predyx
Predyx

https://beta.predyx.com

World’s first Bitcoin Lightning⚡ powered prediction market. Trade real-world outcomes: 📈 markets 🗳️ elections 🏀 sports 🤖 AI & more 👉 http://beta.predyx.com

Public Key

npub15jcgp02275uw5rsrql7w57gnx6su400dx72gnr7795t565jm4rmqru44hx

NIP-05 Address

[email protected]

Profile Code

nprofile1qqs2fvyqh4902w82pcps0l820yfndgw2hhkn09yf3l0z696d2fd63aspz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduq3vamnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwwpexjmtpdshxuet5qsc5hu

Publishing to

relay.damus.io

relay.primal.net

nos.lol

Author Public Key

npub15jcgp02275uw5rsrql7w57gnx6su400dx72gnr7795t565jm4rmqru44hx

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Last Notes

2026-05-08 19:30:26 CEST

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Will @nprofile…kx96 fix the UX bug for Android, that resets the amount anytime a user changes the coin to be swapped, by August?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/cake-wallet-v612-bug-fixed-by-2026-09-01-1778258099?shareOg=8334ea4b-d2d5-4057-bac9-ede91fb87e61&shareKind=market

2026-05-08 16:09:07 CEST

🚨 LATEST: Odds government reveals evidence confirming aliens exist in 2026 fall to 22% despite UFO files release.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/alien-evidence-disclosure-by-end-of-2026-1768798366?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=4b8128df-15c4-42bc-8886-bea48a4976ce&shareKind=market

2026-05-07 22:17:32 CEST

🚨TRENDING: Computer scientists have developed a solution to quantum risk for #Bitcoin
https://beta.predyx.com/market/bip-360-quantum-resistant-upgrade-activated-on-bitcoin-by-1775250762?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=169a0dd0-aabb-4e42-ad7a-910c28dac06e&shareKind=market

2026-05-07 22:16:06 CEST

NEW: Scientists are working to create hantavirus vaccine.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/hantavirus-vaccine-in-2026-1778183952?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=baf33fac-8539-483d-b880-619f2f793ad6&shareKind=market

2026-05-07 18:49:09 CEST

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Brandon Keys from @nprofile…9cu4 speaks on the Nakamoto Stage at Bitcoin 2027 in Nashville.
https://beta.predyx.com/market/brandon-keys-from-green-candle-speaks-on-nakamoto-stage-at-bitcoin-2027-1778167475?ref=9a937ef557a7c65e&shareOg=5fbb5452-5660-44c2-9c9d-ebf0c548e289&shareKind=market

2026-04-23 16:55:58 CEST

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Kash Patel wears "Free Samourai" shirt at @nprofile…7emy in Las Vegas.
https://blossom.primal.net/a0df948add09cc934d3fcc7cdf33c1a876c72b9f771d5d41b4aaebcda0090c0e.jpg https://blossom.primal.net/9f7274de6b7efb3494a71e4bf3f651bc765ddaaa0da2fc5df7bac04763bf1c5f.png https://beta.predyx.com/market/kash-patel-wears-free-samouari-shirt-at-bitcoin-conference-1776955739?ref=98d6db0f64aafbfd

2026-04-21 19:13:45 CEST

Will #BIP110 activate and be enforced on #Bitcoin?
Chance: 8.66%
🔗 https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509 https://image.nostr.build/a48bd93b7394dfb6196519b3f51b6386e9995a138c8548656128436e4dfebc8b.jpg
https://image.nostr.build/ccf6fd4b3442dc82dc1e63ef9142bf9ebd24a59c0edc6d8a04a475e6c8f50c36.jpg

2026-04-21 17:00:57 CEST

JUST IN: Ferrari sets price of first electric car at over $640,000 - Bloomberg
https://blossom.primal.net/c149cd6b4954780d36790ca101aa092e8b13f0c840242af2e02a3721a6649dd6.png https://blossom.primal.net/2e17a271a26108825750d7f5572dad54e747614ad7dad53f5c5365165a969851.png

