BashStKid

“We can only see a short distance ahead, but we can see plenty there that needs to be done”

Various permutations of rugby, music, history, farming, rare breeds, food. With a bit of earth sciences, physics, and energy.

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Last Notes

2026-05-01 11:32:32 UTC

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They’re attacking Polanski as this is the new Labour fact-free attempt to attack Greens.
Who else would be able to set up ministers, the media, and the Met to all sing from the same bullshit sheet?
And who cares most about attacking Polanski while not saying anything about Farage?
Entirely in character to smear the only Jewish party leader as antisemitic, after all.

2026-04-26 18:44:09 UTC

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More money for US pharma, less money for nurses.
What makes Streeting think he knows better than Nice?

2026-04-19 10:14:58 UTC

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I have a suspicion that it’s not an accident there is bombastic focus on the inputs “Give us your 5% GDP now!” and not the outputs, because the outputs are embarrassing.
After so long relying on the US for volume and EU joint programmes for technical, UK-standalone work is, frankly, often overpriced, late, and crap that nobody else would use, hence the desperation to retain compulsory procurement from UK taxpayers.
No minister will stand up and declare incompetence and impotence.

2026-04-18 10:53:53 UTC

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Not to underestimate how effective and cheap the ability to shut off the huge volume of neighbourly Gulf consumer and industrial *imports* is.
Or, more sophisticatedly, charge selective tariffs on imports that can’t tolerate sitting at anchor for a few weeks. Much easier money than blockades.
Or, as I’ve banged on about before, forcing ships to re-register under an Iranian flag. Free money, and the ability to hide Iran’s core shipping under a shadow fleet of convenience.

2026-04-12 19:36:54 UTC

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Waheyyyyyyy!!
Whatever the Magyar for ‘let’s all go down the pub’, that.

2026-04-12 18:27:14 UTC

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Ok, so: Trump uses most of the US navy to create a rotating blockade and the necessary escorts for approved through traffic inwards and outwards.
Next day, China pops its navy into the Taiwan Strait, blockades inbound food, outbound chips. Uses this as a precedent for future naval placement within the Strait.
Good job, Donald.
Who knew that ‘Strait’ was going to be the annoying word of the year?

2026-04-12 13:15:09 UTC

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Don’t forget the cow pie with horns.
Reaction against the Depression?

2026-04-12 13:07:26 UTC

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What particularly annoys me about Westminster ignoring mines as gravity batteries is that all the capital cost, excavations, surveying, etc. is all done already, just sitting there, spread out across lots of the country.
Plus free thermal difference heat pumps running on the deep-warmed replaceable water.
Lacks the superhumanising grandeur of the big pumping stations, though.

2026-04-12 10:58:04 UTC

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How exactly does the govt expect to plan the wind around grid demand?
Actually, there could be a solution to that, if the govt built gravity batteries in all the old abandoned mines for local power storage, avoiding the longer distance bottlenecks.

2026-04-11 09:35:41 UTC

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(Disclosure, I drive SUVs as upland farm vehicles)
Where’s the damage caused by the heavy range of vans up to container lorries?
Does very heavy traffic act as a catalyst for starting breakup?
Do roads just need to be built stronger?

2026-04-11 09:22:02 UTC

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I’d agree, although it’s also possible we’re not in a group that attracts abusive types. Mastodon structure means we don’t always see all the replies other people get, hopefully that will change.
This could be an effect of non-algorithmic networks not sending up troll flares to attract trolls, damping aggression rather than actively generating conflict and maximising it.
Similarly, it may just be too hard for paid interests to widely penetrate a damp system.

2026-04-07 21:48:57 UTC

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Gavin Fucking Williamson.
Is there no way to sue him for libel or defamation?

2026-04-01 20:28:14 UTC

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Another example of ‘gradually, then suddenly’?

2026-03-30 01:10:58 UTC

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I’d say that China is not that interested in armaments sales, as the West has been for decades.
On the day the fighting stops, China will be the only means of rapidly rebuilding the entire Gulf at once. That leverage will affect everything from yuan-denominated oil to longterm hydrocarbons & basic chemicals supply contracts.
The US won’t spend a $ as they focus on pulling out. China will clean up for the long term with most of the Gulf (but not KSA) as client states.

