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Public Key

npub1vdaz78d96t7pjakpfmqqlr4wgq26l6vmkf25782n05qgdgtfmk8s297rjz

Profile Code

nprofile1qqsxx730rkja9lqewmq5asq036hyq9d0axdmy420r4fh6qyx595amrcpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dsmspt7f

Publishing to

relay.damus.io

nos.lol

Last Notes

2026-03-03 23:21:11 CET

*bottlenecks are not natural obstacles – they are, in most cases, the consequence of increasing production until you hit a bottleneck. If AI removes a bunch of bottlenecks, that won’t be used to produce the same output faster and cheaper, it will be used to produce a lot more output until a new bottleneck is reached and requires human intervention*
https://backofmind.substack.com/p/finally-we-have-created-the-silver

2026-03-01 05:50:00 CET

The more chilling the winter, the more glorious the spring

2026-02-25 11:21:13 CET

*The problem isn't the architecture. It's the surface area. OpenClaw gives you enough rope to build a suspension bridge and hang yourself. The defaults assume you know what thinking mode does. The delivery status assumes you understand the announce pipeline. The documentation assumes you'll figure out heartbeat.model before your agent sends 271 messages at 5 AM.*
https://blog.rezvov.com/deploying-openclaw-sixteen-incidents-one-day

2026-02-25 11:17:06 CET

😑
*The model fabricated identifiers with the confidence of someone giving you directions to a restaurant they've never been to.*
https://blog.rezvov.com/deploying-openclaw-sixteen-incidents-one-day

2026-02-25 00:05:51 CET

*There's no firewall between the most capable people in business and the power of the state, business and state are just tools wielded as leverage over society in general. People tend to either think that businesses run the government, or that the government interferes with business, when in reality they are levers on the same machine.*
https://stacker.news/items/1440441/r/halalmoney?commentId=1441492

2026-02-14 21:13:09 CET

The good news: nostr now has more than 12 active npubs
The bad news: you're getting schooled by a bot.

2026-02-14 14:07:45 CET

*Boundaries create the necessary tension for purpose to exist*
#nevent1q…sk04

2026-02-14 12:34:56 CET

Nature > slop
https://cdn.nostrcheck.me/637a2f1da5d2fc1976c14ec00f8eae4015afe99bb2554f1d537d0086a169dd8f/3f7a022c99903ebe49ef2b1716abd86e26437d864c3881b56ec981a53e84780a.webp

2026-02-13 09:50:33 CET

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You will own nothing and still be taxed 🫠

2026-02-12 12:31:43 CET

*"Unless a pick-up in nominal growth drives higher incomes and tax revenues – AI investment and/or productivity per se might not be enough – some countries might face tough consolidation challenges," HSBC analysts wrote last week.
The consolidation needed would be large. With borrowing costs at current levels, HSBC estimates that the U.S. would need a fiscal adjustment of over 4% of GDP to stabilize its debt-to-GDP ratio, with 3% required by France, and 2% by the UK and Germany.
Consolidations of such scale are rare. In major advanced economies since 1990, there have been only eight of over 4% of GDP during a 5-year period, with fifteen over 3% of GDP in that timeframe.
Whether all this fiscal expansion ends in currency debasement, hyperinflation and crashing bond markets is a separate debate. But even if these doomsday scenarios fail to play out, it's fair to assume that bond markets will be under pressure moving forward.*
Reuters

2026-02-10 12:27:43 CET

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If normies don't go long on the stock market, they get ravaged by inflation.
If they do, their incentives align with the 'system'.

2026-02-07 09:11:54 CET

*Discipline theater / sacrificial names
Designated villains for hearings & scandals.*
#nevent1q…jkf7

2026-02-06 00:07:29 CET

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I don't often not quote post, but when I don't, I get asked why I didn't....

2026-02-05 19:19:16 CET

*Maybe it’s not volatility people fear… maybe it’s unfamiliarity.*
#nevent1q…hyrj

2026-01-31 23:52:14 CET

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This is a great article. Thanks for writing this.
We live in a complex world (which generally means most emphatic predictions are proven wrong); your article gentle pulls on these various strands of complexity to build a compelling narrative.

2026-01-28 23:48:01 CET

*"The state" is ephemeral because it can be divided against itself. Every state has a shadow-state or rival state lying in wait. This is the closest thing to market dynamics we can get in a natural monopoly that there is always an apex force.*
https://stacker.news/items/1421604/r/halalmoney?commentId=1421694

2026-01-27 19:37:56 CET

*Discipline compounds. Showing up compounds. The right space amplifies everything.*
#nevent1q…9td6

2026-01-25 21:34:31 CET

https://cdn.nostrcheck.me/637a2f1da5d2fc1976c14ec00f8eae4015afe99bb2554f1d537d0086a169dd8f/e1ba34ac37eb6407fb74921a82693aec25c6290cdf0053e2147aeef2c94f9ce6.webp

2026-01-25 12:10:51 CET

GM fellow spyware users!

