<oembed><type>rich</type><version>1.0</version><author_name>npub1sm6zhjmk5scuz294jmpkw99wwwjzetjgwp4fu4gn6utqgdz87hkqamnq7h</author_name><author_url>https://nostr.ae/npub1sm6zhjmk5scuz294jmpkw99wwwjzetjgwp4fu4gn6utqgdz87hkqamnq7h</author_url><provider_name>njump</provider_name><provider_url>https://nostr.ae</provider_url><html>📅 Original date posted:2015-05-07&#xA;📝 Original message:This *is* urgent and needs to be handled right now, and I believe Gavin&#xA;has the best approach to this.  I have heard Gavin&#39;s talks on increasing&#xA;the block size, and the two most persuasive points to me were:&#xA;&#xA;(1) Blocks are essentially nearing &#34;full&#34; now.  And by &#34;full&#34; he means&#xA;that the reliability of the network (from the average user perspective)&#xA;is about to be impacted in a very negative way (I believe it was due to&#xA;the inconsistent time between blocks).  I think Gavin said that his&#xA;simulations showed 400 kB - 600 kB worth of transactions per 10 min&#xA;(approx 3-4 tps) is where things start to behave poorly for certain&#xA;classes of transactions.  In other words, we&#39;re very close to the&#xA;effective limit in terms of maintaining the current &#34;standard of&#xA;living&#34;, and with a year needed to raise the block time this actually is&#xA;urgent.&#xA;&#xA;(2) Leveraging fee pressure at 1MB to solve the problem is actually&#xA;really a bad idea.  It&#39;s really bad while Bitcoin is still growing, and&#xA;relying on fee pressure at 1 MB severely impacts attractiveness and&#xA;adoption potential of Bitcoin (due to high fees and unreliability).  But&#xA;more importantly, it ignores the fact that for a 7 tps is pathetic for a&#xA;global transaction system.  It is a couple orders of magnitude too low&#xA;for any meaningful commercial activity to occur.  If we continue with a&#xA;cap of 7 tps forever, Bitcoin *will* fail.  Or at best, it will fail to&#xA;be useful for the vast majority of the world (which probably leads to&#xA;failure).  We shouldn&#39;t be talking about fee pressure until we hit 700&#xA;tps, which is probably still too low. &#xA;&#xA;You can argue that side chains and payment channels could alleviate&#xA;this.  But how far off are they?  We&#39;re going to hit effective 1MB&#xA;limits long before we can leverage those in a meaningful way.  Even if&#xA;everyone used them, getting a billion people onto the system just can&#39;t&#xA;happen even at 1 transaction per year per person to get into a payment&#xA;channel or move money between side chains.&#xA;&#xA;We get asked all the time by corporate clients about scalability.  A&#xA;limit of 7 tps makes them uncomfortable that they are going to invest&#xA;all this time into a system that has no chance of handling the economic&#xA;activity that they expect it handle.  We always assure them that 7 tps&#xA;is not the final answer. &#xA;&#xA;Satoshi didn&#39;t believe 1 MB blocks were the correct answer.  I&#xA;personally think this is critical to Bitcoin&#39;s long term future.   And&#xA;I&#39;m not sure what else Gavin could&#39;ve done to push this along in a&#xA;meaninful way.&#xA;&#xA;-Alan&#xA;&#xA;&#xA;On 05/07/2015 02:06 PM, Mike Hearn wrote:&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&gt;     I think you are rubbing against your own presupposition that&#xA;&gt;     people must find and alternative right now. Quite a lot here do&#xA;&gt;     not believe there is any urgency, nor that there is an immanent&#xA;&gt;     problem that has to be solved before the sky falls in.&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&gt; I have explained why I believe there is some urgency, whereby &#34;some&#xA;&gt; urgency&#34; I mean, assuming it takes months to implement, merge, test,&#xA;&gt; release and for people to upgrade.&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&gt; But if it makes you happy, imagine that this discussion happens all&#xA;&gt; over again next year and I ask the same question.&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&gt; ------------------------------------------------------------------------------&#xA;&gt; One dashboard for servers and applications across Physical-Virtual-Cloud &#xA;&gt; Widest out-of-the-box monitoring support with 50+ applications&#xA;&gt; Performance metrics, stats and reports that give you Actionable Insights&#xA;&gt; Deep dive visibility with transaction tracing using APM Insight.&#xA;&gt; http://ad.doubleclick.net/ddm/clk/290420510;117567292;y&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&gt;&#xA;&gt; _______________________________________________&#xA;&gt; Bitcoin-development mailing list&#xA;&gt; Bitcoin-development at lists.sourceforge.net&#xA;&gt; https://lists.sourceforge.net/lists/listinfo/bitcoin-development&#xA;&#xA;-------------- next part --------------&#xA;An HTML attachment was scrubbed...&#xA;URL: &lt;http://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/bitcoin-dev/attachments/20150507/8d08315a/attachment.html&gt;</html></oembed>