2026-04-14 22:03:28 CEST

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: Will Bitcoin "crash" during @nprofile…7emy ?
https://blossom.primal.net/43808eb9b3b44776f2b9f338847ceb0dbe3dacb04b620aabb249db1d13f37944.png
https://blossom.primal.net/113a95fdf8faa18f1cbceac1972640295a9a1855fd08e99a0dbffe3e92e103b4.png
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bitcoin-crash-during-the-bitcoin-conference-1776195911

2026-04-13 20:44:01 CEST

JUST IN: Odds #Bitcoin dips below $45,000 in 2026 down 14% since last week.
18%
https://blossom.primal.net/fc9010aede9bcb4c6942f60550133ab0d29e966d42a8fc96f9e6d76ebbbb4b4c.jpg https://blossom.primal.net/31c785e527dc104da6ee28b360ae83f0c8ba06b8f432536a8d3629ec2b1577cb.jpg
https://beta.predyx.com/market/bitcoin-below-45k-in-2026-1770333683

2026-04-10 15:32:28 CEST

PREDYX makes prediction markets simple and fun.
All you need is a Bitcoin wallet with Lightning⚡️
https://blossom.primal.net/ec83cdbe85c479f3cd8acb9f984ffa90ca9131c16a87570698b034482741b1c8.png

2026-04-03 23:53:46 CEST

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET: #BIP360 quantum-resistant upgrade activated on #Bitcoin by... ?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/bip-360-quantum-resistant-upgrade-activated-on-bitcoin-by-1775250762
https://blossom.primal.net/13d12351b67a2ff0332295c87b5291aa9bf679ddb365d67b5908e32039df8477.png https://blossom.primal.net/cbfe6734325d3baeb6f56450d006aacefba5ee1991539f16eff6bb25fdf22ba0.png

2026-03-25 06:27:24 CET

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Market 🔗
https://beta.predyx.com/market/matt-odell-wins-maxi-madness-on-nostr-1773696702

2026-03-25 06:26:13 CET

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https://beta.predyx.com/market/matt-odell-wins-maxi-madness-on-nostr-1773696702

2026-03-24 17:34:40 CET

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Predict on PREDYX 👇
https://beta.predyx.com/market/matt-odell-wins-maxi-madness-on-nostr-1773696702/#

2026-03-17 17:25:47 CET

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Maxi Madness is basically:
🏀 March Madness
₿ Bitcoin culture
⚡ Lightning markets
Prediction markets are the ultimate reputation scoreboard.
Maxis:
Who actually wins this bracket?

2026-03-17 17:25:00 CET

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🟡 Teddy Bitcoins
One of the loudest Bitcoin voices on X.
But the market only gives him ~27% odds 👀
Is the market wrong?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/teddy-bitcoins-wins-maxi-madness-on-x-1773696513

2026-03-17 17:24:18 CET

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🟠 Jack Dorsey on Nostr
Built Twitter.
Now pushing Nostr.
Odds: ~49%
Does the Nostr movement send him to the top?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/jack-dorsey-wins-maxi-madness-on-nostr-1773696937

2026-03-17 17:23:25 CET

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🟣 Matt Odell on Nostr
OG Bitcoiner.
Maxi gatekeeper.
Nostr advocate.
Market odds: ~50%
Does the Nostr crowd carry him to victory?
https://beta.predyx.com/market/matt-odell-wins-maxi-madness-on-nostr-1773696702

2026-03-17 17:21:48 CET

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₿ Michael Saylor
The man who turned corporate treasury strategy into Bitcoin evangelism.
Market odds: ~50%
Translation:
The maxis are divided.
Does Saylor reach the Final Four?
Trade it:
https://beta.predyx.com/market/michael-saylor-reaches-the-maxi-madness-final-four-on-x-1773694431

