<oembed><type>rich</type><version>1.0</version><author_name>npub1tjephawh7fdf6358jufuh5eyxwauzrjqa7qn50pglee4tayc2ntqcjtl6r</author_name><author_url>https://nostr.ae/npub1tjephawh7fdf6358jufuh5eyxwauzrjqa7qn50pglee4tayc2ntqcjtl6r</author_url><provider_name>njump</provider_name><provider_url>https://nostr.ae</provider_url><html>📅 Original date posted:2015-08-10&#xA;📝 Original message:On Aug 11, 2015 12:18 AM, &#34;Thomas Zander via bitcoin-dev&#34; &lt;&#xA;bitcoin-dev at lists.linuxfoundation.org&gt; wrote:&#xA;&#xA;&gt; Have you ever been to a concert that was far away from public transport?&#xA;They&#xA;&gt; typically set up bus shuttles, or taxis to get people back into town&#xA;&gt; afterwards.&#xA;&gt; The result there is always you end up waiting forever and it actually may&#xA;be&#xA;&gt; easier to just walk instead of wait.&#xA;&gt; The amount you pay is irrelevant if everyone is paying it. There still is&#xA;more&#xA;&gt; demand than there is capacity.&#xA;&#xA;That&#39;s an incorrect analogy. You choose the rate you pay, and get higher&#xA;priority when you pay more. Taxi drivers can&#39;t pick out higher-paying&#xA;customers in advance.&#xA;&#xA;A better comparison is Uber, which charges more in places with high demand,&#xA;and you can accept or refuse in advance. And yes, it remains reliable if&#xA;you&#39;re among those with the highest willingness to pay.&#xA;&#xA;&gt; So, no, its not unreliable for cheap free transactions.&#xA;&gt; Its unreliable for all types of transactions.&#xA;&#xA;If 2500 transactions fit in the block chain per day (assuming constant&#xA;size) and there are less than 2500 per hour that pay at least 0.001 BTC in&#xA;fee, then any transaction which pays more than 0.001 BTC will have a very&#xA;high chance of getting in a small multiple of one hour, since miners&#xA;prioritize by feerate.&#xA;&#xA;If there are in addition to that 5000 transactions per hour which pay less,&#xA;then yes, they need to compete for the remaiming space and their&#xA;confirmation will be unreliable.&#xA;&#xA;The whole point is that whether confirmation at a particular price point is&#xA;reliable depends on how much demand there is at that price point. And&#xA;increasing the block size out of fear of what might happen is failing to&#xA;recognize that it can always happen that there is a sudden change in demand&#xA;that outcompetes the rest.&#xA;&#xA;The point is not that evolution towards a specific higher feerate needs to&#xA;happen, but an evolution to an ecosystem that accepts that there is never a&#xA;guarantee for reliability, unless you&#39;re willing to pay more than everyone&#xA;else - whatever that number is.&#xA;&#xA;-- &#xA;Pieter&#xA;-------------- next part --------------&#xA;An HTML attachment was scrubbed...&#xA;URL: &lt;http://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/bitcoin-dev/attachments/20150811/b117bc74/attachment-0001.html&gt;</html></oembed>