Building Common Futures, a new energy transition consultancy. 35+ years of experience in the energy transition. Posting here on energy, climate &more 100% renewable energy globally by 2050 is possible! Views my own. ( searchable ) Expert in: the energy transition Driven by: the need for climate action Closely follows: Ukraine's liberation drive Lives in: Utrecht, the Netherlands
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2026-09-06T09:21:41Z Event JSON
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Last Notes npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Indeed. At some point, even some climate scientists felt the need to discuss the 'hiatus'. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun August 2026 was the hottest on record globally, followed by 2023, 2024, and 2025. The temperature was well over 1.5°C above pre-industrial. From Copernicus ECMWF #globalwarming #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/245/046/426/480/918/original/29f2e2a509e66183.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Unlikely, unfortunately, as emissions are not decreasing. El Niño will probably cause an acceleration. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Russia is now losing 1,200-1,500 soldiers *per day* in its failing invasion of Ukraine. Mobilisation is expected after the Russian 'elections' next week. Thousands of men are fleeing the country already. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/09/09/8052538/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun This didn't change, though: Overall, we're still speeding in the wrong direction! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/242/835/699/784/194/original/94a0cf025cf7608a.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Unfortunately a bit higher than my earlier estimate: the August average atmospheric CO2 concentration at Mauna Loa was 427.55 ppm, that's around 2.1 ppm higher than last year. #co2 #emissions #ClimateChange #fossilfuels https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/242/828/048/426/708/original/23550844459067e4.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun RE: https://chaos.social/@bitsoffreedom/117236249652327812 Dutch @npub1vuw…gshh calls for action against Zuckerberg's 'pervert glasses' because they're used for unwanted filming of women. Could they also be used to provide the Trump regime with information? #note1e76…vf2r npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 82% of the German population say that Merz's current CDU/CSU-SPD coalition government insufficiently looks after the interests of lower and middle income families. https://media.rtl.com/meldung/RTL-ntv-Trendbarometer-00542/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Today, the Trump-Netanyahu mess in the Middle East has driven up EU natural gas price even higher: 77 €/MWh now. When gas-fired power plants set the electricity price in Europe, that's €130 per electric MWh in fuel cost alone. Insulate buildings, electrify processes, grow renewable electricity. #fossilfuels #gas #energytransition https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/236/580/434/073/516/original/dfd65c83fd14b383.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The Dutch "Ha, but we have world class water management" response to sea level rise will probably sound a bit less enthusiastic once its annual bill has doubled to €22 billion, and still not all damage is being avoided. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The new climate cost estimates are big news today. But then we'll probably kick the can down the road for a few years, and then they'll be back with a vengeance: annual amounts higher, growing steeper. And water situation worse, if we don't rapidly reduce (global) emissions in the meantime. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/233/792/422/616/678/original/244516dc0d279902.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Next question: Who's gonna pay for this, together with all the other adaptation bills coming in and the investments we need to reduce our emissions to zero? The wealthy will try to stay wealthy, and companies will point at their international competition. Government budgets aren't going to get any easier. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And that's just the increase in expenditure. Much of the current €11 billion per year is probably already related to climate change too. So make that €200-300 billion, for one aspect of adaptation, in the tiny Netherlands. And it won't stop after 2050 either. Reduce fossil fuel consumption, fast. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun That'll be another €132 billion then, up to 2050, assuming linear increase. And, adds Mr Verdaas, even that won't prevent all damage. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The crazy amounts already needed for climate adaptation make serious climate action look like a walk in the park (financially). The man responsible for protecting the Netherlands against rising waters: "We'll need to double our water management expenses from 1% to 2% of GDP" https://nos.nl/artikel/2630054-miljarden-extra-nodig-voor-wateraanpak-maar-zelfs-dan-niet-alle-schade-te-voorkomen npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun For fossil fuel cars, the 'official' (test) emissions were already much higher than their real world emissions. Now the gap for plug-in hybrids has become absurd. We need to lower our emissions, and we need to reduce the EU's dependence on fossil fuel imports, and both don't care about 'official' fake numbers. We also need more attention for real world performance of battery-electric cars, by the way. https://www.transportenvironment.org/articles/plug-in-hybrids-emit-six-times-on-average-what-official-tests-claim-new-eu-data npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun How Trump and Musk made the Nepal disaster worse, by glaciologist dr Heïdi Sevestre: "What about early warning systems?" SERVIR Hindu Kush Himalaya, a joint initiative by NASA, USAID and ICIMOD monitoring, had mapped landslide and flood hazard in these valleys since 2010. The Trump administration’s aid freeze cut it in January 2025." https://lnkd.in/p/eEW3c4t5 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Congratulations for AfD from the other side, where Trump also took a strong interest in this German state election. https://news.sky.com/story/saxony-anhalt-election-results-live-far-right-afd-aim-for-absolute-majority-to-breach-germanys-political-firewall-13582321 https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/228/658/148/703/705/original/774d31db44db7503.