I sell lights @ apogeehouse.com, an architectural lighting, fans, & controls distributor. Fan of financial markets, tech & BBQ. Always learning. Using nostr to share what I have learned. Nothing I say is financial or medical advice. Assume everything I say is wrong. Do your own research.
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npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n Profile Code
nprofile1qqs2dh95s8kwhljccpkgujxgc8h739t3c4v6qmjd7h9f30d3zzd3ghcpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dsf890t6
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2025-01-19T16:02:51Z Event JSON
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Last Notes npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Forgot how peaceful Nostr is. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Good luck! npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera 2025 has been rough. #note1m7j…28vx npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Drip “I worked the last 10 years, I’m a multimillionaire, I’m 30 years old, It’s supposed to all be good. It is not F’ING all good.” https://open.spotify.com/track/2gS5cZxvi3pz1g0bij1HD9 npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Nice! I just started getting back into building web apps just for fun and trying Codex by OpenAI. It’s been pretty good so far, was wondering about Claude Code but to get Opus it’s pretty pricey. I think regular sub only gets you Sonnet 4? npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Is this about Claude Code? Sorry been away a while! npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Honestly, I’ve lost faith in management of most of these. They are either inexperienced, in it for the opportunity (not really BTC focused or maxi), or both. It won’t end well, think they will slip up and lose keys, negotiate a terrible deal, get in trouble and start cooking the books, etc. Even Saylor is doing this in real-time and adjusting. Best thing is be mostly in BTC. These just add some entertainment and leverage. Few BTCTCs will outperform BTC long-term, assuming management can execute. The others likely to be acquired maybe by MSTR or Metaplanet. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Tell me about it haha! I think you nailed it. To me what makes sense is main allocation to MSTR. If someone just held that as their BTCTC portfolio allocation I think long-term it’s fine. If you want additional exposure you could add Metaplanet, after that it’s difficult. Smarter Web and Capital B could be a smaller third position. TwentyOne I think will compete because of @npub1cn4…3vle. Hard to know where to put them now though. Other than these really hard to know. Management and experience is key with these. The dark horses are SQNS, ASST, NAKA, and DDC. The rest are lottery tickets. Did I miss one? I’m losing track. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Great to go back and listen to some of the original Bitcoin podcasts. Here’s Andreas Antonopoulos’ first appearance on the Joe Rogan podcast 11 years ago. Very much worth watching. https://youtu.be/1cexawnOlR8 npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera In your quest for wealth, you often overlook what truly has value. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera #asknostr npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Any Bitcoiners out there need lighting or lighting advice/consultation? Would be great to meet other Bitcoin folks and help them with their residential or commercial lighting! A/V integration, fixture specification, lighting layouts, quotations/bids, etc. #plebchain #BitcoinJobs npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Tattoos. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera *I still think it’s human nature to PUT off your own good until something bad happens. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I still think it’s human nature to out off your own good until something bad happens. Even then, people will shortly return to their old habits. I call it the Hurricane effect. After a natural disaster, like a hurricane, everyone walks out to assess damage , see who still has power, etc. Neighbors you barely talk to a house or two down come out and you start talking, a group forms, everyone engages and has hours of conversations. This could be days or weeks in some cases. Everyone says “we should do this more often”. But shortly after the power returns, people crawl back into their homes and life continues as it always has. I think this applies to everything. Money, social media platforms, etc. It requires a lifestyle change – a rewiring. I hope you’re right though! Hopefully getting rid of fiat fixes it once and for all. Even if it takes a generation or two. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Woke up today thinking – again – how a lot of people are chameleons. Morphing to please other people. People they barely even know. No opinion or thoughts of their own. Everything they think changes based on their environment, who they are talking to, or what group of people they are with today. They’ll even turn their back on a friend and join a group making fun of them. Don’t be one of these people. If you recognize this in yourself, work hard to understand why and work to fix it every day. Having character and standing up for what you believe in is undervalued. #gm npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Bitcoin treasury companies (BTCTCs) are deploying their capital to buy bitcoin in one of two ways. Lump sum or DCA. I would argue it’s better for a BTCTC to buy lump sum at their size (like Strategy $MSTR or Metaplanet $MTPLF). Some other companies like Smarter Web $SWC $TSWCF prefer to DCA over the short-term, hoping to get a lower average price. DCA works with smaller sums but eventually Bitcoin will run and shareholders will be affected by eventually buying at a higher price. Picking up pennies in front of a steamroller. Thoughts? Any interest in Bitcoin treasuries here on nostr? @npub1rtl…jtfs https://media.tenor.com/HGsFoNfK_4cAAAAC/austin-powers-steamroller.gif npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera GM! Enjoy your Saturday. Here I just brewed an espresso on the Moka pot. Sip sip. #coffeechain #plebchain #grownostr #gm https://image.nostr.build/b632e3addcbfec8f6813c76ab10037ef025d9924d56718e8198497175c290247.jpg npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera This is really well done. Great work! npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I can start posting more about it! Is there a “Communities” feature here on Nostr like on Twitter/X? #nevent1q…2tu4 npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I assume you had the opportunity to invest in the PIPE? If so, I get it. I’m still not exactly sure what $NAKA does, I think it’s be a BTC treasury + actively buyout smaller companies and make them btc treasuries as well or just use their cash flow to fund NAKA’s BTC treasury holdings (like a Berkshire Hathaway)? npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Wow, I thought I was alone in feeling this way. I would add birthdays to the list. I will say when I’m “forced” to go, I usually enjoy myself and I’m glad I did it. Except clubbing, always hated it and couldn’t wait for it to be over. Mostly because it eventually ended with someone getting in an argument or fight. That and I was always cheap so spending $200+ on a $40 bottle of whatever we were drinking just to get a table (VIP) always hurt lol. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Looks great! npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera GM! Sometimes I spend time and really think about where I am, where I want to be, and the gap in between the two. Sometimes difficult decisions are required to make the leap to cover the gap. There’s a chance I’ll miss and fall on my face but the reward if I make it would be worth the attempt. These difficult decisions are easy to put away for a later time but you miss opportunities. Cheers to the risk takers out there. I don’t think there are as many of us as I thought. I kind of envy those seeking safety at times, there’s a comfort in it but to me the biggest risk to safety is being too comfortable. Bitcoin helps see life from a different angle. Hope all the #nostriches are having a great day and better week! #plebchain npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Thanks for the reply. Good points. Valuation is in the eye of the beholder/investor. The value investor will see opportunity on the lower mNAV. The growth investor will see opportunity in the higher mNAV which generates a higher BTC yield. Most mNAV calculations are simplified and don’t take debt or cash into account (effectively EV - enterprise value). Investing in LBE’s is a really interesting exercise. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Meet $STRD - Strategy's newest fiat extraction vehicle to continue accumulating Bitcoin. 10 % yield + a rising floor? "Say more" as Tad Smith would ask. STRD complements their existing preferred stocks (STRK, STRF), diversifying their capital-raising tools while reinforcing their position as the largest corporate Bitcoin holder. Investors can choose STRD for Bitcoin upside or STRK/STRF for steady dividends, depending on their goals. Key points: • 10 % annual coupon – paid only when the board feels like it (non‑cumulative). • Ratchet clause: the $100 face value resets each day to the highest of $100, yesterday’s close, or the 10‑day average. Floor moves up, never down. • Of course, the proceeds go to buy more bitcoin and run the business. • Company may call all shares once <25 % remain outstanding. How does $STRD compare with $STRF or $STRK? See table below. It's getting hard to keep up with all the BTC treasuruy companies and Strategy's continued innovations! What a time to be an investor. #gn #news #grownostr #plebchain #MSTR #STRD #STRF #STRK @nprofile…mhjz https://www.strategy.com/press/strategy-announces-proposed-strd-stock-offering_06-02-2025 https://blossom.primal.net/ae79e71d1ce2c54445282e6efc6a008d5e78b65017b49391ab9fb74226fd0f70.png npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Curious about President Trump's “One Big Beautiful Bill” tax relief benefits? • Eliminates taxes on tips and overtime pay. • Allows deduction of up to $10,000 in interest on loans for U.S.