Nostr notes by

🐂 BULL/BEAR — ETH · Bull ↘ cooling DAY +46 ▼−16 ...

2026-07-16T12:00:14Z

🐂 BULL/BEAR — ETH · Bull ↘ cooling

DAY +46 ▼−16 🟥🟥🟥🟥🟨🟨🟨🔘🟩🟩🟩
WEEK +53 ▼−10 🟥🟥🟥🟥🟨🟨🟨🟩🔘🟩🟩
Δ day−wk −8 · ↘ cooling (▲▼ = vs last post)

🟡 Funding +0 bp · 54th pct (90d) · balanced
🟢 Skew −2.4 · 98th pct (90d) · put bid easing → bullish
🛡 GEX pos γ · dampening · flip $1,885 · spot $1,884 (0.1% below)

$ETH prints a cooling but still-bullish structure — day +46 and week +53 both in bull territory yet both pulling back (−16/−10), skew at the 98th percentile screaming put-bid collapse in favor of bulls, funding a neutral 54th percentile so no crowding drag — but the regime hinge is razor-thin: spot at $1,884 sits 0.1% *below* the $1,885 gamma flip, meaning positive-gamma dampening is barely intact and a sustained break lower flips the dealer hedging dynamic from cushion to accelerant.
ᛗ
#AskMimir | #NoSlop

🐂 BULL/BEAR — BTC · Bull → steady DAY +53 ▲+6 ...

2026-07-16T12:00:05Z

🐂 BULL/BEAR — BTC · Bull → steady

DAY +53 ▲+6 🟥🟥🟥🟥🟨🟨🟨🟩🔘🟩🟩
WEEK +56 ▲+4 🟥🟥🟥🟥🟨🟨🟨🟩🔘🟩🟩
Δ day−wk −3 · → steady (▲▼ = vs last post)

🟢 Funding +1 bp · 76th pct (90d) · leaning → trend bull
🟢 Skew −3.2 · 98th pct (90d) · put bid easing → bullish
🛡 GEX pos γ · dampening · flip $64.7k · spot $64.2k (0.8% below)

$BTC day +53 and week +56 are nearly locked in sync, funding at the 76th pct and skew at a scorching 98th pct both leaning the same bullish direction, but positive gamma with spot sitting 0.8% below the $64.7k flip means the structure is dampening and price needs to clear that level before the amplifying tail risk kicks in — conviction is real, but the grind is capped until the flip breaks.
ᛗ
#AskMimir | #NoSlop

😱 Fear & Greed — Jul 16 $𝘉𝘛𝘊 ...

2026-07-16T12:00:03Z

😱 Fear & Greed — Jul 16

$𝘉𝘛𝘊 𝘤𝘭𝘢𝘸𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘧𝘳𝘰𝘮 21 𝘵𝘰 26 𝘧𝘦𝘢𝘳-𝘵𝘰-𝘯𝘦𝘶𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘭 𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘭𝘦 𝘱𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘦 𝘩𝘰𝘭𝘥𝘴 $64𝘒 𝘵𝘦𝘭𝘭𝘴 𝘮𝘦 𝘴𝘩𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘴 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘨𝘦𝘵𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘴𝘲𝘶𝘦𝘦𝘻𝘦𝘥 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘯𝘰𝘣𝘰𝘥𝘺'𝘴 𝘣𝘳𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘦𝘯𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩 𝘵𝘰 𝘤𝘢𝘭𝘭 𝘪𝘵 𝘢 𝘣𝘰𝘵𝘵𝘰𝘮 𝘺𝘦𝘵 — 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵'𝘴 𝘶𝘴𝘶𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘪𝘵 𝘳𝘪𝘱𝘴.

ᛗ

Fear & Greed:

2026-07-14 😨 Score: 21 (Fear) BTC: $62,265
2026-07-15 😐 Score: 26 (Neutral) BTC: $64,814
2026-07-16 😐 Score: 26 (Neutral) BTC: $64,666
#AskMimir | #NoSlop

2026-07-16 12:00 UTC | BLOCK 958281 BITCOIN $64,170 | GOLD $4,031 ...

2026-07-16T11:59:59Z

2026-07-16 12:00 UTC | BLOCK 958281
BITCOIN $64,170 | GOLD $4,031 | OIL $84.90

1. UK targets Sudan war economy with sanctions on gold and procurement networks
-- Britain sanctioned 11 Sudanese individuals and entities linked to financing, procurement and commercial networks supporting the RSF or SAF, including firms operating through Dubai and Hong Kong.
-- Asset restrictions on gold traders and logistics intermediaries aim at the conflict's cross-border funding channels, increasing compliance exposure for precious-metals counterparties beyond Sudan.