2026-03-17 17:20:58 CET

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🔥 HOT REGION on X
Ross Ulbricht
Opti
Gloria Zhao
Lyn Alden
Right now the market says:
Everyone ~20%
Meaning:
Nobody knows who the maxis will rally behind.
Trade it 👇
https://beta.predyx.com/market/who-will-advance-to-the-final-four-of-the-2026-maxi-madness-tournament-on-x-from-the-hot-region-1773696234

2026-03-17 17:18:54 CET

🚨 MAXI MADNESS MARKETS ARE LIVE 🚨
The Bitcoin culture wars are now tradable in sats ⚡
Who actually dominates the Bitcoin narrative on X and Nostr?
Maxis… put your sats where your mouth is 👇
https://image.nostr.build/9d6a29e2c16c8e095c9b1d7012f5ceccc5a8991d9e5ac510ca85113a3550d7b7.jpg

2026-03-16 16:50:14 CET

BIP-110 odds: 7.8%
Bitcoin Core devs: 😌
Bitcoin Knots users: 😤
Trade the chaos on PREDYX 👇
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509

2026-03-12 23:37:43 CET

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🙏 Thanks - just finished setting up the Nostr zap wallet.

2026-03-12 23:33:27 CET

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At this point of time - no you can't add more liquidity.
After we launch CDA markets, you can dynamically increase/decrease liquidity by becoming a market-maker.

2026-03-12 02:04:57 CET

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Not yet - but soon after CDA and UMA Oracle release.

2026-03-12 02:03:21 CET

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> 1. Can anyone make their own market?
Yes, anyone can create a market.
> 2. It then has to be approved by Predyx?
No, it doesn't need to be approved by us. However we have an exception for death markets in our TOS. If any user creates a death, we will disable it.
> 3. Does the user provide the liquidity?
Yes at this point of time, creator provides the initial liquidity. We're in the process of launching hybrid CDA/CLOB Markets within a month or two, where the majority of the liquidity will be provided by the market-makers.
> 4. If yes, what optionality does the user have for managing the liquidity? Are there set parameters?
At this point of time, PREDYX uses LMSR AMM (Automated Market Maker) for markets. Thus the creator provides the WCL (Worst Case Loss) for the markets fully configurable with Liquidity. The creator gets to keep 95% of the fees generated from the markets.
In short , here's how the liquidity and WCL works:
WCL = b * ln(N)
b = liquidity parameter
N = number of outcomes
ln = natural logarithm
For example a market with 1M sats liquidity (b), the creator provides 693147.18 sats as WCL for a YES/NO market.
b = 1_000_000
outcomes = 2
wcl = b * Math.log(outcomes)
wcl = 693147.18 sats
With LMSR AMM the liquidity is static, this will change drastically when we launch hybrid CDA (less than two months) where majority of the liquidity will be provided by market-makers.
Thus if the creator is good at creating high demand markets, this can become his income stream where he/she gets to keep 95% now the market fees.
> 5. Who settles outcomes?
At this point, we (PREDYX team) resolve the markets. However, we're also building UMA style oracle for markets resolutions. Once the UMA Oracle is out (in less than 2 months) - then the markets will be resolved by group of oracles.

2026-03-11 08:42:52 CET

PREDYX is looking for funding
Hey Bitcoiners,
We’ve been building Predyx, a Lightning-native prediction market where markets are priced and settled directly in sats.
The idea is simple: prediction markets should work like the rest of Bitcoin - open, global, and programmable - with Lightning handling the payments layer.
A few design choices behind Predyx:
• Markets priced in sats (1 share = 1 sat payout if correct)
• Lightning pay-per-trade model (no deposits)
• LMSR market maker for automated pricing
• CDA (Continuous Double Auction) market engine in development
• UMA-style oracle system for market resolution in development
• Separate wallets per market to reduce custody risk
• Anyone can create markets and provide liquidity
The goal is to make micro prediction markets possible - things that only work when transactions are instant and extremely small.
Examples of markets currently running:
• Bitcoin price markets
• sports markets
• political outcomes
• tech and macro events
The beta is live and running, but the next stage requires capital and strategic help to scale:
• deeper liquidity across markets
• infrastructure scaling
• Lightning liquidity and integrations
• growth and distribution
• legal and regulatory work for U.S. compliance (CFTC)
If you’re a builder, Lightning node operator, or investor interested in Bitcoin-native financial infrastructure, I’d be interested in talking.
Happy to answer any technical questions here.
If you want to see what we’ve built so far, the beta is live: https://beta.predyx.com