-made vehicles. • Increases Child Tax Credit to $2,500 through 2028. • Raises the SALT deduction cap to $40,000 for couples earning under $500,000. • Makes 2017 tax cuts permanent. • Provides a $1,000 "Trump Account" for children born between 2024 and 2028. • Adds a $4,000 deduction for seniors over 65. Lots of people are excited but if you stop and think about it, how do we make up for the tax revenue this bill avoids? Yes, it will stimulate the economy because people will feel richer and inevitably spend their savings but it won't be enough... The fed will print. A lot. That money printing will eventually lead to inflation, which will hurt a lot of people. Regular folks, blue collar workers, with little to no ownership of hard assets will suffer in the long-term. Those closest to the printer benefit. Those owning hard assets will win. Buy hard, scarce assets. Buy bitcoin. Buy gold. Buy valuable real estate. Buy quality stocks. Protect your wealth, yourself, and your family. Read "The Big Print" by @npub1d3f…r4xv , "The Bitcoin Standard" by @npub1gdu…6nak , "Broken Money" by @npub1a2c…w83a , "Guide to Investing in Gold and Silver: Protect Your Financial Future" and watch all the episodes of "Hidden Secrets of Money" on Youtube (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DyV0OfU3-FU&list=PLE88E9ICdiphYjJkeeLL2O09eJoC8r7Dc) by Michael Maloney. https://cdn.nostrcheck.me/a6dcb481ecebfe58c06c8e48c8c1efe89571c559a06e4df5ca98bdb1109b145f/f341ec078ac8c44d516161b89a08edf9c20d495fc5e7a7b439a7165c4dfc22c4.webp #nevent1q…lpjw npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera https://media.tenor.com/vmwNey0yBlYAAAAC/thats-making-me-hungry-right-now-kyle-van-noy.gif npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Are you a small business owner and curious about President Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill”? Below are some of the key benefits: •QBI Deduction Increased and Made Permanent: The Qualified Business Income (QBI) deduction for pass-through entities (e.g., sole proprietorships, partnerships, S corporations) is increased from 20% to 23% and made permanent. •Section 179 Deduction Expanded: The cap for immediate expensing of qualifying property under Section 179 is increased from $1 million to $2.5 million, with phase-outs beginning at $4 million. •Bonus Depreciation Extended: Allows 100% bonus depreciation for qualified property acquired and placed in service after December 31, 2024. •Research and Development (R&D) Expensing: Permits full expensing of R&D expenditures incurred in the U.S. from 2025 through 2029. •Business Interest Deduction: Reinstates the ability to deduct depreciation and amortization when calculating the limit on business interest deductions. •Estate Tax Exemption Increased: The estate tax exemption is increased to $15 million starting in 2026, adjusted for inflation thereafter. •SALT Deduction Cap Raised: The State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction cap is increased to $40,000 for married couples earning under $500,000. •Limitations on SALT Cap Workarounds: Disallows certain pass-through entities, particularly specified service trades or businesses (SSTBs), from utilizing state-level pass-through entity taxes (PTETs) to circumvent the SALT deduction cap. •Support for Small Business Growth: The bill includes provisions aimed at enhancing small business relief and promoting investment in domestic manufacturing, with projections of securing over 7 million jobs in the next four years. #gm #trump #potus #smallbusiness #news #taxes #grownostr #plebchain https://cdn.nostrcheck.me/a6dcb481ecebfe58c06c8e48c8c1efe89571c559a06e4df5ca98bdb1109b145f/038d3b42685fcd41d0eabb89380ca815755dbab245237640863f9fcba79ee611.webp npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Came out great! Now I definitely need to get back to making one (or two)… npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Wow they are already selling 2026 tickets? It’s a fiat machine! npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Choose to be strong. Make your own decisions. Own your mistakes. Don’t be a victim. Life can suck. Challenges will come, sometimes all at once. Man up. That goes for women too. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Both are great! Pork belly will be done a lot quicker so either pull out sooner or put on later. I usually put them on at the same time to get that initial smoke in. If you have an upper rack on the smoker, you can put the belly there and it might be done around the same time as the pork belly. Either way, you’ll have a great time and the results will be awesome! https://media.tenor.com/FM7m3iRFnVUAAAAC/yay-omg.gif npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Can you retire borrowing against your Bitcoin forever ("buy‑borrow‑die")? Now that @nprofile…m2qp and others like Unchained, Ledn, @nprofile…lfwh allow for relatively easy Bitcoin-backed loans, the question is... Can you just roll over the debt forever? That's kind of the goal isn't it? Have Bitcoin appreciate in value over the borrowing cost and roll over the debt and live happily ever after? Let's see... Short answer: Maybe. Only if you control five risks – and 12%+ APR makes that challenging. Risk #1 – Volatility risk Volatility ≠ risk when you long-term hold but it is with loans! Borrow too much and the volatility can trigger liquidation (margin call anyone?). Even big names get margin‑call pressure: Newsweek ran a piece on how a deep Tesla price drop could force Elon Musk to sell pledged shares. Rule of thumb: keep loan‑to‑value (LTV) below 25 %. That survives ~60 % price drops before hitting a liquidation trigger. Risk #2 – Interest‑rate risk Bezos and Musk borrow at 2‑4 % because banks love ultra‑liquid mega‑cap stock collateral. Unfortunately