<oembed><type>rich</type><version>1.0</version><author_name>npub1uu2fve28mkg68uequseraz8gee7qg64733lr9r2g4c0xs5pmqnuslr4rpf</author_name><author_url>https://nostr.ae/npub1uu2fve28mkg68uequseraz8gee7qg64733lr9r2g4c0xs5pmqnuslr4rpf</author_url><provider_name>njump</provider_name><provider_url>https://nostr.ae</provider_url><html>📅 Original date posted:2015-06-26&#xA;📝 Original message:-----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-----&#xA;Hash: SHA1&#xA;&#xA;Pieter,&#xA;&#xA;Sure. Your thinking is sound. I take things beyond where you have in&#xA;your post, so I neither imply that this is your position or that this&#xA;is the progression of your stated point.&#xA;&#xA;In one sense, one has to ask the question: is there a reasonable case&#xA;for making Bitcoin super-capacitated so it can compete with Visa and&#xA;just be the fastest-ever payment network with everyone jizzing in&#xA;their pants over its speed and capacity and availability and dividends.&#xA;&#xA;By virtue of the core requirement of decentralization, for Bitcoin to&#xA;remain meaningful, it will never compete with Visa or the Fed&#39;s new&#xA;blockchain-based payment system. So, why attempt the impossible and&#xA;expend energy on the futile?&#xA;&#xA;Bitcoin&#39;s protocol and payment network has features and benefits that&#xA;Visa et all cannot have, so I refute the notion, sometimes expressed&#xA;here, that 7tps is a major cap on growth and adoption.&#xA;&#xA;Such thinking takes as its axiom the idea that increased adoption&#xA;correlates to increased value. Not true. Look at the price chart for&#xA;proof: More businesses accept and more people are using and&#xA;transacting via Bitcoin now than ever before and yet the price chart&#xA;points *down*, not up.&#xA;&#xA;Why should any explicitly centralized exchange and business venture&#xA;have their use of the protocol facilitated? Was the protocol designed&#xA;to conform to financial capital demands or was it designed to&#xA;fundamentally change the way ordinary users interact with markets?&#xA;&#xA;If those present here, do not realize that the blockchain is a means&#xA;of escaping (and destroying through its use and promotion)&#xA;centralization, then they have shells over their eyes. Bitcoin is not&#xA;meant to fit into the system, it will evolve the system, by the system&#xA;coming to it.&#xA;&#xA;Does that mean we shouldn&#39;t raise the blocksize? Maybe. But 8GB with&#xA;BIP100&#39;s protections seems a reasonable change given the sudden&#xA;increase in network usage that a global liquidity crisis will impose.&#xA;&#xA;Many scenarios are possible, but there is no onus on developers or on&#xA;Bitcoin to &#34;keep up&#34;. Like it or not, the global economy will&#xA;inevitably be forced to Slow Down as a result of the same thinking&#xA;that upholds constant growth without sympathetic contraction.&#xA;&#xA;Venzen Khaosan&#xA;&#xA;&#xA;On 06/26/2015 09:09 PM, Pieter Wuille wrote:&#xA;&gt; Hello all,&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; here I&#39;m going to try to address a part of the block size debate&#xA;&gt; which has been troubling me since the beginning: the reason why&#xA;&gt; people seem to want it.&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; People say that larger blocks are necessary. In the long term, I&#xA;&gt; agree - in the sense that systems that do not evolve tend to be&#xA;&gt; replaced by other systems. This evolution can come in terms of&#xA;&gt; layers on top of Bitcoin&#39;s blockchain, in terms of the technology&#xA;&gt; underlying various aspects of the blockchain itself, and also in&#xA;&gt; the scale that this technology supports.&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; I do, however, fundamentally disagree that a fear for a change in &#xA;&gt; economics should be considered to necessitate larger blocks. If it&#xA;&gt; is, and there is consensus that we should adapt to it, then there&#xA;&gt; is effectively no limit going forward. This is similar to how&#xA;&gt; Congress voting to increase the copyright term retroactively from&#xA;&gt; time to time is really no different from having an infinite&#xA;&gt; copyright term in the first place. This scares me.