2026-03-29 09:13:08 UTC

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To be grim about it, will the midterms be just a blip in the general progress towards US fascism, or a genuine high water mark, the start of a long term reversal away from fascism?
I’m not confident it’s option 2.

2026-03-28 12:21:09 UTC

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The end goal is to put the profits somewhere they're not visible to UK taxes or windfall taxes, then turn around and ask for more assistance because their profits are so low. Some of those bad habits are spreading to the offshore windfarm industry, which isn't good.
There's an old joke that the companies are financial traders with a sideline in tax-efficient construction.

2026-03-28 12:21:08 UTC

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It won't surprise you that the companies are skilled at tax minimisation, not least because they wrote some of the rules.
Most of this is oriented towards having capex spending on a new project, then making use of capital allowances and reduced tax rates prior to project payback, which is a very manipulable variable. Also the rules on depreciation and amortisation can be bent quite a lot.

2026-03-25 22:55:52 UTC

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Chances that someone like McSweeney wouldn’t have backups, or the ability to swap one phone to another? They’re lying.
I imagine Louise Haigh is having a laugh at his downfall over a phone …

2026-03-24 09:38:21 UTC

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Frankly, it doesn’t say much for Angela Rayner. I expect Reed to fold under any corporate demand, had hoped for better from her.
The real prize for the companies is this means gas infrastructure will have to continue to be built on all new estates, rather than people starting to be put beyond their reach permanently.
See also the brief mention of hydrogen, which is being used as a wedge for the same goal.
All the extra standing charges are also welcomed.

2026-03-24 00:00:39 UTC

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Thanks, appreciated.

2026-03-23 12:07:33 UTC

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Any thoughts on how the Greens are doing nationally?
I’ve seen some comments that they’re going backwards in some areas.

2026-03-23 10:00:48 UTC

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Ok, my bad. I was going on Chikirou saying she wanted to put her 13% into a united list discussion. I wonder what went wrong?

2026-03-23 00:27:47 UTC

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(Obligatory comment about the French list system being complicated if you’re not used to it)
Grégoire quickly put together a united list with the Greens & LFI, and was successful.
Question is, can that be replicated on a bigger scale, or inevitably blocked by a centrist/rightist vote? Probably depends on pulling centrists away leftwards.

2026-03-20 21:34:16 UTC

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There goes Starmer, being a spineless serf again.

2026-03-20 10:31:33 UTC

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Labour has too much baggage to succeed.
For Rayner in particular, two points:
- let’s suppose any new leader can shift a party a maximum of x% to the left. Then it makes more sense to go Green, as they’re already credibly further in a good direction than Rayner could possibly drag Labour.
- I think Rayner has had a choke collar attached over the house nonsense and will get pulled up by the Mail et al should she do anything broadly radical.

2026-03-20 10:19:28 UTC

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Speaking of raw energy, yes.
But also in basic chemicals for dyes, plastics, fertiliser, explosives; the West now faces both inflation and physical shortages.
Not forgetting a cornered market in metals/minerals; having really helped the Gulf states to become metals/mineral brokers, the US has now blocked some of those sources, and made shipping more expensive.
And not to mention all the Belt & Road states where China was already saying “look, told you so, they can’t be trusted”

2026-03-17 10:46:30 UTC

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It’s a good comment.
The critical difference is that aerospace software is rigorously defined, right down to the control signal conversions in the hardware and instrumentation. AI is literally a black box where you cannot be absolutely sure how inputs are treated, or how outputs are generated.
Nor, because it’s hard to provably retrain a neural network that previous data is now superseded, would it work easily with hardware revisions and safety notices.

2026-03-14 19:26:47 UTC

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Yes, that was also my feeling that Peter Walker needs a bit of an internal paradigm shift rather than pushing everything into a Labour-shaped hole.
I’m wondering in retrospect whether the impact in Gorton of so many enthusiastic GP canvassers and helpers also helped to move the dial, in which case a rapidly burgeoning membership may be the secret weapon against traditional Labour constituency agents.

