I am a volatility-based trader who is a derivatives junkie at 🧡 I swing BTC SPOT using a Fibonacci automated system with entry gated by GEX levels 〰️ and perpetual contracts through an always-in perpetual_motion 🤖 system I've built · ⚡️ ₿TC stacks in cold-storage ALWAYS ⚡️ · Node runner hashing 150 Th/s • Building my own templates⚡️ feeding L2 support 🪩 Posting open-source code as I go ⅏
Public Key
npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 Profile Code
nprofile1qqs2geun35swmraj0w3h5rpw8da9y3jj3uy6qajl857y0c7rsdepxhqpyfmhxue69uhkx6rpwskhyetvv9uju7npwqkhwmmjdvhxxmmd9a4xzer9qy28wumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyv9kh2uewd9hsdrkng8
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Published at
2026-08-02T17:10:01+02:00 Event JSON
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Last Notes npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good Morning -- Here is my volatility landscape entering the week with the current (bearish) 🦋still searching for it's T2. Remember we are also ending the month (August) and are in the 2nd deviation still. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV 🐻 Bearish Shark 🦈 npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV That's what coiled realized volatility with a catalyst and 3 days of pure POSITIVE gamma explosion look like...but now the call wall is dropping back to 75k. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV @nprofile…88xd what is the gamma exposure above bitcoin’s price action right now? npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Closing long futures I grabbed this morning. We are at the 66,000 CW - I am now all cash. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Call wall is moving to 66K large gamma build overhead. I’m hedging again and shaving my short position. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good things never come of forcing liquidity in. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Update: I ’m out working in Breckenridge, CO on a beautiful Tuesday after a perfectly placed hedge on my short perps position. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Do we means revert on the day or expand? npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good Morning -- npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV That's a great perspective. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Opening to 1.5 sigma on the day with my hedge -- @nprofile…mhjz probably buying npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Happy Sunday! npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good Morning -- Volatility is a coiled spring right now. Stay sharp.= npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV ☀️ Good morning -- I have dialed back the sensitivity of @nprofile…svst when it comes to alerting the change in dealer's FLIP level to be less noisy. It's still important to be aware of but I felt like as O/I shuffled it broadcasted too much. Cheers. ☀️ npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Here is a look at the DVOL (bitcoin's volatility index) with my HV tracking work overlaid -- npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV 🚨Volatility is massively compressed 📉 BUYER BE WARNED 🚨 npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I am looking to hedge my position into the weekend. Watching GEX levels with structure shifts. In front of the tape, put expired is looking like a magnet and coincides with lower volatility levels with the next Gann fan support. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV 🔥 read! npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I forgot to even say it...dang American. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV New Yearly low on realized monthly vol -- massive spring is coiled here. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I love days where the intraday is extremely volatile and at the end of the cash session, price rises into the UTC closing for the day. It closes near flat and compresses vol even more -- npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Cheers! npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV If we close at the daily open, HV compresses more toward yearly lows. If we sell to IV (daily) -- volume starts its expansion imho. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV FLIP is bouncing, but I have eyes on $62,500 -- CW sitting at 65k with the PW at 62k. That would be IV on the day and a bounce off the lower (slightly red) Gann Fan zone (confluence). npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV That funding, so hawt right now... npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV infiltrated npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV The CALL WALL and FLIP have moved — stay sharp npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I love all equally and unconditionally. I strive to better understand my enemy and why they have lost the same path, which is from the heart. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I wish I could hang one of those "You Are Here" signs on the front door. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good Morning -- The institutional bid is no joke, I can see that liquidity punch through on the patterns, but there is no stopping unfolding volatility imho -- You can throw as much liquidity as you want at a chart, but the elasticity will only grow tighter until the buyer/seller runs out of momentum. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV The dealers FLIP has moved and is showing confluence with the golden pocket on the day. Walls have tightened as the CALL wall sits now at $65,000. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV OK, if you had to pick one.. who looks cooler a firefighter or an airplane pilot? npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Look at how compressed HV7 is to IV (daily) — watching the larger picture with my Gann Fan overlay. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Oil spiking I didn’t realize the street was closed again. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV “ The fed that is talking hawkish, but acting dovish..” npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Flat day so far with the dealer FLIP dropping into DVOL range ($65,877) as we are entering the week with gamma balanced with walls (62k - 66k) shifting slightly. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV The start of August has been rocky and my heart goes out to all the people that were affected by ColdCard and the BTCPayServer attacks. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I love Sunday, for me, it's such a day of peace/reflection with time to yourself and aligning into the next week's goals. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Check it out -- npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I sacrifice everything for mom to raise the kids. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Flattt npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Dundundunnnnnnn npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I’d say that’s a lot of tinfoil and I sit on the side of no amount of money NOR power and dictate how Bitcoin history/future unfolds npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Spread is getting wider.. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Alright, here we go again... npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good Morning --- my chain-tip has just gone <62 blocks to mandatory signaling ✅ npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV 145 Blocks in the last 12 hours on my memepool -- that's 7% of the last 24 hours worth of blocks and your saying that's the 90th percentile of the last 30 days..yeah that check out npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV fill...cover..hedge...fill..cover..DO YOU EVER EXIT?? npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I felt like I was the last simp holding on..It's nothing but a paperweight to me now though...a piece of history i hold. Nothing else npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good Morning! Fresh roll hitting the tapes today -- npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good morning -- Here we are again..I am still in position (short perps) with conviction, as realized vol continues to compress.. I am watching the SAT OPEN for reversion as one step closer to pattern distribution completion. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Vol is cheapppp npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Broader market (US) is now up 50.00 is five days (SPY)..ask yourself...can it last? npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Practice unconditional love. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Here is a fun one for you this morning -- This is the BTCDVOL on the chart with my HV14/HV30/HV90 realized vol layered from excel. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good Morning -- Here is my updated volatility tracking indicator (open-sourced on trading view) with the Gann Fan layered in as I like to view confluence on support and resistance zones. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Volatility index is getting cheaper by the day. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good morning to anyone out there -- Do you think she'll hang on....❓ npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Γ GEX — BTC $63,868 npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I present to you.. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I see we slapped the call wall then price descend back to where it opened yesterday. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV @nprofile…svst What are the current BTC exchange levels in their reserves they could possible dump down at the lower vol band here? npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good Morning -- Here we are again after the weekend meltdown with the Gann Fan overlaid on my orbiting (daily, weekly, monthly) volatility calculations taken from the current volatility index (BTCDVOL). These vol bands are undated for the AUG monthly -- npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Writing down your passphrase next to your seed is horrible advice -- not verifying the entropy by dice yourself is a mistake some just paid with their entire savings. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV The irony of buying it from the company that just loss all trust! Oy!! npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV In the end, that hedge would of been beautiful being set when I saw that volatility rebound. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV 🚨‼️ ATTENTION ‼️🚨 npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Lots of exchanges loading up with coin. Watching for selling pressure to increase. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV That is my automated fiboniacci_bot taking position currently but, there could be more slide to adjust for. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV If there is more downwards pressure on the day, I will be looking to hedge soon by buying short dated longs with AUG futures -- this is while holding my long dated short perpetual position into August. I'm realizing about $2.73 a day to hold short with a $64,500 avg -- npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV 📅 Monthly Vol — August 2026 npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV And that folks, is July! npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Nuked my seed and updated today to 5.0 —> re-seed and started a new wallet. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Taking the cash off the table on the rebound hedge instead of going into the weekend. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Cash App bitcoin side can’t load— npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I will slide into the weekend with the protection off the bottom. Here is my transparency as I took a few contracts off the table when I bought AUG futures on the volatility this morning. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Fold and Coinbase mobile apps down — Cronkite lost control. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Do you believe me now??? npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Filled here after 5 relocks; npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV We’re balks deep in the 2nd deviation on the day! Hedging for whiplash — holding short. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Here is a quick look at my Fibonacci trading bot's format and it bids an entry. This will slip and the day will re-lock on the fib levels IF volatility DOESN'T smash through the bid. If the day grinds lower, the bid clears and drops with the LOD. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV This is the Gann Fan overlaid on my orbiting vol range indicator -- npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good Morning and happy last day of July -- Waking up today with price at the lower HV band. I expect what is implied (IV) on the day with expansion starting to ramp up into the soft form melt down. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV That is the mark on the day -- All fills are in. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Good Morning -- as price action approaches the trend line, I will be filling in my last short perpetual tranche for a complete position. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Mimir is polling actual data off FRED -- I have it set to line into the 12:30 ET decision. Drop a follow. Stay tuned. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Taking a look this morning at my realized range for the month, week, and day as we creep up on the US cash session with the FED press conference at 12:30 ET -- Expecting volatility and watching this newly formed downtrend from the past week, today. There is confluence in where the upper implied band on the day and this trend meet. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV I have flattened my short perps position at closing (00:00 UTC) last night missing the tail end of that drip -- Watching for re-entry over the next 48 hours with volatility created from the FED -- npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Lot's of movement of the FLIP level in the past 12 hours -- stay sharp. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Why don't you take a ride of the spacetrainnnn npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV GM ----> It's the last week of the month (July) and price is resonating just below monthly IV bands. As I said over the weekend, I am easing back into my short perpetual position. Watch for means reversion to SAT open then as the FED mins approach brace for volatility. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Happy Monday Nostr npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV GM and happy Sunday -- I am going to start building into my short perps position again here -- npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Leverage everywhere! npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Here is a look at the last month of JULY and where the dealer walls have moved into next week. Remember this is the last week of JULY. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Does anyone else turn #hastags into feeds here on #nostr? npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Here is a look at the gamma ramp last night into evaporation -- price sucks to the gamma like a magnet then rolls right off with the contract expiring. npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Closed perps off lower liquidity and within the lower implied band -- npub153ne8rfqak8my7ar0gxzuwm62fr99rcf5pm970fugl3u8qmjzdwqe0pd63 askHVtobidIV Watching the broader US market -- I don't care about it but bitty will settle with it.
