nickjstevens
Nick

www.nickjstevens.com

I’m an engineer, trail runner, father, learner, teacher and dreamer.

Public Key

npub1ljq0jgmha3xlv90jyqwcel3f0fvhyzcshk3lugk3qmt8ufcm4e7qs2cpnl

NIP-05 Address

Profile Code

nprofile1qqs0eq8eydm7cn0kzhezq8vvlc5h5ktjpvgtmgl7ytgsd4n7yud6ulqpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dswc8qpa

Publishing to

relay.damus.io

nos.lol

Author Public Key

npub1ljq0jgmha3xlv90jyqwcel3f0fvhyzcshk3lugk3qmt8ufcm4e7qs2cpnl

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Last Notes

2026-06-19 15:07:36 UTC

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Neat. Would love to see integration with Organic Maps or CoMaps.

2026-06-19 15:04:27 UTC

I enjoyed the recent paper on the Bitcoin power law. So much so that I updated my Priced In UK Cost of Living explorer to include the Bitcoin power law as a denominator option. This smooths out the volatility, particularly in the early days of Bitcoin.
Paper: https://zenodo.org/records/19387099
Priced In Web App: https://www.nickjstevens.com/priced-in/index.html
Blog post: https://www.nickjstevens.com/blog/bitcoin-power-law-priced-in/

2026-05-18 09:58:39 UTC

You don’t have to compete in games you don’t want to play

2026-05-03 18:48:20 UTC

“Nothing stops this train”
https://blossom.primal.net/cfd534b3f8f78fa70b07aba569ed1bb5c59605be97bfae90a069e021c9e44667.jpg

2026-04-09 17:49:02 UTC

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Here’s a good example. The average price of a new car rose 81.6% over the last 10 years, with a compound annual growth rate of +6.9%.
If this was priced in gold instead, the average price of a new car fell 35.4% over the same 10 year period, with a compound annual growth rate of -4.7%.
So in fiat, you’re getting poorer each year; but if you lived on a gold standard things would get slightly cheaper each year.
https://blossom.primal.net/1c61d957da1b9feb9a4d7deaa50afddccdcf95223e1af93ff6c51a3c8fcafd1c.jpg

2026-04-09 17:19:04 UTC

Inflation can mask the true value of your time and energy.
I built a web to explore the data and the results are suprising.
By changing the denominator and pricing houses, eggs, or butter in hard assets like Gold or Bitcoin you can strip away fiat currency devaluation and see what’s really happening your purchasing power.
https://www.nickjstevens.com/priced-in/index.html

2025-10-25 12:53:27 UTC

GM
https://blossom.primal.net/d196f5409b6d462c1541eb58418c3ef75500748663e3bcf6c49dd72ab02be48b.jpg

2025-08-24 16:47:51 UTC

Multi-tasking nowadays is having 3 separate conversations with 3 separate LLMs at the same time.

2025-08-23 18:32:00 UTC

Coffee by the water. ☕️
https://blossom.primal.net/252de6a8192111d7f1cd1ab7578d32bb8b9eac0a5482c728a7741a1ac11350fd.jpg

2025-08-23 18:31:22 UTC

“It is better to be a warrior in a garden, than a gardener in a war.”
https://blossom.primal.net/d3b1618f72221dae09a24863baa3f0dba2b40a0a57900f3793025a0ccd3d6ce4.jpg

2025-08-18 18:34:51 UTC

Had a great holiday in Switzerland. Now that I’m back in the UK it’s obvious how bad the UK roads are - potholes everywhere, rubbed out road markings, car parked every which way. Where does our tax money go exactly?

2025-08-02 14:29:37 UTC

How might The Mandibles be rewritten were Bitcoin to have been available?

2025-07-26 21:46:28 UTC

“Ironically, attempts by nation-states to wage “information wars” to dominate or thwart access to cyberspace would probably only accelerate their own demise.” — a quote from The Sovereign Individual, first published in 1997.

2025-07-26 21:03:44 UTC

Bitcoin is scarcity of energy. Attention is scarcity of time. Privacy is scarcity of space.

