BAO MARKETS HQ

The main account of BAO MARKETS. Prediction markets on NOSTR.

For markets feed follow:
npub1w0v7r8hs0cxsnr7ql30mwhdslp2gyn5tfepeqkkvucudmajxn9sqgz5svp

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npub1vphstvrfd7x4vxj5wr4dyrt5kz8v6cjr56g84nwy2zjgf8yup0rqdgrtmm

Profile Code

nprofile1qqsxqmc9kp5klr2krf28p6kjp46tprkdvfp6dyr6ehz9pfyynjwqh3spz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dslge4cg

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relay.damus.io

nos.lol

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npub1vphstvrfd7x4vxj5wr4dyrt5kz8v6cjr56g84nwy2zjgf8yup0rqdgrtmm

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Last Notes

2026-05-20 21:46:35 UTC

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Pablo D wearing a purple hat and @nprofile…z8ms branded jersey? ;) https://image.nostr.build/8b48f26d5c4adee5b0813cd77071dcff71f5af3bbed7681b75ae84bb61602f7f.jpg

2026-05-17 16:37:11 UTC

Confidential transactions/contracts on our BAO LIQUID TESTNET can now be verified at https://explorer.bao.markets/
The Liquid Network is a Bitcoin layer-2 sidechain that enables fast, confidential settlement, operating independently from the Bitcoin mainchain with one-minute block times and two-block finality.
Confidential Transactions are a default feature on Liquid, using cryptographic protocols to hide both the amount and type of asset transacted from third parties, while still allowing the network to verify that no new coins are created.
Users can selectively reveal transaction details by sharing a blinding key, maintaining privacy.
Key characteristics include:
Privacy: Transaction metadata such as balances and asset types are obscured, protecting users from front-running and market surveillance.
Interoperability: Liquid Bitcoin (L-BTC) is pegged 1:1 to BTC via a two-way peg, allowing users to move assets between the mainchain and sidechain.
https://blossom.primal.net/56fe9ddbbf9ec861c593810666805771f08b1a6e29aaa75bcdd3c936cd6b8cd6.png

2026-05-02 16:22:22 UTC

The easiest way to make sats is to become bao oracle juror -confirming the truth.
You stake SATs and take bitcoin from jurors who try to game the outcome.
The selection is random based on algorithm derived from the block data.
You can sign up to become a bao juror, choose the spec and wait for the notifications via encrypted DM.
Still being tested, but this is how decentralised ORACLE works at BAO MARKETS in every dispute process.
https://image.nostr.build/66a177b24cf46e28e75cbec4ddde49744a530113386cfd52fb363420456882b7.jpg

2026-05-01 10:27:45 UTC

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@nprofile…m6ku are you ready for this?

2026-04-24 20:39:55 UTC

https://image.nostr.build/5fa5df3e5e31c735c60ff0fbc9be461c98d111fc9552aa7b7174eb81a9802793.jpg
https://youtu.be/9vM0oIEhMag

2026-04-22 11:50:55 UTC

Terminal experience on every page of
bao.markets
If you send your LLM agent they will know what to do, but they also have API mode to trade in their native habitat
https://image.nostr.build/e7a5d4e71c38c52e98e7763aa5d82f3f95e4b0ecfdbc927dbd1d27095aa885d5.jpg

2026-04-17 22:57:12 UTC

The BAO protocol functions as a decentralized oracle infrastructure designed to bridge real-world events with Bitcoin-native smart contracts. By utilizing prediction markets and a multi-layered verification system, it produces cryptographic attestations that allow Bitcoin UTXOs to respond to external data without central intermediaries.
Key Architectural Features
1. DLC-Compatible Attestations
Every market resolution results in a Schnorr adaptor signature formatted to the Discreet Log Contract (DLC) standard. This makes the "truth" produced by BAO immediately compatible with Bitcoin L1 transactions, Lightning HTLCs, and Liquid covenants. It acts as a universal key that native applications and wallets can use to settle contracts independently of the BAO web interface.
2. Randomized Juror Selection
To prevent collusion and Sybil attacks, the protocol employs an automated, randomized selection process for dispute resolution. Jurors are drawn from a pool of anonymous, registered pubkeys. Anonymity is maintained through NIP-59 (Gift Wrapping), protecting jurors from external pressure and ensuring that the identity of the verifiers remains as hidden as the identity of the bettors.
3. Layered Truth Discovery
The system scales its verification rigor based on the state of the market:
* Tier 1: Automated consensus for high-speed data.
* Tier 2: Randomly selected human juries for complex disputes.
* Tier 3: Proof-of-Work (PoW) staked juries, where truth is anchored by miner signatures.
This progression ensures that the cost to attack the "truth" increases proportionally with the value at stake.
4. Synthetic Covenants
While Bitcoin L1 lacks native, complex covenants, BAO enables "synthetic covenants" through cryptography. By locking sats to a specific market outcome point ($T$), the protocol
ensures that funds can only move once the corresponding adaptor signature is broadcast. The Bitcoin is effectively bound to a conditional logic gate—if the event occurs, the string
is produced, and the UTXO unlocks.
Potential Applications and Scalability
* Native Wallet Integration: Bitcoin wallets can monitor Nostr relays in the background for specific market IDs. Once a resolution string is detected, the wallet can automatically trigger L1 payouts, unlock inheritance vaults, or settle P2P insurance claims.
* Decentralized News Verification: Because the protocol incentivizes accurate predictions through financial stakes, the resulting resolution strings provide a high-assurance record of events that is resistant to censorship or corporate bias.
* Cross-Chain Interoperability: Any system capable of verifying Schnorr signatures (including many L2s and sidechains) can utilize BAO’s output.
This positions the protocol as a foundational "Truth Layer" for the broader Bitcoin ecosystem, where the definitive record of reality is maintained by anonymous, incentivized participants rather than central authorities.
#baomarkets #truthmachine #oraclebao