2026-03-04 16:18:33 CET

PREDYX market says only 7% chance that BIP-110 activates on Bitcoin.
Are traders finally being realistic…
or massively underestimating the push for change? 👀
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509

2026-02-27 19:19:36 CET

#BIP110 market just jumped 10% in the last hour 👀📈
Price action says something’s brewing — are you watching this breakout?👇
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509

2026-02-25 16:28:11 CET

2.91%. ↓84%.
The #BIP110 market just keeps swinging. 📉⚡
Over **1M sats liquidity**.
24M+ volume.
Volatility alive.
Governance isn’t debated here — it’s priced.
Step in. Take a side.
Ride the volatility 👇
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509
#Bitcoin #PredictionMarkets #PREDYX

2026-02-18 11:49:50 CET

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Creators

2026-02-18 10:55:09 CET

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Yes, it's created by Predyx like many other markets. We are prediction market and our job is to create engaging markets. BIP-110 is a trending topic in the Bitcoin space atm and we recieved multiple requests from both sides to create a market for it, so we obliged.
That said, the market is open for both sides and for everyone. The question there seeks truth before it goes into headlines. I hope you take us as prediction market, not the advocate for any (either).

2026-02-18 10:45:48 CET

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Yes

2026-02-17 15:29:08 CET

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Anyone can create a market on Predyx. If you think there can be better version or something new, please go ahead. PREDYX welcomes all equally.
As a Bitcoin-Powered Prediction Market, we believe in remaining non bs and open to all.

2026-02-15 15:39:25 CET

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🐋 #BIP110 WHALE ALERT
Anonymous trader holds 5M+ YES shares on the PREDYX BIP110 market.
That’s conviction at scale or market is misreading this… or someone’s early.
🔗 https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509
Follow the signal or fade it? 👀

2026-02-15 15:30:30 CET

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Yes, no kyc, no deposits. PREDYX is Bitcoin Lightning Network Native Prediction Market

2026-02-15 15:20:47 CET

2026-02-12 19:37:05 CET

Worth a watch: an interesting take on BIP-110’s future.
Featuring Predyx Market: Will BIP-110 activate and be enforced on Bitcoin by Sept 1, 2026?
22:30-25:30 👀
https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1ypKdqZZPBLGW

2026-02-12 19:36:06 CET

Worth a watch: an interesting take on BIP-110’s future.
Featuring Predyx Market: Will BIP-110 activate and be enforced on Bitcoin by Sept 1, 2026?
22:30-25:30 👀
https://x.com/predyx_markets/status/2022001738786779290?s=20

2026-02-12 14:10:11 CET

71% chance there will be another US Government shutdown, per PREDYX 👇 https://beta.predyx.com/market/another-us-government-shutdown-before-february-14-1770359008

2026-02-11 17:27:20 CET

Bitcoin doesn’t care about your feelings.
Neither do PREDYX.
Price is truth.
Create your own Bitcoin-powered prediction market in minutes on PREDYX 👇
https://beta.predyx.com/category/bitcoin

2026-02-10 19:35:37 CET

🔥 Tottenham, Chelsea & Manchester United are in action.
Can they really charge into the title race and challenge Arsenal’s #EPL supremacy in the second half of the season? 🤔
📊 Predict now on Predyx
👉 https://beta.predyx.com/market/english-premier-league-winner-1755734733

