Professor of astronomy, farmer of goats. Asteroid (42910). She/her. Living and learning on the land and under the skies of Treaty 4 (Saskatchewan, Canada). Thanks to Saskatchewan's beautiful night sky, my research background in small body orbital dynamics, and a couple of really unfortunately placed SpaceX reentries, I spend a lot of time yelling about satellite pollution in international news media.
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2026-07-04T10:52:19Z Event JSON
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Last Notes npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I calculated an average of 1 collision avoidance maneuver every 75 seconds in the Starlink megaconstellation based on the numbers they gave in their last conjuction report. But sure, launch more Starlinks. https://www.space.com/space-exploration/satellites/every-spacex-starlink-satellite-has-to-dodge-a-collision-almost-weekly-and-experts-fear-the-worst npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I used to be excited about rocket launches. Fuck you, SpaceX, for taking that away from me by destroying the sky, the atmosphere, and dropping shit on me because of your terrible safety and nonexistent environmental practices. #nevent1q…zhlt npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler EXCELLENT The Independent picked up our Conversation article! https://www.independent.co.uk/space/space-mirror-satellite-reflect-orbital-b3013688.html npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Everything is terrible, but my goats are very happy. Please enjoy my happy chaos goats. https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/915/867/162/248/572/original/faf1fb00a2f0ccb5.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/915/867/472/841/690/original/1d6c99b4e981c8da.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/915/868/477/883/760/original/daaffdfb7b89e24f.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/915/869/208/385/123/original/b533df0165857be1.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Auuuggghhhh I have to update the megaconstellation numbers (mostly Starlink) for a talk tomorrow. I hate this. There are 10,799 Starlink satellites in orbit, out of 12,556 total launched, and 42,000 (+100,000 more) planned (+1,000,000 "data centres" planned) There are 394 Amazon Kuiper sats in orbit out of 7,000 planned There are 211 Xingwang out of 960 planned There are 239 Quianfan out of 16,000 planned All numbers from https://planet4589.org/space/con/conlist.html npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I always find it completely hilarious when I'm biking and an ENTIRE HERD of cows stops eating to all stare at me (People don't bike much 'round these parts...) https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/904/950/949/217/512/original/9b8930d8a92b8509.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Fun animal story: there is an eastern kingbird who has started hanging out by the back door. The bird knows there are moths that like to hide in the weather stripping around the back door, and dive bombs the moths every time the door opens. Twice today I walked up to the back door, the kingbird called at me from the wire overhead, and I was able to find another moth to dislodge which the kingbird happily ate. This is the kind of king I am 100% ok supporting! npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Want some reminders of how fucking terrible this idea is? https://bigthink.com/starts-with-a-bang/true-cost-solar-power-night-reflect-orbital/ https://theconversation.com/a-us-startup-plans-to-deliver-sunlight-on-demand-after-dark-can-it-work-and-would-we-want-it-to-264323 https://darksky.org/news/organizational-statement-reflect-orbital/ Journalists: please write about how dangerous this is. Lawyers (especially if you're based in the US): please help fight this, it will take legal action now npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler FUCK FUCK FUCK FUCK NOOOOO https://ca.pcmag.com/news/16760/fcc-approves-reflect-orbitals-giant-mirror-satellite-that-astronomers-hate npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler New grass parade! https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/892/581/360/587/137/original/9275dbac24e469af.mp4 npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I had 3 hours straight of back-to-back intense meetings on various aspects of satellites destroying astronomy with different groups of people. This dishcloth I knitted during the meetings expresses my sentiment perfectly. https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/886/103/317/512/147/original/a0a3df61fb3d0838.jpg npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler HAHAHA FUCK SpaceX just launched a nuclear powered satellite. https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/spacex-just-launched-the-1st-ever-nuclear-powered-commercial-satellite Sounds like this particular satellite is tiny and doesn't have a lot of tritium on board but HOLY SHIT this is a bad precedent. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I missed reading Starlink's latest conjunction report when it came out a bit over a month ago. I just skimmed through it and I think I need to go lay down for a while. It's terrifying how close we are to major collisions in orbit all the time... (I especially love the note about how space-track.org being offline briefly caused them to miss a potential collision... SO FRAGILE AAUGH) Article summarizing the report here: https://ca.pcmag.com/networking/16653/260-starlink-satellites-burn-up-in-earths-atmosphere-as-more-head-for-fiery-ends Full report here: https://www.scribd.com/document/1057502572/SpaceX-Gen1-Gen2-Semi-Annual-Report-7-1-26?