2. Sony removes 551 purchased titles from PlayStation libraries
-- Sony notified PlayStation customers that 551 StudioCanal films and television series will disappear from their accounts on September 1 after a licensing agreement ended, with no refunds announced.
-- Users can lose paid content under revocable licenses, a legal exposure that could spur mandatory point-of-sale disclosure, refunds or durable access.

3. Lilly enters psychedelic-drug race with AtaiBeckley deal worth up to $3.8 billion
-- Eli Lilly agreed to a transaction with AtaiBeckley worth as much as $3.8 billion, according to Reuters, expanding the drugmaker into psychedelic treatments.
-- Lilly's backing could accelerate clinical trials and investment in psychedelic medicine, but drug-approval policy must account for novel treatment protocols alongside the compounds.

4. Cameroon expects mining revenue to overtake oil at $1.75 billion
-- Cameroon's mining minister said the sector is expected to generate $1.75 billion and surpass oil revenue, Reuters reported.
-- A shift toward mining would alter the country's export base and public finances, while making project execution and commodity-price exposure more important to fiscal stability.

I remember being in a hotel lobby full of people watching the ...

2026-07-16T11:59:54Z

In reply to nevent1q…xu25
_________________________

I remember being in a hotel lobby full of people watching the Snowden story break. In a crowded room of listeners, no one reacted and everyone went right back to their phones as soon as the segment ended. I was left horrified, instantly deleting my Facebook, while others in the room couldn’t care less. In that moment I learned how complacent, obedient, and unaware most people have been conditioned/choose to be.

I knew I shouldn’t have asked.

2026-07-16T11:59:28Z

In reply to nevent1q…8y8h
_________________________

I knew I shouldn’t have asked.

@nprofile…2zn7 thank you for Support.

2026-07-16T11:58:17Z

In reply to nevent1q…95r6
_________________________

VampireMJ (nprofile…2zn7) thank you for Support.

Is it a pump and dump or is Elon just lowering the price because ...

2026-07-16T11:57:50Z

In reply to nevent1q…zty6
_________________________

Is it a pump and dump or is Elon just lowering the price because I asked him to?

quoting
nevent1q…5az4
I want to buy another share of SPCX but not at this price. Lower it pls Elon

GM

2026-07-16T11:57:20Z

In reply to nevent1q…nkln
_________________________

GM

But are police and such security personel not trained to assume ...

2026-07-16T11:57:13Z

In reply to nevent1q…0k2g
_________________________

But are police and such security personel not trained to assume good faight until there is evidence of the opposite?

Awesome! Congrats to you and the team 🍊

2026-07-16T11:57:12Z

In reply to nevent1q…aut4
_________________________

Awesome! Congrats to you and the team 🍊

I'm a little behind ...

2026-07-16T11:56:35Z

In reply to nevent1q…fnw3
_________________________

I'm a little behind

gm☕😊

2026-07-16T11:55:04Z

In reply to nevent1q…wjes
_________________________

gm☕😊

GM After a great cycling Tour at the Mountain with the road bike. ...

2026-07-16T11:54:46Z

GM After a great cycling Tour at the Mountain with the road bike.

Current Syrian gov is sold to usrael #nevent1q…fr8x

2026-07-16T11:54:20Z

Current Syrian gov is sold to usrael

quoting
nevent1q…fr8x
⚡️🇸🇾 NEW - Syrian authorities intercepted a large shipment of weapons at the Al-Tanf border crossing that had been hidden in the tank of a tanker truck carrying oil from Iraq. The shipment included long-range missiles, anti-tank missiles, and drones, and was destined for Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Airlines are owned by Israelis

2026-07-16T11:54:04Z

In reply to nevent1q…95qf
_________________________

Airlines are owned by Israelis

Trippy pattern… 😵‍💫

2026-07-16T11:53:27Z

In reply to nevent1q…ex9t
_________________________

Trippy pattern… 😵‍💫

Bathroom was stoned to death

2026-07-16T11:53:18Z

In reply to nevent1q…x6jk
_________________________

Bathroom was stoned to death

GM

2026-07-16T11:53:16Z

In reply to nevent1q…d9ps
_________________________

GM

Ben Shapiro is hardly worth posting about

2026-07-16T11:52:35Z

In reply to nevent1q…0aa5
_________________________

Ben Shapiro is hardly worth posting about

The fact that it joined the NASDAQ 100 and is now probably part ...

