<oembed><type>rich</type><version>1.0</version><author_name>npub10tqt6wdc2neye0cxwyphtre6n5uccgur94khtqjdry9wxhrvywlq6w9uu9</author_name><author_url>https://nostr.ae/npub10tqt6wdc2neye0cxwyphtre6n5uccgur94khtqjdry9wxhrvywlq6w9uu9</author_url><provider_name>njump</provider_name><provider_url>https://nostr.ae</provider_url><html>📅 Original date posted:2016-03-09&#xA;📝 Original message:On 3/9/2016 1:30 PM, Dave Hudson via bitcoin-dev wrote:&#xA;&gt; The hash rate has jumped up by almost 70% in the last 6 to 7 months and that implies some pretty serious investments by miners who are quite aware of the halving.&#xA;There are a few ways in which that information would be irrelevant:&#xA;[1.] It is possible that miners expect to breakeven before the halving.&#xA;[2.] It is also possible that miners earnestly believe that there will&#xA;be no problem -- however:&#xA;...  [2a.] This belief may be mistaken.&#xA;...  [2b.] Miners may be counting on Core Devs to fix any problems that&#xA;come up with anything, this one included.&#xA;&#xA;Also, [3.] many miners believe that the price will increase around the&#xA;time of the halving, either for market-microstructure reasons or&#xA;marketing reasons. I, personally, think that the price is as likely to&#xA;go down as up.&#xA;&#xA;On 3/9/2016 1:30 PM, Dave Hudson via bitcoin-dev wrote:&#xA;&gt; These same miners were mining with a coin price around $250 last year so in terms of profitability I&#39;m pretty sure that one around $400 won&#39;t be a huge concern.&#xA;For some miners, currently it costs $X in electricity per coin mined,&#xA;and $400 / 2 is less than X. I do not know how representative this&#xA;information is.&#xA;&#xA;Paul</html></oembed>