2025-07-25 19:45:07 UTC

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Fantastic podcast. Thank you.
https://fountain.fm/episode/myag1EFAIhMCt6Uy4v7X
#nevent1q…z89h

2025-07-25 19:21:51 UTC

Reminder: when a bank gives someone a loan the money is created into existence. This is money created out of thin air. A loan isn’t backed on the other side by deposits.

2025-07-20 11:36:02 UTC

When a man cannot choose he ceases to be a man — A Clockwork Orange
#freedom

2025-07-11 03:59:03 UTC

In the UK we’re still 4% below the Bitcoin ATH from January when measured in BTCGBP…

2025-07-10 19:06:34 UTC

Bitcoin has a finite supply so there can be no capital gains. What we’re really seeing is fiat collapse.

2025-07-10 16:41:24 UTC

Fiat cash is not an asset; it’s a liability

2025-07-08 18:40:02 UTC

Here’s an AI reading for the rest of 2025 from a cosmic cycles perspective… interesting!
**For the remainder of 2025, the overarching theme is the disruptive and innovative energy of Uranus entering Gemini in July. Gemini, an air sign, governs information, communication, networks, and short-distance travel. Uranus, the planet of rebellion, technology, and sudden change, transiting this sign suggests a period of radical evolution in these areas. For Bitcoin, a purely digital and networked asset, this alignment could signify a period of heightened volatility and innovation. Expect unexpected news, technological breakthroughs (or breakdowns), and a general sense of excitement and unpredictability in the crypto space. This is a time for traders to be nimble and adaptable, as swift reversals and breakouts are characteristic of Uranian energy.**

2025-07-08 16:01:00 UTC

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Enjoyed this 👍

2025-07-02 17:38:24 UTC

Shout out to all the parents out there and that feeling you get of deep pride in your child. Can’t beat it.

2025-07-02 08:20:23 UTC

Marillion is one of my favourite bands, and this album is currently my go-to focus music:
https://music.amazon.co.uk/albums/B09KXZZ5WR?ref=dm_sh_NatGynal0AxURtvIEsAVnT5RG

2025-07-01 19:34:12 UTC

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I haven’t read it yet, but it’s in my ebook reader backlog. Simon has mentioned it enough that I know I have to read it. Not sure I can say I’m looking forward to reading it though as I don’t think I’ll like what I read!

2025-06-30 19:11:52 UTC

Tense moments tonight replacing a screen and battery for an iPhone 11… I could never have been a surgeon!
https://blossom.primal.net/85eadafe0becd72f53fbdba3e71e3860ee8672c8b3614ed15c5fbb214498a8db.jpg

2025-06-30 16:45:36 UTC

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“economist” 🤣

2025-06-28 10:42:44 UTC

Since 1999 the UK FTSE100 is down 89% when prices in gold. We’re living through a Great Depression without realising it.
https://blossom.primal.net/8cfb7b66f6b362543803d1e476766443af113e8b7db7c390bc1c3624057abade.jpg

2025-06-28 10:29:52 UTC

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I know! I wish I found him years ago - I’ve only been listening for the last 3 months or so, but I can’t get enough of the straight talk and insight cutting through all the BS.

2025-06-28 10:00:06 UTC

Simon is on point again, like clockwork every week. I always look forward to catching up on Bitcoin Hardtalk on a Saturday morning.
https://youtu.be/Jxmy0jYcet4
Thank you @SimonDixon

2025-06-28 08:41:52 UTC

My happy place, with a coffee.
https://blossom.primal.net/c22a0a745c0187f4d555814b91da723b235c9a698a4b0fc3c8c4478169d925e3.jpg

2025-06-28 08:25:39 UTC

Even on a cloudy day there is something peaceful being down by the water.
Happy Saturday folks.
📍 Kingswear, Devon, UK
https://blossom.primal.net/9b094b65cdd322977e433983c1d0d6e7adab9c4794e68e1db4664c3e2243d199.jpg

2025-06-27 18:22:51 UTC

🎯 Decentralised innovation over centralised control
🎯 Economic calculation over political calculation
🎯 Market-driven over centrally planned
🎯 Individual initiative over systemic apathy
🎯 Competition over ‘too-big-to-fail’
🎯 Local solutions over distant committees

2025-06-27 14:00:59 UTC

Mind the Gap ⚠️ - a look at the gap between GDP and Private Product Remaining (PPR) for the UK. PPR is an alternative metric to GDP where government spending is removed. In general, the lower the gap between GDP and PPR the better as this means the role of the government in the economic output is less. Unfortunately for the UK the trend is the other way - with government spending becoming more significant in recent decades.
Full paper here: https://www.nickjstevens.com/blog/a-tale-of-two-economies/
https://www.nickjstevens.com/_astro/GDP%20to%20PPR%20Gap.B7XLpfKD_ZP7EaI.webp

2025-06-27 05:03:59 UTC

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Is there a resource or guide that summarises the steps?

