Bitcoin OG since 2010, former laptop solo miner - which makes me (amongst) the first obsolete Bitcoin miner(s), blockstream satellite node runner, #2A rights user, radiologist
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npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd Profile Code
nprofile1qqsy7nuzs3nf3lmx4e06n7k5crzwk7pr47c8l204f65azhcjz7hfdnqpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduq3samnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwwdhx7un59eek7cmfv9kqkgrl6y
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2026-03-04T02:37:33Z Event JSON
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Last Notes npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Trying to get AI to work properly with retirement, bitcoin, conventional financial assets, retirement accounts, and taxes is really hard. So many rules AI is having a very hard time figuring out what to sell and how much tax to pay and opportunity cost of selling…I’m doing magic numbers for time horizon of opportunity cost, but in reality it should be a simulation derived parameter. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo So I’ve been vibe coding up this bitcoin price extrapolator and have been adding new features as I go…well, I added a DCA accumulation extrapolator and then did a Saylor style borrow to accumulate option and then a retirement simulator using the Monte Carlo method over a Markov Chain…and then added different price models and then let users draw their own model over the price data …anyhow, I decided to try to do a multi asset retirement simulator which was challenging to get working…and then I tried to model taxes in the retirement section. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo The slope of the line that goes beneath almost every bitcoin price point ever had a slope of almost exactly 5 on a log log graph with proper t=0. Expect bitcoin price 2^5=32 times higher in 17 years or so. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Bad guys will exist. Either fight them or don’t. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Corrupt countries by definition can’t solve the problem. There will always be someone selling nature at a discount. Options to solving this include military invasion and bribery…but bad guys will always want more for nothing…raising consecutive generations of good hearted humans with better economic options hasn’t succeeded yet but might be the cheapest route to a solution. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Then the economics are wrong or someone is stealing…I think all humans have at least some claim to all of nature and the economics of hunting should account for this taking from all. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo You can’t afford my body. @npub1el3…l27r npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I hear ya. The inevitability of death combined with the generally hard, brutal, and short life of most things in the wild doesn’t make trophy hunting seem right, but it’s not that much worse than what was gonna happen anyways. That said, I am in favor of making stuff like that expensive to generate funds to preserve wild animals and habitat. The economic incentives to kill and destroy are too high and need a proportionate economic counterbalance. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Works great until AI puts a link in at the end: Coauthored by Claude, click here to see generative prompt… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I think it is always sad when something has to die for something else to live. I think wasting meat is about as bad as hunting just to show off bones. But everything dies and I’m not opposed to trophies of this nature in general. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Keeping natural resources from being used by bad guys to hold the world economically hostage is the real issue. That is to say, the rules aren’t set by the ruled. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo People, I think, want there to be this vast chasm between man and beast to reconcile the inherent sadness that must accustom eating meat. Don’t get me wrong, I only eat meat; I’m just honest with how it got to me. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I think animals are at the very least like 1-2 year old children who haven’t learned how to speak yet and probably more like 5-6 year olds without words… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo That’s awesome. I think people misjudge animals; we are not all that different. I can’t exactly speak to marsupials, but bones and organs of mammals all follow a very similar pattern…enough that as far as radiology goes one doesn’t need to learn much about any particular animal if they know anyone very well. Another observation: all mammals play and there are very well known examples of mammals doing economic calculation (fat cats don’t hunt)…they dream too……the more in to the similarities one looks, the more human language seems like the cause of misunderstanding rather than a real differentiating factor between man and animal. AI has deciphered complex bird language and grammar, for example… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Saturday. I need to make it more obvious what does what on the model scanner panel…like click row to plot radar beacon…I think I still have mistakes in retirement modeling too npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo If I were a betting man, I’d bet on it. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo If bitcoin price were not to drop lower, this would be the fastest trip from ATH to trough in Bitcoin history. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Check out the model scanner section on tab 1; put in any two of price, date, and quantile and it will calculate the third for all quantitative models. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo The old one ran for like 40 years between service visits though 🤣 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Can a kangaroo really be a pet? Those claws are not the friendliest looking claws by any stretch of the imagination. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo You should just look at nostr, it’s flattering. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I think I have a unique and genuine insight: bitcoin is following a power law with exponent 5 and bubbles superimposed on top making the exponent look closer to 6. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Another important factor to consider in power law analysis: when do we start? Setting a proper zero time makes a ~100 fold difference in value when doubling bitcoin lifetime. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Yup. Claude code. I added s2f and log period power law models tonight npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Yes. Bitcoin follows a power law over a longer time frame than a straight line or an exponential. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Exponential vs. Powerlaw…PlanB’s Stock to Flow model is very useful over a certain range. But because it is exponential, there will come a time when it is not useful. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo The father of Alexander the Great commissioned a servant to remind him daily: “Phillip, you will die.” npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo If you had a bunch of Bitcoin price data, and you wanted to extrapolate in to the future for retirement or DCA estimating, and that data fit a power law, the natural thing to do would be to create a Markov model with transition probabilities derived from quantile power law fits to price data and then take several hundred weighted random walks to get a feel for where one ends up after say 10 years… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo But only because you don’t understand op codes npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo lol, and you think your opinion matters when you can’t even understand the topic? npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Totally agree. Which is why bip110 is a non-starter. You can’t deny people the right to spend their bitcoin. Imagine if your life savings was trapped because you were a cutting edge bitcoin user… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo You misunderstand. Bip110 disables advanced bitcoin key security techniques because they aren’t common and spammers can use similar constructs…but throwing the baby out with the bath water is unwise and denying users the ability to move economically relevant amounts of funds is also unwise npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I think it would be safer and less contentious to partition space 90/10 instead of 100/0 with collateral damage npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Only morons think they can identify arbitrary data with accuracy. Look at the nonstarter bip110…freezing legit users funds because they can’t figure out a way to decide spam from not spam… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo If you sent bitcoin to your own miniscript to do advanced security, bip 110 declares your coins to be spam and not allowed to move for a year. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Denying people the ability to use their bitcoin stored in locking scripts that others have decided are not ok anymore is against that ethos but part of bip110 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Spam is completely solved on a technical level. Full blocks, be they spammy or not, won’t kill bitcoin. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo The whole knots v core debate is the wrong one. We really should be arguing about partitioning block space for standard vs. Non standard transactions npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Decided to add some Bitcoin history and Bitcoiner quotes to the occasional loading screen on Quantoshi…so you don’t see the 1500 msec of caching behind the scenes…there is an Easter egg that will let you scroll through all quotes…102 good ones. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Yeah. We solved spam a long time ago npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo It is clear you really care about the issue. But you’re going down the conspiracy angle. Over an issue that doesn’t fundamentally matter to Bitcoin. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Love your stuff! Made my own for DCA/retirement planning. https://quantoshi.xyz/4 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo The ideal block is the most costly block to verify…and that’s not necessarily a bad thing, it’s a good thing in fact. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo It’s all a question about sizing your leverage. Too much and you lose big time. Too little and your descendants will begrudge your lack of effort :) npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Mathematically I feel like I should. But as I already have a fair amount of debt, I guess in a way I already have…when I didn’t have to pay my medical school loan during COVID, I stacked sats with every penny. That itself will effectively pay off my loans in due time. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo If blocks are totally full of real transactions, then node resource utilization will be higher than if blocks were full of spam. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo This is beyond epic npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Meh…here’s a casualty of excessive soft forking: I have a lot of custom miniscripts I have been working on that will become invalid for spending, ostensibly on a temporary basis…these scripts do stuff that people want: like use these three keys at any time or these two keys if 32768 blocks have passed or this one key if 65534 blocks have passed…that’s not spam! But some scripts that accomplish this or similar security use notif or similarly “bad” formerly approved opcodes… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo With Bitcoin currently trading at the 7th percentile…what do you think results in a bigger stack in 10 years, steady monthly DCA —OR— borrowing 1 years worth of contributions at 13% on an interest only loan and buying bitcoin with the loan…assume loan gets rolled until year 10 when you sell appreciated bitcoin and pay 33% capital gains tax on the bitcoin you sold to pay off the loan… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo 1) I should have seen the pattern by 2016. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Good point. Really good point. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I’m trying not to get people to fomo in to Bitcoin. I want people to see the bigger picture. You can lose big time in the short term and still do considerably better than the stock market by years 5-10. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo So it’s kind of like you went back in time to January to sell at January’s 10th percentile. This effect will grow worse 12/31/2026 and disappear 1/1/2027…only to grow worse again by 12/31 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo It is aligned to January to give you the least rosy/most risky view npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Nope. All I do is look at price history and extend it by percentile in to the future…but it would be really interesting to correlate the current percentile of bitcoin price with on chain metrics. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I implemented tax consequences for borrowing costs associated with Stack-cellerator on Quantoshi npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Bitcoin has had an amazing price history. And the biggest problem with its price history is that the roughly 8x variation between peaks and valleys makes it so hard for people to see the underlying trend. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I’m the American radiologist you met upstairs in Prague 2 years ago…I think you might find my new web app interesting…it’s all about extrapolation of the Bitcoin price trend. Oh how I wish I had Quantoshi in 2010! npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Bitcoin is unfairly cheap right now. Percentile 8.2, in fact. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I’m that crazy gun loving American guy from Arizona you met in Palm cove and I did a thing, a retirement thing…https://quantoshi.xyz/4 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Yeah, it turns out burning shit hurts. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I think Saylor is really on to something with STRC…you can do a personal version of what Saylor is doing and accelerate your stack…Quantoshi can let you extrapolate the effects of Entering Saylor Mode so you can calculate your Stack-celeration factor… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Here’s a happy thought. Extrapolate your stack with my new web app Quantoshi…it’s really not bad work from a radiologist! npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Yeah…1 bitcoin being used as retirement savings with retirement beginning in 2031…spending $5,000 per month with 4% inflation, a great deal depends on which percentile bitcoin price follows…if you get incredibly unlucky and every sell you get the extrapolated 0.1 percentile, you run out of money by 2041. If you’re less unlucky, and you sell at the 5th, 10th, and 15th percentiles, you run out of money in 2048, 2054, and 2070…but if you get lucky and sell at 20th percentiles, you will have over $100k in 2070… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Want to Accelerate your stack? While I know this sounds crazy, and yes, this is risky, but have you considered extrapolating the effects of borrowing money to buy Bitcoin? npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo lol…input sanitizer somehow decided to only allow regular values like 1,11,21,31…91,101,111…so any input that’s normal, like 100 or 1000 was sanitized npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo My input fields somehow went from working to ignored by solving a plot display bug…arg npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo One of the problems with AI coding is that AI can make mistakes a human never would and it’s hard to notice. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo and past performances is no guarantee of future returns … But not too bad for a radiologist, eh? npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo True story: I made Quantoshi.xyz on Monday. And now it’s Wednesday and Bitcoin is up like 10% since I shipped my code. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I added quantile bands to the HODL Supercharger default graph at https://quantoshi.xyz/5 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo https://quantoshi.xyz/5 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Do you have 1 Bitcoin? Thinking of retiring? What might be the effects of delaying your retirement a year? Or two? Or four or eight years? Check out the new HODL supercharger on Quantoshi…there are 80,000,000 reasons for you to check it out, if you look at the legend for the graph…you can thank me later! npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Ok, it took closer to 15 minutes. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Building a new feature for Quantoshi: the HODL Supercharger…explore the effects of delaying when you start drawing down your stack…coming soon…I think the link will in an hour or so be https://quantoshi.xyz/5 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Is now a good time to buy Bitcoin? What if price crashes to the 0.001st percentile, how much would I lose? npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I think @npub1a2c…w83a would instantly grok the idea behind Quantoshi, scroll down to edit assumptions: https://quantoshi.xyz/4 npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Want Bitcoin retirement insight, but you run @npub17u5…t4tp level opsec? npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo The idea is fascinating. Their GitHub repo seems legit…I bet this is pricey AF. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Look into the future..you have 17 years of bitcoin price data…what @npub1cn4…3vle is offering is a no brainer if you can see down the road far enough. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I am here npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo @npub1hxw…40pf @npub1rex…6u3c I did a thing, a retirement thing, with bitcoin: see retirement tab on my new WebApp Quantoshi: https://quantoshi.xyz/#q2:H4sIAAiKp2kC_4VQ0WrDMAz8F_VVFNlu0u1xBPq2LzChuIlpCl5cEoeRv9-pXQvbSxE-TrK4k-S9l62IYWAFUGKUWH1KXMuULmMME4HkM7G3YixbcdKyF94DaR5CH9EwD_n72IcSHrzkPqx0b0Ha5a_r42tervhwCNnWQE9rnLW1hbitUa3UC8zKzqjXy0kFYYVpY01dfzRw2hz2Gjd2eGtElDWNMcqcZerCGZu9w73LKU8n7Kk6_hfQx_SZxzKklZ7juBpXOZUOFeqXkI63FV_PZ1Sykv-aTs-5r1rePVXDOOYSSrwfHfr8xwjnoCmWyxSRj0tK7Q9ektF_ygEAAA== npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I’d also say a year today is like many years in 30 years, so get ‘em while they’re cheap and save every sat you can! npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Scroll down npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Screenshots! If you can…this website didn’t exist this morning and I’ve only ever seen it on Linux and iPhone. At the very least, I can put up a punt-page for it systems that I know work poorly…assuming I can not fix it. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo While true, the model as configured isn’t using the bubble model for extrapolation…I’m using the 10th percentile regression line extrapolated forward in time. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Amen to that! npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I really think people need to look long and hard at @npub1cn4…3vle BLOC bitcoin line of credit…Jack is asking you to look around the corner in to the future. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo This link is better…arg…https://quantoshi.xyz/#q2:H4sIAJudp2kC_5WRz46DIBDG32V6JWZA0e5xY9Jbn4AQA0r0wEqjmI1vvzNt7aGnbiYMH8yX-fHHGINFbQXENMIzG4VSCYUarTAomkLTDOvkhkCWdUq_3eCyO3ROg9uPRYorPNy06NPP7Sis240KJQXxhCqq-ky2PdztlmiqpopmOCmFlWR4gShpGzUlFpKF4sGitAIpFAo4KVnX3y3RTpeG464u5xaRVdtKyapUAno3LiC-iN6nmBbvFuA-5pnIJ-Ca5jzFHV7HKfmNfO7huFsMY5gH6j1sLnY7fHRayQCN74RSEqGhV65eDDfPKbscHn_S7f8Egd-8j4HM8xaj_QM4gcw-5gEAAA== npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo You already know how many dollars is your stack worth now, but what about next year? What about next decade? npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Exactly. Not body can predict the future. So if you are forced to guess, be conservative about it. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo What’s the difference between retiring on Bitcoin in 2031 and 2032? It could mean the difference between running out of money in 2054 and having plenty of money past 2072! See attached screenshots. npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo What’s the difference between retiring on Bitcoin in 2031 and 2032? It could mean the difference between running out of money in 2054 and having plenty of money past 2072! npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo I love how polite Claude Code is: I wrote something like “remains parallel far beyond your lifespan” and Claude changed my words to “beyond any reasonablly investable time frame.” npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Share a screen shot, if possible npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Do you have android? This is what it looks like on iPhone… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Are you a whole coiner, or will you by by 2031? Here is what it looks like to retire in 2031 on $5,000 a month with 4% inflation on the hopes that bitcoin follows the 15th percentile extrapolation…You’ll be out of money by 2070…you can easily see what a large impact waiting one more year until retirement using the Quantoshi link below… npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo And now you can see why stacking now really matters compared to waiting another year! npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Think you can retire in Bitcoin? Customize and share / save a retirement scenario with Quantoshi: https://quantoshi.xyz/#q1:H4sIALhZp2kC_5VU246bMBD9F_c1rGyzIW3eqkj71i-IVtEABqwam7VNNrTqv9fGYHJhHyIEMufMGc-ZMfxFeZ8nH2Z_BtEztD_iF4zJxj237uEXxC-ov_0ifd-MiospQLBZhQSXDDQK3HDHqXoiLhpkHYkjxYRuKE7xlHO4pfFmNxFW1bVgS43INFAyl9Q06vNUgoV5bVUJA5pk7s4FW1O7yEK13awyfTdrZFL1ttexijTAnTX8zyMIomtgRvFLFnBjofh9F-v3uSWOaGBm3rY3LBHKLkU6vGkTJq0eXF9mmGKaXREfy9bbAF-4Te6b7CQUv5L3JeK5cTtVq8qYEY9ITu7e6VLjCBTOTzwC3yjJsp8HNDEtL8nCve38dcXRK-7t-wHjmWv4whwOhMxMraGM_aYjdK5aG4MLqPWUgwmRVNH-jxF8OCCFEkrn7jwH9zdjC-7W5lUW8BDqsa9ioVW9jEU6MwGuNItzRb-UtI0YUKAGvT7cNJtSltx0UZvbYtI9GCx7EKfxO_H0c8dBM3trkwRszabHP-Notth79NgXHj214jElzuNuO-XjshIz-RqgFdsefrANUioL1v853E_pNLY1dsIrnutEC1wmFnKzh8LyMzu5tSvAJeKaoX__Afzrz91bBQAA npub1fa8c9prxnrlkdtjl48adfsxyaduz8tas075l2n4f6903y9awjmxqanthnd drgo Predicting is what _you_ do with data. This software just does math, it extrapolates.
