Henrik Ekenberg

https://overwi.se/forum/index.php?board=5.0

Trader // Small cap investor Sweden

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Last Notes

2026-03-02 07:53:20 UTC

FREE Week 10 Preview
https://overwise.gumroad.com/l/week10
#Market #Free #NFP #IRAN #USA
https://image.nostr.build/1d77f37edc54a41e96a45f6e73c2c625143e68a079ccf033b5f2f9c707ebb746.png

2026-01-29 06:23:51 UTC

The Fed says the economy is in a good place. Gold trading at $5,540 says something different. One of them is wrong.
https://coracle.social/notes/naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzpew7nyhy6rva9qvuznjfv2nq4ru7dax5f83xyfkpjn7wva9ftmu9qy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq3zamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wwa5kuef0qyvhwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnndehhyapwwdhkx6tpdshsz9thwden5te0wfjkccte9ejxzmt4wvhxjme0qyfhwumn8ghj7mmxve3ksctfdch8qatz9uqp2stkd4cxydt5v3skgj64fue8gh6txd35kdsdts2r7 #FED

2026-01-22 05:37:02 UTC

Markets rallied Wednesday on relief that tariffs were suspended and military force ruled out. But relief is not resolution. The strategic confusion Greenland's parliamentary representative described continues beneath the surface optimism.
The framework exists as a concept, not a concluded treaty. Details remain under negotiation. Greenland's government and people remain opposed. The path from framework to final agreement remains unclear & contested.
#greenland #Denmark
https://coracle.social/notes/naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzpew7nyhy6rva9qvuznjfv2nq4ru7dax5f83xyfkpjn7wva9ftmu9qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyv9kh2uewd9hj7qg3waehxw309ahx7um5wgh8w6twv5hszxthwden5te0wfjkccte9eekummjwsh8xmmrd9skctcpzamhxue69uhkummnw3e8yetvv9ujucmvda6kgtcppemhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mp0qq256ttrwvuxx5tsdd6yzd6zdepyusfnxar5vvk5p36

2026-01-20 05:09:22 UTC

https://coracle.social/notes/naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzpew7nyhy6rva9qvuznjfv2nq4ru7dax5f83xyfkpjn7wva9ftmu9qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyv9kh2uewd9hj7qgewaehxw309aex2mrp0yh8xmn0wf6zuum0vd5kzmp0qythwumn8ghj7mn0wd68yun9d3shjtnrd3hh2ep0qyghwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytnhd9hx2tcpzdmhxue69uhk7enxvd5xz6tw9ec82c30qq2hgej2xe68ws3efsmy2wfed4z85snpwfe5wjjqwz9

2026-01-18 08:26:14 UTC

Trump Greenland Tariffs Trigger Unprecedented NATO Crisis https://coracle.social/notes/naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzpew7nyhy6rva9qvuznjfv2nq4ru7dax5f83xyfkpjn7wva9ftmu9qyghwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytnhd9hx2tcpr9mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuumwdae8gtnnda3kjctv9uq3xamnwvaz7tm0venxx6rpd9hzuur4vghsz9mhwden5te0dehhxarjwfjkccte9e3kcmm4vshsz9thwden5te0wfjkccte9ejxzmt4wvhxjme0qq24vaeswvcy6mnydqe4y6rkwc6x2s6x2avnvt9vm8h
#Market #trading #nasdaq #SPY #Russell #FED #Gold #Greenland #oil #Silver

2026-01-09 06:02:19 UTC

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Markets Enter Friday's Jobs Report Facing Historic Labor Pessimism

2026-01-05 09:35:33 UTC

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GM out there

2026-01-05 09:34:00 UTC

Be honest: Is your trading screen boring right now?
If the answer is NO, you might be overtrading.
The best money is made waiting, not clicking. Are you staying disciplined? 🤔💸

2026-01-04 14:56:04 UTC

AI bubble ? https://youtube.com/watch?v=D0230eZsRFw #AI

2025-10-25 06:00:12 UTC

The week ending October 25, 2025, captured a market completely disconnected from economic fundamentals.
The S&P 500 closed at a record high of 6,791.69 on Thursday, rallying 0.79% despite a backdrop of escalating chaos across multiple fronts.
This euphoria persisted even as consumer sentiment crashed to 53.6—the lowest reading in five months and down 24% year-over-year.
The University of Michigan's final October reading revealed collapsing consumer expectations at 50.3, down 32% from a year ago, with inflation and high prices dominating concerns. Yet markets ignored the warning.
The Federal Reserve prepares to cut rates Tuesday and Wednesday, October 28-29, despite inflation running at 3.1%—well above the 2% target—and without access to current economic data due to the government shutdown now in its fourth week.
Policymakers will make monetary policy decisions using six-week-old September data while flying blind through October's actual conditions.
China's Fourth Plenum concluded with vague promises of "technological self-sufficiency" but zero concrete GDP targets, spending commitments, or quantified stimulus—leaving markets to rally on hope rather than policy substance.
Trump abruptly terminated all trade negotiations with Canada over a television commercial, creating fresh uncertainty for the $2.6 trillion bilateral trade relationship.
Through it all, stocks climbed. The Dow notched its 12th record close of 2025. Tech stocks powered gains even after Netflix missed earnings and Tesla's margins collapsed to multi-year lows. Asian markets rallied Friday on optimism about the upcoming Trump-Xi APEC meeting, choosing hope over observable reality.
The gap between market euphoria and economic deterioration has never been wider. Consumer confidence at five-month lows. Inflation accelerating.
Trade relationships fracturing. Government dysfunctional. Corporate margins compressing. Yet equities hit all-time highs.
Something gives eventually—either economic data miraculously improves to justify these valuations, or markets correct violently to reflect reality. Given falling consumer sentiment, persistent inflation above target, and escalating policy chaos, the latter outcome appears far more likely.
The only remaining question is timing.
#Market

