Bitcoin OG since 2010, former laptop solo miner - which makes me (amongst) the first obsolete Bitcoin miner(s), blockstream satellite node runner, #2A rights user, radiologist
Public Key
npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd Profile Code
nprofile1qqsy7nuzs3nf3lmx4e06n7k5crzwk7pr47c8l204f65azhcjz7hfdnqpzfmhxue69uhk7enxvd5xz6tw9ec82csprpmhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuumwdae8gtnnda3kjctv59h5kw
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2026-03-04T03:37:33+01:00 Event JSON
{
"id": "fdc51b4dc036746961f7b196a7862ccbd15a28d8ab64dfd78bde85a51a0539b4" ,
"pubkey": "4f4f82846698ff66ae5fa9fad4c0c4eb7823afb07fa9f54ea9d15f1217ae96cc" ,
"created_at": 1772591853 ,
"kind": 0 ,
"tags": [],
"content": "{\"banner\":\"https://image.nostr.build/842eb076243fe73b8e5af11189295e42fa3c6636c80584c35dce391c05d9f2e9.jpg\",\"about\":\"Bitcoin OG since 2010, former laptop solo miner - which makes me (amongst) the first obsolete Bitcoin miner(s), blockstream satellite node runner, #2A rights user, radiologist\",\"picture\":\"https://image.nostr.build/768d70206f3c17a9bc825aca313a16f6906813beb876795fa59154c8fc3ebd8d.jpg\",\"name\":\"drgo\",\"website\":\"https://quantoshi.xyz\",\"lud16\":\"[email protected] \",\"nip05\":\"[email protected] \",\"display_name\":\"Quantoshi.xyz\"}" ,
"sig": "5f346c4e0832efeb7ae50ee72c252f6a90c06fa6c646fcf6d9d9dc87ad148570a53bf9516181fedb0ba4c0f84b98ed4172c20e1d45dff41209d414af7ad2dafb"
}
Last Notes npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Is that why I hit my session and weekly limit so quickly? npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Amen sister! npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo So I’ve been using Claude code for 2-3 weeks…it’s kinda slow. I have an intel k series CPU with built in graphics but not a discreet GPU. I downloaded qwencode-next today. 50 GB model. Fits in ram. It’s too slow. Definitely slower than Claude where for my work I can issue 3-6 commands per hour as opposed to 1-2 running locally… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo https://napavalleyfocus.substack.com/p/sunday-e-dition-looking-back-at-150 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo An amazing building. It seems population would be too small for such a building. What’s the conspiracy angle? npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Social shaming of miners will work better than temper tantrum soft forks. Also, you can set your node to blocks only mode, which I would argue is the best way to fight spam on an individual node level. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Which fee are you setting? You are free to charge transaction relay fees to people submitting transactions to your node, though nobody does and AFAIK no node software supports that feature. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo This is your logical fallacy. Think carefully about the cost and I think you’ll realize your argument is an emotional one, not a factual one. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Simple. Let the most valuable use case win. Who gave you the right to unfairly cheap bitcoin monetary transactions? You want security with that money? Pay for it. If you won’t pay for it, then you don’t value money enough to use bitcoin as money. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Exactly. And donating masssively to security of the network for trivially inexpensive data storage is a good trade off. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo It will be a generous donation to the security of the network. One your descendants will loathe you for :) npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I see you place high value on distributed long term data storage with high availability. Most people don’t share your view and won’t pay such insanely high prices to keep bitcoin secure. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo 😂 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo $30,000 for cloud storage of a single down-resolution sub megapixel photo is above market rates. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Radiologists are known as the doctor’s doctor. We are the ones who make your doctor look like a super hero :) npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I had the chance to store a photo of my family on the blockchain. I chose not too…not because it was too expensive, it was only 0.5 bitcoin to do so, but because it seemed like spam. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo It’s a shame there are no consensus rules to protect bitcoin from spam…and if there are consensus rules to protect bitcoin from spam, we should tighten them so much that bitcoin can never do anything other than pay to public key hashes of a specific form. And those hashes must correspond to real private keys, so transactions need to prove key existence by disclosing pubkey so to prevent arbitrary data storage. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo If bitcoin can’t out price data storage, it has a problem. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Fancy math is just a more precise way to express ideas…but the ideas matter more than the math. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Here’s is a carbon copy of history superimposed on power law support curve…if I had more time, I’d scale the second copy of price history to have bubbles peak along an exponential decay envelope. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo What if we need more security than money itself can buy for bitcoin? I mean, what if people won’t pay enough for bitcoin transactions based on its money properties alone? npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Murderous crybabies. They’re a little more dangerous than the regular type of crybaby. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo It’s possible that bitcoin just becomes boring…SSDD parametric extrapolation courtesy of yours truly. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo If rational hopium, look at the bottom of the curve. The bottom ¼ or so of the data has a very consistent power law trend. The 50th percentile and up are unstable. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Yup. Time sinks. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I suspect that it’s possible that maybe it could be at least slightly more than nothing. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo If you ever need an opinion of a well trained radiologist, and almost certainly the first radiologist if not first physician in bitcoin, feel free to shoot me a DM. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo No. He just made it up. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Any small group wanting to push bitcoin around will fail. And knots is the small group. Just like bcash. They’ve failed to make a compelling argument for almost all of their points and it shows. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I’ll be that guy in the ground someday… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo This makes sense. Like a lot of sense. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Good call. Let him dump. There aren’t an infinite number of such folks. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo If you parameterize #Bitcoin bubbles, you can extrapolate in parameter space…I next want to Fourier transform price & look for major & minor bubble peaks because in parameter space two frequencies of bubbles could collide and mimic a trend to lengthening bubble plateaus. But that’ll have to wait a lil bit. https://github.com/bg002h/BitcoinPowerLawModelExtrapolation/blob/main/SP.py npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Oh, and extrapolation is done in parameter space: I fit the bubbles with three line segments (up, over, and down) and extrapolate how long and at what angle the up, over, and down line segments would be based on prior trends in parameter space. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Same Stuff, Different Day. Extrapolate the last few bubbles to predict the next few. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo As the great Plan B has taught us by through his wrong but useful stock to flow model “all models are wrong, but some are useful,” I’d like to throw my hat into this modeling ring. I don’t intend to be right, not any more than Plan B did, but I hope to be useful over a short time frame (which inarguably S2F was for anyone who wasn’t brain dead). npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Bitcoin private key backup solutions have typically been either durable or easy. Easy typically meant digital and durable meant pounding or removing metal. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo 21%? That’s slavery. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo As much as I’m really happy for Peter schiff, it’s important to realize gold price has only gone up 100x over 93 years…and some of that time your were forbidden BY THE GOVERNMENT from owning gold bullion… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I’m on arch (cachy os), but not married to it. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Mommy, look at all those poor people! npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo The emergency economic powers act granting the president authority to regulate international commerce has far worse potential use cases than just tariffs…it is good that after only a mere 49 years the courts have decided to step in a begin to hint at a trimming of this power. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Iepa is an evil law in the first place. May it die a quick death. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Is zorin OS all that interesting? npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Lesson is: some money isn’t worth the hassle npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Specifically: https://www.lopp.net/media-archive/uncensored/Vinay%20Gupta%20talks%20Ethereum,%20blockchain,%20and%20the%20Future!%20on%20Bitcoin%20Uncensored.mp4 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo https://www.lopp.net/media-archive/uncensored/ npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo The seeds are real. And a really good idea should SHTF. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Ah….this I believe. My mother-in-law got her bitcoin exchange account closed because she kept asking them to reset her password without bothering with that whole 2FA thing…she didn’t get it and they presumed she was a scammer and booted her. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Gotta love AI npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Sounds like a scammer npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I don’t. Some kind of Planck allusion? That’s 100 tera quetta hashes per second…obviously those are performed in parallel, but even with concurrency, I’m not sure enough time exists for information to flow across a chip for even 1 step of a hash calculation… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo This mental disorder is worth thinking about in a nuanced fashion: delusional psychotic disorder, persecutory subtype, with bizarre content. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo From the DSM: psychotic disorders, delusional disorder, persecutory subtype with bizarre content npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Give that girls some sats! npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I know recent social programming forbids questioning victims, but martyrdom complexes are a thing…I wonder if there is a mental disorder that causes people to claim rich and famous harmed them…I suspect there are lots of frivolous lawsuits against rich and famous of a less intimate nature and I wonder how much, if any, of such a disorder explains some of the more bizarre allegations of late. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo He is in denial npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo There is a hidden blessing to having the US put out over $1T in interest payments: return of capital to private hands more quickly. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I have much more in real bitcoin, but for the money I’m not allowed to have (like retirement funds), it’s the best I can do. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Not at all, why? I did it in 2020, so I’m up 3x compared to bitcoin and 9x compared to investment. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo And they happen about every 4 years 😂 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo A lesson in over-fitting your data…sure, my model gets and R^2 of 0.9945 but it predicts jack… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Best response ever. Well done brother! npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Maybe @npub12ct…c5ky #coldcard could have a practice mode where it functions only in testnet(s) mode and stores seed outside of secured memory and doesn’t enforce 13 pin attempts and allows time restrictions to be bypassed/adds a time forward button… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I autoban autobeggars. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo All models are wrong, or at least have wrong components. This fits much better than any power law model but what good is it if it doesn’t back test? npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I think I have found an idea for better bitcoin power law regression. Claude code seems to be choking on it though… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Well, bitcointalk.org is still around :) npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo At the end of the day, all I really accomplished was contributing to the coffers of some rather sketchy people…charity is the biggest scam :) npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I made some more Bitcoin price history plots, but now with percentiles instead of confidence intervals…see full history and extrapolation, in what seems to me to be kinda over the top colors and black and white, with table. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Crime data is impossible to reason about. It’s all obfuscated to keep people from being able to make conclusions. I would not take a stand too firmly in any camp on crime, especially criminal violence with or without arms… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Ultra wealthy bitcoiners do need proper education…You see, those that have held on for 15 years or so never intended to be rich and never thought about what they would do when they got there. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo A long time ago I supported a singer whose name escapes me…Google then Bitcoin Jingle, powerful song…and then I threw a little coin at a guy named Johnny Barret (Ode to Satoshi, another great song)…I was hopeful more along the lines of these songs would take off, but the time wasn’t right. But maybe soon. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo You do realize what type of person is bitcoin rich, right? I’ve interacted with many of them and art/music/creativity is not what I would call their forté… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo White, hardworking, tax paying type. The kind dems used to not to try replace to win elections; pan-state replacement was a big blue mistake…the invention of migrants getting in on the scam themselves (as opposed to just politicians in blue states cashing in on serving all these new poor people) was also a big blue mistake. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Red states would have left long ago without transfer payments. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I agree that the people who are imported are a net drag; I’m talking about the future though…like 50-100 years from now. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo It was like watching a scared child fall back on primitive neurological programming…I know she seems like an idiot, and I don’t doubt that she is, but what I saw was a form of stress induced neurologic dysfunction out of proportion to what the situation seemed to call for…my gut says her situation is very different than what it appears. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo And you wonder why democrats imported people? It is politically unpopular to import, and it used to be a thing republicans did that democrats hated but both sides back then knew it was a game, and neither tried to weaponize the process to guarantee either unending democrat power by upsetting the balance of red and blue states nor by actually cracking down on the problem and using it as a major campaign issue… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo It’s little details like this that make me love the minds over at @npub12ct…c5ky : Forever Calculator mode…playful and brilliant and responsible and security conscious as well. @npub1az9…m8y8 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Ever notice how humanity doesn’t have alpha males? I don’t mean the alpha personality, which is somewhat common, I mean the widespread existence of males who beat other males routinely to deny them mating access to females in the group. While I’m sure this exists is weird isolated circumstances, it’s not a feature of humanity as a whole as it is with all primates. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I think everyone agrees that war is bad, and I think war is bad too. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo lol, this is by far the stupidest thing you post on here…this offends me more than your Nazi-loving…and I’m a lifetime member of Jews for the protection of firearm ownership npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo They should probably be asymmetric, seeking to capture the correct amount of data points above the line separate from the number below the line.
