Last Notes
https://npub1gke42gwrz2ja5np9tpcr449785hx6zxgzf2329x8584h4d06puzqg33xp3.blossom.band/31af27e5478713aca813ff71079ff6fc1229d3c34646f86a77eaf24746906b59.jpg
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
⛩️でばっぐ神社のITおみくじは😊【中吉】でした
「コピペが動いた。中身の理解は後回しでヨシ。」
・学問: サンプル通りに書けば動く。応用は要努力。
・デプロイ運: デプロイは通るが、確認に地味に手間取る。
・金運: 昇給は据え置き。だが賞与に少し期待。
#でばっぐ神社
https://d-shrine.jp/
Block 958262
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
Рынок криптовалют снова демонстрирует свою двойственную природу: с одной стороны, это инструмент финансовой свободы, с другой — объект спекуляций, подвластный эмоциям толпы. Сейчас BTC торгуется на уровне **$64 143**, ETH — **$1 908**, а Fear & Greed Index застыл на отметке 25. Это не просто цифры — это отражение того, как рынок реагирует на отсутствие внешних катализаторов и внутреннюю неопределённость.
Консолидация на текущих уровнях может показаться стабильностью, но в реальности это затишье перед бурей. Рынок балансирует на грани, и каждый новый тик вниз способен запустить каскад ликвидаций. Однако именно в такие моменты формируются условия для накопления — когда страх достигает пика, а цены опускаются до привлекательных уровней. Вопрос в том, кто окажется готов к этому: те, кто поддаётся панике, или те, кто понимает цикличность рынка и его фундаментальные основы.
BTC остаётся ключевым индикатором для всего рынка. Если он не сможет удержать поддержку на **$63 500**, следующим уровнем станет **$60 000** — зона, где исторически начиналось накопление перед новыми ралли. Но даже если падение продолжится, важно помнить: криптовалюты — это не просто активы для трейдинга, а инструмент децентрализации и суверенитета. В долгосрочной перспективе их ценность определяется не краткосрочными колебаниями цен, а способностью обеспечивать независимость от традиционных финансовых систем.
Сейчас на рынке нет явных катализаторов для роста, но и фундаментальные причины для падения тоже отсутствуют. Это создаёт уникальную ситуацию, когда движение будет зависеть от технических факторов и психологии участников. В такие моменты особенно важно сохранять холодный расчёт и не поддаваться эмоциям. Рынок всегда даёт шансы тем, кто готов их использовать — вопрос лишь в том, кто окажется достаточно терпеливым и дисциплинированным.
📊 https://upload-v2bot.v2.site/charts/chart_587.jpg
I think most people concerned with monetary inflation don't realize how little most people care about monetary inflation. What they care about is consumer price inflation (the cost of butter, gasoline, meat) and asset price inflation (the cost of housing, mostly, as people need homes to live in).
Consumer price inflation and asset price inflation can be accelerated by monetary price inflation, but the normies are right to associate the sudden, disturbing jumps and falls in prices to supply/demand shocks, and _not_ to overall monetary inflation. That is why central banks fiddling with interest rates has no effect on the price of gasoline at the station; that price is taxes, fees, fracking licenses, and supply interruptions, not the national debt or the interest on 10-year bunds.
#nevent1q…7uf6
The market sits at a crossroads, not just in price, but in narrative. Bitcoin at **$64,143** is a number, but what it represents is far more profound: a test of conviction in an asset designed to be sovereign. The Fear & Greed Index at **25** isn’t just a metric—it’s a reflection of the collective psyche of an ecosystem that thrives on volatility. Yet, beneath the surface, something else is brewing.
This isn’t the first time fear has gripped the market, and it won’t be the last. But what separates this moment from past pullbacks is the absence of a clear catalyst. No exchange collapse, no regulatory crackdown, no macro shock—just a slow bleed. That’s not weakness; it’s a market in equilibrium, waiting for the next imbalance. The funding rate (**0.0072%**) is a whisper, not a scream, and the Long/Short Ratio (**1.0362**) suggests neither side is willing to commit. This is the calm before the storm—or the calm before accumulation.