2025-10-24 10:43:33 UTC

What hasn't been sufficiently covered is how Trump's erratic communication style creates operational paralysis for multinational corporations and supply chain managers who need 18-24 month planning horizons to make capital allocation decisions.
Trump's late-night Truth Social post terminating all trade talks with Canada was riddled with typos and fragmented sentences—"TRADE NEGATIONS WITHADA AREEBYATED" and "TFFS VERY IMPORTANT THE NATIONAL AND EOMY"—suggesting it was an impulsive reaction rather than coordinated policy.
The trigger? An Ontario government TV ad featuring a 1987 Ronald Reagan radio address warning that "high tariffs inevitably lead to retaliation" and "millions of people lose their jobs".
This pattern is familiar. Trump threatened 35% universal tariffs on Canada in February, then exempted 85% of Canada-U.S. trade days later when Prime Minister Mark Carney negotiated.
He's threatened to dissolve Great Lakes water-sharing agreements, remove Canada from Five Eyes intelligence sharing, and annex Canada as the 51st state—then walked back or never followed through.
Canadian officials initially treated the annexation threats as jokes before realizing Trump might be serious about destabilizing the relationship.
But Carney's office has learned to wait out the volatile threats, expecting Trump to quietly restart talks within days.
For businesses, this creates an impossible environment. Companies making decisions about cross-border manufacturing, inventory positioning, supplier contracts, and capital investments need stable trade rules.
When the president can terminate negotiations via typo-filled social media posts at 11 PM over a $75,000 TV ad, rational planning becomes impossible.
More than C$3.6 billion in Canadian goods cross the border daily. Auto manufacturers, steel producers, lumber suppliers, and tech companies operate integrated North American supply chains built around the USMCA trade agreement that Trump himself negotiated.
Now he's threatening to blow it up over an advertisement.
The erratic pattern doesn't just create uncertainty—it destroys institutional credibility.
If trade policy can reverse within hours based on emotional reactions to TV ads, long-term commitments become unhedgeable risks. Companies can't price that volatility into contracts or feasibility studies.
Canada might simply ignore this latest outburst and wait for Trump to restart talks quietly next week, as he's done before.
But each cycle of threat-backdown-restart erodes the foundation for the $2.6 trillion bilateral trade relationship. Businesses need predictability. Trump's communication style makes that structurally impossible.
#Market #Trump #Canada

2025-10-24 10:10:09 UTC

The Tide, the Wave, and the Life Raft: Understanding Market Cycles to Survive and Thrive
https://youtu.be/80Dzz8M0NJk
#Trendfollowing #trading

2025-10-19 09:33:08 UTC

Trading success isn't about winning every trade—it's about making the right decisions over and over again, no matter the result.

2025-10-19 08:24:58 UTC

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GM !
How is life?

2025-10-19 07:37:55 UTC

Most traders jump straight into live trading without testing their system. Then they wonder why they blow up their accounts. 💸 Backtesting isn't optional—it's the foundation of profitable trading. Learn how to validate your edge before risking real money:
https://youtu.be/nUoymYDczhI
#Backtesting #TradingSystem #RiskManagement #TradingEducation #SmartTrading

2025-08-21 09:52:47 UTC

The popular image of Thomas Edison as a lone genius is a damaging myth for startup founders. True success comes not from solitary breakthroughs but from effective teamwork and leadership, which is how Edison actually worked.
The "Lone Genius" Myth 💡
Many startup founders are encouraged to be the "Edison of their industry." This narrative sells a compelling story of a solitary inventor having sudden flashes of brilliance. Founders often internalize this myth, pushing themselves through endless nights of solo work and believing their singular vision is all that matters. They try to be the hero who does it all.
The Harmful Reality 🔥
This "lone genius" approach creates serious problems in growing companies.
Founder Burnout: When a founder tries to control every detail, burnout is inevitable.
Silenced Teams: Junior employees quickly learn not to share their ideas if only the founder's "vision" is valued.
Flawed Products: Valuable feedback, such as marketing input, gets ignored. Products are launched with obvious errors that a team could have easily caught.
This model contributes to significant dysfunction, which may explain why one in three startups reports serious team problems within their first year.
The Real Edison: A Master Manager 👨‍🔬
The historical truth about Edison is quite different. He wasn't a lone wolf; he was an expert project manager. His famous Menlo Park lab was a collaborative invention factory that employed around 40 full-time staff members.
His team's success, like the light bulb, was a result of systematic teamwork, not a single "aha!" moment. For instance, they methodically tested over 1,200 bamboo samples to find the ideal filament. Edison's true talent was in setting clear goals, documenting every failure, and hiring experts to solve problems collaboratively.
The Honest Question for Founders 🤔
If you're a founder working endless hours alone, ask yourself this: Are you truly working like Edison, or are you just struggling to lead a team effectively? Praising the myth of the solo hero causes countless good ideas to fail, while valuing teamwork is what actually builds success.

