Grace_Too

https://blossom.primal.net/851c0d18887b42d4a17ad5612f6b2d565e4e5bc4413f13ebd9ce10c8022bbe7d.png Back under all trend. First touch of the daily low close since Feb. Target is the red S/R from the previous cycle at 48.6K or there abouts should a daily close below 62.8K.
I was looking to see if this cycle was going to be different, if we only print a double bottom it still might be.
I miss Bitcoin's animal spirits... It's been super disapointing that a tweet called the top and maybe the bottom, I hate that Bitcoin is subject to the vagrancies of the Truman Show.
I think what disappoints me is that I always hoped people would get Bitcoin, and that I believed in people.... But they don't which worries me for everything else. Watching all of society devolve, and people not really seem to dig into the problem and still believe media.... I can't say anything else, all of my thoughts are unlawful these days. They weren't before, I just have a government that's shifting the goal posts against freedom
https://blossom.primal.net/beecc224a80eed89ca4099cdd14bbe31fe5b5347a75fdbdfcbe55be3daa8ab33.png

2026-05-29 10:00:57 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/b27f11f7de8d007edcf6ebbd0aacc1caffa9fd83b563e74672579ab168f2c152.png Ben Cowen is a chart art criminal. He invents bearish narratives to match his sulk, then leverages PhD credentialism to recruit minions into FUD that the price action doesn't support.
I don't know if the 4-year cycle is dead. But I do know it's being beaten to death much like the legendary Black Knight — every dismemberment greeted by another "it's only a flesh wound."
Elliott wave structure suggests a 5th wave is still ahead. My charts show we're back above the bearish downtrend, with the daily close low still well below us. The cycle isn't broken, we're just back to the crab walk.
The best thing you can do in a chop like this is buy on Mondays when the Value Averaginator signals it. The name is terrible — I'm not a marketing genius. But I stack sats dispassionately, and the method has consistently beaten dollar-cost averaging on IRR.
Buthttps://blossom.primal.net/31c93af2e7d8ee83f775ba4ffb3297e40b68dff159f52eeac20a4f3c9cdf9423.png

2026-05-18 14:47:42 UTC

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M’kay, so where’s the haters?
https://blossom.primal.net/49509c7f5009ab7fe58232f1ed504312b9a7b97cfca3b879be460dcfbd591943.gif

2026-05-01 18:48:19 UTC

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I’m about 20 books deep into my Bitcoin journey, how about you?

2026-05-01 11:03:23 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/e98b8fa304e46248e68a821cb713a5de0dbcebd136f5d92663f16d40c5cbd986.png I'm working on a new stacking strategy based on value averaging, a concept introduced by Michael Edleson. My idea isn't fully flushed out yet, but according to the strategy, you would be stacking as hard as you can

2026-04-27 00:54:21 UTC

With negative divergence on momentum indicators it wouldn’t surprise me to see trend lines get retested this week
https://blossom.primal.net/c1cf4bf8766e659117fbc91c6c2407e27dbac2854c47fd75ba399668a7cbdfe5.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/c33e8fe5811c58ae9adaa865f992e4c7f781b5114dfe703bbb119d3e71045b46.jpg

2026-04-20 21:36:24 UTC

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Wow brother, I just saw Carla’s picture with the Sun smiling warmly over her. Glad to hear the family is healthy and happy. You guys are awesome warriors. God bless

2026-04-12 14:58:36 UTC

absolutely wild. I had to force ChatGPT to read the totally true and unedited transcript of the DeaterBob vs @nprofile…v30r debate from days of yore. I think a social indicator could be built from this debate. A kind of “Deater Gauge” that finds thirst traps from bitcoin MINOs (Maxi In Name Only). Tell tale sign is not having a NOSTR pubkey
https://blossom.primal.net/e215aa46dcca39b495102e4bac30919c8155648b16d076e6ab701c7e7386dcbe.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/8bdeb631ecc0f8aa21519ecb2ef5a8515ce8c5d98c026c1ab804b54e7951e816.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/4f23728eab9e71fb1ba70b49703e9ae07bf3db8ac6218baf2187eb621b732a5d.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/f643782f9b47eadfd55f7732133cd49b4e68aa9c95ab8351718019133b1b40fd.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/2bdf81b0f1eaba721da25b54294b51ddc7b340bb511aab703d65cfaa222dba8c.jpg

