<oembed><type>rich</type><version>1.0</version><author_name>npub1dw88wd5gqsqn6ufxhf9h03uk8087l7gfzdtez5csjlt6pupu4pwsj8plrw</author_name><author_url>https://nostr.ae/npub1dw88wd5gqsqn6ufxhf9h03uk8087l7gfzdtez5csjlt6pupu4pwsj8plrw</author_url><provider_name>njump</provider_name><provider_url>https://nostr.ae</provider_url><html>📅 Original date posted:2022-07-11&#xA;📝 Original message:On Mon, Jul 11, 2022 at 2:19 PM Bram Cohen via bitcoin-dev &lt;&#xA;bitcoin-dev at lists.linuxfoundation.org&gt; wrote:&#xA;&#xA;&gt; If transaction fees came in at an even rate over time all at the exact&#xA;&gt; same level then they work fine for security, acting similarly to fixed&#xA;&gt; block rewards. Unfortunately that isn&#39;t how it works in the real world.&#xA;&gt; There&#39;s a very well established day/night cycle with fees going to zero&#xA;&gt; overnight and even longer gaps on weekends and holidays. If in the future&#xA;&gt; Bitcoin is entirely dependent on fees for security (scheduled very&#xA;&gt; strongly) and this pattern keeps up (overwhelmingly likely) then this is&#xA;&gt; going to become a serious problem.&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&gt; What&#39;s likely to happen is that at first there will simply be no or very&#xA;&gt; few blocks mined overnight. There are likely to be some, as miners at first&#xA;&gt; turn off their mining rigs completely overnight then adopt the more&#xA;&gt; sophisticated strategy of waiting until there are enough fees in the&#xA;&gt; mempool to warrant attempting to make a block and only then doing it.&#xA;&gt; Unfortunately the gaming doesn&#39;t end there. Eventually the miners with&#xA;&gt; lower costs of operation will figure out that they can collectively reorg&#xA;&gt; the last hour (or some time period) of the day overnight and this will be&#xA;&gt; profitable. That&#39;s likely to cause the miners with more expensive&#xA;&gt; operations to stop attempting mining the last hour of the day preemptively.&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&gt; What happens after that I&#39;m not sure.&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&#xA;Miners will learn to create anyone-can-spend outputs to bribe other miners&#xA;to build on their block rather than reorg it.  (Due to the coinbase&#xA;maturity, this will require some amount of floating capital.)&#xA;-------------- next part --------------&#xA;An HTML attachment was scrubbed...&#xA;URL: &lt;http://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/bitcoin-dev/attachments/20220711/6e8e216d/attachment-0001.html&gt;</html></oembed>