Ex-TradFi trader. Master of crayons. 🖍️ In the game of trading crypto for more Bitcoin. 💸 Writing about what I observe, think and trade. 🔭
Public Key
npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Profile Code
nprofile1qqspz3kqmtlmyh9qdgn63unzgy5kx4cpqpc94yupehf5gy8p76k9encpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dsdeekk0
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Published at
2023-09-20T14:58:31+02:00 Event JSON
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"pubkey": "1146c0daffb25ca06a27a8f262412963570100705a9381cdd34410e1f6ac5ccf" ,
"created_at": 1695214711 ,
"kind": 0 ,
"tags": [],
"content": "{\"damus_donation_v2\":0,\"website\":\"\",\"nip05\":\"[email protected] \",\"picture\":\"https://image.nostr.build/7c8de748eaadd025d28c81bcc8e89cadd796a8742a8a5e90e8c70168918df3c6.jpg\",\"lud16\":\"[email protected] \",\"display_name\":\"\",\"about\":\"Ex-TradFi trader. Master of crayons. 🖍️ In the game of trading crypto for more Bitcoin. 💸 Writing about what I observe, think and trade. 🔭\",\"name\":\"Houston\",\"nip05valid\":true}" ,
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}
Last Notes npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Most market trends are lagging indicators, not predictors. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Edge comes from introspection, not consensus. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston When your process fails, don't patch it. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston The shitcoin season has already started. This cycle’s shitcoins are the Bitcoin treasury companies. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Rote practices are other people's solutions to other people's problems. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Early days force you to think in failure modes, not comfort zones. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Hope you’re enjoying the Summer so far. 😄 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston The loudest voices online are usually the least profitable offline. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston I would stop taking advice from people whose systems I wouldn't steal. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston The only opinions I trust are tested by price and process. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Best practices are other people's solutions to other people's problems. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Aqua and Fedi Bravo. 👍🏻 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston https://houstonwehaveaprob.substack.com/p/market-musings-charting-the-course?r=2tki10 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston gm - We made it past the Halving without a sell-off! npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston It looks like a green day is playing out so far. It’ll be interesting to watch how the next few days play out especially how we trade into the new week. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston 📢 Curious about the "Sell in May" effect and #Bitcoin? 🤔 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston I think it may be as well. 👍 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Will the Bitcoin halving be a sell-the-news event? 🟢🔴 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston New post on the substack - Will the Bitcoin Halving be a sell-the-news event? npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Buy when there’s blood in the streets npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston On the upside, we have the 38547 area which has some structure that is likely to be tested if we can break upwards. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Interestingly, the last time we had a momo-up on $BTC on the 3M chart was in Q4 2015, making that period the most analogous to our current cycle. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston How it started, how it's going YTD. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Watch $BTC last quarter's pivots carefully. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston VIX marked the upper BF trendline and sellers stepped in. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Keep an eye on the Yen which is set to break down. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston $BTC has reclaimed the 27508 pivot point which brings the monthly inside and up break back into play. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Nice episode Stephan. 👍 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston So you thought it was going to be up-only Uptober? Think again. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston 🤣 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston By now, most of you have probably seen a chart similar to this one, which shows that September is historically a seasonally weak month for $BTC. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston We're in the midst of a min peak-to-trough 10%+ correction in equities. 📈📉 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston lnbc10u1pj39c8npp5ue84rfxen2phskfctl2525gn228hcf8zru6z8t9yhfdwlk5dm3hsdq5g9kxy7fqd9h8vmmfvdjscqzzsxqyz5vqsp5fj7tt6egjdaprzrcfrvqpkxk4hwrryw7g87wd8x4qjp7vppe3k3q9qyyssq9yda52qprpw0y382rs4wv65temegr0g3j2psftturz8q9nen86f9rly6z2fl5y5nam4ucyc7jus5lqn9l2sftrpmwsmg3egym2zlvvcpcnu625 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston gm npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston https://image.nostr.build/42e266edf160175fecf4e60983c853e484e00c4f30d614a7bf752a270e3d542e.png npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston When it comes to studying price, it's important to recognize that price oscillates between periods of consolidation and expansion. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Hold on to your top hats, things are about to get bumpy. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston GM npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Breakout. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Kaching - thanks for playing. 🎰💸 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston $ETHBTC update. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Top of the morning. ☕ npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Pay attention. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston I'm pointing out the next significant pivot. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston As noted last week, the $VIX reversed and is now inching its way back up and tagged the 15 handle. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston The $VIX is setting up for a snapback rally and could be setting the stage for a volatile September. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston https://cdn.nostr.build/i/4b0058563145775f92d5f7451fea78c9794ccbbb437351c0969bdcfcf93ade14.jpg npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston So how did buying that local top on $BTC go? 🤣 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston All eyes on the #jobs report tomorrow. 👀 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Call it a slow-motion rug pull. 🦥🐌 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Want to see something cool? 👀 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Always some poor soul buying the breakout at the local top. 😓 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston $ETHBTC update npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston My bleeding eyes - ser, this is a chart crime. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Don't be fooled into chasing the price here. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston gm npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Repeat after me - "Markets don't bottom on Fridays". npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston 🤞 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Here's one of my all-time favorite trading quotes from a not-so-well-known book called Phantom of the Pits. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston 🤞 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Smoked chicken wings with salsa verde. 😋 https://cdn.nostr.build/i/9a77a92709ad4bc6e4c3451559b58c3d6aa22588aa87b1699189973a4162e7b9.jpg npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Still net short and waiting for breadth to get extended before I cover. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston $CRV is not out of the woods yet. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston 💯- but somehow these token schemes attract the fiat minded like a moth to a flame. When will it ever end? 😂 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Speaking of social websites, @npub1qny…95gx, i'd love to hear your take on friend.tech. 🤣 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston where is this? npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston 2 charts I'm watching closely - npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Everyone should get one of these. 💪 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Kaching - As the saying goes, sometimes all you have to do is wait until all the chips are on one side of the table. 💰 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Few really understand broadening formations. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Amazing powdered runs at Owl's Head. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston just testing my nostr account on #Current App, shoot me a Zap! npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Any web3 KOL's on nostr yet? npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston $BTC update npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Spent the day on the slopes. npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston 🙋🏼 npub1z9rvpkhlkfw2q6384rexysffvdtszqrst2fcrnwngsgwra4vtn8s9ljj33 Houston Most traders understand that trading is a probability game but mostly plan for the probability that they will win.