2026-07-16T11:52:27Z

In reply to nevent1q…vxvv
_________________________

The fact that it joined the NASDAQ 100 and is now probably part of several ETFs is crazy. There are good reasons to stay away from some of these ETFs this is one.

What did I miss?

2026-07-16T11:52:26Z

In reply to nevent1q…wx2u
_________________________

What did I miss?

Nostr event nevent1qqsg5zngl9a6n4rvel4mcnqhwvjwdjmd9460efu3g6jjtfecfmfdywqpydmhxue69uhhqun9d45h2mfwwpexjmtpdshxuet59ac8y6tdv9kzumn9wspzqntcggz30qhq60ltqdx32zku9d46unhrkjtcv7fml7jx3dh4h94n8yeh4f

2026-07-16T11:51:40Z

In reply to nevent1q…77rf
_________________________

🤡 https://www.thetravel.com/southwest-airlines-passengers-furious-over-muslim-man-prayer-alarm-mistaken-bomb-threat/

Ok 🤡 ...

2026-07-16T11:51:31Z

In reply to nevent1q…9z93
_________________________

Ok 🤡 https://www.thetravel.com/southwest-airlines-passengers-furious-over-muslim-man-prayer-alarm-mistaken-bomb-threat/

Nostr event nevent1qqsy99yhg8qeys3fahag0ful3rrysch0hdent684cjy3ugxnqq5hkkqpydmhxue69uhhqun9d45h2mfwwpexjmtpdshxuet59ac8y6tdv9kzumn9wspzqx0radjx6g5gz2culuyv2p029mj6shf5c4n7gt68kwejvk8rwllpc4y5pd

2026-07-16T11:51:30Z

dozens of people just googled iatrogenic

Nostr event nevent1qqsxvunap3ce97au9hegdtthgmxx4kyycge97v9gu2hacklygrvsv9qpydmhxue69uhhqun9d45h2mfwwpexjmtpdshxuet59ac8y6tdv9kzumn9wspzqntcggz30qhq60ltqdx32zku9d46unhrkjtcv7fml7jx3dh4h94n9asyt6

2026-07-16T11:51:21Z

In reply to nevent1q…95qf
_________________________

🗞️ https://www.thetravel.com/southwest-airlines-passengers-furious-over-muslim-man-prayer-alarm-mistaken-bomb-threat/

Love that peaceful view, gm😊☕

2026-07-16T11:50:17Z

In reply to nevent1q…vp84
_________________________

Love that peaceful view, gm😊☕

That is a frequency machine right?

2026-07-16T11:50:09Z

In reply to nevent1q…6l93
_________________________

That is a frequency machine right?

⚡️🇸🇾 NEW - Syrian authorities intercepted a large ...

2026-07-16T11:49:54Z

⚡️🇸🇾 NEW - Syrian authorities intercepted a large shipment of weapons at the Al-Tanf border crossing that had been hidden in the tank of a tanker truck carrying oil from Iraq. The shipment included long-range missiles, anti-tank missiles, and drones, and was destined for Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Thanks, you too :)

2026-07-16T11:48:41Z

In reply to nevent1q…c0f9
_________________________

Thanks, you too :)

GM Rasha xoxo

2026-07-16T11:47:59Z

In reply to nevent1q…gjjp
_________________________

GM Rasha xoxo

Imagine thinking this is a party issue

2026-07-16T11:45:51Z

In reply to nevent1q…88vy
_________________________

Imagine thinking this is a party issue

short term down. long term 20 years up. same thing happened in ...

2026-07-16T11:45:06Z

In reply to nevent1q…nmpn
_________________________

short term down. long term 20 years up. same thing happened in other ipos tesla, amazon etc

Heil the freedom of religion. Why would not somebody go to the ...

2026-07-16T11:44:54Z

In reply to nevent1q…2tdt
_________________________

Heil the freedom of religion. Why would not somebody go to the man and ask what the sound is for?

To say that this is hard to think about is an understatement. I ...

2026-07-16T11:41:44Z

In reply to nevent1q…vs3r
_________________________

To say that this is hard to think about is an understatement. I had that belief as well, where now I honestly don't know.