you're not Bezos or Musk, and banks still consider Bitcoin highly risky so you're stuck with high APR's for now (12%+ as of now, though @nprofile…6dtc hinted at sub-double digit offerings). If BTC returns stall below the rate for a few years, interest snowballs and you shrink instead of grow. I know @nprofile…mhjz says it's 30% ARR but there could be a massively down year that can wipe you out if you get too greedy. Risk #3 – Refinance risk Rolling the debt “forever” assumes lenders always renew on friendly terms. In a risk‑off market they can raise the rate or refuse rollover. In extreme cases, there may not even be a lender available and you have to sell BTC to cover or find highly unfavorable terms. Risk #4 – Custody / rehypothecation risk Some crypto lenders re‑lend or rehypothecate your BTC. If they blow up (see Celsius, BlockFi) your collateral can vanish even when price goes up. Recently, Mallers cleared this up with Strike (no rehypothecation) and others listed above seem to mostly be on the same page but there's still a risk of them losing your BTC in a hack or some other black swan event. Risk #5 – Regulatory & tax risk Congress has floated closing the “buy‑borrow‑die” loophole. New regulations could tighten BTC‑secured lending or change step‑up rules. The ultra-wealthy can borrow cheap, on very liquid collateral, and usually keep LTV ultra‑low. You, fellow pleb, even with a 10 % APR, would need BTC to have double‑digit returns every single year just to break even after tax and loan costs. Yes, borrowing is "tax-free" but if you ever have to sell BTC to cover, it will be a taxable event. So can it work? Yes! But only at low interest (hopefully soon) and low LTV. High APR's carry real danger: one bad year of flat or down BTC price plus rising rates can wipe out years of compounding. If you want to do this: keep borrowing small (≤ 25 % LTV), stockpile an interest buffer, and be ready to shrink the loan quickly when #BTC moons (if it helps you sleep at night). Not financial advice. Do your own research. #gm #gn #nostr #plebchain #bitcoin #loans npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera There really are a lot of wannabe experts, gurus, and pretend millionaires (even billionaires). Speaking confidently fools a lot of people. Don’t trust, verify. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera It’s hard to know the difference between giving up, giving in, letting go, and moving on. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Yea it’s hard. Did you have a probe thermometer in it to alert you? I don’t use it as much now but it definitely comes in handy, especially for cuts you’re unfamiliar with OR when they are a different size than you’re used to. Was it good though? npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Whoa, never done one of these... how was it? npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Yea that’s perfectly fine to just own bitcoin itself, it’s ideal. Keep doing that. Bitcoin proxies make sense for others. Not sure where you’re located but hopefully there is some sort of Roth IRA equivalent you can use. I definitely take advantage of a Roth because come retirement I can withdrawal tax free. It’s a big benefit, especially for assets with a lot of growth. Shorting or going long isn’t exactly leverage unless you’re doing it with margin on an exchange. Bitcoin proxies provide leverage because they trade at a multiple and also are able to use low interest debt to buy more and use operating cash flows to pay for most of the interest. But if you’re comfortable with just the bitcoin itself, just keep doing that! You don’t have to use different tools like Bitcoin proxies, options, futures, etc. Simplicity can be the winner long run. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera If I understand your question correctly, you want to know why buy these Bitcoin proxies vs Bitcoin itself? If so, it depends on the person. It makes a lot of sense for people with assets in retirement accounts where they can easily invest in Bitcoin proxies as well as Bitcoin ETF’s. Most Bitcoin treasury companies are essentially leveraged Bitcoin plays. Usually performance is somewhere between 1.5-2x spot Bitcoin. So for people that want more performance from Bitcoin and are ok with the additional risk a company inherently has, it might make sense for them. Some brokerages or retirement/401K accounts still don’t even let you buy Bitcoin ETF’s so these companies are a way around that. It’s definitely not for everyone. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Bitcoin treasury companies (or LBE’s — Leveraged Bitcoin Equities) like Strategy, Metaplanet, and Semler are difficult to value. Each has its own unique attributes. All, except for the recent 21 Capital ($CEP/$XXI), have existing operating businesses, which makes valuation a bit trickier. So how do you figure out which one offers the best bang for your buck? The easiest metric is the mNAV — the multiple of its Bitcoin holdings. You can mean-revert in and out of these if you want to reallocate between them, and it could be a way to outperform simply buying and holding one company. Rotating out of the high mNAV companies and into lower mNAV companies could be a strategy. Here are some very basic mNAV numbers for $MSTR, $SMLR, $MTPLF / $3350, $KULR, and $CEP / $XXI, calculated from recent data (some of these have been much higher on the richer side in the past). It’s still early in the mNAV journey. 