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun And, just to be sure, the AfD immediately thanked Musk for his support: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/07/afd-thanks-elon-musk-german-state-elections-2026-win https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/228/211/904/353/198/original/4ad6989bb827e65d.webp npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun You're welcome! npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun If the far-left BSW just makes it into the Saxony-Anhalt parliament too (threshold 5%), the two might team up in a pro-Russia majority coalition. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun They could take a course in the US. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/226/012/425/572/162/original/954fad3c153dd45c.webp npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Thinking about how this news lands in Ukraine. https://bsky.app/profile/kyivindependent.com/post/3muupxysons2e npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Normally, the AfD would now go after independent judges, media and educators. The legal system is probably hard to change from one state, so media and education first? npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun No known voter suppression here. Turnout was far higher than last time. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 93 years after Hitler won the German elections, and 87 years after the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact between Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union, 44% of voters in Saxony-Anhalt thought handing power to a far-right pro-Russia party was a good idea. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Don't forget who co-invested in Musk's takeover of Twitter: Andreessen Horowitz, venture capitalists closely connected to Peter Thiel's anti-democracy drive, Saudi prince al-Waleed bin Talal, and 8VC, a venture capital firm cofounded by Thiel's Palantir cofounder Joe Lonsdale. [The Nerd Reich] npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Nee, tegen zomerhitte is zonwering veel belangrijker. Goede isolatie zonder zonwering, eidt zelfs tot meer oververhitting. Meer hier: commonfutures.com/projects.nl npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dan kunnen de zomers iets minder heter worden, maar vooral de winters veel kouder. Ik betwijfel of de bouwnormen daar al rekening mee houden. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun From around 2030, new homes in the Netherlands will have to be ready for the hotter summers of... 2033 🤦♂️🤦♀️🤦 The summers around 2050, when these homes have been around for just 20 years, are expected to be much hotter than that. https://www.nu.nl/algemeen/6407627/nieuwe-woningen-worden-gebouwd-voor-een-klimaat-dat-niet-meer-bestaat.html npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun UK electric car sales jump 30% in August to lead market, data shows https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-new-car-registrations-rise-175-year-on-year-august-industry-data-shows-2026-09-03/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Good morning! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/223/008/313/408/413/original/65d2a07aafdbfd2c.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 89% of Americans now say government corruption is ‘widespread.’ https://www.ms.now/opinion/trump-government-corruption-poll npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The issue is that [Musk's] Cybercab has no steering wheel, no pedals, and no mirrors, features normally required by federal safety rules. Tesla certified the vehicle itself and has not applied for an official exemption. https://stocksdownunder.com/tesla-tsla-stock-drops-cybercab-nhtsa-probe/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Berlin cyberattack: hackers leak highly sensitive data across dark web "In addition to documents related to criminal investigations, the files also include plans concerning national defense—ranging from the federal government’s secret communication channels in the event of an apocalypse to defense-related companies and emergency plans developed by government agencies," https://www.euronews.com/next/2026/09/05/berlin-cyberattack-hackers-leak-highly-sensitive-data-across-dark-web npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun "Future generations would rather have a high national debt than an unlivable planet." Sandra Phlippen, ABN Amro bank's chief economist who moved on to become their head of sustainability, in @npub1m06…e2lx #ClimateChange https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/216/960/365/698/001/original/f0f3d88e850c305f.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun More plants on warming mountain summits, but species that used to live there disappear. The arriving species already had a place to live, lower on the mountain, but the disappearing ones won't find a new place. 'Escalator to extinction', an effective phrase to describe this. https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/09/03/op-opwarmende-bergtoppen-groeien-meer-planten-maar-de-soorten-die-er-al-waren-verdwijnen-juist-a4935482?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=bluesky&utm_term=20260903&gift_token=4935482%7E1789111167%7EtrOzbjrSRpSn70EyY_7u2A%7EzO--4egpuShxuCfWgf3JhxpxR7h9rKH86D6UmIgCb8Y #ClimateChange #biodiversity #extinction npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun I doubt that. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Overall, we're still speeding in the wrong direction! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/214/792/533/253/794/original/bfa0cf51b8b3fbdf.