2026-02-10 16:54:59 CET

📉 Binance insolvency — fact or fiction?
Flip a prediction on Predyx and find out 😉
🔗 https://beta.predyx.com/market/binance-insolvent-by-march-31-1770294019
Predict now! 🎯

2026-02-09 21:56:43 CET

Create beyond your imagination ⚡️
The fastest prediction market on Earth.
Powered by Bitcoin Lightning Network.
🎥 Watch the future unfold
https://video.nostr.build/e6b7c90453e9493ddeb7a8c9d5d309eb3e82610afb3e0dff7b90d20221caa0e7.mp4

2026-02-09 18:16:07 CET

Happy Monday Nostr,
Bitcoin is the best money. Predyx uses Bitcoin to predict the truth.
https://x.com/predyx_markets/status/2019562350391820785?s=20

2026-02-09 18:09:58 CET

Bitcoin is insanely simple.
Every other type of money is complicated on purpose.

2026-02-07 18:51:32 CET

https://x.com/predyx_markets/status/2019931109648396350?s=20

2026-02-06 13:11:54 CET

BIP-110 is being talked about… but will it actually activate & be enforced on Bitcoin by Sept 1, 2026?
Share your take on Predyx 👇
🔗 https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-bip-110-activate-and-be-enforced-on-bitcoin-by-sept-1-2026-1770282509

2026-01-01 15:00:49 CET

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https://beta.predyx.com/category/bitcoin

2026-01-01 14:54:31 CET

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https://beta.predyx.com/market/super-bowl-winner-2026-1740263192/#

2026-01-01 03:57:10 CET

@npub17fq…nr8y Can you please resolve this market:
https://beta.predyx.com/market/wird-alex-von-frankenberg-einen-job-bei-der-ezb-finden-1759308934

2025-12-31 17:57:48 CET

📈 Markets are better storytellers than pundits
📖 Prediction markets turn stories into tradable outcomes
⚡️ Predyx is where narratives go to get priced—in Bitcoin
✅ Buy the future you believe in
❌ Sell the one you don’t
https://blossom.primal.net/3dafeab61674954b57ec5a1b864fedfb43b4d04babd4771ec8926192b9fc12ce.jpg

2025-12-31 15:55:54 CET

📢 What are your boldest predictions for 2026?
Best answers will be converted into Predyx markets so you can trade your predictions—with Bitcoin ⚡️
https://blossom.primal.net/53e5be45e8adeb5d95d49df78ffaf0828842157db055d5b233631fc424e1c7d3.png

2025-12-31 15:31:46 CET

Warren Buffett steps down as CEO of Nebraska-based conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway today after 60 years
https://blossom.primal.net/04a6798ce3c7f9795f597cec6681780e9fca511581b8b182ad8d5d67adf9016d.png

2025-12-31 15:29:59 CET

JUST IN: China to impose 55% tariffs on US steaks 🥩

2025-12-31 13:31:57 CET

🏈 TCU wins the 2025 Alamo Bowl with walk-off touchdown in OT
https://blossom.primal.net/25c81011026b0b9c58641eabe53f39245554fe4c085db731ed2055478c20df5c.png

2025-12-31 13:31:40 CET

Illinois defeats Tennessee in Music City Bowl with walk-off field goal to extend B1G's 2025 bowl record to 6-0!
https://blossom.primal.net/e8d246a16eabf12ae39dca30a75f770d05474cd7af1f3334a980a4090790b094.png

2025-12-31 13:31:15 CET

JUST IN: Silver futures PLUNGE more than 8% after Tuesday's historic rally

2025-12-31 00:55:15 CET

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https://beta.predyx.com/market/fed-decision-in-january-1766402366

2025-12-31 00:54:48 CET

Fed signals more rate cuts in 2026, but say rates should stay unchanged for now.
85% chance rates stay unchanged in January
https://blossom.primal.net/740e60510fccbdfa5a6074451abeb41c793b06746173b1d93ecdd248ac120329.png https://blossom.primal.net/f4bf35dbb65f21503db76a1ea0549dd5d079c981f60bbf91a11f70c65f8826e9.png