21 Capital literally just launched last week, so these numbers will change — but it could become an interesting portfolio reallocation method for those into $BTC and Bitcoin proxies. What do you think? #gm #bitcoin #mstr #smlr #mtplf #3350 #cep #xxi #kulr #plebchain #asknostr #btc #stocks https://cdn.nostrcheck.me/a6dcb481ecebfe58c06c8e48c8c1efe89571c559a06e4df5ca98bdb1109b145f/31c276deeedeb63a5a8887a3e55a92a8943091ca85332166530f2dff0ee8e397.webp npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I just discovered Banana Ball. In two minutes it’s been more entertaining than all baseball I’ve seen since 1990’s…combined. It’s like if WWE and Baseball had a child, a wild child. It’s actually interrupting my UFC time. Party Animals vs Savannah Bananas https://media.tenor.com/ULHf0sYCLqwAAAAC/happy-birthday.gif npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Good question! Hopefully @npub12rv…85vg can answer. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Recorded first podcast episode after almost 5 years! This one was kind of rushed. Really just trying to get something out there. Like getting back on a very rusty bike. It’s my mNAV valuation of 21 vs Strategy. Take a look and let me know what you think! #bitcoin #btc #asknostr #plebchain #gn https://youtu.be/Qcl-_99oBkk npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Why am I bullish on Bitcoin? The US deficit will only get larger. There are possible tax cuts and revenue will decrease. Tariffs may offset but not significantly. It’s unlikely this (or any) administration will do what’s necessary to truly get the deficit under control without insane levels of pain for both Wall Street and Main Street. What’s the result? Money printing. In a money printing and inflationary environment, hard assets like bitcoin, gold, real estate and quality stocks benefit. What’s the ultimate hard asset? Bitcoin. I’m just thinking of the US, this is a global problem and all major countries are on the same path. Choose wisely and save your hard earned money in Bitcoin. #gm #plebchain #bitcoin #btc npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Why do I like Bitcoin? Bitcoin redefines money by removing trust and maintaining control of your money and savings. Number go up is nice but it's the cherry on top. Unlike fiat (Dollars/Euros/Yen/etc), no middlemen control your funds, no censorship, giving you privacy, resistance to surveillance, and freedom of speech in financial networks. Bitcoin empowers individuals to transact on their terms, protecting autonomy and resisting institutional overreach. #gm #grownostr #bitcoin #btc #plebchain npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I'm (re)starting my podcast soon! Back in early 2020, I recorded 36 episodes covering market updates and technical analysis, with Bitcoin occasionally mentioned. Even though I was in the Bitcoin rabbit-hole, I kept quiet publicly, valuing privacy and cautious after hearing stories about Bitcoiner attacks (shoutout @nprofile…d27a). But honestly, it's been frustrating to stay silent. So screw it, I'm jumping back in to share my enthusiasm and unique perspective as a small business owner passionate about Bitcoin with experience investing personal funds in business, stocks, bonds, options, and real estate. I don't have much experience podcasting but I'll work hard to provide quality content and I'll keep it as real as possible avoiding cringe "Retire with 0.0001 BTC by 2030!? 😱" content. QUESTION FOR YOU!: What topics or angles would you like me to cover? Anything existing podcasts could do a better job doing ? I'd love your input! #asknostr #plebchain #grownostr #podcasts #bitcoin #btc #gn npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera How most people misunderstand Bitcoin (and why you shouldn't): Ever notice how people constantly misunderstand Bitcoin? - They think it’s anonymous or great for crime (it’s not). - They think it’s bad for the environment (wrong again). - They assume it has no real value (also incorrect). Let's quickly debunk these myths, one by one: Anonymity Myth: Most people believe Bitcoin transactions are anonymous. Actually, the Bitcoin blockchain transparently records every transaction. This means every movement of Bitcoin is permanently visible. It's not hidden – it's far less anonymous than cash. It's an open ledger for all to see and review. Dumb for criminals to use. Environmental Myth: You've likely heard that Bitcoin mining is bad for the environment. But did you know the majority of new Bitcoin mining facilities use surplus renewable energy – energy that would otherwise be wasted? In fact, Bitcoin is increasingly incentivizing green energy investments globally. Intrinsic Value Myth: “Bitcoin has no real value,” some still say. Yet traditional currencies, like the dollar or euro, aren't backed by anything tangible either. They depend solely on trust and consensus, exactly like Bitcoin. Heck, some could even argue gold to have no real intrinsic value either. Bitcoin’s scarcity (only 21 million coins will ever exist) and global adoption reinforce its lasting value. Volatility Myth: Some people dismiss Bitcoin because it’s volatile. Meanwhile, smart investors (which have done their research) quietly capitalize on volatility to build significant long-term