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun August average atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa: ~427.3 ppm That's 1.8 ppm higher than last year. (Estimate based on daily values) https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/214/768/541/484/833/original/d37debd9cace57b2.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Like the previous one, our current Dutch government coalition seems to spend considerably more time on asylum seekers than on climate change. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/211/228/481/395/546/original/513a4bcfdcef961d.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Op opwarmende bergtoppen groeien meer planten, maar de soorten die er al waren verdwijnen juistMore plants on warming mountain summits, but species that used to live there disappear. The arriving species already had a place to live, lower on the mountain, but the disappearing ones won't find a new place. 'Escalator to extinction', an effective phrase to describe this. Similar to what happens to species moving towards the poles. https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/09/03/op-opwarmende-bergtoppen-groeien-meer-planten-maar-de-soorten-die-er-al-waren-verdwijnen-juist-a4935482?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=bluesky&utm_term=20260903&gift_token=4935482%7E1789103967%7EtrOzbjrSRpSn70EyY_7u2A%7Ev8f4JJUl9BZR0BknqiCUDtnvhT50Wl4r0G9Us8-ZGYs #ClimateChange #extinction #biodiversity npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun What does this mean? "We are not at war, but we are the daily target of hybrid warfare," said Interior Minister Dobrindt on Tuesday, after he blamed Russia for the failed attack. It sounds like "We are not at war with Russia, but we are a war target for them." Might sound like a rather comfortable position in Putin's ears. https://www.dw.com/en/russias-hybrid-attacks-on-germany-when-is-it-war/a-78784262 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Here: https://archive.ph/q8NWy and in The Nerd Reich, on page 70 in my paperback, last page of chapter 2. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Ukraine officially informs ICAO that Russian airspace is dangerous for civil aviation https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/09/02/8051543/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun You can find @unep.org's new report 'Limiting Overshoot - Navigating exceedance of 1.5°C and pathways towards return' here: https://www.unep.org/resources/limiting-overshoot-navigating-exceedance npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun .. have to fight our way back to 1.5°C by sustained net negative emissions (carbon dioxide removal). That's not going to be easy, but we have to. "Above 1.5°C, risks and impacts will intensify with every extra fraction of a degree and every year." https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/press-release/unep-world-set-cross-15degc-global-warming-can-still-limit-adapt-and npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun 11 years after the Paris Agreement, @unep.org concludes that keeping global warming below 1.5°C is now impossible, because global fossil fuel use and emissions kept growing (slowly) instead of going down. It's now important to stay below 2°C. Once we've reached net zero emissions, we will... npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump says Iran is dead, and vows to keep fighting Iran. I think the official word for that is necropolemia. https://aje.news/a5q31v npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun There he is again, in the British Museum this time. "Museum leaders were warned about the possible public perception of special treatment for someone with connections to Jeffrey Epstein, and whose software company Palantir plays a controversial role in the British state." https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2026/aug/31/british-museum-hosted-palantir-founder-peter-thiel-private-viewing-bayeux-tapestry npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun On our Interrail tour two years ago, the train from Tallinn to Valga and then on to Riga didn't run (we took a bus), but we did take the train from Riga to Siauliai and then to Klaipeda. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Here we go again. Trump still can't find a way out of his self-created swamp. Reported US attack on Larak Island ‘a definite escalation’ https://aje.news/xxqr90?update=4900834 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The Netherlands' has a high natural gas consumption. Some of the stored gas indeed went to the the UK. Our EU commitment is 74%, our government's own goal is 80%. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun France is doing quite well too. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The large remaining gap to an 80% filling level of EU gas storages by the start of the heating season is starting to get noticed in the media. They note that the situation 'differs by country'. True, of course, but the situation is actually quite clear: Germany and the Netherlands are the big laggards. Together, they have 1/3 of EU gas storage capacity, but 2/3 of the remaining gap to close. Situation 28/29 August, data from https://agsi.gie.eu https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/184/459/314/863/171/original/b5cce872ae1d6714.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Peter Thiel was one of the first Silicon Valley tech billionaires openly supporting Trump. Speaking at the 2016 Republican National Convention, he he concluded his speech with "Tonight, I urge all of my fellow Americans to stand up and vote for Donald Trump! " npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun No, just the enemy not being able to recognise his real conspiracy. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch parliament asked the same minister Van Weel if Thiel's Palantir software was used for other purposes too. He said no. Then independent journalists of [@FTM_eu](https://social.ftm.nl/@FTM_eu ) found documents, and the minister had to admit that Palantir is being used for border checks too, since 2014... And he's still minister. https://www.volkskrant.nl/tech/deed-justitie-zaken-met-het-omstreden-palantir-nee-zei-de-minister-dat-blijkt-toch-wat-anders-te-liggen~b728b7ed/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Ah yes, our Dutch military uses Thiel's Palantir software as well. Our ministry confirms that it has access to sensitive information during military exercises "but only in exceptional cases!" It wants Palantir to be replaced by a European alternative within two years now. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Thiel is the guy from which the Dutch police buys Palantir software. "But only to analyse data on Dutch citizens", said our Justice and Security minister Van Weel. https://www.nu.nl/tech/6366423/nederlandse-politie-gebruikt-omstreden-software-van-dataverwerker-palantir.html npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Peter Thiel in a 2014 email to a fellow anti-democracy activist: "One reassuring thought: one of our hidden advantages is that these people ... wouldn't believe in a conspiracy if it hit them over the head (perhaps the best measure of the decline of the Left)" In @gilduran.com's The Nerd Reich npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Making use of the Trump regime's anti-science actions, Canada just attracted 48 US professors and their teams 'in competition with Europe'. https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/eddie-goldenberg-research-chairs-of-canada-funding-9.7323332 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun London Science Museum cuts links with BP after decades of partnership https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2026/aug/28/london-science-museum-cuts-links-with-bp-after-decades-of-partnership #ClimateChange #fossilfuels #co2 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Either that or "Let's see if we can reach bipartisan agreement on this" npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun In the Mediterranean, the terrible summer of 2026 isn't over yet. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/08/27/wildfires-in-algeria-leave-at-least-12-dead_6756890_4.html #ClimateChange #extremeweather #heatwave #wildfires npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun US military academy students are not allowed to learn basic facts about climate change anymore. https://www.stripes.com/branches/army/2026-08-26/west-point-professor-fired-lawsuit-climate-change-22666987.html #ClimateChange npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun "Ratko Mladic, the 'butcher of Bosnia', was the man behind the genocide in Srebrenica." Headline by Dutch @npub1szf…psxe When Netanyahu passes away, will we read "Netanyahu, the 'butcher of Palestine', was the man behind the genocide in Gaza" ? Or the more likely "Controversial Netanyahu managed to maintain a strong position of Israel in the region" ? https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/168/822/188/622/616/original/ac698109934c0077.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Fossil fuel sales for cars and trucks are decreasing in the Netherlands: diesel down by 40% since 2019, petrol (benzine) flat. Efficiency + electrification are having impact. Big electrification wave for trucks still to come. Via Rico Luman on LinkedIn. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/168/693/812/423/118/original/f5063644c1f3e0f6.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun On the situation in Germany: FNB Gas, an association of gas transmission operators in Germany, warned Wednesday (19 August) that the government's target of an average gas storage level of 71% by November 1 is now "virtually unattainable." https://www.dw.com/en/germany-energy-crisis-oil-gas-storage-lng-russia-graphic/a-78440677 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Out of the main LNG exporting countries, that leaves Australia. Not the most logical supplier distance-wise, and normally supplying Asian countries. And in the EU, we had decided to finally stop importing LNG from Russia by 31 December. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/163/731/916/409/818/original/cd0257b13dc95619.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Good evening! https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/163/226/727/939/224/original/ab2f6cb7153e8881.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Gasunie does not buy or sell gas. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun We're of course making Europe more dependent on regular LNG supply now. Trump has already threatened to use US LNG to put pressure on the EU, e.g. for being nasty to his tech billionaire buddies. Normally, other countries would jump in, but Trump's war against Iran has knocked out Qatar for now. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch state-owned gas transmission company Gasunie confirms that the Netherlands will not be able to meet its gas storage filling targets of 74% (EU commitment) or 80% (government goal) by October. "But for a normal winter, it's sufficient". Germany is also way behind, btw. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/160/109/840/749/631/original/69e9199ef4b72e8d.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Super nice of Ukraine. Perhaps a double dose tonight then? npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun German government has made quite an effort in the EC to stave off the #Verbrenneraus ('look, we should be allowed to burn something'). Now they may be starting to see a #Volkswagenaus instead npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Luxemburg houdt de belasting laag en probeert dan zoveel mogelijk te verkopen aan passerende buitenlandse automobilisten. Belasting-concurrentie in het klein :) npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun So do I. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Today we learn that Saudi crown prince MBS may have been involved in the murder of Khashoggi, but that he and Macron share a passion for Dragon Ball Z. So now there will be a Saudi Dragon Ball Z theme park near Paris. French officials see this as proof that France remains attractive to investors. https://nos.nl/l/2628196 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun German state leader urges joint action to avert Volkswagen plant closures. Such a pity that the company spent so much time and effort in hiding the emissions of its diesel engines instead of racing to become an EV company. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/german-state-leader-urges-joint-action-avert-volkswagen-plant-closures-2026-08-24 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The advantage to Shell c.s. is obvious: less complaining when they actually charge something close to €2.61 at one of their fuel stations along the highway. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The daily average is published daily by car drivers association ANWB: https://www.anwb.nl/auto/brandstof/benzineprijs So it's probably to make Dutch petrol prices look more extreme than they are. People will react like "€2.61?! I only paid €2.10 in Germany!". Yes, and half of the Dutch paid less than €2.33 here today. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun In the Netherlands, petrol is relatively expensive (due to taxes). But media often report on the 'recommended price' by Shell c.s., which is way above the average sales price. Today, that is €2.61, while in real life, people pay an average of €2.33. It's not because it's hard to find the average. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun (sorry, not a forecast by IEA, but the price for 2030 in its Stated Energy Policies scenario) npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Last year, Dutch government agency PBL used an IEA wholesale natural gas price forecast of €20 per MWh by 2030 for its Climate & Energy Outlook (KEV 2025), sharply down from the 2024 price. Today, the price is €68 per MWh, almost double the 2024 price. Interesting to see what PBL will take in this year's KEV edition; expected 14 September. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Oil stocks in US Strategic Petroleum Reserve fall by 3.7 million barrels to their lowest level since 1982. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/oil-stocks-us-strategic-petroleum-reserve-fall-by-37-million-barrels-lowest-2026-08-24/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Just arrived: The Nerd Reich, by @gilduran.com. Not a fun weekend read, but important, I'm afraid. On Silicon Valley fascism and the war on democracy, which doesn't stop at the borders of the US. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/140/998/482/465/904/original/4bf812d2b377b578.jpg npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun You won't find this in the headlines, because the media rate it as not serious. But that contributes to the continuous sanewashing of Trump: Trying to make sense of his weird speeches and 'policies', snd leaving out the absurd parts. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Panama canal to reduce shipping as Central America gripped by severe drought, caused by the El Niño phenomenon. The canal uses water from the country's lakes for every ship that passes. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/21/panama-canal-reduce-shipping-el-nino-drought npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Trump threatens to use military force against high interest rates in the US. 🤡 https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-suggests-military-bond-markets-222513278.html npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun The El Niño event that is developing over the Pacific Ocean is likely to be the strongest in living memory, @metoffice.gov.uk has warned. Added to the effects of human-induced climate change, this is "very likely" to mean 2027 is the hottest year on record globally. https://www.bbc.com/weather/articles/c3ekg93vjz9o npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Israeli officials stunned by Iran’s rapid military recovery after 2026 war https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/defense-news/article-905474 npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun For reference: agriculture takes up 54% of area of the Netherlands, producing 1.4% of our GDP. Nature and forest is 16% of the country, and it's not in good shape, partly due to the nitrogen load from agriculture. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch farmer, protesting against environmental measures to reduce nitrogen pollution, amid crashing biodiversity: "The big problem in the Netherlands is that there's too much nature. They spend billions on that bloody nature, and it serves no purpose." https://www.trouw.nl/binnenland/boer-bert-hoorn-33-denkt-dat-mensen-de-boerentrekkers-en-omgekeerde-vlaggen-nog-lang-niet-zat-zijn~b4a5f035/ #agriculture #nitrogen #biodiversity #nature npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Israel is betting on Islamophobia and teaming up with Europe's far-right. https://aje.news/a504sv npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun At 100 million barrels per day, the current $30/barrel Trump-Netanyahu surcharge costs the world around $3 billion per day. Companies and countries sitting on oil supply rake in most of this. npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun After all, our current PM Rob Jetten used to profile himself as a 'climate zealot', not so long ago. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/129/632/763/134/303/original/d96ac1a2d38cf58e.png npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Dutch government (council of ministers) is back from summer holiday, and parliament returns in ten days from now. Would it be too much to expect the announcement of a strong climate offensive (accelerated emission reduction and adaptation) one of these days, in response to this Summer of Reckoning? #ClimateChange #heat #heatwaves #drought npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun https://www.trouw.nl/duurzaamheid-economie/klimaatschade-door-hitte-droogte-en-brand-dat-is-precies-waar-economen-al-decennia-voor-waarschuwen~b6a80362/ npub1sgjhacw0h48zjf3la38c90fydtnlq2uty0fyrff9tmmag98urpyqrxvpjx Kees van der Leun Don't look up, summer 2026 edition. By Maarten Wolterink. https://sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/cdn.mastodon.energy/media_attachments/files/117/128/296/052/800/696/original/d1639049e4382649.jpg