2026-04-12 14:41:55 UTC

We should make a new Sentiment indicator in Bitcoin and call it “The Deater Gauger” that tracks Bitcoin MINO’s (maxi in name only - you have a Twitter account but without a NOSTR public key - and pump out max thurst unsubstantiated Bitcoin engagement like Terrence here… well ya know… Szabo tweeted it so…
https://blossom.primal.net/8bdeb631ecc0f8aa21519ecb2ef5a8515ce8c5d98c026c1ab804b54e7951e816.jpg

2026-04-01 23:35:15 UTC

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It's easy to read the AI assistance everywhere you look now. Add more of your own voice rather than asking the AI to write in your voice

2026-03-30 19:39:31 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/8b435e39d9a46c85a9cebcb15a4ce613ee4c7f8d6f30b8fe4e893bd82a0a2feb.png https://blossom.primal.net/e3260045716b17970e09693c473536ba9d5bb31b7119755325c309429aa21306.png Still neutral, but this isn't the price action we're looking for on the bull case. Perfect rejections at key price horizontals. Only 3 days in 2026 has price closed below 65,107.

2026-03-25 10:12:39 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/fe80fdb6ab2449ca115396291cf5cf35ccca44b15bf66a4880bb2baddaf45e43.png https://blossom.primal.net/32eb4bc70f2913e1bfaf2d43838ad2cdb41cf5f3e4519cd2b207d76fc7aa3211.png Neutral, but above the 4-hour trend. That matters.
What looked like a head and shoulders before the aftermarket War Iran war shock has quietly morphed into what could be an inverse head and shoulders when markets opened back up. Call it what you want, that's the cost of being in the market and needing to know what you own.
If the neckline holds, 74K is your measured target. Market structure is starting to build from the lower timeframes up — and the daily is finally showing me something: higher highs, higher lows. That's not nothing.
Now — the cycle question nobody's asking honestly.
The question isn't "is 60K the bottom?" The question is: where does the risk/reward sit right now?
Here's where I land. I'm not convinced 60K was the bottom. But I also don't need to be. That's the wrong argument to win.
If this is the bottom, everyone who bought under 78K is sitting on a gift. You're buying sats at prices potentially 50% off the previous high. You don't need to be the genius who called the exact low — you need to be the person who was in the zone when the risk was asymmetric. You won't know the bottom until it's well behind you. The edge isn't precision — it's being approximately right when the margin of safety is real.
So what do I do with this? Stink bids. Test the waters. If you're not in yet, you're still shopping at a discount. Size accordingly, not heroically.
The caveat I'd insist on: the weekly has not flipped bullish. Full stop. That's not a reason to ignore the setup — it's a reason to size for a trade, not bet the stack. The cycle turns slowly, then all at once. Respect the sequence.
Stay humble about what you know. Stay honest about what you don't. The chart is giving you permission to look — not to go all in.

2026-03-13 10:34:05 UTC

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I’m just a fan… I’m 20 books into Bitcoin, my chosen mentorship has been Andreas Antonopoulos, through doing my best to read Mastering Bitcoin, and Lightning, Internet of Money 1 and 2. I don’t code. I recommend by 2 methods. Is the code Open source, and reputation. I’ll own that, it’s my personal best. Mike I’ve heard you on 2 podcasts years ago. You seemed very intelligent and interesting. 1 observation. You and your brother are hyperbolic in your vision/forecasts. I have no idea or proof that you’re an honest person or a liar.
Matt- I’ve listened to a lot. He absolutely has admitted his upper limitations on code work in RHR 2018/2019 when I heard it.
I don’t know of any lies he’s ever told, and have always found him to be believable at the very least and always seemed sincere.
This is all I know
And now this. Your approach to this discussion - turns me the fuck off - makes me think that you’re an absolute cunt - but I’m new to it because I’ve been really busy in my own life. I can agree that Bitcoin should only be money. I see and agree with all of the points about keeping the blockchain as light as possible in terms of data because of my eyes as a former communicator in the navy. That said I hate censorship, and Bitcoin is a hill that I will lay my life on for my family
Is it possible that good people can approach this conversation in a constructive way where the community can learn from and grow together - I’m just a student. Ride or die @nprofile…gkkr can we generate good discussions on this. Can we get opposite parties together and learn @npub1qny…95gx