&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; Here is how Gavin summarizes the future without increasing block&#xA;&gt; sizes in PR 6341:&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt;&gt; 1. Transaction confirmation times for transactions with a given&#xA;&gt;&gt; fee&#xA;&gt; will rise; very-low-fee transactions will fail to get confirmed at&#xA;&gt; all.&#xA;&gt;&gt; 2. Average transaction fee paid will rise 3. People or&#xA;&gt;&gt; applications unwilling or unable to pay the rising fees&#xA;&gt; will stop submitting transactions&#xA;&gt;&gt; 4. People and businesses will shelve plans to use Bitcoin,&#xA;&gt;&gt; stunting&#xA;&gt; growth and adoption&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; Is it fair to summarize this as &#34;Some use cases won&#39;t fit any&#xA;&gt; more, people will decide to no longer use the blockchain for these&#xA;&gt; purposes, and the fees will adapt.&#34;?&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; I think that is already happening, and will happen at any scale. I &#xA;&gt; believe demand for payments in general is nearly infinite, and only&#xA;&gt; a small portion of it will eventually fit on a block chain&#xA;&gt; (independent of whether its size is limited by consensus rules or&#xA;&gt; economic or technological means). Furthermore, systems that compete&#xA;&gt; with Bitcoin in this space already offer orders of magnitude more&#xA;&gt; capacity than we can reasonably achieve with any blockchain&#xA;&gt; technology at this point.&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; I don&#39;t know what subset of use cases Bitcoin will cater to in the&#xA;&gt; long term. They have already changed - you see way less betting&#xA;&gt; transactions these days than a few years ago for example - and they&#xA;&gt; will keep changing, independent of what effective block sizes we&#xA;&gt; end up with. I don&#39;t think we should be afraid of this change or&#xA;&gt; try to stop it.&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; If you look at graphs of block sizes over time (for example, &#xA;&gt; http://rusty.ozlabs.org/?p=498), it seems to me that there is very &#xA;&gt; little &#34;organic&#34; growth, and a lot of sudden changes (which could &#xA;&gt; correspond to changing defaults in miner software, introduction of &#xA;&gt; popular sites/services, changes in the economy). I think these can&#xA;&gt; be seen as the economy changing to full up the available space, and&#xA;&gt; I believe these will keep happening at any size effectively&#xA;&gt; available.&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; None of this is a reason why the size can&#39;t increase. However, in&#xA;&gt; my opinion, we should do it because we believe it increases utility&#xA;&gt; and understand the risks; not because we&#39;re afraid of what might&#xA;&gt; happen if we don&#39;t hurry up. And from that point of view, it seems&#xA;&gt; silly to make a huge increase at once...&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; -- Pieter&#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; &#xA;&gt; _______________________________________________ bitcoin-dev mailing&#xA;&gt; list bitcoin-dev at lists.linuxfoundation.org &#xA;&gt; https://lists.linuxfoundation.org/mailman/listinfo/bitcoin-dev&#xA;&gt; &#xA;-----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE-----&#xA;Version: GnuPG v1&#xA;&#xA;iQEcBAEBAgAGBQJVjWQAAAoJEGwAhlQc8H1mIRMH/Rr8v+N3XdAL/EeEXuniT+Iu&#xA;/TrtieLJKrhmMPkyIX/jAWc4ggUirzWuTMIQZ7qPwOkVrbcWPcKKHOBKTmmUaCc5&#xA;GdnA8wiiC6D6ZMamO1NKtkU2QW7Kzuna/Y4EeqBZWsKWPrMvu1vkirDYH8XRvdiC&#xA;bMksVCzoRFm7QnTMYfimrSYNxNPdwQZxCfhtJDSBnJs2Mi0J68Xpw5riVbx6S0mD&#xA;TOcNlKWosQJEub11TWeh+wD3i901t5GfxFqBNU5XGN85JRn+vAIrrm2io0bbfbIZ&#xA;y58XdqcYcWrx8MQNUdHpQT1EK5+4DAkhxrouW60sjk8jfWHGIVIgfYweDQawbOg=&#xA;=f9Fg&#xA;-----END PGP SIGNATURE-----</html></oembed>