wealth. How? Because volatility provides unique opportunities for growth if you know what you're doing, they buy when others are fearful. Government Myth: Finally, skeptics argue Bitcoin could easily be banned by governments. This argument today is pretty easy to dismiss now that the US has established a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR), Digital Asset Stockpile, Bitcoin ETF's are the most popular ETF ever and getting deeper into the financial plumbing, public and private companies adding Bitcoin to their balance sheet and treasury, governments considering issuing BitBonds, etc. It's getting harder and harder to ban Bitcoin every passing day. Sure things may change in the future but it's unlikely. Why? Decentralization and widespread global adoption have made banning Bitcoin impractical – even impossible. Countries that previously opposed it are now regulating and adopting it instead. Spend some time doing the homework and keep an open mind! #GN #Bitcoin #BTC #SBR #BitBonds #plebchain #grownostr npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Bitcoins can be exhausting. There’s no sugar coating it. It just is. The only thing I can say to help is just keep learning about what you own and focus on other important things. Time will make up for your short term suffering. If that doesn’t help, just man up! A few days a year make up most of the gains, the rest of the time you are flat or down. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Sorry to hear Larry! Hope you get it back soon. If you use VPN’s or other similar type of software it might trigger suspicious activity (different geographic logins in a short timespan) or if you travel a ton. Just guessing here. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Worried about your stocks or Bitcoin dropping? If you understand your investments and nothing has fundamentally changed, buy more during these dips if you can afford it. Historically, selling now is the worst move. Stay productive and tune out the noise. #gm npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera This is a great podcast to subscribe to. #nevent1q…dc70 npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Be greedy when others are fearful. Zoom out. The small red blip on the right is where we are now, look left to see where you’ve been. Buy Bitcoin. https://cdn.nostrcheck.me/a6dcb481ecebfe58c06c8e48c8c1efe89571c559a06e4df5ca98bdb1109b145f/db2c002da369d799bc3401dee74138649d9df2ddc1c95013266e382f84454718.webp npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful. https://media.tenor.com/u8WwoNCm-JAAAAAC/stocks-investing.gif npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Few influencers are actually great at what they say they do. What they are great at is getting your attention. The best in any field are usually too busy doing the work—and terrible at getting your attention. Funny how that works. #gm npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera To everyone out there worried about the markets. Tune it off. Close the TradingView window. Turn off your brokerage notifications. Spend less than you make. Don’t worry about keeping up with the Joneses. Keep saving and accumulating into your IRA and Bitcoin. You’ll be fine. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I know the economy is weakening when I suddenly start getting price alerts, from items I completely forgot about. Especially those stubborn items that rarely even have a sale. This is my signal. The fed put is coming. QE begins soon. Money printers will brr. Risk-assets are going up. Bitcoin up. https://media.tenor.com/KjZYtFDm8YkAAAAC/and-still.gif npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Unpopular opinion: Bitcoin yield isn't a thing. Just like a gold nugget doesn't yield anything. Bitcoin's appreciation over time is the safest yield. Yes, you can lend BTC, but if you don't know the source of the yield, well, your BTC becomes someone else's yield. #PSA npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera What a win for privacy! FinCEN BOI (Beneficial Ownership Reporting) officially not required for US Companies and US Persons. #gn #privacy #fincen #boi #business https://m.primal.net/PoZL.png npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I haven’t really heard of Dan. But to dismiss Nostr, as an investor in tech, seems very short sighted. That or there is clearly no need for permission less speech. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Too many people worried about Bitcoin, $MSTR, $STRK, $STRIFE Just buy and hold. Worried? Reduce your position size. You’re complicating things. Walk away. Hate Bitcoin? Buy $VOO $SPY $QQQM Life is short. Worry about things that matter. Focus on things you love. Eat meat. Besos. #gn #meatstr #plebchain npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Oops I meant on the grill 🤦♂️ npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Picanha on the BBQ https://image.nostr.build/1215ea74decc9b8cadd1dd5a47eb28152cd641fbdcd203d5e55e1ee4e4c64663.jpg https://image.nostr.build/2d001deeeea61fa38709154a29003b6e1ff70092dd61960bc7d5a44a93d13f33.jpg https://image.nostr.build/0d6c18696756db5fe252c76f1a7a6d2a00ad9810f10d2c6d9f15e95c3f4f2ba8.jpg npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera How great is it when you reach for something without looking and it’s actually there? npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Imagine thinking this is a flex. 