2025-08-21 09:52:44 UTC

2025-08-21 09:26:14 UTC

My friends often tell me the news feels like a scheduled appointment with despair. They say it’s more fun to scroll through endless photos of other people’s holidays on Instagram. I understand the feeling completely. You look at your phone for two minutes and learn about five new global problems. Your brain can start to feel like it’s full of anxious static instead of thoughts.
I am not a fan of my brain turning to mush. So I decided to run a small experiment. I built myself a "good flow." This is just a simple way to filter the information I see every day. I pick topics I actually want to learn about. Then my flow searches for the latest good news and useful articles on them. Think of it as hiring a tiny, polite bouncer for your mind. Only the interesting stuff gets past the velvet rope.
For example, I'm trying to get better at trading. My flow brings me fresh information about how to do that. It skips all the screaming headlines. I also have a casual interest in how old clocks work. So I might get an article about mechanical gears. I do not get an article about celebrity arguments. I have effectively traded outrage for actual knowledge. It seems like a fair deal.
After two months of this, something strange happened. I realized my knowledge was starting to form a T shape. The vertical bar of the T is deep expertise in one or two subjects. For me, that was trading. I was getting a steady stream of detailed information, so my understanding went deeper.
The horizontal bar of the T is a broad knowledge of many different topics. All those little side interests, like the clocks or maybe sustainable farming, started building out that top bar. My T shape got a lot bigger. I now have a much stronger grasp of my main topics. I have a wider understanding of other things too.
This has some unusual side effects. You might find yourself at a dinner party explaining how the logistics of the global coffee bean supply can influence a market trend you read about that morning. Your friends will either think you are brilliant or a complete weirdo. I am aiming for brilliant, but I will accept weirdo.
This little project has worked well for me. It helped me learn without feeling overwhelmed. It also made me curious about other people. So I have a question for you. What topics do you read about to improve your own knowledge? What are you using to build your T shape, or what would you want to learn about if you could tune out all the noise?
You made it ! No picture and you came to the end ....
So what is your answer?

2025-07-21 09:05:01 UTC

Mark Minervini's #1 signal for spotting a super-performing stock?
The 'calm before the breakout.'
It's a specific pattern of tightening price and shrinking volume that signals institutional buying. I break down his entire VCP method in my new video.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xzEtRs7eEGI

2025-07-01 07:00:00 UTC

https://image.nostr.build/e0c56ea82f0f63c4f4df14ad7c5cf1d2524124a2432fb2f782b8a77e4dddff8e.jpg

2025-06-24 13:19:02 UTC

Some reading for you :
The Trader’s Superpower: Mastering Drawdown
Control to Survive and Thrive in Any Market
https://www.filemail.com/d/zgvqwhsqeslpixo

2025-06-23 07:03:00 UTC

If you keep seeing losses or losing streaks as something "bad," you’ll never reach consistency.
That mindset leads to twisting your rules, abandoning your strategy, and calling it “learning.”
You tell yourself it’s an improvement. But it’s not.
It’s just your fear of losing, dressed up as growth.
📉 There is no way to avoid losses.
And as long as you react to short-term pain, you’ll stay trapped in a loop — constantly adjusting, constantly chasing, and never stable.
Your real enemy is within: the part of you that believes it’s “doing the right thing,”
when it’s actually just sabotaging consistency with misguided good intentions.
🎲 Randomness influences short-term results.
So any “adjustment” you make based on short-term outcomes?
That’s not an improvement — that’s being manipulated by randomness.
The answer?
👉 Zoom out.
👉 Think long-term.
👉 Build a strategy you trust — and stick to it over a large sample size.

2025-06-23 04:17:21 UTC

Market not in panic mode. Futures have small drop and vix future is falling.
Read the tape.
https://image.nostr.build/ce5e6c3eda347bb637b874ba97648a20f10e66420eda51d90ae7629573c037ae.png

2025-06-20 10:14:57 UTC

A pilot doesn't abandon the flight plan mid-journey just because the skies are quiet. Are you navigating the markets with your proven route, or are you just flying by the seat of your pants?
(New Metaphors)
Regard your trading strategy as that immutable flight plan—a route that has been rigorously tested and calculated for the highest probability of a safe arrival. You are the pilot in the cockpit. Your critical role is not to invent a new destination on a whim, but to execute the established plan, trusting your instruments to guide you through any weather.
Don't deviate into uncharted airspace just because you've hit a stretch of calm and feel impatient. That is the quickest path into a storm. A pilot who ignores their flight plan becomes the single greatest danger to the journey, inviting a catastrophic crash. For a trader, that crash is your account hitting zero. Trust your instruments, follow the plan, and navigate with discipline

2025-06-18 08:59:05 UTC

https://nostrrelay.cloud/42a719cdda80b9277f28824f05a70d818a375507605ab998a15881a7cfd45de3.png
Let's call yesterday what it was: RDDT was a textbook institutional distribution day. A massive gap up on a surge of volume that gets sold into all day, closing near the low?
That's not a dip to buy. That's a giant red flag.
The professionals used the excitement and the strength of the gap to unload their shares onto amateurs who were chasing the "good move."
The stock is now guilty until proven innocent. The breakout has failed, and the chart is damaged.
Here is your new task: Go find a chart of a stock that had a similar powerful reversal day.
Analyze what it did over the next two months.
Did it collapse? Did it chop sideways for weeks before setting up again? Study the price action of failure.
You learn more from autopsies than you do from success stories.
Stop looking for your next trade and start building a model book based on what price action is actually telling you.
Want feedback on your charts?
Feel free to send me your graphs via private message — I’ll be happy to share my perspective.