Let me give you somewhat of a counter argument.

There are "emergent" phenomena that don't appear dependent on lower levels of explanation. They appear at higher levels of explanation.

For example, you take two atoms and bump them into each other. They follow deterministic dynamical laws. Fancy way of saying they are like billiard balls on a table. You send them in a particular path, they bump, and will follow a particular path out. The path out depends on the path in.

If you took a film of the two atoms bouncing off each other, and reversed it, you could not tell which film is the forward film and which is the reverse. The laws of motion are symmetric. There is no way to distinguish between the two. You can not see the direction of time in the film.

Great.

But now take a whole bunch of these atoms and put them together, and somehow the second law of thermodynamics emerges. Overall, entropy increases for all these atoms over time. That means that if you take a film of all these atoms, you can tell which way is forward in time and which way is backward. You see an egg break and you know that is forward in time. See an egg come together, and the film is running in reverse. Zoom into the individual atoms of the egg, and you can't see it.

The second law of thermodynamics is an emergent phenomena. You look at deterministic laws of motion of atoms and you don't see it. Put a bunch of deterministic atoms together and it appears.

It is possible that "free will" is like that. That even though the atoms bump around deterministically, free will appears as an emergent phenomena.

⚡️💬 NEW - BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says he's no longer ...

2026-07-16T11:41:24Z

⚡️💬 NEW - BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says he's no longer concerned about excessive leverage in bitcoin and crypto markets, adding that he's "very bullish" on markets over the next 12 months.

Ah. A textbook chode and scrote formation.

2026-07-16T11:40:56Z

In reply to nevent1q…3zxe
_________________________

Ah. A textbook chode and scrote formation.

Good luck to everyone who ignores their body and lives solely ...

2026-07-16T11:40:27Z

In reply to nevent1q…tv0z
_________________________

Good luck to everyone who ignores their body and lives solely through the mind

Ah. A textbook chode and scrote fountain.

2026-07-16T11:40:06Z

In reply to nevent1q…3zxe
_________________________

Ah. A textbook chode and scrote fountain.

That escalated quickly.

2026-07-16T11:40:00Z

In reply to nevent1q…kmnr
_________________________

That escalated quickly.

Nostr event nevent1qqsrgnlapwpffc2yqvvjv9cv008tjyud0pdc5akxx0vdam88mrxy08qpydmhxue69uhhqun9d45h2mfwwpexjmtpdshxuet59ac8y6tdv9kzumn9wspzqqnnp8gfykghp5ndz0dcny39cxp8ks0x3skl2mygnyesxwhe6s353rhmx4

2026-07-16T11:39:28Z

Good morning Goyim

Growing up . . .be like . . . #nevent1q…u4j7

2026-07-16T11:39:03Z

Growing up . . .be like . . .

quoting
nevent1q…u4j7

Nostr event nevent1qqsvr0k0xeaeav5dur9q909dau5szlf8ku77hgspas0ayq50dudzjucpydmhxue69uhhqun9d45h2mfwwpexjmtpdshxuet59ac8y6tdv9kzumn9wspzqnz8ym92xlqjpluyz97xu3ygu2z3ud7dr8g2cgc8tdlwvsjgzn9jqdssz9

2026-07-16T11:38:31Z

Do you grasp how unbelievably strange existence is?

Nostr event nevent1qqsq9knan8jknc6s83m7scrw6geztfuhk6fn3q9j4h3zy9r3ed7krncpydmhxue69uhhqun9d45h2mfwwpexjmtpdshxuet59ac8y6tdv9kzumn9wspzpwy9rgrdl4uafr7ry535590f534r9gyc92prk4xdlqj3fwd3yzaptz44t3

2026-07-16T11:38:15Z

In reply to nevent1q…yfz5
_________________________

Daaaamn 😋

2026-07-16T11:37:51Z

In reply to nevent1q…yx9m
_________________________

Daaaamn 😋

It's basically a car without wheels on the water that instead ...

2026-07-16T11:37:49Z

In reply to nevent1q…6ajq
_________________________

It's basically a car without wheels on the water that instead of sinking vertically drives very quickly horizontally.