2026-03-12 15:18:49 UTC

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Spring is, however fitfully, coming, which should cheer him up. Unless sunshine means he’ll choose to not go out and hang around indoors.

2026-03-07 21:12:13 UTC

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Somewhat ironically, our college bar had the full-size Manet behind it, in between mirrored sections.

2026-03-07 13:02:31 UTC

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I think Marjorie has beaten me to it.
Politically, that would be an excellent result. Practically, that would put potentially inexperienced candidates into high-profile critical jobs. Not necessarily a bad thing, it could be transformative, but it’s a risk.
I dislike the disingenuous Labour crap that it’s no different to Reform - they’ve fielded ignorant ideologues who only want to please Farage and don’t care if they fuck things up. Very different from a Green perspective.

2026-03-06 06:52:49 UTC

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I feel we miss something always representing productivity linearly. I like to see it as a virtuous circle, as that also emphasises the need for continuity, and how gaps break the circulation.
That can be generalised to a healthy or baffled or broken flow within companies or sectors.

2026-03-03 07:35:04 UTC

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Well, Starmer should be prepared for the consequences of writing a blank cheque to a bunch of nutty crusaders.
That promise of allowing ‘defensive strikes on missiles and drones’ will quickly become a licence to bomb everything everywhere in search of the last tiny Shahed portable drone, until Iran looks like Gaza.
Rather than sneering at Davey & Polanski, Behr could ask how much has been spent on RAF support to Israel & the Gulf in the past two years, and who voted for that?

2026-03-02 14:39:28 UTC

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Simon & yourself might like this breakdown of demographic turnout for G&D.
https://www.pollcheck.co.uk/by-elections/gorton-denton-turnout-map
Interesting that even on the Denton side, the combined Labour/Green vote would easily eclipse Reform. But, as you say, it's a leftwing seat.

2026-03-02 09:57:36 UTC

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More the latter, I suspect.

2026-03-02 09:56:39 UTC

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UKRI still very shy about what’s actually in the buckets they’re rerouting all the funding to. I wonder why that is?

2026-03-02 09:54:23 UTC

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The only way folks would invest in a speculative takeover like that is if they were promised very quick returns, which means attack the stock price, buy it, dismember it. The only Promethean part of that is setting fire to the acquisition.
Also, I wonder how much business intelligence the AI tools have been phoning home with to enable this sort of thing? Bezos probably knows their weaknesses better than they do.

2026-03-02 09:39:04 UTC

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Frankly, I’d be surprised if the Performative Cruelty Office could do the paperwork to achieve this. Won’t stop them blighting everyone’s lives with their stupidity, though.

2026-02-28 10:33:27 UTC

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Polanski is already the most adept and quick-thinking speaker in politics today.
If this speech is mostly hers, Spencer may be joining him.
It would be nice to bury the self-satisfaction of the Oxford Union blowhards and bores …

2026-02-27 17:04:21 UTC

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I would certainly hope so. Mia has had to take breaks in the past from pile-ons.

2026-02-27 09:17:33 UTC

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Pure speculation, of course, but I would plump for people waiting until quite late (a) to be sure who was most likely to beat Reform, and (b) putting their trust in a novel party/candidate.
For (b), Hannah Spencer did an excellent job, whereas Angelina Stogia seemed to have nothing to say for herself, and was swamped by London spinners.

2026-02-27 07:52:17 UTC

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Not to jump on the post hoc bandwagon, but it would seem the large number of polled 'undecideds' went Green fairly late.

2026-02-27 07:48:07 UTC

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It's just like listening to the DUP; We have Traditional Values, They have Dangerous Sectarianism.

2026-02-27 07:38:30 UTC

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Not a bad writeup, but the Grauniad still gives more room to nonexistent vapourware like W.

2026-02-22 08:56:54 UTC

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Stand by to see if Labour would rather split the vote and let Reform win, than follow the tactical voting advice it’s been so keen to cram down everyone else for years.