_gl=1*1tx42k4*_up*MQ..*_ga*MTYxNTUyMDUwNy4xNzgzMDA2MzM0*_ga_Z4ZC50DED6*czE3ODMwMDYzMzMkbzEkZzEkdDE3ODMwMDYzMzUkajU4JGwwJGgw*_ga_8KZ8BV0P5W*czE3ODMwMDYzMzMkbzEkZzEkdDE3ODMwMDYzMzUkajU4JGwwJGgw npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Potatoes. PO - TAY - TOES. Boil 'em, mash 'em, stick 'em in a stew. (I will sleep well tonight! And dream of potatoes. Or a potato-hilling machine.) https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/869/331/181/850/640/original/900a66f2744102d4.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/869/335/848/496/213/original/b049985017ec7f09.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler YOU GUYS!! We live on a planet where the perfect combination of chemistry, atmospheric temperature and pressure, and geometry means that this ridiculously beautiful thing just HAPPENS sometimes!!! Earth is so damn neat! We have the best planet! https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/615/988/935/746/236/original/0d7d143ed26033c2.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler YES. "What’s driving me crazy, then, is not the idea that AI exists or that people are using AI. It’s that I have a finite time on this earth that I mostly want to spend interacting with other human beings. I don’t want to be the person arguing with a robot, or wasting my time reading something that a real person couldn’t be bothered to write." #nevent1q…x8a8 npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Some questions that keep coming up: There are gaps in the lines because this is a bunch of shorter exposures over the course of 10 minutes added together Kessler Syndrome is extremely bad for everybody, don't hope for it (though on my grumpier days I can definitely understand that perspective) The many parallel lines come from the orbits that have been chosen by megaconstellation operators, mostly Starlink. You can see that somewhat in various satellite visualizers like https://satellitetracker3d.com/ npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Don't worry, Sam, SpaceX won't ACTUALLY launch 7,000 satellites! (There are currently 10,296 Starlink sats in orbit) Don't worry, SpaceX said they'd get their satellites below magnitude 7! (They have not https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/link_gateway/2025MNRAS.544L..15M/PUB_PDF) Don't worry, they won't actually start Kessler Syndrome! https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/ Don't worry, they won't actually launch a million AI data centres into orbit!! https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366 This is the fucking worst I-told-you-so https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/astropix.html https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/476/998/997/111/874/original/1ec846317c89888d.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I won an astronomy communication and public education award from the Canadian Astronomical Society, for yelling about satellite pollution! I'm quite honoured, and now obligated to continue yelling. Which I was going to do anyway, but it's extremely nice to know that my university (who gave me a public education award last year) and my professional society both think I am good at yelling about this and should keep doing it. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Upside to 2am barn checks for the #BabyGoatCountdown: there were full-sky auroras! (It *finally* wasn't cloudy, yay) https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/426/128/476/356/030/original/8c8c3a4541367bf0.jpeg https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/426/129/663/178/383/original/360e6066cb5c4a1f.jpeg https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/426/131/418/645/961/original/529b9f17e918dde0.jpeg npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Good morning! It's very cold and sparkly. And there are no new baby goats. But the 5 baby goats so far are SO CUTE and very healthy. #BabyGoatCountdown https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/426/109/890/888/018/original/58bcf71d058998ee.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/426/110/400/256/966/original/e191e473ab79fcea.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/426/110/988/380/137/original/339a8c244b0a2027.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/426/112/395/392/063/original/d3d71c7bd6463902.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I am... really tempted to pin this to the top of my account... Print it and put it on my office door... send it as my email signature... wear it around my neck at conferences.... https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20180727-mansplaining-explained-in-one-chart https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/415/404/775/190/524/original/3eb2d5dbe4a2e8a2.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Such very round goats. Such intense derpy-ness. It's also a Good Cloud Day, which is excellent. New Zealand has great clouds, but the huge prairie sky is my favourite! #BabyGoatCountdown https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/405/885/963/386/996/original/2cda6b73762322ce.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/405/886/458/836/583/original/4dff447e4ba3f975.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/405/887/051/048/706/original/c1869ffcbc92411a.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/405/889/695/502/723/original/8db4e55684f778cf.