2025-06-17 12:44:15 UTC

As organizations grow in size and complexity, there is a natural tendency to manage through proxies—indirect measures that stand in for actual results.
This is a subtle but dangerous "Day 2" behavior. The most common and insidious proxy is process.
Good process exists to serve customers, but if an organization is not vigilant, the process can become "the thing".
The focus shifts from achieving a desired outcome to correctly following the prescribed steps
#Northvolt failed on this
https://youtu.be/-XjqWdD-zhI

2025-06-17 08:11:56 UTC

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Calm day on the market? Or do we get some shakes ?
China urges citizens to leave Israel ‘as soon as possible’
Trump openly threatens Iran: Calls on "everyone" to leave Tehran immediately, report
INDIA TELLS ITS CITIZENS TO GET OUT OF TEHRAN NOW
The Indian Embassy in Iran has urged all Indian nationals and Persons of Indian Origin to leave Tehran.
Those able to use their own resources are advised to relocate to a safer area outside the city.

2025-06-17 07:53:13 UTC

For the vast majority of market participants, the weekend represents a period of rest, a welcome respite from the relentless flow of quotes and news that defines the trading week. For the elite market professional, however, the weekend is transformed. It is not downtime; it is the most critical phase of preparation, where the foundation for the coming week’s success is meticulously laid
https://youtu.be/vvFsrHvEhOs

2025-06-17 05:10:45 UTC

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Futures provide early signals about how the market may open — but it’s your decision whether to include them in your trading process.
Some traders rely on fundamentals. Others focus purely on technicals.
Some add futures as a confirmation tool. Others don’t use them at all.
🧭 There’s no one right answer. The key is to stay consistent with your framework.

2025-06-17 04:37:45 UTC

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Futures are red right now
Trump giving a warning to Iran and leaving G7 meeting is not a good sign https://image.nostr.build/1721b80da94d67151702dd5178f56391e47b40f36e976af24ab7e28ab7683d39.png

2025-06-17 04:19:09 UTC

Trading or Betting?
Right now, market conditions are so unstable that opening a trade feels more like placing a bet than making a calculated move.
When volatility is high and direction unclear, discipline matters more than action.
You don’t need to be in a trade every day. Sitting on your hands can be a strategy too.
📌 Reminder: Trade only when your edge is present — not just because the market is open.

2025-06-16 08:39:58 UTC

Working link to audio : https://nostrrelay.cloud/52b88141217358254443e136c240cc89a60c8d026b72c227c9e320be955dd53b.mp4
#nevent1q…l25p

2025-06-16 08:33:02 UTC

The eruption of direct military conflict between Israel and Iran on June 13, 2025, presented global financial markets with a severe geopolitical shock. Intuition suggests that such a significant escalation of hostilities in a critical region should trigger a sustained downturn in risk assets. However, the market's reaction proved to be far more complex and, on the surface, paradoxical. After an initial, sharp sell-off across global indices, U.S. stock futures—including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100—rebounded and were trading in positive territory by the following Monday, June 16. This report provides an exhaustive, multi-layered explanation for this seemingly contradictory market behavior
https://nostrrelay.cloud/52b88141217358254443e136c240cc89a60c8d026b72c227c9e320be955dd53b.mp4

2025-06-16 08:11:38 UTC

2025-06-16 04:19:04 UTC

Right now calm on the future market. https://image.nostr.build/9473068641ee88cfb6f967e2baf2b6a0b3702b9684ea6341c2138fdaf8234bfd.png

2025-06-15 07:38:24 UTC

The Tel Aviv Stock Exchange 35 Index dropped 1.5% at Sunday’s open, continuing last week’s 1.5% decline. Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index fell 2.5%, while Egypt’s EGX 30 Index plunged 7.7%—marking its steepest drop in over a year. With regional exchanges closed on Friday, today’s sharp moves reflect a buildup of uncertainty and risk aversion heading into the new week.

2025-06-14 08:28:22 UTC

Update about Israel / Iran
https://video.nostr.build/a2517fe116e5c5006959e77c77f795dfcbb7108496ef343150d168657da6c389.mp4

2025-06-12 04:09:20 UTC

Procrastination isn’t laziness—it’s a side effect of comfort. When your environment feels safe, your brain sees no urgency to act. That illusion of security kills momentum and delays growth.

2025-06-10 04:21:50 UTC

Just listen to Market wizard or read about them and you will learn that.
What sets elite traders apart from the pack? It’s not just motivation—it’s relentless action!

2025-06-09 13:11:33 UTC

In casinos and financial markets alike, success hinges on maintaining a positive statistical advantage—or “edge”—over a sufficiently large number of trials.
For casinos, the edge is built into the rules of each game; it is the mathematical assurance that, over millions of spins, hands, or rolls, the house will collect more than it pays out.
For traders, an edge emerges from carefully constructed strategies—quantitative models, fundamental insights, or both—that offer a statistical expectation of profit over time. Yet, both realms must grapple with short-term variance (“luck” in the casino context, “drawdowns” in trading) and the potential for anomalous outcomes that defy expectations.
In both environments, operators deploy rigorous statistical monitoring to distinguish ordinary fluctuations from genuine threats to their edge: cheating or mechanical errors in casinos; changing market regimes or model breakdowns in trading.
https://nostrrelay.cloud/b93959572e8972bb8357061d42790c7817ab6c2db3ee49923fcc73e6f75d147b.mp3

2025-06-09 12:49:33 UTC

Imagine you’re a carpenter about to build a custom bookshelf. You don’t just grab wood and start hammering—you first measure every board, check the thickness of the shelves, note how tall and wide it needs to be, and ask: “Will it fit under that low ceiling?”
In trading, your “bookshelf” is your model book—a collection of chart patterns, setups, and rules that you’ve measured, tested, and documented.
You need to know every dimension of each pattern: How deep is the drawdown? How many days does it take to form? What market conditions were present? Without those measurements, you’re hammering blind.
#trading
https://nostrrelay.cloud/8ef8a7275871f197011991cb74c8c5aa2bfabe2b2f5ea30cd1a55dbdcccc41f2.mp3