🤦♂️ #grownostr #plebchain #gn https://image.nostr.build/77cacccfe4bc575d31fa03eb866477455f235d3437f5eecc547dd9524ac898e2.jpg npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera 🤣 https://media.tenor.com/jCQGtOInwfkAAAAC/you-have-a-way-with-words-well-spoken.gif npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera “This Atlanta Fed prediction is because of a sharp increase in gold imports and American businesses front running tariffs. The U.S. economy IS NOT experiencing -2.4% GDP this quarter, but GDP could be 0.5%-1.0% (much lower than the last 2 years)”. @npub1k7v…c04l #gm #news #economy #gdp #gold https://youtu.be/TCQxzQv3HFs https://image.nostr.build/d1d8d7d219206f1cbe35a58764d9c81b956be28c817e91ac93790aaab2632bf0.jpg npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I like that idea. Do you mean there’s a “Communities” section in nostr apps (haven’t seen it on Damus/nostur/primal), the ability to discover existing communities? npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Very true. Even though Nostr and BTC are inherently linked, not everyone is going to care about BTC content (although they might want the zaps lol). It’s going to be tough to get non-BTC people to make the jump unless they are forced (censored/cancelled/banned) by the platform or country. I still have high hopes it will take off! npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I think Sooly is just referring to folks on nostr, not that the NYDIG post is about nostr itself. Like saying “What does everyone on Nostr think?” At least that’s how I read it. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Phong Le explains why and how finance is taught in business schools with refreshing honesty. Corporate incentive favors themselves (usually with M&A), not investors or shareholders. Bitcoin helps shift that mindset. Watch the full interview with Tim Kotzman – it's great. #gm #grownostr #btc #bitcoin #MSTR #STRK #business https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLk12DQyJyA npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Surprised Kreuger is on the list. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera One of the hardest parts of business is prospecting, the endless search for leads. What makes it difficult is the time it takes to qualify the perfect lead for your product or solution and personalize. The effort is worthwhile. Anyone can mass email, but the results are meh. Anyone on #nostr dedicated to sales and prospecting/lead gen? #business #prospecting #leads #plebchain #grownostr #asknostr npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Understandable. I guess I’ve talked to many people which have most of their retirement in a “traditional” portfolio and at the sound of any negative news from cnbc they will sell (or vice versa). They think that is investing. I can only imagine how many people are out there getting destroyed acting on these market tips. That’s why I feel bad, but like you, I remember they should know better. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I would agree with this. Selling is fine IF you understand why, not just because the market is in a panic. I worry more about folks dumping their brokerage/retirement portfolio just because Jim Cramer said so. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Lots of people worried about the market dip. If you did your homework and know what you own, these are opportunities to buy. Definitely not the time to sell. If you are too worried, your position sizing is wrong. Think long-term and you’ll beat almost every investor. Trade short term and you’re likely to end up in a worse position Embrace the chaos. These are the moments you’ll look back on and laugh about. Buy #bitcoin #plebchain npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Does anyone have any tips on generating quality leads with AI? Any prompts which have made it easier to find niche specific contact information (including emails)? Scraping? Looking for different ideas to automate the process and be more efficient. #asknostr #ai #business #leads #automation npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera GM! I'd just like to say there are too many people out there staring at charts and the price of bitcoin. Wondering if Friday's meeting will rocket bitcoin's price. If the strategic reserve is only Bitcoin or will include some other mix of tokens. It can get exhausting. Focus on the long-term. Disconnect and go do something productive. Bitcoin will still be there when you get back. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I saw the news yesterday actually, it’s great! It seems like it’s purely voluntary now and will likely get thrown out soon. I hope at least! npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera https://media.tenor.com/h54eGWkZIRcAAAAC/gif-peanut-butter.gif npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I read it as 6-12 months of pain for economy and average folks before QE/loosing financial conditions. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera It’s fantastic! Enjoy the read. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Maybe, ha! Curious about companies with maybe sales positions or similar roles. Seems like most gigs are for developers. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Preferably non-technical. Should have mentioned that! Very crude coding skills. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Anyone aware of any Bitcoin or Nostr jobs out there? #asknostr npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Technical analysis guy over here! It’s just probabilities. Some TA folks go nuts with indicators. Not too different from the Bitcoin fundamental dudes looking at hash rates and other on-chain metrics. It definitely works for me, even simple things like Fibonacci levels, support and resistance, volume profiles, gaps, and RSI/macd are more likely than not to provide good valuable insight. Just S/R can be enough honestly. Liquidation heatmaps are nice too! npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I remember back when the Twitter api was free, the good ol’ days! npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Looks good thanks! npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Never used Truth. Hopefully other platforms start offering these. Doubt Twitter/X will for obvious reasons. Twitter still one of the best sources of news, copy pasting screenshots seems like the best way to share the news here. I can see how it can annoy hardcore nostriches so I’m open to suggestions which aren’t too much of a hassle lol npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera I really don’t like how a post or two can move a market. In this case it benefits Bitcoin but I consider this to be “artificial” pumps, which are more likely to retrace in a couple of hours/days. I rather a market naturally do its thing but it is what it is. $BTC will go higher no matter what. #GM #nostr #plebchain #news #note1s7s…z7pr npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Can you explain “Nostr bridged content”? I do the copy past screenshots mainly in order to credit the original poster on whatever platform I find it and try to tag if they are here on Nostr. Personally don’t find it as annoying to see the screenshots and think it’s overall positive as the news is spreading in its own way here. However, if there’s a better way like this bridged content, I’d love to learn! npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera https://media.tenor.com/Kwbu0XcOyHgAAAAC/psychic-will-ferrell.gif npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera https://media.tenor.com/wYwLJAHbuWEAAAAC/problematic-stressed.gif npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera To be honest. This being the highlight of 4-years seems pretty weak. Maybe someone else will chime in with something better. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera AI again to the rescue lol: *What Was Built* Numerous projects have been built or are underway under the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law. As of November 2024, over 66,000 projects were funded, including road repairs, bridge constructions, and public transit improvements across all 50 states, D.C., and U.S. territories. Specific examples include the modernization of land ports of entry and the 22nd Street Revitalization project in Tucson, which began construction in 2022 and is expected to enhance connectivity. While many projects are ongoing, some smaller road and bridge repairs in states like California have likely been completed, creating jobs and improving infrastructure. *Most Important or Visible Projects* Some of the most important or visible projects built under the law include: - The replacement of the Route 30 Bridge in Pennsylvania, completed in October 2023, a critical link for regional transportation. - The SR-99 Sacramento River Bridge Replacement in California, finished in 2023, vital for the state's highway system. - The Beaumont Bridge Replacement in Texas, completed in December 2024, essential for local and regional connectivity. - The modernization of the Nogales port of entry in Arizona, with some phases completed in 2022, enhancing trade and travel. - The 22nd Street Revitalization project in Tucson, Arizona, completed in 2024, improving urban connectivity. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Had to get some AI help: It seems likely that the best thing President Joe Biden did was passing the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, a major investment in U.S. infrastructure. npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Ugh. Pressed post by mistake, really wish there was an edit button 🙃 npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera All the Bitcoin news and price action can get exhausting lol. Lots of FUD and technical analysts bullish two weeks ago calling for the bear market. If it truly is a bear market. I suggest walking away and let things unfold as they may. #nevent1q…96ta npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera BREAKING: the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve bill has been passed by the committee, it now goes to the whole state senate for a vote. The state house will need to pass it too before being signed into law by the governor. - @npub1hxw…40pf #news #bitcoin #btc #gm #plebchain https://image.nostr.build/467fb8ef2f7d97d3a7f3205f5fec528fd1ca27fef4a995f08d6b7b29bccd7d90.jpg npub15mwtfq0va0l93srv3eyv3s00az2hr32e5phymaw2nz7mzyymz30sl8zz9n tonycarrera Sheesh. Happening too often. Anyone have any details on what’s going on? I’ve heard Calendly links and Zoom links might be the cause? @npub1d3f…r4xv