2025-12-30 19:52:43 CET

Happy Birthday to the King 🎂
🏆 4× NBA Champion
🏅 4× MVP | 4× Finals MVP
⭐ 20× All-Star
📊 All-time leading scorer
🔥 First ever 40K / 10K / 10K
LeBron James is greatness in motion — titles, MVPs, longevity, and records that may never be matched.
https://blossom.primal.net/0cf1090a9c29569fceac130c96458dfd02637123f12c99cef6c4244646362667.png

2025-12-30 19:52:00 CET

BREAKING: 🇦🇪 Dubai physical silver price SURGED over $95 per ounce Tuesday — UAEGoldPrice
https://blossom.primal.net/aaa08e3d9cf94c9915859f57450e031e31d1c6284eb6bbb9b0ebaeb12598e258.png https://blossom.primal.net/b1eb4ca0a45d29cf2f04296543a261fb63930e118e73a4850403d8316054bfb9.png

2025-12-30 19:51:24 CET

BREAKING: Dallas Cowboys released cornerback Trevon Diggs—ESPN

2025-12-30 19:50:06 CET

COMEX SILVER EXTENDS GAINS TO 10%

2025-12-30 19:49:43 CET

NEW: President Zelensky says Trump is actively considering sending US troops to Ukraine 🇺🇦
https://blossom.primal.net/e6dcec1967839afb4f02065f408eea883904ee2a7abef67890b9d37b4c38fb50.png https://blossom.primal.net/a0b2f41e642ad0421193d71771949d355694b8c422d8d038fb9e5983fa47ea5a.png

2025-12-30 15:43:05 CET

JUST IN: SoftBank has completed its $40 billion investment in OpenAI

2025-12-30 15:27:30 CET

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https://beta.predyx.com/market/which-party-will-win-the-us-house-of-representatives-in-2026-1767104088

2025-12-30 15:27:14 CET

NEW: Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2026 Midterms?
You can now trade your predictions on Predyx — link to market below 👇
https://blossom.primal.net/d8c76ca3862ba7c5139ac1a82492bb0cc3411a3d81d1aaecfe7ec47bb164f17c.png https://blossom.primal.net/16284641511e168cb0cb7bd1e4093b69e2a8b14b8187615649f6da1ea048e4cf.png

2025-12-30 14:44:02 CET

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Will Dennis break his month long tweet drought by midnight Thursday? Trade your predictions:
https://beta.predyx.com/market/will-dennis-porter-tweet-before-jan-1-2026-1765382077

2025-12-30 14:43:16 CET

BREAKING: 69% chance that Dennis Porter breaks his silence by tweeting in the next 40 hours 👀
https://blossom.primal.net/28b667973e723d603b8a261a1d61fa5ce6e89233a9d5c668a383bfd266ecc00f.png https://blossom.primal.net/3bd5e2efc4a2fec8126019eaec5035616534ad7949c06a60f37a62599351cc95.png

2025-12-30 13:57:29 CET

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BREAKING— Odds Israel will attack Iran by March 31 have increased to 46%
#nevent1q…76ry

2025-12-29 18:38:21 CET

Predyx makes prediction markets easy and fun to use. All you need is a Bitcoin wallet with Lightning⚡️
https://blossom.primal.net/670919b93f74efefaa9dcf81670f38bdf390861b944f95603ea349e87bb77fae.png

2025-12-29 18:33:23 CET

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Trade your Super Bowl LX predictions:
https://beta.predyx.com/market/super-bowl-winner-2026-1740263192

2025-12-29 18:32:53 CET

Is the market disrespecting the Seahawks & Patriots?
Or are the LA Rams & Buffalo Bills the true favorites to win Super Bowl LX?
https://blossom.primal.net/44e372a80bbc0a95395870d8c41ca520a5426ac6542047d8ad42b454199cf232.png https://blossom.primal.net/27c2ef253c986c39e8d6e333b8ecbce1311dad3dd4db4e0b35f71e8b7e22f693.png