2025-06-09 10:14:39 UTC

Price action and volume seem out of sync—do you see it the same way?
Price Flat, Volume Up → Accumulation or distribution under the surface.
https://nostrrelay.cloud/3a566bcbd9728a568f66c9f8059b96b75ad5398aaf3360c62761f6646e99ecf0.png
https://nostrrelay.cloud/56842c850611b2baaa7c5be806a48a5bc7b6db76025831fc635b5c94b41127c3.png

2025-06-08 07:20:55 UTC

The true difference between successful traders and average ones?
Successful traders show up and execute—even when they’re not motivated.
Don’t get me wrong: inspiration and motivation are powerful tools. They help you push further and tap into your best.
But they’re not always there. And when they’re not, discipline takes over.
Consistency doesn’t come from feelings. It comes from commitment.
How is your weekend screening doing?

2025-06-07 06:01:00 UTC

Casinos don’t need to be right every time — they just need enough bets. Traders should do the same.

2025-06-06 18:15:22 UTC

#RCL looks good. Let see how handle and BO shows up
https://nostrrelay.cloud/6f49d80848d1155aeff6cc173ec6c28593a7ae0204918e792e4789cb297c9d1b.png

2025-06-06 10:37:19 UTC

🔥 Engulfing Candles and Market Psychology: A Warning You Shouldn’t Ignore
When the market—or an individual stock—drops so sharply that a single candle engulfs the previous 3 to 4 weeks of gains, it's not just another red bar on the chart.
It’s a statement.
A candle that wipes out multiple weeks of progress in a single move is the market rejecting recent optimism, news, or even the company itself.
📉 What Is an Engulfing Candle?
In simple terms:
A bearish engulfing candle is a large red (down) candle that completely covers the range of the previous candle—or several of them.
When it engulfs multiple weekly candles, it's an even more powerful sign of reversal or breakdown.
This usually means:
Institutions are selling.
Support levels are failing.
Recent bullish sentiment is being completely overrun.
🚨 Why This Is a Major Warning Signal
When a stock or index prints a down weekly candle that erases the last 3-4 weeks of gains, here’s what it tells you:
Rejection of Narrative: The market is no longer buying the bullish story—whether it’s earnings, guidance, macro news, or momentum.
Transition to Distribution: It’s a sign that smart money might be exiting quietly while retail investors are still hopeful.
Psychological Shift: Buyers who were in profit are now flat or red. Fear replaces confidence. FOMO turns into panic.
Potential Trend Change: It often marks the start of a deeper correction or downtrend—especially if it happens on high volume.
📊 Real-World Examples
In 2022, many tech stocks had multi-week rallies off bear market lows. Then came one brutal red week that engulfed all progress—and those were often the top before new lows.
During earnings seasons, you’ll sometimes see a stock gap up for 2–3 weeks, then drop 10%+ in one day, wiping it all out. That’s a rejection by the market of the bullish interpretation.
🧠 What You Should Do When You See This
✅ Step back: Don't rush to buy the dip. Wait for confirmation and stability.
✅ Check volume: Was the drop on unusually high volume? That’s institutional activity.
✅ Analyze sentiment: Were traders too bullish too fast? Often, this kind of reversal follows euphoria.
✅ Set alerts: Watch if price undercuts key support or if follow-through buying fails.
🎯 Final Thought
When a candle swallows 3–4 weeks of bullish action, it's the market saying:
"We changed our mind."
This is not a time to argue with price.
Listen. Watch. Protect capital.
If you're patient, a clearer entry or trend will come.
https://nostrrelay.cloud/91672dd68bca40f111444a774649e0d8080e65cb59da6e92984eef24084c8483.png

2025-06-06 08:18:52 UTC

Imagine you're a casino. A casino doesn’t let emotions guide its actions — it doesn’t gamble, it plays the odds.
You want to have an edge, just like the casino. That means having full control over your probabilities, knowing exactly when to accept a trade (take a bet) and when to stand aside.
But if you keep jumping between systems, how will you ever know if you actually have an edge?
🔁 Without consistency, there’s no control. Without control, there’s no strategy.
Do you want to act like the gambler or like the casino? The choice is yours.

2025-06-06 07:01:12 UTC

On this day, June 6th, as Sweden celebrates its National Day, I give warm congratulations to all Swedes!
It is a fitting occasion to reflect on a cherished symbol of national identity: the Swedish national anthem, "Du gamla, Du fria" (Thou ancient, Thou free).
The anthem's origins date back to 1844, with lyrics penned by the folklorist and antiquarian Richard Dybeck. The melody is a traditional folk tune from the province of Västmanland, which Dybeck adapted to his patriotic text. Interestingly, "Du gamla, Du fria" has never been officially adopted as the national anthem by the Swedish parliament. Its status has been cemented through tradition and popular acclaim, a testament to its enduring place in the hearts of the Swedish people.
The lyrics of "Du gamla, Du fria" are a poetic tribute to Sweden's natural beauty and storied past. The opening lines, "Thou ancient, Thou free, Thou mountainous North," evoke a sense of timelessness and liberty. The song continues to praise the nation's quiet beauty, its sun, sky, and green meadows. It speaks of a nation "enthroned on memories of great olden days," a nod to Sweden's significant history. The anthem's focus on the broader "Norden" (the North) reflects the pan-Scandinavian sentiments of the era in which it was written.
While not officially legislated, "Du gamla, Du fria" is performed at all official state ceremonies, sporting events, and national celebrations. It is a powerful and unifying song that resonates with Swedes both at home and abroad.
Happy National Day to all Swedes! Grattis på nationaldagen!