2026-02-21 12:37:11 UTC

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Just for a bit of fun with the tectonic plate metaphor, on a continental scale, plates do look like monoliths with friction and trouble confined to the edges.
But when you look closer, particularly at Europe, the plate turns into a bunch of microplates, squashed together by contingency, often not all going in the same direction, with active faults and hotspots all over the place. It takes a considerable external force to make it act as a unit.

2026-02-17 10:04:17 UTC

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Still like to defenestrate Jacob Rees-Mogg through the Single Trade Window …

2026-02-17 09:58:43 UTC

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Forgive the cynicism, but if the City is that quick to respond, it smells substantial profit for doing as little as possible and won’t be a big help in cutting the transaction tax on traders.

2026-02-15 12:04:10 UTC

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Are these figures independently overseen any longer, or did Trump make them up?

2026-02-13 18:33:39 UTC

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I’d seriously expect Ice being redeployed as union busters if that takes off. Another long American tradition.

2026-02-13 18:18:13 UTC

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Looks fine to me. Best way to melt ice.

2026-02-13 13:35:51 UTC

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I sometimes think the directors would be happy with a big superhumanising building reflecting their ego with nobody actually making it work.

2026-02-11 21:20:51 UTC

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Not to be an annoying European, but when I lived in Denmark, not only did they have five weeks’ fully paid holidays, but one could take up to five mental health days a year, where if you woke up and thought ‘can’t face work today’, you can take the day off.
And the bottom line is that companies make more money from happy and attentive people.

2026-02-10 11:24:56 UTC

@npub12pw…zvxn
Any thoughts on the Rethinking group?
(apart from it would be interesting if Reeves & Yuan Yang did a job swap for a few months?)
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/feb/10/rethinking-economics-student-academic-organisation-changing-education

2026-02-09 21:40:02 UTC

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Very much so.
I’d say this fits in well with Mahmood’s restructuring of police forces to take centralised financial control over all of them.
- Make the police the arbiter of civil rights “No, you’ve used up your annual protest quota last month, come back next year”
- Control the decisions of the police, with a strong flavouring of treating everything the Home Secretary dislikes through a counterterrorism filter.
Imagine that with Rupert Lowe in charge.

2026-02-08 23:03:44 UTC

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Does that contribute to the gender imbalance in a self-perpetuating way? Male financiers fund chairs that are biased to their US patriarchal outlook?

2026-02-08 19:23:23 UTC

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I think finance stands out in lobbying as they have a sophisticated and well-financed multilevel approach to lobbying. Most other sectors (except oil) are much more traditional and limited.
Nothing as crass as a brown envelope;
on the CS side, contacts at all levels, all on the line of “how can we help you give better advice to the minister”,
on the govt side, aim to capture both sides of the CS analysis, while briefing the minister to look more informed than his CS.

2026-02-06 18:33:56 UTC

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Unlike bye-elections, nobody votes for PM, although a sitting PM does attract a percentage of the vote, probably more than the manifesto.
Practically, though, whatever Reform want, don’t do it, and throw any spare sabots into their machinery.
Greens just don’t have the staff to run a national election campaign, nor the vetted candidates, nor the central office coordination functions. That would be a disaster.

2026-02-01 11:18:58 UTC

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I know it’s apocryphal, but it’s still tempting to quote Zhou Enlai,
“So what do you think about the effects of the French Revolution?”
“It is too early to say”
Alternatively, an essay question, “Who has had more influence on American culture, Benjamin Franklin or PT Barnum? Discuss.”

2026-01-28 12:28:53 UTC

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You can see a lot of correlation with the data here, especially those areas scoring high on the ‘multiple deprivation’ points.
(Although note the opening warnings against misapplying the data for soundbites.)
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/english-indices-of-deprivation-2025/english-indices-of-deprivation-2025-statistical-release

2026-01-28 12:16:42 UTC

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Good idea. Hope it was a rain free walk!

2026-01-27 12:52:20 UTC

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Mahmood’s pre-emptive planning there with taking direct control over her national police.

2026-01-26 09:30:39 UTC

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You can probably guess the outcome of Starmer versus a China trade promotion board, a complete waste of time.
What’s needed is much more frequent contacts from all levels of society, business, science, arts, academics, not for naive top-down ‘deals’, but for knowing more of China, and what it’s really like, good and bad.
It’s going to be a big part of the future, forewarned is forearmed.