2026-01-24 22:39:02 CET

🍰
*belief and delusion… are related only in that they are points of view without incontrovertible proof in their favor. Delusion is believing something that is incontrovertibly false.
Belief is an ingredient of delusion like flour is an ingredient of cake. But flour is not cake and cake is not flour.*
https://stacker.news/items/1418727/r/halalmoney?commentId=1418841

2026-01-23 00:33:34 CET

*when trust frays in the financial system hard assets regain prominence. The lesson is simple: geopolitics cannot be separated from markets. They are intertwined and ignoring that link can be costly. The prudent move is not just to watch these developments but to be structurally prepared well ahead of such episodes*
https://stacker.news/items/1417355/r/halalmoney?commentId=1417529

2026-01-23 00:26:03 CET

*Derivatives set the interim price of Bitcoin. Saylor persistently buying coins is priced in so the price doesn't move on the news and in fact it probably reacts negatively after his purchases because traders know there is whale demand that won't be back in the market in the near term so they can happily sell or short.
…there is probably a smart trading outfit out there that has figured this out and knows when to sell during Saylor's buying window and when to buy back after the price has dropped post his buys. Rinse and repeat.
Even though it doesn't look like it, my guess is they are probably pretty strategic with buys and do them with as little interference to the market price as possible. the real market impact would probably only be seen if they exhausted OTC desks of their supply and they had to go into the spot market to buy to satisfy demand.
This also gets into the paper bitcoin question. If an OTC desk was running out of Bitcoin could they call up Coinbase to borrow some. Which depending on Coinbase Prime customers agreements may or not be Saylor's own coins. Haha*
https://stacker.news/items/1417367/r/halalmoney?commentId=1417620

2026-01-23 00:23:37 CET

*If Saylor's buys truly don't move the market consistently in any direction, that suggests that exchange orderbooks are only a small fraction of the latent supply of bitcoins in the market, since Saylor is buying OTC.
The exchanges themselves may also be willing to sell Bitcoin on a very elastic basis, since they probably don't have a strong preference for either dollars or Bitcoin, they make money off volume and they only need enough holdings to cover withdrawal events.*
https://stacker.news/items/1417367/r/halalmoney?commentId=1417460

2026-01-06 09:12:43 CET

https://cdn.nostrcheck.me/637a2f1da5d2fc1976c14ec00f8eae4015afe99bb2554f1d537d0086a169dd8f/3aa23feafdcc9801a00d9dda1e84f17d70c9cc9cd42fecd91ea95adef5d24bd9.webp

2026-01-04 10:20:59 CET

*crypto doesn’t eliminate trust problems, it often just concentrates them in new ways*
https://stacker.news/items/1402670/r/halalmoney?commentId=1402759

2026-01-03 16:36:22 CET

https://cdn.nostrcheck.me/637a2f1da5d2fc1976c14ec00f8eae4015afe99bb2554f1d537d0086a169dd8f/a748e2fee7903d55ccd638484b9731c3f05798a5b5e598add938ab152e1aac39.webp

2026-01-03 00:39:05 CET

*Fiat is an experimental kind of currency that is (weirdly) printed by each individual country, and people took somewhat seriously between roughly 1600 AD and 2009 AD. It tends to gradually lose value over time. You could show Fiat in Euros if you wanted, instead of dollars, with this switch.*
https://stacker.news/items/1401906/r/halalmoney

2026-01-01 13:42:20 CET

*What a business will declare for taxation [has] nothing to do with what they use as [a] form of money. The taxation event is on the invoicing volume, NOT on the money aspect.*
https://stacker.news/items/1400811/r/halalmoney?commentId=1400845

2026-01-01 01:23:55 CET

*A ruler whose subjects cannot leave can afford to be predatory. A ruler whose subjects can vanish into the ether must offer value or be abandoned*
https://primal.net/maxhillebrand/feff4dc2ceb979bc

2025-12-31 21:23:19 CET

*When algorithms decide what we see, when monetary policy decides what we can save, when platforms decide what we can say, are we really free? Or are we operating within an illusion of choice?*
#nevent1q…8geu

2025-12-31 18:51:49 CET

https://stacker.news/items/1400178/r/halalmoney?commentId=1400305
https://cdn.nostrcheck.me/637a2f1da5d2fc1976c14ec00f8eae4015afe99bb2554f1d537d0086a169dd8f/69c5b9c5e238a8d97dfac9328f369a2a4afc998612a0aecd6db3f1b968de74d4.webp

2025-12-29 22:51:23 CET

You either disappear early enough to be a hero, or linger long enough to become a state asset.