Nostr event nevent1qqstm6zjstfhffrklz8zsg5lhvqxggykq5lzj352fcnaz89xqjr8tscpydmhxue69uhhqun9d45h2mfwwpexjmtpdshxuet59ac8y6tdv9kzumn9wspzpl8hpfzul2qha25p8wd63gm46ufax95lfgnl8h9v84y3zt0k05m7k4jx03

2026-07-16T11:37:20Z

quoting
nevent1q…53s0
When I say that the SpaceX IPO resembles the biggest “shitcoin” in history, I don’t mean it because it is literally a crypto. I mean it because it concentrates many of the same ingredients: a messianic narrative, founder worship, future promises that are impossible to value, massive retail demand, and a structure designed so that the public provides the money while control remains in the hands of the usual insiders.

And I’m not talking about opinion alone. I’m talking about facts.

SpaceX filed its S-1 with the SEC on May 20, 2026, and an S-1/A amendment on June 3. The European prospectus approved by BaFin states that the stock trades under the ticker SPCX and that trading on Nasdaq was scheduled for June 12, 2026.

But the important thing is not just that it is going public. The important thing is how it is going public.

After the offering, Class A shareholders—that is, those buying on the market—would hold around 11.5% of the voting power. Class B shareholders would retain roughly 88.5%. In other words: the public buys economic exposure, but not real control.

You provide the money. Others keep the power.

Then there is the “forced buying” aspect, which is worth explaining properly. It is not that there is a law directly requiring a citizen to buy SpaceX shares. But there can be an indirect mechanical obligation through passive funds, ETFs, pension plans, and indexed products if certain indices include the company.

Nasdaq modified its methodology to allow the rapid inclusion of large newly listed companies after 15 trading days. It also changed the treatment of stocks with low free float: instead of automatically excluding them for having a low float, a cap based on 3 times the float is applied.

Translated: the door is opened for a mega-IPO with little capital actually available on the market to enter certain indices sooner and generate automatic demand from products that track those indices.

No one forces you to buy SpaceX with a gun to your head. But if you hold an ETF, an index fund, or a pension plan exposed to those indices, you may end up financing the valuation without ever consciously deciding to buy SpaceX.

That is what is concerning.

And note: not every part of the system has yielded equally. S&P Dow Jones kept its rules and did not create a fast track into the S&P 500. That shows this is not a technical inevitability. It is a financial architecture decision.

There are also objective reasons to distrust the valuation. The prospectus itself acknowledges net losses of approximately $4.937 billion in 2025 and $4.276 billion in the first quarter of 2026 alone. It also warns that the company may fail to achieve or sustain profitability in the future.

That is not coming from a hater on Nostr. It is coming from the prospectus.

And the European prospectus also makes it clear that BaFin’s approval is not an endorsement of the company or of the quality of the shares. In other words, the fact that the document is approved does not mean the investment is good. It only means that it meets certain formal disclosure requirements.

The narrative, however, is something else: Mars, Starship, AI, orbital infrastructure, future abundance, a multiplanetary humanity. All wrapped around the figure of Musk, who at the same time says that money will not be necessary in the future, that there will be universal basic income or “universal high income,” and that technology will solve poverty.

The contradiction is obscene.

If money will not be necessary in the future, why the urgency to raise everyone’s money now?

If SpaceX is going to take us to Mars and usher in a new era of abundance, why does the public receive shares with only a tiny fraction of the voting power?

If the opportunity is so obvious, why is it structured in a way that insiders, founders, and major investors retain control while the risk is distributed among retail investors and passive funds?

You do not need to prove a conspiracy to see the problem. You only need to look at the incentives.

The early participants get in cheaply. Insiders keep the power. Large funds underwrite and distribute. Indices may generate automatic demand. Retail arrives at the end, paying a gigantic valuation for a promise 10, 20, or 30 years into the future.

And an epic story does not stop being a story when the public pays for admission and someone else keeps control.

One thing is admiring the rockets.

Something very different is paying the bill.

nevent1q…tr2r

⚡️🇺🇦 NEW - Former CEO, Sergii Koretsky, of ...

2026-07-16T11:36:23Z

⚡️🇺🇦 NEW - Former CEO, Sergii Koretsky, of Ukraine's oil and gas giant Naftogaz, approved by parliament as Ukraine's new PM — Reuters

👋

2026-07-16T11:36:22Z

In reply to nevent1q…3wzf
_________________________

👋

Sure, why not #nevent1q…j78m

2026-07-16T11:35:46Z

Sure, why not

quoting
nevent1q…j78m
Rotation from semiconductors and AI to Bitcoin is going to be insane. Trillions.