2025-06-05 09:13:11 UTC

Why do brilliant people often fail at trading?
A close friend of mine—a highly successful professional—struggled badly in the markets.
Not because he lacked intelligence, but because he tried to outsmart the market.
He wasn’t really chasing profits—he was chasing validation. He wanted to prove he could see value others had missed.
But trading doesn’t reward ego. It rewards adaptability.
📉 The lesson?
The market doesn’t care how smart you are—it only cares how well you listen.

2025-06-05 07:10:59 UTC

This document emphasizes the crucial role of risk management in trading, starting with a disciplined exit strategy rather than focusing solely on entry points. It highlights that stop losses are not a sign of failure but a vital tool for controlling potential losses and preserving capital for future opportunities. The text also discusses a strategic re-entry approach, advising traders to only re-enter a market if it shows renewed strength after being stopped out. Ultimately, the core message is that surviving and remaining in the market through effective risk control is more important than winning every single trade, thereby protecting both capital and trading psychology.
https://nostrrelay.cloud/6f8da65bea445d9542115639f6b92f258f584361dc56d6cbd3e8ad55cfeeaac9.mp4

2025-06-04 13:08:23 UTC

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HOOD : https://nostrrelay.cloud/ce5d06e72b831b0ded4d08adc446917fdd8c271352ba8d79182d75c3c069d53d.png

2025-06-04 13:05:35 UTC

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Here is #NVDA https://nostrrelay.cloud/4e8ff7b455507795326385ffac501020ebea21001580c5a2e94923d81be1e38c.png

2025-06-04 13:03:59 UTC

In today’s meeting, I’ll be showcasing my "Trend Strength" indicator — a tool that measures how much the market favors a stock, scored from -100 to +100.
This isn’t just a technical number—it’s a way to see through the noise and gauge the market’s true sentiment.
📊 I’ve prepared a screenshot of a current example—but I want to stress-test it on more names.
💬 Got a stock in mind? Drop it here and I’ll run it through the indicator live. Let’s see if the market’s whispering or shouting.
https://nostrrelay.cloud/8577a3429a5bb2c2af5b7e4f1a2aad12c1efc37ae86434bd07020d05c2563ffa.png

2025-06-02 07:40:51 UTC

Jumping Strategies Too Soon Is a Common Cause of Failure
A key reason traders and investors fail is abandoning a sound long-term strategy during short-term underperformance.
Amateurs often chase systems that seem to always work. When their strategy hits a rough patch—as all strategies eventually do—they quickly shift to something else, hoping for immediate results.
In professional money management, this behavior is called style drift—changing strategy when results dip. It's viewed as a red flag by institutional investors because it signals lack of discipline and conviction.
Strong performance comes from consistency. Staying with a strategy through cycles—while measuring it with long-term data—is what separates professionals from performance chasers.

2025-05-30 11:56:10 UTC

Is “Buy the Dip” Really a Winning Strategy?
According to What Works on Wall Street by James O’Shaughnessy, buying the worst-performing large-cap stocks—those down the most over the past 12 months—didn’t lead to gains. In fact, the data showed that buying the bottom 10% resulted in declines over the following year.
The takeaway? Momentum and quality matter more than bargain hunting. Sometimes, what looks cheap just keeps getting cheaper.

2025-05-28 12:03:50 UTC

The markets are one of the most powerful tools for putting money to work efficiently. But they can just as easily erase capital when approached carelessly.
Blind faith in luck, overconfidence in so-called "blue-chip" names like Enron or WorldCom, or trusting high-fee investment funds that barely track the market—these are classic pitfalls.
Success in the market requires more than optimism. It demands discipline, skepticism, and a strategy built on risk management and performance, not hope or reputation.
I’ve seen traders achieve solid returns through a combination of hard work, structured routines, and the right coaching.
It’s not about guessing the market. It’s about putting in the effort to learn, staying disciplined, and getting feedback from those with experience.
Results come from consistency, not shortcuts.

2025-05-23 10:56:22 UTC

Psychologists have long observed this bias:
We tend to attribute our wins to skill — and our losses to bad luck.
It’s human nature.
But in trading, it’s a dangerous trap.
🎯 If you take credit for every win and blame luck for every loss,
you’ll never grow — only protect your ego.
Own your process. Learn from both outcomes. That’s how real traders evolve.

2025-05-22 11:45:39 UTC

Hope you're doing well and finding your rhythm in the market again.
If you're currently not engaged, or if you're struggling to stay aligned with what’s working—pause and ask yourself:
What’s the real reason? What are you missing?
Is it a lack of conviction?
Are you still stuck in the last market cycle?
Have you done the work to adapt to current conditions?
Every cycle demands a different version of you. If you’re on the sidelines, figure out if it’s strategy, mindset, or structure that’s holding you back.
Because when opportunity knocks, you don’t want hesitation to be your default.

2025-05-22 10:11:12 UTC

It’s a paradox.
The only reward a trader should truly care about is a growing account balance.
Yet many obsess over achieving it through their own strategy, their own process, their own “genius.”
Why?
Because they want to feel relevant.
They want the credit.
But here’s the truth:
The market doesn’t care who designed the strategy — only if it works.
Profit is proof, not pride.
Let go of the ego.
Use what works. Master it. And let your results speak — not your attachment to originality.