2025-06-26 18:22:17 UTC

Fantastic report by Unchained on Repricing the Economy in Bitcoin. https://www.unchained.com/go/repricing-the-economy-in-bitcoin
https://blossom.primal.net/c5622ff85b77f28e9b95fba5c62775e241ab86e03cc668b7d50f07a495cd0c35.jpg

2025-06-15 19:34:13 UTC

Currently reading:
https://blossom.primal.net/7af125dfd3c94e53360bee72ce6b561b3d5a70a7b24d60c975c672a32f8e2098.jpg

2025-06-15 15:05:05 UTC

Just finished reading The Big Print. Fantastic work @npub1d3f…r4xv . I’m in the UK but the parallels are very similar, and the solution — Bitcoin — the same.

2025-06-15 09:20:03 UTC

I analysed historic bitcoin price data to see what the best days of the month to buy and sell are, as I aim to live on a bitcoin standard. 📈
The best strategy (for me) is to buy on the 3rd of the month and sell on the 25th or 26th.
With my pay check I will buy Bitcoin at the start of the month and then sell at the end of the month to pay off the credit card. Doing this means that, on average, I will gain in Bitcoin terms over a 4 year cycle.

2025-06-14 11:42:10 UTC

Future abundance from monetary scarcity. Bitcoin is the way.
https://blossom.primal.net/848321ff342c8baade6712129be968b073d2f2798376b6d8bf32f6bca893a88a.jpg

2025-06-14 10:57:43 UTC

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I enjoyed this podcast - great discussion. Also, I found out I’m a Nomad archetype…

2025-06-12 17:10:45 UTC

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Are dime-a-dozen treasury companies the alt coins of this cycle? I’m sticking with Bitcoin for savings and MSTR for investing.

2025-06-10 11:24:40 UTC

What are some great resources for being a sovereign individual?

2025-06-08 18:50:12 UTC

I’ve now reached the age where my son gets birthday presents that I want to read…
https://blossom.primal.net/03da2ef246d348ac7a7f0f38619fe4c772d748a211ae31ed1eee6448ba5e68a3.jpg

2025-06-08 13:07:27 UTC

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I had a go with a DIY start9 server using an old desktop PC. StartOS is great but the legacy HDD (not SSD) seemed to be a show-stopper for a bitcoin node for me. Buying a mini PC is the way.

2025-06-07 20:12:22 UTC

Orange is my favourite colour…
https://blossom.primal.net/507b86b57f5147603c6831c2e53d5a29eec095765974b7829fd92b2d2c9350aa.jpg

2025-06-07 10:24:53 UTC

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Very true. But for me it wasn’t about making fiat gains, but about being the change and doing my accounting in Bitcoin first. I did some historic modelling and over a four year cycle I would net both fiat gains and Bitcoin stack gains by adopting this approach.

2025-06-07 10:03:28 UTC

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Woah. Well, as someone from the UK, now I have another reason to be depressed: this chart!

2025-06-07 09:10:58 UTC

A week since adopting my own version of a bitcoin standard and the price is struggling to get above the 21 day EMA. No change in my strategy though, I believe the tailwind is huge and I can be patient. #freedom
https://blossom.primal.net/d344019c564436539157262c9287e6ba85818a679819871e6b97bed3666bf004.jpg

2025-06-07 08:54:23 UTC

A blustery and grey day here in Devon, UK. Time for a coffee and a @nprofile…nlcq BitcoinHardTalk, episode 84.

2025-06-06 17:02:49 UTC

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This was a great take on it - I like the clarity of thought that a route to freedom money again is via captured money.