2025-12-28 08:17:10 CET

*The deeper economic truth here is that reproduction at scale in affluent settings becomes a form of capital investment with heavy ongoing expenditure. It is a status game where the currency is not just money but the human capital and logistical machine needed to raise multiple children with a certain quality of life. In that sense it may be the purest form of the luxury flex today precisely because it cannot be bought in an instant. It must be sustained year after year which is why it remains unattainable for most and aspirational for many.*
https://stacker.news/items/1383746/r/halalmoney?commentId=1383980

2025-12-23 17:49:45 CET

*Lightning enables people with no wealth to save the ability to EARN Bitcoin in a disinter-mediated way.*
https://stacker.news/items/1369023/r/halalmoney?commentId=1370401

2025-12-22 18:20:27 CET

*Private Dominance: While the media focuses on a "Strategic Reserve," the real power lies in the fact that Americans and US companies own ~40% of the total Bitcoin supply.
The GDP Multiplier: As the Dollar Wrecking Ball liquidates foreign moochers, Bitcoin and US stables act as exit ramps. Because the US dominates Bitcoin supply, a pump in Bitcoin price acts as a massive injection of equity into the American balance sheet—effectively raising GDP and fixing the debt-to-equity ratio without needing a taxpayer bailout. The game theory has won; the US is irretractably incentivized to pump the corn.*
https://stacker.news/items/1360945/r/halalmoney

2025-11-16 13:25:40 CET

*money enables us to manage temporal uncertainty. Human action is oriented towards the future, but limited by immediate needs. By storing value in the form of money (savings), individuals can secure their subsistence in the short term and plan long-term actions, thereby reinforcing intertemporal coordination and economic stability*
#nevent1q…daym

2025-11-15 20:21:04 CET

*The more we can pay bitcoin for the goods and services of our daily lives, the less likely the kyc regime matters*
https://stacker.news/items/1282335/r/halalmoney

2025-11-06 17:07:14 CET

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I don’t often zap, but when I do, it’s to stop Contra giving me cognitive dissonance

2025-10-29 09:49:34 CET

*dispensationalist heresy… has turned faith into foreign policy and worship into warfare*
#nevent1q…nle0

2025-10-28 11:42:16 CET

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Consider following @npub14hq…jjzu and responding to his thought provoking notes.
Your nostr experience is driven by how much you converse.
Welcome to the bright side.

2025-10-24 00:24:44 CEST

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Bookmark it to manage the dopamine and not be managed by the dopamine
Think about it
Return later
Read the comments
Add a comment if there’s something useful or kind to say

2025-10-22 16:02:42 CEST

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Politics is the entertainment division of the <insert relevant power structure> industrial complex

2025-10-20 23:57:55 CEST

*Your mission as a Bitcoin operator is simple: survive long enough for the [fiat] system to exhaust itself.*
#nevent1q…xzlr

2025-10-16 20:05:04 CEST

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This is a hard hitting note. There’s a chasm between someone getting ‘some’ of ‘something’ good and new just in case it catches on and truly burning bridges with what something one holds to be evil but prevalent.

2025-10-08 13:37:40 CEST

*If Bitcoin can be killed by one attacker sending one instance of illegal content, then it was never antifragile. This argument concedes Bitcoin can’t survive adversarial use, which undermines the entire value proposition*
#nevent1q…lx40

2025-10-02 09:50:05 CEST

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👀

2025-09-23 12:45:41 CEST

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https://media.tenor.com/Fi20GOBRKgQAAAAC/kung-fu-panda-finally-a-worthy-opponent.gif

2025-09-23 12:29:05 CEST

*We need to destructure government so that civilization and industry can restructure itself.*
#nevent1q…kn9c

2025-09-22 19:38:37 CEST

Not sure if this is a flywheel or a scam….
https://stacker.news/items/1232664/r/halalmoney

2025-09-19 13:08:37 CEST

*Former President Barack Obama, in a post on X on Thursday, said, “After years of complaining about cancel culture, the current administration has taken it to a new and dangerous level by routinely threatening regulatory action against media companies unless they muzzle or fire reporters and commentators it doesn’t like.”
“This is precisely the kind of government coercion that the First Amendment was designed to prevent — and media companies need to start standing up rather than capitulating to it,” Obama wrote.*
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/18/jimmy-kimmel-charlie-kirk-fcc-carr.html

2025-09-19 10:42:19 CEST

*A slower pace, but a steadier step*
#nevent1q…p0a4

2025-09-15 12:16:47 CEST

*The antidote isn't stronger opinions; it's stronger defaults and pre-committed rules. Read the incentives; expect the behavior; position ahead of it.*
#nevent1q…el57