2025-05-22 10:00:45 UTC

Partial discipline is just a polished excuse. Real discipline is all or nothing.
The belief that a perfect strategy is out there — waiting to be found or built — is one of the biggest risks to your progress.
It’s a timewaster, a distraction, and a subtle form of procrastination.
Worse, it can become an endless rabbit hole that keeps you from ever truly executing.
There is no perfect strategy.
There’s only a robust one you understand, follow, and refine through experience.

2025-05-20 10:39:48 UTC

Partial discipline is just a polished excuse. Real discipline is all or nothing.

2025-05-19 15:16:30 UTC

Some funds know when to reduce exposure and when to act https://nostrrelay.cloud/f58b78fa45335dd0c30a220b0023dbc1335c63a16abe7633e31ad5ff5cd7f273.png

2025-05-19 12:26:59 UTC

Avoid opinions. Trade the facts.
Charts don’t care what you think.
They only reflect what is.
Let price, volume, and structure guide you —
not headlines, hype, or hope.

2025-05-19 09:16:32 UTC

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Hi, Let's rock this week !

2025-05-19 05:46:56 UTC

I was genuinely excited to write this report — there are so many beautiful bases forming right now.
But Friday’s after-hours news of a U.S. debt downgrade may temporarily derail what was shaping up to be a strong setup landscape.
It feels like yet another mini black swan — a small asteroid we didn’t quite see coming.
If we break lower, it could trigger some short-term shakeouts —
But those may ultimately help form a stronger foundation for more durable, longer-term moves higher.

2025-05-18 10:14:26 UTC

Edge isn’t just finding good trades — it’s weighting your capital toward the best ones

2025-05-15 16:09:01 UTC

You trade your edge—not the market. Screening helps you find where your edge actually lives.

2025-05-15 07:54:57 UTC

Humans remember the tasks they *didn’t* finish longer than the ones they did. Use that.” — Bluma Zeigarnik (paraphrased)

2025-05-13 10:09:25 UTC

A pivot point isn’t arbitrary — it marks a zone of equilibrium,
where supply and demand are nearly in balance.
When demand overwhelms supply,
that balance tips — and price breaks out with force.
It’s not guesswork. It’s structure.

2025-05-11 10:03:00 UTC

The market doesn’t care how confident you are — only how prepared you are

2025-05-08 06:08:00 UTC

What often destroys weeks or months of progress isn’t a broken system —
It’s the impulse to chase quick profits in an unstructured, emotional way.
One rushed trade…
One moment of overconfidence…
And all your hard-earned gains can vanish.
🎯 Discipline keeps what skill builds.

2025-05-03 07:01:00 UTC

Ready to read some books ?
https://image.nostr.build/173f5143bc3e8d0c6ded767fc96fc25fc040b10ca95a2de6a1f9cb89f216a586.jpg

2025-04-27 13:00:00 UTC

Success in trading doesn’t come from excitement—it comes from execution

2025-04-27 07:26:18 UTC

Update from 27 Apr 2025
📈 NVDA is following a similar pattern to what CSCO built during its peak years.
History doesn’t repeat exactly — but it often leaves clues.
If the pattern holds, it’s a signal to stay alert.
https://image.nostr.build/bd710f30682a5b6a338b3616663c7ffcf4be6fda02ac18a6091e6734fd1f26ae.png
https://image.nostr.build/8aa05c7aee81e4a595210388783bc2863a5611d947ab03dce09214cdf0e5c061.png

2025-04-27 06:18:57 UTC

As I’ve often said — never lose sight of this simple truth:
If you succeed in trading, it won’t be because you’re a "good trader."
It will be because you’ve survived.
Because you’ve been a good risk manager.
And a truly good risk manager always plans for the day when their edge might disappear.
They stay humble, stay alert, and stay ready to adapt.
Survival is the foundation of success — not skill alone.

2025-04-27 06:01:55 UTC

If a trader is successful, it’s not simply because they are "good."
It’s because they are quick to take small losses — and patient to let profits grow.
📉 They cut what's not working without hesitation.
📈 They give their winners time to blossom.
Success in trading is less about brilliance and more about disciplined execution.

2025-04-25 04:00:00 UTC

🚫 Don’t let winning trades inflate your ego.
🚫 Don’t let losing trades crush your spirit.
🎯 The goal is to stay neutral — clear, focused, and consistent.
Emotional swings distort decision-making.
Keep a level head. That’s your real edge.

2025-04-24 06:00:00 UTC

As a trader, timing your mindset is everything.
You need to know when to play defense — and when to press on offense.
❌ If you're not defensive, you won’t last.
❌ If you're not aggressive, you won’t grow.
📊 The edge is in knowing when to protect and when to attack.

2025-04-23 14:00:00 UTC

Great traders don’t need to be right from the start — they just need to know when they are.

2025-04-23 09:17:43 UTC

Starting to trade full size as a beginner is like asking a baby learning to walk to run a sprint against Olympic athletes.
It’s not just unrealistic — it’s reckless.
📉 Learn to trade small first.
Build your edge. Build your discipline.
Then size up when the process is solid.
If you skip that step, the market will teach you the hard way —
You’ll trade big, lose big, and be forced to trade small anyway.