2025-06-03 19:38:00 UTC

It’s unclear how the UK plans to fund the defence spending increases expected in the Strategic Defence Review. Is this going to lead to money printing…
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/starmer-strategic-defence-review-war-labour-healey-b2762212.html

2025-05-31 15:20:50 UTC

Taken my first steps towards a bitcoin standard. I now transfer my monthly fiat pay to bitcoin and then sell on a monthly basis to pay off my credit card.
Still deciding on whether to use Koinly or Recap for UK tax.

2025-05-05 08:32:16 UTC

A must-read… fascinating and terrifying: https://ai-2027.com/

2025-03-23 10:04:54 UTC

“what we now have is rugged capitalism for individuals, but socialism for the rich and powerful” — The Big Print, Lawrence Lepard. 🎯

2025-03-23 09:59:01 UTC

📙Sunday reading - The Big Print. Enjoying it so far.
https://m.primal.net/Ppzl.jpg

2025-01-05 09:25:06 UTC

⚡️ Bitcoin and the Pursuit of Sound Money
In a world increasingly characterised by uncertainty, the quest for sound money has never been more critical. The emergence of Bitcoin presents a unique opportunity to explore the fundamental principles of sound money, providing an alternative path to financial stability and individual empowerment.
📕 Understanding Sound Money
At its core, sound money refers to a monetary system that maintains its value over time, allowing individuals to save and invest without fear of devaluation. Historically, societies have relied on substances like gold and silver, which possess intrinsic value due to their scarcity and desirability. However, modern fiat currencies often lack these characteristics, leading to inflation and loss of purchasing power.
🥳 The Bitcoin Revolution
Bitcoin, created in 2009, embodies the principles of sound money in a digital form. Its capped supply of 21 million coins ensures scarcity, making it resistant to inflationary pressures. Unlike traditional currencies, which governments can print at will, Bitcoin operates on a decentralised network, governed by code rather than central banks. This decentralisation inherently enhances its credibility as a form of sound money.
🏅 The Role of Trust
One of the most compelling aspects of Bitcoin is its ability to foster trust without relying on intermediaries. In a world where trust in financial institutions is eroding, Bitcoin offers a transparent and secure alternative. Each transaction is recorded on a public ledger, the blockchain, allowing for complete visibility and accountability. This transparency can restore faith in the financial system, enabling individuals to regain control over their wealth.
🧠 The Psychological Shift
Adopting Bitcoin as sound money requires a psychological shift. It invites us to rethink our relationship with money, moving away from consumerism and short-term gratification towards long-term value preservation. This shift aligns with the principles of mindfulness—being present and aware of our financial decisions and their implications for our future.
⭐️ Conclusion: A Path Forward
As we navigate the complexities of modern finance, Bitcoin stands out as a beacon of hope for those seeking sound money. Its principles resonate with the age-old wisdom of financial prudence while embracing the innovations of the digital age. By understanding and adopting Bitcoin, we can participate in a transformative movement that prioritises individual empowerment, transparency, and sustainable wealth.
In this journey towards sound money, let us remain mindful of our choices and their impact on our lives and the world around us. The pursuit of sound money is not just about financial stability; it's about creating a future where our resources reflect our values and aspirations.
#bitcoin #btc #soundmoney #money
https://m.primal.net/NSta.jpg

2025-01-04 17:40:33 UTC

Plot the correlation between Bitcoin price on the day of each halving vs the date and it’s a perfectly straight line on a log-log graph with an R squared value of 1.000 to 3 decimal places. Amazing!
Using this model the predicted price at the next halving (2028) is ~$237,000.

2025-01-04 16:05:17 UTC

I picked up this little book for my son for Christmas - a nice little stocking-filler.
The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People was one of the first personal development books I ever read, and so I was pleased to see a version specific for kids to help instil that growth mindset.
https://m.primal.net/NRoF.jpg

2025-01-04 14:39:02 UTC

Really impressed with Nostr. Very smooth. I’ve now set up a nostr.json file on my server to verify my @npub1ljq…cpnl name. (With thanks to Gemini AI to figure out how to do this with a Caddy server primarily serving a Ghost blog, all in docker containers).

2025-01-04 08:55:52 UTC

Emotions go up and down in the markets, and it’s a rollercoaster ride for sure. But the fundamentals of sound money haven’t changed, so instead I’m focusing on quietly stacking bitcoin and $MSTR. I’m thinking about the longer time horizon.