2026-03-04 09:08:40 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/f6c2b621ccf84d9f2263dd44c166d5e9713145db3a4d2a73cac78bfa8baa8de7.png The trap is being set! Watch your favourite influencers tell you how bullish Bitcoin is... we're going to retake the highs! I'm going to keep an eye on Cheds, I let him know that the best market analysis is right here on NOSTR. I'm fading as we speak I have the orders set at 73444. What invalidates my thesis. The week must both open and close a candle above 70132K the Weekly close low. That to me would be a sign to watch for the market starting to repair structure

2026-02-27 14:15:03 UTC

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This has nothing to do with me, Haiti is run by BBQ Sauce and I’m not a fascist because I can’t figure their shit out. Blame Quebec

2026-02-27 11:51:55 UTC

lol I’m bearish… but maybe not bearish enough? Maybe I’m being too bullish on bull traps 🤷‍♂️ We’re under the cover of a downtrend until I chart otherwise. Cheerio!

2026-02-27 08:52:03 UTC

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https://blossom.primal.net/36813dc3bf9ca2dfd51b2f7b4658643bca714465046a3ed1e3b5eb9a9adf92c3.png Bull effin Poop! This right here says it all. I refuse to even show the massive forehead above, it's all so terribly heavy it has to be propped up from under the chin. I know bad actors when I see it... This mustache is straight from Nineteen Sevenny Nine and a Half

2026-02-23 10:43:45 UTC

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He looks annoyed that once again he's working and you're on your phone!

2026-02-23 10:38:04 UTC

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Luke's face is what I think a pedo looks like when their face is uncovered by Scooby Doo and Mystery Inc... Listen I don't follow you as closely as I used to Matt... BUT I HAVE NEVER IN MY FUCKIN LIFE EVER SEEN YOU AND MARTY ACT IN A BULLSHIT WAY.... That's all I know from up here in Kanukistan - Doesn't make me right, but I'm ride or die with both of you until you kill me

2026-02-23 10:30:06 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/c457cd4e891e1a385a74d828738649057ad43b445f0e15043a8291378c707ac5.png Was that it? that was the bull trap over the weekend? I can't be sure. I was thinking it would have grabbed liquidity above the range highs on a few daily candles, but nothing has to do what you think it will. I'm not sure what's going on with Iran, the Olympics are done, and the State of the Union address is tomorrow. Mexico was lit up by the cartels yesterday, and Bitcoin isn't an uncertainty trade yet. The weekly RSI is just points away from all time ever lows (that I think we're going to break). The suck is starting either today, or within 14 days from now (unless we really did just have the gayest bull trap of all time). I asked my wife is she wanted to sell everything yesterday before this recent dump... I think she saw through my question for what it actually was - a divorce test, and she answered no. We'll be buying cheap cheap sats soon I think. I'm starting to wonder if praying for 30K is a bit too greedy.. I dunno We'll find out soon enough

2026-02-16 13:59:39 UTC

Don’t read Nik’s copium, but do read his book Layered Money
Prices will trend until the coin is dead, and only then will it rise again - MVRV Z’ed score 4
https://blossom.primal.net/9b6fef22bfa3a4b9d1c98e07618b3f7ef663450dd6fbd70f13220fa1ca89ff84.jpg

2026-02-16 10:04:05 UTC

No fluff analysis is a tougher sell than max bull or bear. We’re still the same range as last week, burden of proof is on the bulls. This is re-distribution until proven otherwise. Weekly closes over 70k daily closes over 79k promotes bullish structure. I’m a buyer when the MVRV Z score reaches 4, currently it’s >13
https://blossom.primal.net/0a857bd5eaf9df6b3b67076f014e99840c0f3093f467210626e4b873bae2dc8d.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/da44fdf0c85b7b12b09060a5d2b8d09b734ce4ea99321dd79128e808c6af8003.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/c2a74ce02f620b3e6cd6279e12e19e06fe391dc0d406fee3f3c535ef3f7bfd53.jpg

2026-02-06 16:19:46 UTC

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I’d start with reading the Epstein files and determine if Jade makes you jaded. Support Canadian you beautifully bearded freak of nature

2026-02-05 13:20:25 UTC

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I’ll zap to that!

2026-02-05 13:18:09 UTC

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Bah come on Neil. It’s bad enough the FUD is old but top notch memers need to keep it fresh 😆

2026-02-05 09:37:32 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/955b6185c708d49845ce4b50ce14d910b5594922915870b1aa2a93ef20ebe500.png We are driving down the 30min trend hard. I have never seen gay'er fud in my life. If this is Kim Dot Comm FUDDED price action I'm disappointed in the market participants. You're retarded. How's your LTV by the way.

