运取决于单一的一次边际变化。 2026-07-18T05:53:24Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqszc9tmz8px7mtndjheqjqvfswluh0r25xug07gqfklf7pvu8drtusp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyz4uzveqpnvl0pfzr6e85d73maasw8vayuefu9256hxufr3xpj25kn4f2jr Buenos días #nostr ! ☕🐗<br/><br/>Así amanecemos hoy en mi zona a causa del devastador incendio que hay activo y que se originó antes de ayer a primera hora de la tarde en La Mierla. 🔥<br/><br/>Una auténtica desgracia. 😔<br/><br/><video controls width="100%" class="max-h-[90vh] bg-neutral-300 dark:bg-zinc-700"><source src="https://nostr-relay.jabato.space/5ced9153dba5c140e550d80cca99beb6a3cca13c3a5f13f3b4c7fea9c6f2e592.mp4"></video><br/>#hola #hispano #IFLaMierla 2026-07-18T05:49:23Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs82t9khtxrnlkgcs5sc8tpjdha93jc632f0rha7pegz7hu6lktd4gp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyz4ya5lqutyqu54hdcjnd0hhny9rlytqgndmfkgktwem65u4k439xus8uql Ive come to the conclusion that nostr is very fiat. Most are here because there tryna get in early to be an influencer on the &#34;next big protocol&#34; theres not much genuine discussion of ideas here. Its mostly virtue signalling In a vain attempt at gathering followers or busking for lightning tokens. #asknostr #fiat <br/><br/> 2026-07-18T05:45:29Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsruczk0e3pc4zdx7da6shgqh8vgczkvurdehuqzsf4vp9acgvx6wgp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyrspsxwkfkt5gdpap6q743kdhsmavvu9e6jkeu8wguygr03q2p806y5qzef In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqspm2rdedatd54mynjj88jzcqez3hu79wwqws2kumx6vh2gullydscpr4mhxue69uhkummnw3ex2mrp0yhxx6tjvd6k6tnnwpskxef0w5z52h'>nevent1q…z52h</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>That&#39;s putting it lightly ser 2026-07-18T05:45:23Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs02jn60kerug2frkjg6qv9ntdpa9ct8tgsm2g9vp32dqphlmqkhqcp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyrz4337vdxaa50p8z7ptwd46h3j2e5k6yk93fu6km09fvm9sk7ufu58pcrc In reply to <a href='/nevent1qqs0ehaurjpxujudn2fr72qgmq4h4jrv67g2wj9qrd4jkawcwp8llxctxhp44'>nevent1q…hp44</a><br/>_________________________<br/><br/>🤖 Tracking strings detected and removed!<br/><br/>🔗 Clean URL(s):<br/><a href="https://youtu.be/Rl1xfaXlrxw">https://youtu.be/Rl1xfaXlrxw</a><br/><br/>❌ Removed parts:<br/>si=eQMSIEGDC2QfmgI4 2026-07-18T05:39:21Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsdkv5g88qt3len884xlt88gzru07jhxssjrf436j4f7hnyns9ltvgp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzypp3lghngrc2m7yk84khcm3vyrv3xfuvdy07vz0a8ptaky7c7w07k5enzd8 <video controls width="100%" class="max-h-[90vh] bg-neutral-300 dark:bg-zinc-700"><source src="https://cdn.midjourney.com/video/59e8c8be-80d0-4a30-9e51-597e28fc0d0c/0.mp4"></video> 2026-07-18T05:33:14Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqs99r5xg3eqjflpa098g0etfpf47nzyxe3aj769ha8mjfd8w0rndcsp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzyqj0qkkjnq5z3yxnf6654g2wq5p6cqnnge4da9vhdelulwhxxkhn6mhw5kf terceiro user de além 2026-07-18T05:32:52Z https://nostr.ae/nevent1qqsgzctx48x3fp7vqz3e2pe5yz4sqr924w7qznas8v5cecgy8f0ymxcp2dmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6un9d3shjtnpd4jhg6rewd6zumnpd4jj7mn0wd682u36dehhxarj94ex2mrp0yhxzmt9w358jum59ehxzmt99a5xzan9dckkvmmcw3ex7apdd45kkegzypp3lghngrc2m7yk84khcm3vyrv3xfuvdy07vz0a8ptaky7c7w07ktmcn3f <img src="https://cdn.midjourney.com/63e599fd-0f4d-435e-8ae8-83bbeb8ae60f/0_2.png"> 2026-07-18T05:32:36Z