2025-12-29 17:50:02 CET

🚨 JUST IN —Prediction market odds of a US bank failure spiked to 71% on reports that "a systemically important bank collapsed at 2:47AM Sunday."
https://blossom.primal.net/3336576c776bfd92c1e10475bed12789239896df5cf7244e9879498b95e449f6.png https://blossom.primal.net/a0b2f41e642ad0421193d71771949d355694b8c422d8d038fb9e5983fa47ea5a.png

2025-12-29 17:45:25 CET

If you want to bet on the future, bet on Bitcoin

2025-12-29 16:09:56 CET

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https://beta.predyx.com/market/tim-walz-faces-criminal-charges-by-1767020323

2025-12-29 16:09:38 CET

🚨 BREAKING: 67% chance Tim Walz is criminally charged — Polymarket
Now you can predict when (or if) Minnesota Governor Tim Walz will face criminal charges using #Bitcoin on Predyx
https://blossom.primal.net/0ef5685f66a27541390468ae50d09623f4ec7ffb7df9fa512ea77a3917fa3ae7.webp https://blossom.primal.net/f5f49868fef5cf79dea7307c534380e9bb7b3800c1e334e9d0fd7ddc8db2a7a8.jpg

2025-12-29 15:30:21 CET

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All you need to get started is a username/password OR a lightning wallet with with LNURL-auth support. Start making your predictions in seconds on Predyx
https://beta.predyx.com/

2025-12-29 14:25:57 CET

Anyone can trade on Predyx. You don’t need a VPN or driver's license. All you need is a Bitcoin Lightning wallet like @nprofile…wq2n or @nprofile…zjpe
https://blossom.primal.net/b56e318c2b3ec223d55561a99eed4fae6c8588e989865af1e65d2f748a34cf34.png

2025-12-29 14:24:40 CET

JUST IN — 🇮🇱 Israeli deploys the new "Iron Beam" high-powered laser interception system developed in partnership with U.S.
https://blossom.primal.net/6068a961c45c8e4bf076a59c47bb76259c0ea65aab0dbc2702e4d31dcc4cd781.png https://blossom.primal.net/c8e62f55c5f76a4ec44b5a2effbf5865157370a7d21c269903db33bee63632e2.png

2025-12-29 14:23:26 CET

🏆 Top Winners
Predyx users are cashing in on their predictions. The top three winners have generated profits totaling:
⚡️16.73 million sats
💵 $14,718.19
@nprofile…pnqr @nprofile…dk0k
https://blossom.primal.net/8e2cfc19a6624a92511cb609143c82cc412d533140caa776b8f2114761f02048.png

2025-12-29 14:09:46 CET

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Trade your prediction
https://beta.predyx.com/market/israel-strikes-iran-by-march-31-2026-1766403038

2025-12-29 14:09:02 CET

JUST IN — Odds that Israel 🇮🇱 will strike Iran 🇮🇷 by March 31 have dropped below 30%
https://blossom.primal.net/314bdb4cd487647b3b2d0b96ece6ab2a34c9a54f1505829c8e9c6a7d0cc193a8.png https://blossom.primal.net/58dc6af61c3633857070c3020ffbc98d0bdeb71ab26345a693f21467dbc551c1.png

2025-12-29 14:07:38 CET

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Trade your predictions
https://beta.predyx.com/market/the-2026-billionaire-tax-act-passes-in-california-election-2026-1766941767

2025-12-29 14:07:18 CET

🚨 NEW PREDYX MARKET
California’s proposed 5% wealth tax on billionaires has drawn sharp criticism from many California billionaires
Will the billionaire tax pass in California's 2026 November elections?
https://blossom.primal.net/938c3810b4993a2cb16119a3ee45c508e46b590df8f4652823d0f69ce1794687.png
https://blossom.primal.net/8594ee79588b6eaa4bae3301bad977df15c9e662ea6655eb78d3a97d3c74fade.png