2026-02-05 08:59:45 UTC

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So happy there weren’t too many cameras around of me in the Navy 🥹

2026-02-02 09:04:42 UTC

everything that Epstein touched is worthless, means that his victims are too. And that’s just not true

2026-02-02 08:53:36 UTC

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Bobby says what?
https://blossom.primal.net/0e48ad9c33f699550eff57d2af6ea34d1e9b98c48264a0243495912c7f5f178e.jpg

2026-02-02 08:51:07 UTC

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Bobby Clarke took the commies down baby! IYKYK

2026-02-02 08:38:05 UTC

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https://primal.net/e/nevent1qqsf67hqt0vuma40h2q0vauv3d9suw6fw2zjqdrvpprksf7vhhuhu4chsusce This is the shape of how you're feeling. It's not the nominal depreciation of the asset, it's the relentlessness of trend. If my analysis is right, 2026 looks more acute because there is less room for time projected into the future. That means we go down faster, harder but will we stay down for longer? I don't know.

2026-02-01 22:32:02 UTC

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The novelty of getting to pay more maybe

2026-01-30 09:27:51 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/e156365208307c55f9b9fa077f3de4ae3b5683090d6b3d411d7245e4dc4f81f3.png Market structure is the key to watching changes. Bitcoin broke weekly and now daily market structure. Add momentum and trend being in line with that change of structure is why I think we're in our next swing.

2026-01-27 09:20:37 UTC

https://blossom.primal.net/664c9ac3801a0c6c82ad5a1c9a07f7b110cc75c0fd983465ec2706f2ffd5aff2.png A purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash would allow online
payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.
Bitcoin and the Quiet Power of Not Needing Permission
People often argue about Bitcoin as if its success depends on convincing everyone else it’s a good idea. That’s understandable—we’re wired to think persuasion drives adoption. But most durable technologies don’t win debates. They quietly make themselves useful.
Bitcoin doesn’t ask for trust. It doesn’t care about credentials, intentions, or narratives. It works the same way on good days and bad ones, which is rare in finance. Most systems perform best when confidence is high and break when it disappears. Bitcoin does the opposite—it was designed for when trust is lowest.
Price matters to people because price buys freedom. Higher prices allow individuals to exit systems they don’t like, fund their own education, and take risks that compound over time. But price doesn’t matter to Bitcoin itself. The network settles transactions whether it’s fashionable or forgotten.
This distinction causes confusion. Some see institutional involvement as validation, others as corruption. Both miss the point. Institutions don’t define Bitcoin’s value; they adapt to it. They always have. That’s what institutions do when confronted with something they can’t control.
What’s most interesting is who won’t need to be convinced. Machines don’t respond to marketing. AI agents won’t debate monetary policy or care about social legitimacy. They’ll choose tools that are predictable, final, and globally interoperable. Bitcoin fits that description in a way few systems do.
In the long run, the market won’t care who explained Bitcoin best. It will care who used it when it mattered. And the quiet advantage of a system that doesn’t need permission is that it keeps working long after the arguments fade.
- Markets may fluctuate; settlement continues.
Fiat Bitcoinists are going to hate 2026 - I'm here to buy their tears in the streets when the hour comes

2026-01-24 16:32:19 UTC

Grace_Too
[email protected]
Weekly uptrend from 2023: Being tested
First potential close below since 2023
12hr: Bearish since Oct
Range: $87-99k
Liquidity: Being absorbed
Regime: NEUTRAL
Waiting for price appreciation to establish next downtrend anchor point. Until then, no major trend signal.
If this weekly support fails, expect the "Bitcoin is dead" headlines to return - The 4yr cycle is your friend to the end
https://blossom.primal.net/9515e418ca1a20b25176755d77c6dcbd001e0db5048c24c9d530ac669cc5f99d.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/a7aacfd0ad1cda3423df32d19876331909a1144772b35134882be308dd7fba0d.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/83340fd02f8afcc6b410bb2fa395c8042ab0934d26fd2d94f1e5db5af89b95aa.jpg

2026-01-23 10:08:56 UTC

The only editing I do to my trend lines is extending them. I think of them as heart lines because they’re very much alive