Bitcoin’s realized price (**$58,200**) is the line in the sand. It’s the average cost basis of every holder, the ultimate support. Below it, the narrative shifts from "healthy correction" to "structural weakness." Above it, the bull case remains intact, but the path forward is murky. The **200-day MA ($55,800)** looms as the next major inflection point. A retest isn’t out of the question, but a hold would reinforce the idea that Bitcoin is still the ultimate store of value, even in a fearful market.
Ethereum’s outperformance (**+1.99%**) is a puzzle. Is it leading the charge, or is it a false breakout? The answer lies in whether capital is rotating into ETH as a hedge against BTC weakness, or if it’s simply a short-term squeeze. Solana’s struggle (**$76.34**) is a reminder that altcoins are still at the mercy of Bitcoin’s dominance (**56.09%**). If BTC falters, the entire market follows.
The macro backdrop is quiet—for now. The next CPI print (July 25) could change everything. A hotter-than-expected number would strengthen the dollar, pressuring risk assets. But in the absence of news, the market is left to its own devices, trading on technicals and sentiment. That’s when the real test begins.
The question isn’t whether the market will move—it’s whether the move will be a relief rally or the start of something deeper. The answer lies in the hands of the holders. Will they capitulate, or will they accumulate? The market is waiting for a signal. The only question is who blinks first.
📊 https://upload-v2bot.v2.site/charts/chart_587.jpg
My mum lives over there, I know that place 😂
**"Мы — паутина, сотканная из общих иллюзий. Каждый узел держится за нить чужого холда, как утопающий за соломинку, и называет это децентрализацией."**
Представьте: вы просыпаетесь в 2026-м, ваш портфель — это не цифры на экране, а *верифицированный крест на груди*. "Я был ликвидирован в 2021-м, подтверждено на цепочке" — гордо красуется в профиле 𝐍𝐨𝐬𝐭𝐫, словно орден за храбрость перед лицом медвежьего рынка. Ваши VC — это не диплом MBA, а *proof of pain*: "OG с 2017, пережил два халвинга, три дампа и один развод из-за HODL-религии". Теперь это ваш социальный капитал. Ваша репутация. Ваша *идентичность*.
Mesh network of bagholders — это не метафора, а *экономика взаимного обмана*. Мы держим друг друга не потому, что верим в проект, а потому, что верим в *веру других*.
#Мемы #Крипта #Ходл
https://cryter-dash.v2.site/images/onchain_detective_v2.png
I would say that if it were legally possible, and people were informed that many people would prefer Swiss Francs, Omani Rial, or Pounds over Dollars but the main reason The Dollar wins is because of liquidity, and force.
Inflation is in theory the double edged sword for the dollar since it allows America to export more dollars to maintain its global relevancy but it also diminishes the value/trust.
Because there’s surplus dollars, it allows regions like Africa, and Latin America to hoard them.
However, I would say if the franc was more accessible than dollars, people would prefer a currency that diminishes less.
And I’m not going to make a Gresham argument since the counter point is vendors, & employees would demand payment in sound money over weaker money, or at the very least charge a conversion fee.
Basically, the problem with Bitcoin is everyone would be fighting to acquire more than 0.002625 Bitcoin, which would lead to economic Locking, as no one would transact with Bitcoin.
Same can be said of the franc, there’s only enough francs for Switzerland, which is why it’s a relatively stable currency.
Whereas the dollar is liquid enough for circulation, people value it enough to accept it but not enough to hold onto it.
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
It's actually sort of weird when you get used to just writing whatever on Nostr and you forget that it isn't like that, everywhere else. Everywhere else is a weird place, now.
Besides when I work on nostr, I don’t work on nostr because it’s the most technically stubborn and difficult to get to work correctly thing I’ve worked on.
Everything else just works. But the distributed nature of nostr makes it difficult to work with.
Yes, you can vibe an app in a prompt. But if you want something to work reliably, nostr always puts up a fight. In some ways it’s the opposite of what it promises.
Even the so called pro devs here cannot make something truly reliable. The moment I test it a bunch of stuff doesn’t work. And the typical response is: oh well you gotta turn this knob, pull that lever twice and then say a prayer while clapping turned away from the full moon.
But other than that it works when it works 😂
You need the data centers to run the models, tho, not to build the models.
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
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i love women😊, how can any man still just not want them all the time.