2026-01-26 09:20:24 UTC

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Whatever the companies want, do the opposite.

2026-01-26 09:18:57 UTC

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They could try the opposite of colonialism, and prevent both the US and China cornering resources, with a programme of African and South American centred sustainable development that keeps the value in the countries, and not just as sources of raw materials.
Politically, that would ensure open resource markets and prices not subject to monopoly. It would also put a very big spoke in the wheels of the Gulf oil states.
You could apply that from chocolate to coltan.

2026-01-25 11:16:44 UTC

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Can you imagine any conventional way that all the ICE/DHS nazis will get a trial and spend 20 years in jail?
Still less any way the folks in the administration?
What we’re talking about is denazification of the US, not ‘waiting for the midterms’.

2026-01-25 09:15:43 UTC

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Personally, I was not impressed by this, it too much resembles using rape victims as a Trojan horse to help Lammy.
Unless Fleet outlines how her ideas would speed up the backlogs in police work and CPS casework, and examples of where not using a jury actually brings a whole class of cases forwards by months or years, I’ll remain sceptical.
Justice delayed is still justice denied.

2026-01-22 13:16:50 UTC

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Yes, we very much do.
But what are the chances of Peter Kyle doing that?

2026-01-21 12:44:02 UTC

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‘Never again
Is what you swore the time before’

2026-01-21 12:02:20 UTC

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They usually confuse ‘taking action’ with ‘but I made a big speech!’

2026-01-21 11:52:54 UTC

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Maybe the Belgian PM could demonstrate that by fully confiscating however many Russian $b are in the Belgian banks ?
On any other historical scale, when the Belgians find you morally offensive, you’ve really crossed a line.

2026-01-14 10:39:56 UTC

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Not quite so straightforward - this was one stupid mistake alongside a lot of perfectly valid evidence. However, it will now be used to discredit everything and whitewash the violent and racist Maccabi fans, because that suits this govt.

2026-01-12 16:39:23 UTC

https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2026/jan/12/piet-mondrian-crossdressing-lesbian-artist-marlow-moss-cornish-cove

2026-01-12 14:32:24 UTC

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One could argue that the same analysis can be applied to Westminster in its dealings particularly with Ireland, but also Wales & Scotland, except that colonial violence is easier to mask than simple gangster aggression.

2026-01-10 18:13:53 UTC

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Locally prosecuting them in a state court, maybe.
Let me know when Minn PD have all of Ross’s ICE squad in custody and remanded to jail as a flight risk.
Time was where the feds had to intervene against local corrupt police out on a murder spree. Now we have the exact opposite.

2026-01-07 13:08:35 UTC

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Power to the people who generate the power.

2026-01-05 09:03:59 UTC

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Worth noting that it’s an intrinsically more complicated problem.
Generations of electrical engineers have been able to pick up the textbooks worked out in the thirties based on centralised constant fossil gen and the simple power distribution network theory it leads you towards.

2026-01-04 19:50:33 UTC

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Can you imagine if Starmer was magically PM in the sixties instead of Wilson?
Half the country would have been conscripted for Vietnam as a boot-kissing offering.

2026-01-03 22:22:02 UTC

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Indeed not, but they’ve plenty of cruise missiles that need a ‘tested in combat’ sales sticker.

2026-01-03 10:02:59 UTC

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I’d phrase that as people want more agency than more politics.

2025-12-31 12:01:46 UTC

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Hmm. I think I detect the FT trying too hard to paint it as partial good news.
After the burst, we’ll be left with the silicon version of tulip bulbs, not a massive capital infrastructure.
As pointed out by someone else, most ai hardware is already an attempt to reheat failed crypto mining. And we’re leaving the season of reheated leftovers.

2025-12-26 22:57:12 UTC

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There are very few journalists who could write original in-the-moment copy that really was a first draft of history when it came to the politics of power and violence.