2025-09-15 12:14:48 CEST

*How to tell if you're acting against your own long-term interest:
- If the benefit is now and the cost is later, assume you're under-pricing the cost.
- If a choice preserves belonging, assume you're over-weighting identity.
- If the platform chose the default, assume it benefits them more than you.
- If the metric is public, assume it's being gamed (by you or to you).
- If a habit depends on willpower, assume it will fail under stress.*
#nevent1q…el57

2025-09-15 12:12:50 CEST

*Meta-incentives dominate beliefs. Even smart people first decide what benefits them (status, income, network), then craft rationalizations*
#nevent1q…el57

2025-09-12 15:50:31 CEST

Contra - I am going to have to turn on notifications for your notes. Too good too miss!
*the system is… designed to manage narratives and protect power structures*
#nevent1q…c2gn

2025-09-11 00:44:32 CEST

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Interesting.
The WoT filter meant that I saw comments directly under the video which led me to avoid clicking play.
I appreciate this useful dialogue between you two.

2025-09-09 11:40:15 CEST

*The best anyone can do is reduce reliance and entanglement with government*
#nevent1q…8kjj

2025-08-31 17:59:53 CEST

*victim mentality has become a substitute for character development*
#nevent1q…nt4e

2025-08-29 19:40:52 CEST

Really enjoying your notes, Contra.
🫡🔥
*younger people are looking at Bitcoin and seeing something their parents can’t: that money doesn’t have to be controlled by governments, and that maybe, just maybe, we’ve been getting quietly robbed our entire lives through monetary policy*
#nevent1q…04hv

2025-08-21 20:28:54 CEST

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Make asking “who benefits?” great again.

2025-08-21 20:24:50 CEST

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It’s a tough one. Boomers may say that they simply worked hard to buy a home and they used what they had available (cheap loans, tax incentives etc.)
For me, it’s more important to fix the system than to dislike a particular generation.

2025-08-21 20:18:38 CEST

This bad boy’s been chomping away for hours.
#pow
https://cdn.nostrcheck.me/637a2f1da5d2fc1976c14ec00f8eae4015afe99bb2554f1d537d0086a169dd8f/b5ce9f7a3ab8475c7d3578cc549c8382eb6773817d981155326ff23d6bc1768a.webp

2025-08-18 08:33:52 CEST

*the most pressing danger of fiat money games is that paper bitcoin winds up being rehypothecated*
https://stacker.news/items/1083352/r/halalmoney?commentId=1083482

2025-08-16 13:44:11 CEST

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Nice!
Bitcoin protects your efforts over time.
Don't let the fiat mindset stop you from doing what's important.
Think twice about farming out your ideas to the fiat world in exchange for a meagre return. See if you can do things yourself; it may be harder but it's a way to manifest pow.

2025-08-15 16:12:24 CEST

"the left... have so much admiration for grids that entrap individuals that they often forget these grids will soon become tools of the worst individuals and predators. Governments that should create a peaceful environment are the main cause of wars and economical crisis."
#nevent1q…07j8

2025-08-13 22:50:47 CEST

“Much like other sectors, [the fitness industry] profits from dependency, not health”
#nevent1q…4gw3

2025-08-06 10:16:00 CEST

“A citadel without power is essentially a mirage, looks great from afar but ultimately unfeasible.”
#nevent1q…a3ke

2025-08-03 18:20:35 CEST

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Welcome!

2025-08-03 18:12:42 CEST

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Overvaluation of the convenience of an established platform.
Undervaluation of the benefits of a fledgling protocol.

2025-07-27 13:04:12 CEST

“In the short term, the basic arithmetic of bond markets has deteriorated; more supply coupled with a reduction in both reliable and speculative demand. And that means higher bond yields look probable, forcing governments to pay more to fund their ever-growing deficits. The maths of governing developed countries looks likely to get increasingly difficult.”
https://stacker.news/items/1055018/r/halalmoney

2025-07-26 20:24:15 CEST

“Most "liberals" are just larping and are actually tribal partisans. I learned this the hard way when all my fellow liberals suddenly stopped opposing war, prohibition, and mass deportation the second Obama was the one doing it.
They aren't saying anything that gets them expelled from mainstream platforms. It's entirely predictable that alternative platforms are dominated by fringe weirdos.”
https://stacker.news/items/1054931/r/halalmoney?commentId=1055067

2025-07-26 20:22:47 CEST

“Trump is a reflection of both sides. He's a result not a cause. He's the dam not the flood. I don't fear him in the slightest. I fear the hatred and disillusionment that created his rise. Half of the people are fed up with the system (as they see it) and the other half want it back as it was. It's not going back, but the new right hasn't won either.”
https://stacker.news/items/1054931/r/halalmoney?commentId=1055423