2026-01-23 10:02:43 UTC

I’m neutral in my bias. Waiting to see if the 4 year was really dead. I’ve been telling my friends that the S/R was the line in the sand. It was rejected, now price is trading below the weekly up trend. I’m still neutral as we’re in the trading range. We are in the B wave of an ABC correction from my perspective. Like 2022 I’m looking for a C wave to emerge. We are very close in time to finding out. I don’t think we just sell off from here, not yet, but it’s not looking favourable right now.
We are under a 1h down trend, and below the weekly uptrend but still range bound
Buying strength to me looks like a weekly close over 100k until then be patient and keep accumulating a cash position
https://blossom.primal.net/240bbd3297a9f7b9f2154864a0f8e82b28d640d5b14ec7cccb9b188e62cb028c.jpg

2026-01-23 09:49:16 UTC

I see so much garbage chart analysis it hurts. I’m not a trader, but I love charting Bitcoin. I told everyone I know, strangers included to buy in Jan 2023, I told them to HODL ever since. Now I’m ringing the alarm bell again, build up a cash position because I believe that we’re going to find a bottom again Q3 this year. Sorry to say, but the 4 year cycle has prematurely called dead, and this is great news. Here is my unique trend following chart. No one does charts like I do. You couldn’t copy me if you tried. I see a fractal pattern no one is talking about here it is on the weekly TF
https://blossom.primal.net/452d3cac6f18ad82c9df53376c07d2d557b1b39bc1e4bfc6732cdecf47dbf21a.jpg

2025-12-29 11:03:08 UTC

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Where’s your 51st state… we’ve got to be the best at this. I mean, we’re the best at something or other from what I’ve heard… wait… is this hate speech ?

2025-12-28 14:49:16 UTC

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“Increasingly normie” that’s where I had to tap out… where is this place? I want to take a break over there

2025-09-09 19:48:44 UTC

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I heard just week in a spaces discussion that the US Gov would go “look aliens!” Rather than confront the debt markets lol… buddy was a prescient kidder for sure

2025-04-16 11:32:37 UTC

What does the world look like after a 5th wave impulse move to 13% on the US10yr revisiting when all of this started in 1984
https://m.primal.net/QRvI.jpg

2025-03-28 10:34:58 UTC

I’m not a pro, but I think we should give a different name to this chart pattern here on the ETHBTC since it’s ghey The Adam and Steve, so be a friend to the mETH heads in your circles and get them on Bitcoin. Friends don’t let friends mETH
https://m.primal.net/PwEI.jpg

2025-02-08 20:10:51 UTC

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Trump is spreading attention to this in Canada as well
https://m.primal.net/OWos.jpg

2025-02-02 13:54:38 UTC

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Every job where you provide value to someone and are able to save in bitcoin, is a Bitcoin job. The author of Man’s Search for Meaning said in the end that he saw it as being responsible. That’s how I see it, but I look at it in circles. Start with yourself, extend towards your family, and some can grow that to their community. I see this through my best friend, a veteran who retrained and became an electrician, mastered his craft, provided for his family, then started his own business that hired from within his community taking on apprentices and teaching the next generation.
When people see you thriving and want to know your secret tell them your story “It was me, doing XYZ and we did it on a Bitcoin Standard”.
Probably not super helpful, but that’s my two sats. Good luck brother

2025-01-20 13:15:13 UTC

Look at how excited the plebs are about @npub1xr7…2gqh introducing his audience to NOSTR! Ben’s getting zaps on top of Ian’s zaps! We’re going to have so much fun with words, meme’s and the new cultural movement that’s growing
#note1xga…e8ft
https://m.primal.net/Nqbb.jpg

2025-01-20 13:01:55 UTC

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@npub1xr7…2gqh putting the word out to his audience has me bullish on human action. It is the most bullish thing I have seen today so far 8am EST

2025-01-12 00:28:56 UTC

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https://decrypt.co/94315/ethereum-infura-cuts-off-users-separatist-areas-ukraine-accidentally-blocks-venezuela

2025-01-09 21:22:28 UTC

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Your right, and we’re all seen as Cassandra’s for saying it. It’s as if they not only don’t care, but are also annoyed we’re pooping on their party. I only care about what my close friends and family do at this point

2025-01-09 21:05:40 UTC

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Is it a scam? Maybe that’s a flawed message, they lie for sure about decentralization, and lying is a scam. It’s not secure, to me decentralization means security. The rest is for the own nothing and be happy crowd right? Remember how they frozen all NFTs from Russian IPs after the war started in 2022. Wouldn’t have happened to Bitcoin, metamask you say? Well sorry to hear that eh buddy!

2024-10-02 23:29:03 UTC

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I’m new to primal, barely used DAMUS, but Im in now, and Im off of Twitter. Seems to work tonight though