_Checkmatey_ (npub1qh5…eh9r) got things pretty right, he started turning progressively more bearish since late last summer IIRC.
To be fair he did not 100% call the bear market early, he's never completely definitive about what Bitcoin will do. But he did spend a lot of time discussing a bear case and assigned higher and higher probability to it in the latter half of last year.
DireMunchkin
npub1mx…kkyq5
2026-02-07 14:01:25 UTC
in reply to nevent1q…zp4q
Author Public Key
npub1mxrt3fyvaay4plrz7lwzurf80jjs2atmt2nn7z2ekgr9necl0jkqekkyq5Seen on
wss://nostr.stakey.netPublished at
2026-02-07 14:01:25 UTCEvent JSON
{
"id": "5261eaddeacbf598a6ba5e04a49eb46efc8d0289dd534188d16b2e129f1f576b",
"pubkey": "d986b8a48cef4950fc62f7dc2e0d277ca505757b5aa73f0959b20659e71f7cac",
"created_at": 1770472885,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"e",
"cc7893475a63dee98faaec1e78fce4b584b1d03bcf2b4c2da792835efc00101b",
"wss://relay.primal.net/",
"root",
"e1fc88f8e378784587c2337f4eb90a46c0c0622c42e77d75ec4a37521f30f622"
],
[
"p",
"05e90eff47c1e0ecaf5c5bdd4cb25b96993728a68d8baf5fdd5ceb4e4c522648"
],
[
"p",
"e1fc88f8e378784587c2337f4eb90a46c0c0622c42e77d75ec4a37521f30f622"
]
],
"content": "nostr:npub1qh5sal68c8swet6ut0w5evjmj6vnw29x3k967h7atn45unzjyeyq6ceh9r got things pretty right, he started turning progressively more bearish since late last summer IIRC.\n\nTo be fair he did not 100% call the bear market early, he's never completely definitive about what Bitcoin will do. But he did spend a lot of time discussing a bear case and assigned higher and higher probability to it in the latter half of last year.",
"sig": "832c182fe24ef33a19f7238c0bf0e85f8874267e6697c50b3feacd8e07111b95653580b8529fa09128dd18a1c94dcb9af16439645b1f2a54e83f34daf54cb880"
}