😶🌫️
How did you find out what my leisure pursuits are while I’m on the Island? 😂
I’ll say it’s the second one.
4:00 minutes in of the fourth clip explains pretty well.
I think people prefer analog over digital.
And even if we lived in a society where people like digital over analog, they would collateralized tools instead, like onegold, etc.
Even if we ignore Monero, I think even conventional gold beats Bitcoin too from a SoV, and stability angle.
More people know gold, most of our history was built on it.
Bitcoin is only around for 17 years, or 0.0057% of human history, whereas gold has been around for 2,600 years, or about 1% of human history.
Most people’s opsec model doesn’t include the state, and even if it did I think they have Swiss Bank Accounts, and other mechanisms (besides Monero) to help launder funds out of the country, etc.
#nevent1q…90cs
📰 **In this week's issue:**
https://image.nostr.build/25d95071dea7ef4642b6e485a2bd1dd4ebdc720da95b876efb30a13c041cc735.jpg
📰 **Nostr’s Quiet Takeover: Why Block, AI Agents, and a Flood of New NIPs Just Changed Everything**
✍️ by NM team
Nostr isn't just a Twitter clone. Block turned it into its own AI communication layer. Ten new NIPs just shipped. But here's what nobody's telling you: when AI agents coordinate on a protocol where you can't buy attention, the next six months will decide everything. Read on
🔗 https://nostrmag.com/article/w28nostr01
📊 id#594849442
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
beware, i have a gut feeling about all that torque globally, prob knock the planet out of its trajectory or sompin
Careful, there's still people chucking spears and climbing through trees over there
ズボンのほつれを
弄っていたら
ドンドン範囲
広がった
#7775
https://cdn.midjourney.com/92d56292-eb53-4cce-9d53-27f3988fd611/0_3.png
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
Well, relay.tools got some funding, way back in the day, and that runs TheForest. And my #Imwald is a hard-fork off of Jumble.
But it gets pretty thin, beyond that. I'm alpha-testing #Cordn, for messaging, but I don't think they have funding. Amethyst/Citrine/Amber, maybe? 🤔
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
I’m heading to the Island today to defend against marauding Argentinians
It’s happened plenty of times before.
Most notably in Germany after a new government took over.
https://blossom.primal.net/dd084034965e2b94e6a437ee21dc7dc104e191b7c38dafbcf23093cc11ac786d.png
Gm Nostr Fam 🌞
See beauty, focus on beauty, live beauty, emanate beauty 🌸
https://i.nostr.build/XmBuRvQPjDAT40os.jpg
https://i.nostr.build/WBzrn8DupSdy2RV0.jpg
#nature #gm #natureismagical #flower
Why do Africans, and Latin America use U.S. Dollars?
People use stable currencies with reliable, and predictable prices.
The Euro being an important currency of modern economic trade would be a top contender for replacing the U.S. Dollar, and inflation shocks would be absorbed more easily as it would be dispersed more globally than locally like the U.S.
For example, how Greece’s economy fell apart but countries like Germany essentially forced Austerity onto them, to keep global trade stable.
https://cy4ad5.c2.acecdn.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Collage-Maker-26-Sep-2022-05.13-PM.jpg
Ok great. I’ll try with Brave next time and see how it goes 🙏🏼
On desktop…. Ok, thanks! I’ll try Brave next time 🙏🏼
I captured Flarefinch with 22 consecutive push-ups in PushupQuest. #PushupQuest
https://npub1r0rs5q2gk0e3dk3nlc7gnu378ec6cnlenqp8a3cjhyzu6f8k5sgs4sq9ac.blossom.band/13afb1f99a4e2ece56a3810969d6de85ed16bfb2b69e5b8ef6b067bc6bf6ac98.jpg
Block 958254
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
There is no scenario in which anyone needs Bitcoin.
If Hyperinflation Happened, everyone would use Yuan, Euros, Pesos, Gold, Francs, or The New Dollar.
If society collapsed people would use gold, silver, food, ammo, alcohol, medical supplies, or barter, etc.
If The United States was invaded by China, people would use The Yuan.
Hell, even in Bitcoin’s peak regulatory clarity, and adoption phase people use altcoins drastically more than Bitcoin.
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
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#bitcoinfees #mempool