2025-12-22 16:27:34 UTC

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Metaphor apart, I wonder if this may not be a sinkhole, but a break in the side. Which would be odd in itself, as the canal’s not very deep, and there shouldn’t be excessive hydraulic pressure.
Perhaps a really unskilled summer sailor broke the clay seal on the side and water’s been under-eroding the bank.

2025-12-18 19:06:06 UTC

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- More ethically produced food and a ban on all intensive methods. (3/3)

2025-12-18 19:06:06 UTC

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One or two thoughts;
Stop supermarket profiteering, so farmers get more of the value, & food prices can also fall.
Ethically produced food will always cost more than imported lowest cost crap.
Lower farm costs = lower gate prices. Making most farms into local energy producers drastically cuts their heating, lighting, power costs, and is a counter-cyclical income stream. (1/3)

2025-12-18 19:06:06 UTC

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Wider subsidies but tied to integrated measurable environmental projects. Soil improvements, upland tree and hedging to slow rain runoff and erosion, wetland planting and river de-straightening to stop fast runoff, allow some wetland catchment, stop flooding in towns.
None of that will happen unless farmers are paid to do it.
- Improved environment & ecology (including not dumping shit in rivers)
- Flood security
- Local cheap renewable energy… (2/3)

2025-12-17 06:48:05 UTC

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Why would Ratcliffe close a very successful hostage which continues to bring in ransom demands? He’s only writing the value down and saddling it with debt anyway.
Grangemouth no longer refines anything, can’t make any money, and dumps millions of tons of pointless carbon a year. Its only asset is its huge capacity connection into the central belt electricity network for offshore wind.
Kill it now and put that money to jobs elsewhere.

2025-12-14 11:42:41 UTC

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Have you copyrighted “chaotic impoverishment”?
You might have the modern inverse of “endogenous growth theory” there.

2025-12-12 09:45:23 UTC

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Time for NICE to do its own rigorous study of which high-quality Indian generics are entirely safe to use, while an order of magnitude cheaper than their US versions. Especially those US drugs under predatory patents.

2025-12-11 18:37:12 UTC

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It would be nice if these initiatives could be meshed with schools and colleges, better use of extracurricular investment, the staff are already dbs checked, and existing transport to extend to out-of-hours.

2025-12-03 11:26:58 UTC

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Or you could argue that these are the new normal post-Brexit borrowing costs for a dodgy, isolated, economy.

2025-12-02 15:07:24 UTC

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Hopefully ok then. I only raise it as have been in that situation, with the meter removed and the lines capped, but not enough to convince customer services who claimed to have meter readings from the meter after it was disconnected.

2025-12-02 11:49:09 UTC

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I’ll have to disagree with your thrust on this one.
I think this is a pragmatic suggestion that the faster folks look at what China can do in goods and services, what the reality is, and what the drawbacks are, will be better than ignoring it and hoping it will go away. It will be an unavoidable big part of the future.
One could say the same of India, and SEA in general, but there’s no doubt who is in the lead, and I doubt cyclicity or political accidents will change that.

2025-12-02 11:13:51 UTC

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Take care the gas company doesn’t continue to bill you. Sometimes they just can’t believe anyone would voluntarily cut out their supply.

2025-11-24 12:19:04 UTC

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Time to hire the Falkirk Pipe Band to play loudly and continually through the meeting and any walkabout.

2025-11-20 11:11:26 UTC

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I wonder if this is again people talking past each other.
I have no idea what the full scope of SAFE is, but I’d take a small bet that the UK wants access to a limited sector, and wants to pay accordingly, while everyone else stands behind no cherrypicking and larger members need to pay more to cover smaller members. With a small element of here’s a middle finger. 🖕

2025-11-19 17:09:40 UTC

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I was thinking of the Alan Turing Institute, which hosts Aria (not the older more Scottish-oriented Turing Institute)

2025-11-19 16:14:27 UTC

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Are these the Turing Institute projects not aimed at defence?

2025-11-10 11:30:03 UTC

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There has to be a Grand Wage Theft Actually joke in there somewhere.

2025-11-05 18:25:10 UTC

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I’m guessing you can probably access most academic-ish books via JSTOR etc.?
It’s been far too long since I lived near Edinburgh to know much about bookshops. I suppose Blackwells?