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Trying to edit a stupid FCC comment on Yet Another Fucking Stupid Orbital Data Center (fuck you, Blue Origin) and I need to go outside and rage-scream for a while. And I have an easily accessible hayfield to rage-scream in!! (Also maybe baby goats, I'll check for those too #BabyGoatCountdown) npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Have to try to start playing tetris to pack my car with all the stuff we acquired in the last few months of travel (and decide if it's worth mailing anything to ourselves instead). And make decisions about weather and the long drive to Sask. Given everything else that's happening, everyone needs a few more absurdly gorgeous night sky photos I took 2 weeks ago in the Tekapo Dark Sky Reserve, in the best night skies I've ever seen in my life (despite all the satellites. Sigh.) https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/353/752/958/574/286/original/fde4e34818e39b35.jpeg https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/353/754/522/642/744/original/f158ba6c05332b7d.jpeg https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/353/758/250/295/473/original/0354fa987c332686.jpeg https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/353/759/058/989/546/original/2611c184dd2b3317.jpeg npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I very much appreciate the way they wrote this: "SpaceX, which recently reported two Starlink satellite failures that created new space debris, yesterday accused Amazon and its launch partner Arianespace of negligence that 'needlessly and significantly increases risk to other operational systems and inhabited spacecraft.'” It's too bad that 2 giant evil companies hating each other does not result in anything cancelling out, and will probably just cause more problems... #nevent1q…rgk6 npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler *Secret hilarious project* is now live! Astronomy has a fine tradition of April Fool's Day papers, where there are real calculations, but perhaps on a very silly topic. Compilation of this year's Acta Prima Aprilia papers here: https://www.actaprimaaprilia.com/2026-issue npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Just submitted my Reflect Orbital reply comment to the FCC. And I managed to not throw my laptop out a window. Reflect Orbital is a fucking terrible idea that will cause real physical harm with no benefit whatsoever. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler For no reason at all, please give me your favourite cow-related figures of speech! (Stuff like "No use crying over spilled milk" or "until the cows come home", puns extremely welcome) npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Yesterday my partner and kids visited the Antarctic Centre in Christchurch, and they were all delighted by the penguins and huskies. They were less impressed by the "cold room" (which was -8C and had fans that also blow wind at 40km/hr, they have parkas you can borrow...) Saskatchewan has completely changed our standards for cold weather! My 9yo: "It didn't even freeze my boogers! That's not cold!" My partner: "It was nice dog walking weather." npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Fuck. Reflect Orbital apparently had more time than we thought to respond, and they just did. We have a lot more writing to do. Hopefully some of you who wrote comments will also write and submit replies to Reflect Orbital's FCC response. I'm sure it's total bullshit, and I am not sure when I will have the strength to read it. Fuck you, Reflect Orbital. I hate absolutely everything you are planning to do. Really tempted to submit THAT to the FCC...but I will rethink when not 100% exhausted. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler The third article in this (horrible) series of articles I've co-authored is now out. https://theconversation.com/a-million-new-spacex-satellites-will-destroy-the-night-sky-for-everyone-on-earth-277938 A million satellites of the size required for "AI data centers" would mean that everyone in the world would have more visible satellites than stars for most of the night and most of the year. But don't worry, we'll be in Kessler Syndrome WAY before we get to a million satellites! npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I presented at the local planetary journal club this morning about the 3 articles I co-authored for The Conversation in the past weeks about the effects that one million satellites would have on the night sky, the atmosphere, and the orbital environment (spoiler alert: all very very bad) https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366 https://theconversation.com/too-many-satellites-earths-orbit-is-on-track-for-a-catastrophe-but-we-can-stop-it-275430 And one on light pollution that I thought would get published today but might not be out until after the weekend. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Well, I have now been quoted calling SpaceX "fuckweasels" in a real publication by real journalists: https://au.pcmag.com/ai/116598/spacex-to-start-small-with-1-million-satellite-plan-pushes-back-on-critics I guess I am proud of myself? (They are, indeed, fuckweasels, for their complete lack of care for the atmosphere that we all depend on, as well as not caring about Kessler Syndrome, or light pollution, or smashing people on the ground...) npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler You know what's really cool? Sociable eels in small streams on a university campus in New Zealand. https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/192/515/565/612/037/original/481a33faa3081c9e.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler FUCK all my North American meetings get one hour earlier this week?!! AUUUGHHHH I hate daylight savings time. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler The next few days are going to be extremely hard for personal reasons (on top of everything else happening). I'm sending good commiserating vibes out to everyone else who's using all your coping strategies and still feeling like you're drowning in all the shit that's happening. I hope you get a few moments of peace today that help you power through all the shit you have to get through. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Just FYI, the correct response to someone saying "This conversation is a good example of sealioning" is not "I did NOT bring in any unrelated questions! Show me your references!" Blocked. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I love love love love (in a sarcastic, dark humour sort of way) the title of the article Dr. Laura Revell, Dr. @nprofile…k5hz and I wrote last week https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366. But one thing got cut in the final edit: simulations of the night sky with 1 million satellites. I just tried to pitch a separate article on that, I'll see if that gets picked up this coming week or not. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Ok, now that you've sat through that rant, my family and I saw SEVEN KIWIS yesterday! 3 were on Ulva Island, and 4 were just snarfling around in the grass on the sides of the roads around Oban, the only town on Stewart Island. The giant New Zealand pigeons, Kurerū, were abundant and delightful. We saw kākā parrots in town and in the woods, too! Nearly 40 people came to my talk! Which is extra incredible because there are only 300 people living on the island. https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/146/025/787/124/463/original/e58166055af41085.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Kia Ora, Invercargilll! I still owe the world a few posts about my time on Stewart Island Rakiura because that was completely incredibly amazing. But the only internet access I had was through the public library, which has a Starlink antenna on top, which made me feel pretty gross. Say it with me again, everyone: rural and remote places need internet access that is not controlled by and enriching an American billionaire!! #ProfSamLectureTour npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler New article out about what a million satellites could do to our atmosphere. It's bad. https://theconversation.com/a-new-space-race-could-turn-our-atmosphere-into-a-crematorium-for-satellites-276366 npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I got to borrow a bike today and I biked waaayyy longer than I meant to because Christchurch's biking infrastructure is AWESOME, it's super flat and easy to bike here, and I am still constantly guessing directions wrong because I'm in the opposite hemisphere I'm used to (took the "scenic route") Extra bonus points to me for not making any dumb mistakes while biking on the opposite side of the road from what I'm used to, while in traffic, in a city! npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler @nprofile…medq So in Canada, SpaceX gave $5000 to each family that found space debris on their property. Something tells me they won't do this in Madagascar 😠 npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Too wound up to go to bed, so I just sent lots of emails to people hoping that they'll spread the word and get lots more people to write comments to the FCC telling them that orbital data centres and sunlight-as-a-service are incredibly stupid, dangerous ideas and should never be launched. Instructions here to submit here: https://darksky.org/news/two-satellite-proposals-threaten-the-night-sky-the-window-to-act-is-now/ I don't think it'll actually make a big difference. But I do think it's incredibly important that the official record shows how many opposed this. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Reflect Orbital wants to destroy the night sky to deliver "sunlight as a service". SpaceX wants to destroy Low Earth Orbit to launch one million "AI datacentres" The only way to formally protest these two ideas is to file a comment with the US FCC, which is horribly complicated, but the American Astronomical Society has detailed instructions posted here: https://aas.org/posts/advocacy/2026/02/how-submit-comments-satellite-applications-fcc Comments due March 6 for SpaceX and March 9 for Reflect Orbital. Write! Write! Write! npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Observations from a Canadian visiting New Zealand: -Making NZers say "Saskatchewan" is kind of hilarious -Roundabouts work really really well when everyone is used to them -Drip coffee apparently does not exist here (espresso-based coffee drinks only. Even at the one Dunkin Donuts I saw in a hideous mall I had to go inside in Auckland). -NZ signs do not play around (see example below) https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/027/637/922/225/756/original/c1f2da23c8ec47c2.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler There are lots of satellites here in the southern skies too. But the stars behind the satellites are absolutely incredible! The Milky Way was absurdly bright! The Magellenic Clouds were so easy to see! WOOOOWWWWW https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/025/227/453/909/832/original/9df4a46469df3a36.jpeg https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/025/228/023/170/636/original/85e512469f34b050.jpeg https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/025/228/699/312/025/original/ff37fcd6b787fdba.jpeg https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/116/025/231/112/665/964/original/05b68727ad193975.jpeg npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler What the actual fuck. It's not April Fools Day, right? This is real?! Fuck you, SpaceX. Maybe this will help regulators realize how fucking shortsighted companies' plans in orbit are? Surely the FCC won't rubber-stamp-approve this one??... ONE MILLION STARLINKS FUUUUCCCKKKKKK https://au.pcmag.com/networking/115649/spacex-eyes-1-million-satellites-for-orbital-data-center-push npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Hello Aotearoa New Zealand!! (I am so tired and need to stay awake longer) #ProfSamLectureTour https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/987/482/408/744/422/original/88e44ae901900d52.