2025-12-29 14:04:18 CET

BREAKING — Silver price briefly surges over $82, passing Litecoin, to reach new all-time on Sunday
https://blossom.primal.net/337824693da234481f47e997fe29fc51fb6f7a30b402434b6701ae797a74c880.png https://blossom.primal.net/7856ca047fafc1a05c6ff0ea5f0f888b16ddd6d1687bc44f88166d1a4719807a.png

2025-12-29 13:59:47 CET

No VPN? No driver's license? No problem.
Predyx is powered by Bitcoin's Lightning⚡ Network which means ANYONE can start trading their predictions in seconds!
https://blossom.primal.net/8da010274d501b8b7881e53ced7c3605b6c329e35419f9fdedc2dd686faff912.png

2025-12-29 13:58:53 CET

#GM
Predyx is world's first ever Bitcoin Lightning Network native Prediction Market.
Join Now
Predict while you can
https://blossom.primal.net/b8d7c0add1ae0e1d377aebf732cc3381155e9d9a036100b6e7684b602664f173.png

2025-12-29 09:06:24 CET

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You're welcome!
Correction of example: @ 0.01% the price per share is 10 msats to win 1 sat (1000 msats):
• ROI: 100x (10,000%)
• Decimal: 101.00
• US Odds: +10000
The price is directly correlated to the probability.

2025-12-29 08:13:21 CET

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Thanks for the mention 🙏

2025-12-29 07:53:57 CET

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Yeah - as rightly mentioned. With 1k sats liquidity, the odds can move to extreme like 0.01% or 99.99% very quickly. If someone buys at that price and the market moves to the other extreme (0.01% -> 99.99%), then that trader made a killing. It's by design, thats how the markets work. Look at example below:
@ 0.01% the price per share is 10 mats to win 1 sat (1000 sat). The price is directly correlated to the probability.
Next time with your type of market - where you get so many traders and volume, I would add a liquidity of 50k-100k sats or even 200k sats. And at-least charge (0.99% buy, 0.95% sell, 0.25% win) fees.
Remember this is just a recommendation, they only way you'll recover your liquidity is by earning from trading fees.

2025-10-15 00:01:31 CEST

https://video.nostr.build/663a9bdbcc5a1140eac262674904664db94137855c9ba0d2817314e82b8afecb.mp4

2025-10-11 21:29:30 CEST

https://image.nostr.build/e48cfa06c510894c6ecc1a48774db7e101b9015b07c8ad1e45ff1338fa9188af.png
https://beta.predyx.com/

2025-10-11 19:44:13 CEST

CHAOS:
*When the present determines the future but the approximate present does not approximately determine the future.*
Do you care ? Prediction making is fun!
https://beta.predyx.com/category/sports

2025-10-10 11:16:47 CEST

⏱️📈 Oct 15 BTC daily close — pin the candle.
Trade the close now on Predyx ⚡️
https://beta.predyx.com/market/bitcoin-close-price-on-october-15-1760085415
#Bitcoin #BTC #LightningNetwork #Predyx

2025-10-10 08:15:12 CEST

🟧 126K again in October? YES/NO ⚡️
Trade it: https://beta.predyx.com/market/bitcoin-126k-again-in-october-1760073632
#Bitcoin #BTC #LightningNetwork

2025-10-09 03:41:42 CEST

Do or Die for #Phillies
🔗 Predict now: https://beta.predyx.com/market/nlds-dodgers-vs-phillies-1759469987?y
#MLB #NLDS #Dodgers #Phillies #PredictionMarket #Bitcoin

2025-10-07 15:01:35 CEST

$130K chase is on?🚀
Only $5000 away now 👀
Put your best guess at work for #Bitcoin 👇
🔗 https://beta.predyx.com/market/bitcoin-130k-in-october-1759386334
#Bitcoin #Predictionmarkets