2025-04-23 06:45:00 UTC

https://sdmntprpolandcentral.oaiusercontent.com/files/00000000-5be4-620a-b5e5-2c5a6cf8a8f4/raw?se=2025-04-23T05%3A25%3A02Z&sp=r&sv=2024-08-04&sr=b&scid=cf6d9b76-06ba-526b-b6db-7d4fa39f2bdb&skoid=06e05d6f-bdd9-4a88-a7ec-2c0a779a08ca&sktid=a48cca56-e6da-484e-a814-9c849652bcb3&skt=2025-04-22T20%3A34%3A50Z&ske=2025-04-23T20%3A34%3A50Z&sks=b&skv=2024-08-04&sig=E4SQiYBCLFZf8oKNq1a%2BFZMo0iSssH6CTSL4fhnw25o%3D
https://image.nostr.build/520cf6edb7f555b50746866272fef7544ef094d125259373446f6a89f6362962.jpg

2025-04-23 06:38:57 UTC

https://image.nostr.build/e0c56ea82f0f63c4f4df14ad7c5cf1d2524124a2432fb2f782b8a77e4dddff8e.jpg

2025-04-23 06:23:35 UTC

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I share one Infographic from my Coaching board. ( Member I coach get many infographics )

2025-04-23 06:00:00 UTC

Mastering trading starts with letting go of the need to win every time

2025-04-23 05:33:25 UTC

https://image.nostr.build/03bf914c8941b65510c7a2b1929cabef686f5a8c7db9af3e67934a05c5062580.jpg

2025-04-22 05:39:09 UTC

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https://image.nostr.build/7911d661bd9bd8d05f2f97bdd0b7387e3fc3cb06e4f9f7aad957191092512db5.jpg

2025-04-22 05:36:27 UTC

https://image.nostr.build/de70ff6ecafaff475d0ef9756d11a65f342e1a843018d0759d4b27b4d343cebb.png

2025-04-21 10:05:03 UTC

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https://image.nostr.build/98e1efc1a1843f7d0ea17199ad363ea6b3ac31834ea01dd90d02efe9a3a3c147.png

2025-04-21 10:04:17 UTC

https://image.nostr.build/4c7087e3ab9d3f4515f8c5183c1eecf0205ae0e5fac86ba565439094e3d292ed.png

2025-04-19 08:54:30 UTC

Happy Easter from Tjörn
https://image.nostr.build/9ce3677e521f46e8e13d6eecb02e974e770be99939bf3acdad2820b38d5bd9c7.jpg

2025-04-19 07:58:52 UTC

The last thing I want to do in my trading is chase "optimized" variables.
Over-optimizing looks smart on paper — but it’s one of the fastest ways to end up in the poorhouse.
📉 Markets change. Conditions shift.
What works perfectly in a backtest often breaks spectacularly in real time.
Real trading rewards robustness and adaptability, not perfection.

2025-04-19 06:50:33 UTC

If you're an intellectual who struggles to admit being wrong, trading will humble you — quickly.
Markets have a relentless way of proving even the smartest people wrong.
Intellectuals often battle with:
❌ Not knowing the answer
❌ Not being in control
❌ Being publicly and repeatedly wrong
But if you’re willing to do the work, trading offers unlimited possibilities.
Today, trading is more egalitarian than ever:
No barriers to entry
No institutional edge that private traders can't match
No monopoly on foolishness — or on success
Institutional traders can be just as lost as private traders.
Private traders can outperform some of the biggest names in the industry.
Today, the playing field is truly level.
If you’re patient, open-minded, and committed to mastering the universal principles of trading,
the transformation is in your hands.
But it’s all on you.
Own your actions — and you will own your results.

2025-04-18 08:20:20 UTC

Comparing CSCO and NVDA price action week by week offers valuable clues about NVDA’s possible future.
History doesn’t repeat exactly — but it often rhymes.
Tracking patterns from past market leaders can help spot early warnings or confirmation signals.
Stay objective. Let the charts guide you. https://nostrrelay.cloud/a2b7873a5c5e2a06132ca4b9e2df83d707a5d2f05c2d00a951db7df57ded7c91.png
https://nostrrelay.cloud/8958ba0aae69025a1700330ebc46c2a7692bfb52e7bd60c0b05b6d3914175fb6.png

2025-04-18 07:17:51 UTC

Trading isn’t about being certain — it’s about stacking probabilities in your favor
Important to remember that

2025-04-17 07:27:48 UTC

Own your data !
https://nostrrelay.cloud/4d614054e5e5464eda2948d02237d7f733ea29d4c33614bebce751c20880ea9d.png
Text:
https://samuels.bitar.se/bluesky-turkiet/

2025-04-17 07:24:31 UTC

Which steps are you following right now?
✅ Are you following your plan?
In fast-moving world, process matters more than predictions.
What’s your next step?
#naddr1qv…tq33

2025-04-16 13:43:30 UTC

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For example, if your strategy is to initiate a position on a breakout,
then when you see another breakout, the rule stays the same: add.
Don’t second-guess yourself.
Don’t wonder, “Is the price too high now?” or “What if it pulls back?”
Your job isn’t to predict the perfect moment —
It’s to follow your system without hesitation.
📈 If the setup matches, execute.
Discipline > doubt.

2025-04-16 13:41:03 UTC

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When the market confirms your trade — don’t hesitate.
That’s your signal to press the gas.
Add to your position with confidence.
Some traders use a simple trick:
🧠 Decide to buy, then count —
One. Two. Three.
💥 Press the button.
No second-guessing. No hesitation.
Overthinking kills execution.

2025-04-16 13:37:06 UTC

In a game like trading — where losses are inevitable — you don’t start by assuming you’re right.
You start by assuming you’re wrong, and let the market prove you correct.
Positions should be earned, not assumed.
You build into them only after confirmation, not before.
📉 If the market doesn't validate your trade, you reduce risk — or remove the position entirely.
📈 Only when the market confirms your thesis, do you let it grow.
Let the market speak.
Your job is not to be right — it’s to respond when you are.

2025-04-15 13:06:30 UTC

Trading is a lonely journey — until the day your experience becomes someone else’s guide.