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler The friends I'm staying with have a hilariously sad, ancient folding bike they found with a "free" sign years ago. I really desperately wanted a bike ride, so I pumped up the tires and explored a bit on the greenways of Surrey. The front brake, which had been doing most of the heavy lifting, gave up the ghost as I approached a busy street, so I carefully turned around and very very slowly biked back on sidewalks and through alleys. Very pleasant, though! https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/969/807/086/135/028/original/451c63153bcc02bb.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I started writing this book project using zettlr in markdown, because that seemed like the best way to incorporate many citations from a wild variety of journals/books/articles. But I am now having serious problems trying to integrate files. Latex is hard but I know it quite well, I just don't have a latex editor that I like that's reliable (I'm not doing this on overleaf, it's just me, no sharing needed). Recs? Advice? I'm running Ubuntu. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler @nprofile…jks6 It does lower the risk of Kessler Syndrome. But it means that reentries will happen more frequently because satellites will require more fuel to stay in orbit and will likely have shorter operating lifetimes. So more pollution from reentries and launches, more ground casualty risks. Also satellites will be significantly brighter because they're lower. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler One of my million meetings yesterday was the space debris subcommittee of the AAS Committee on the Protection of Astronomy and the Space Environment (yeah, it's a long name). But the very very best part of that meeting is always getting the orbital traffic report from Jonathan McDowell @nprofile…p855 He has been writing Jonathan's Space Report for decades with details on what has launched and reentered and what is happening in orbit around Earth. https://planet4589.org/space/jsr/jsr.html npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I need to stop staring at my screen, that was WAY too much Zoom today. But first, have some goats snuggling with their llama buddy. https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/726/599/798/731/126/original/981fac26295015ea.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/726/600/522/439/926/original/b8d59bd4ff827483.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Reposting for those not bridged to BlueSky, and to add alt-text, because this is important! Jonathan McDowell @nprofile…p855 posted this morning: "The number of active satellites in orbit has now passed the 14000 mark according to my estimates" https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/723/937/865/346/568/original/d829c164a156831e.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Just sitting here at my desk, procrastinating on packing, and a very specific screw from one of the meteor cameras that I lost months ago just fell on my foot from somewhere underneath my desk?! WHAT. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Crowdsource recommendations please! I had a lovely science education website hosted on Squarespace, which was very nice to work with, especially as someone who doesn't know a lot about how websites work. But I'd really like to have this website hosted instead on a server located in Canada, preferably with some nice building interface (wordpress?) and preferably not $$$ (And I am so bad at web stuff that I am probably using the wrong language here... apologies) npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I had to count it all up for a stupid university information form thing, so just sharing that I did 61 media interviews this year (more than one a week on average, again, and I probably didn't even write them all down because that's ... a lot of interviews). I'm guessing that most professors don't do this many interviews? npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Schoolbus just picked up my kid and it's almost completely dark still. I don't know how people handle wintertime even closer to the poles than this! npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I'll say it again: there is a hard limit to how many satellites you can have in orbit without terrible consequences, and I am quite sure we are already above that limit, mostly thanks to Starlink. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler @nprofile…z64c @nprofile…weex Dude you're completely wrong about Starlink satellites being less bright now: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2507.00107 npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I should add...other than obviously consolidate my lists into one list... Are there things that you wished you had brought on a long road trip? Or international trips? Or keeping track of things while frequently moving between hotels/friends' houses on a long trip? Or setting up your house for someone else to live in it temporarily? (I realize these are all incredibly privileged things to worry about, and I'm so grateful I get to do this) npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler About 3 weeks until my epic trip, that will include lots of lectures (both for researchers and the general public), meeting with research collaborators, and hopefully a tiny bit of vacation time. I have SO much to do to get house/farm animals ready for the farm sitter, packing, eating up freezer food... I am at the stage where I have lists started on scraps of paper scattered around my desk, my kitchen table, a notebook, and a couple on my phone and computer. Any good organization tips? npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I'm famous in Ituna! https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/566/773/846/997/092/original/715834ec7d71878d.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I cannot believe how much misinformation there is about comet 3I/ATLAS. It's just very cool on its own without having to be an alien spaceship conspiracy... Prof. Jason Wright wrote a great breakdown of all the ways Avi Loeb is wrong about his awful alien conspiracy theories, and why 3I/ATLAS is totally scientifically interesting in its own right: https://sites.psu.edu/astrowright/2025/11/09/loebs-3i-atlas-anomalies-explained/ npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Listening in to a meeting of radio astronomers: direct-to-cell satellites are SO BRIGHT that even though they're following the rules and broadcasting in their allocated bands, they destroy astronomical observations across a huge swath of frequencies. Radio telescopes were designed to operate in remote place far from cell towers. Now the cell towers are directly overhead, blasting into the incredibly sensitive detectors. Yet another way we're losing our window to the stars: bye bye SETI. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler The 3I/Atlas wacko emails keep getting weirder and weirder. This one involved Trump changing the orbit of Earth. Thanks a lot, Avi, I blame you. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I've got the house totally opened up to absorb that last bit of warmth! The animals seem to know they should be out and enjoying the sun also. It's supposed to be 25C today, and snow tomorrow. (And that is well within normal for Saskatchewan temperature swings, but I'm sure climate change has added its extra special boost to this). https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/356/841/162/539/524/original/d3f5d56fe81ca315.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/356/842/452/593/030/original/d7e1958723ac9ee0.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler It's becoming increasingly clear to me that Reflect Orbital's fucking stupid giant mirror satellite, with absolutely NOTHING useful to offer, which will cause countless safety issues, ecological disasters, and destroy the night sky, is going to launch. A bunch of astronomers and I have sent out a fact sheet about them to a bunch of journalists, but very few are going to write about this. So, let me try posting it all here. Here's what I know about Reflect Orbital and all the downsides: npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Just got my official letter for the fellowship to New Zealand! And I have a possible lead on a local farm sitter, but nothing is set yet. So I'm just going to put this out onto the Fediverse again, in case someone who knows how take care of goats in Real Canadian Winter (down to -40C temps) happens to be looking for housing in Saskatchewan in Jan-Apr 2026 npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Fediverse! I need some help! I have a fellowship to go to Aotearoa New Zealand for a few weeks, and also an offer of an additional fellowship to give lectures around NZ. This is INCREDIBLY EXCITING!! ...but I have a lot of animals! And it's going to be during Saskatchewan winter! The potential farm sitters I've reached out to locally have all fallen through, so I need help to find someone. Not sure if I should put out an actual farm sitting job ad here? Or if there are better places to try? https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/115/231/377/515/371/243/original/795cc252e7e5bab7.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Damn, it sure was nice not hearing much about Poilievre for a while there. https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/poilievre-byelection-parliament-return-1.7612438 Alberta, you suck. (Of course, Saskatchewan has the same vote-for-absolutely-anything-conservative mentality...I just don't get it). npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I think I get shielded a bit from how enshittified the internet has gotten because so much of what I'm looking up is usually in reputable news sources or peer-reviewed research in astronomy (which isn't a big money-maker). But wow, trying to find information on solar panel efficiencies or home repair, there certainly are a lot of completely useless shit websites out there. I can only imagine this is even worse in health or other areas that already had lots of scamminess... This sucks. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I am happy to say that I reached the point in my career where I got a 4:30pm phone call from CBC national news asking if I'd do a live TV interview about the Perseids in less than 2 hours (less than 1 hour by the time I noticed the voicemail), and I just...didn't. Because WOW that's short notice and while I appreciate journalists reaching out to astronomers to talk about astronomy things, surely there's got to be someone else who can talk about this particular thing that happens once a year? npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Continuing the rant: I got a talk accepted at an upcoming conference in the US. I specifically requested a remote talk, for SO MANY REASONS. They sent me an email yesterday saying I'm accepted for an in-person talk, but they might possibly accept a few remote talks if it's well-justified. "My university and most Canadian universities say not to travel to the US. Is that good enough justification?" Do most Americans really not realize how dangerous a border crossing is now? npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler The student finally wrote back! ...and they're actually still travelling and not heading back to the US for another day. So, I'll save my worrying about them for tomorrow. Fuck ICE and all Republicans everywhere for making this a thing that anyone has to worry about. This is so fucking terrible. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I'm really hopefully freaking out about nothing, but I am working with a Canadian student based at a high-ranking US university, and I haven't heard from them at all after they were supposed to get back to their university after an international trip. Are they being a typical busy grad student and just not responding to email or texts? Or are they sitting in a cell in a for-profit concentration camp somewhere? I can't believe this is a thing I have to consider. FUCK. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Well fuck. Reflect Orbital just filed for their first satellite with the FCC. https://www.reflectorbital.com/ I hate them even more than AST SpaceMobile. At least AST does something mildly useful, unlike Reflect Orbital, which is 100% a scam and will collide with a lot of junk in orbit. Time to go rage-scream in the hay field. And then go to a meeting with astronomers to talk about what we can do to fight it. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler It's been 3 days since I put in these numbers and just to make sure I am super angry as I go to bed, I checked again. There area now 8,093 Starlink satellites in orbit, out of 12,308 total active satellites. 1,243 Starlink satellites have burned up. As with almost everything else happening, this is so fucking stupid, and I'm going to keep yelling about it. To calm myself down, I'd go outside and look up, but guess what I'd see? Who needs post-apocalyptic scifi books? npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I'm updating satellite numbers for yet another talk. There now 8,077 Starlink satellites in orbit, 1,240 have already been burned up in the atmosphere, depositing all their metal, plastic, and computer bits in the stratosphere as weird vapour (data from https://planet4589.org/space/con/conlist.html) 12,238 active satellites now catalogued. The fraction of Starlinks is actually holding pretty steady lately because so many other operators have started launching. Over 200 satellites launched this month. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Good morning from the goat-and-llama parade https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/902/910/965/967/255/original/3ab2453dc2d50ef5.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Morning megaconstellations-are-bad reading: https://thexlab.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Starlink_Analysis_Working_Paper_v0.2.pdf Many levels of gov't are jumping on Starlink as a rural broadband provider because it's cheapest, but if lots of people in an area all use it, then it's not actually fast. This analysis finds that if Starlink use exceeds 6 households per square mile, it is not fast enough to qualify as broadband. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler The answer to your paper title is an emphatic "No", Avi Loeb. https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.12213 BAHAHAHA oh gosh he's escalated to making alien doomsday predictions!! Though at this point I think many of us would welcome a "hostile" alien takeover in December 2025.... npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler SpaceX spends a lot of time saying how safe they are with their threshhold for collision avoidance maneuvers, which is great. But they HAVE to be! With those densities, high collision probability conjunctions happen many times per day. It is impressive that they have been operating perfectly, but how long do they think they can keep this up with zero mistakes? And what if all the Starlinks are not all fully burning up as they claim? That's a lot of stuff hitting the ground... npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Kessler Syndrome update: They report 144,000 collision avoidance maneuvers across the whole constellation in Dec-May. That's about one maneuver every 2 minutes. Every 2 minutes there's a chance for a mistake that would lead to a very bad day in orbit. And as this paper shows (with Dr. Kessler himself as a co-author!), a very bad day at that altitude would lead to a runaway collisional cascade. No more satellites at that altitude! https://conference.sdo.esoc.esa.int/proceedings/sdc9/paper/305/SDC9-paper305.pdf npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler New SpaceX report on Starlink conjunctions and deorbits (a.k.a. dumping tons of metal/plastic/solar panels/computers into the upper atmosphere) https://www.scribd.com/document/883045105/SpaceX-Gen1-Gen2-Semi-Annual-Report-7-1-25 Scariest part: 472 Starlinks were burned up in the atmosphere in Dec-May. Assuming each satellite is 800kg, and 50% aluminum by mass, that's 1 ton of aluminum PER DAY. The natural infall rate of aluminum from meteoroids is 0.3 tons per day. Starlink has been ~3x that, for the last 6 months. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Happy Canada Day! I'm going to try to get my kids to bike with me 10km on gravel roads+grassy highway shoulder 4x4 trail to the nearest town. There is a pancake breakfast and a ridiculous cheesy Canada Day parade waiting at the end if we manage it in less than 2 hours... this will be challenging! Wish us luck! npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Hahaha well, I just got elected to be on the Board of Directors of the Canadian Astronomical Society. I'm also the co-chair of the light/satellite pollution committee for the American Astronomical Society. I think I have volunteered for tooooo mannnnyyyy thiinnngssss! (Good thing they're all full of truly awesome people that I'm excited to work with.) Now I can *officially* yell a bunch about satellite pollution in TWO countries! npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Was up late for obnoxious reasons and feeling really grumpy about it, but the upside was there were dozens of fireflies! I know that doesn't sound like much if you're from New England or somewhere with lots of fireflies, but that's more fireflies than I've ever seen here! It was so cool! So yeah, Saskatchewan has fireflies. (At least, if you live on an organic farm. I suspect that's another reason people here don't know there are fireflies: conventional farms kill them all...) npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Those of you who have written science research papers, what's the oldest paper you've cited in a paper you published? (I just saw a citation to an 1843 paper.) Pretty sure mine is only 1920 or so. (I know, you historians out there are going to have scientists beat, but you're also welcome to share) npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Co-author Michele Bannister posted a thread about this paper yesterday on bluesky: https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:f3jxtgz7tnwvzkpgzb6wsqqj/post/3lr7qoirmxr27 npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler The more I learn about atmospheric chemistry, the more terrified and angry I am about satellite companies' blatant lack of consideration for how their actions will harm the atmosphere. I hope this gets a lot of press. Great work by a whole team of scientists, including @nprofile…27rq! https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-025-01098-6.epdf npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Updating talk slides so you all get to be horrified along with me at the current Starlink numbers. There are now 7,652 Starlink satellites in orbit (>500 more than there were in February, when I last updated these particular slides). 2-3 Starlinks per day are burning up in the atmosphere. That's a lot of weird metal in the atmosphere (and undoubtedly lots of random bits getting to the ground too). Starlink is a stupidly wasteful and dangerous way to use orbit. npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I may have accidentally given my llama a mohawk. I'm sorry, dude, I'm not very good at shearing. But you'll be a lot cooler this summer! (Temperature-wise, if not fashion-wise) https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/610/590/024/191/638/original/fb36451a664a3959.png https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/610/590/634/769/775/original/f4ee6448103e4e92.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Oh hey cool, an op-ed I wrote is now published! TLDR: we need *fewer* satellites with *longer* operational lifetimes. Engineers: that's your challenge. https://www.livescience.com/space/astronomy/what-goes-up-must-come-down-how-megaconstellations-like-spacexs-starlink-network-pose-a-grave-safety-threat-to-us-on-earth-opinion npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Since I'm bored and stuck at the stupid airport, here's a plot I'm putting in my talk. The orbits shown are the "ETNOs" that are supposed to be clustered by Planet 9 (note, this is 2D only). The only ones I think are super interesting are the 3 pink ones, which have pericenters that are distant enough and semimajor axes that are small enough that they can't be explained with known dynamics. THOSE are the interesting ones. Let's find more! https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/565/688/998/724/903/original/00af67e79bc87fc4.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler I need an interesting-but-simple shawl or poncho pattern to work on while I'm at a conference. Any recommendations? npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler Thorough analysis of satellite reentries over the last 5 years, and how they were affected by the May 2024 solar storm: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2505.13752 Personally, I think the paper has way too much of a tone of "wow look at all this great reentry data! We can learn so much about satellite drag!" and not nearly enough "Holy shit guys, that's a lot of metal burning up in the atmosphere, maybe this is a bad idea?" https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/543/481/597/985/810/original/28ef0ce2c9ae3c67.png npub1dls3fr60k92efj3980hthkhjdgcqky8jawpg9tcqmkvd68dt70esy7hn0x Prof. Sam Lawler The error bars are getting smaller on the Venus probe reentry! Now at 6:30 UTC on 10 May, +/- 4.1 hr https://sattrackcam.blogspot.com/2025/04/kosmos-842-descent-craft-reentry.html Not gonna fall on Saskatchewan!! ...Lots of other places it could still fall though. https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/479/042/101/936/588/original/0ca5c54f3e14a985.png