2026-04-17 17:57:55 UTC

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Is BIP-110 failing?
https://blossom.primal.net/c07907b9128c343cfcc20d1d2ef8c1409a33705ebc751c90cc4ceea5af53a6d9.png
#nevent1q…2yxq

2026-04-10 00:24:49 UTC

Give them a follow. Projects to keep an eye on!
#nevent1q…pr0g

2026-04-10 00:18:46 UTC

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Spark is a big deal. Breez SDK to the moon!!!

2026-04-09 07:27:45 UTC

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good one!
#nevent1q…c5hm

2026-04-09 07:26:25 UTC

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https://blossom.primal.net/1efde0eb8218a0b39beafe713738d11a4a01d38cbad0a768f66d108beec1da47.png
#baomarkets #predictionmarkets #anthropic #llm
#nevent1q…krt6

2026-04-09 07:23:30 UTC

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https://blossom.primal.net/39606a6914b9f8ef92dbf04954e909d168f1b6f7925063a16160a38b463373e2.png

2026-04-09 07:22:53 UTC

Anthropic just dropped benchmark scores for their unreleased model. The gap is embarrassing for everyone else.
https://blossom.primal.net/be18ce121f48657700b50dc487d5426283ceb9b2dfd6a6f3a806189eae54f192.png

2026-04-09 01:54:11 UTC

BAO MARKETS ->>
A PROTOCOL OF TRUTH - >>
TRUTH MACHINE
https://primal.net/a/naddr1qq25jctcfam4yemsfav42df4vfez672sfpkyyq3qw0v7r8hs0cxsnr7ql30mwhdslp2gyn5tfepeqkkvucudmajxn9sqxpqqqp65wfgwwzf

2026-04-09 01:48:29 UTC

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Nice article!

2026-04-09 01:45:49 UTC

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Can someone tell them about the silent payments? ;)
PS. @nprofile…dsry

2026-04-09 01:42:29 UTC

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It's one of best open source models at the moment but hard to run as full self hosted due to hardware requirements and massive size. It's got a full spec from coding to video, voice, etc
Kimi is also pretty good at coding

2026-04-07 19:06:12 UTC

#bolero https://youtu.be/Dh9bUD-hC0A

2026-04-01 19:12:19 UTC

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Why not to mention entire prediction market built on NOSTR, using polls that can be turned into markets? We called it "zap to win" polls
The markets reside on NOSTR relays and cannot be taken down...
We have no custody of the funds in scrow contracts neither
Short term HTLC over lightning ⚡
Long term - liquid escrow or spark with @nprofile…uck0 with spark in privacy mode by default!
Two types of markets:
Simple Majority
Automated Marker Maker
It's in currently in demo mode to test, backed with testnet sats, mainnet is just around the corner
Absolute privacy for traders and creators of the markets due to key derivation scheme. Bao sees nothing, relays see nothing, everything stays encrypted, to be accessed by NOSTR login only.
Traders with cashu can use bolt12, our CLN node is with blinded paths enabled and private channels. We are also testing Federated mints with ecash to replace liquid one day...
Intrigued?

2026-04-01 04:56:12 UTC

Are you into bitcoin mining ?
https://bao.markets/demo/monitor/mining
https://blossom.primal.net/86cf8eb68148b09e4dab21601ec8e861016b7016d35350e1218d4c72a9bf86cb.png
#bitcoinmining #hashrate #predictionmarkets #predictions #trading #baomarkets #hedge

2026-04-01 04:52:44 UTC

Have you visited https://bao.markets/demo/monitor yet?
https://blossom.primal.net/b7191a8427779655b18233e0517bec6c2fadfa19c47e019efee8effa2f381143.png