<unnamed>

Public Key

npub1k7vkcxp7qdkly7qzj3dcpw7u3v9lt9cmvcs6s6ln26wrxggh7p7su3c04l

Profile Code

nprofile1qqst0xtvrqlqxm0j0qpfgkuqh0wgkzl4judkvgdgd0e4d8pnyytlqlgpp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mqpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduq3samnwvaz7tmswfjk66t4d5h8qunfd4skctnwv46qz9nhwden5te0wfjkccte9ehx7um5wghxyctwvsq3wamn8ghj7un9d3shjtnndehhyapwwdhkx6tpdsq3gamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wdau8gu3wv3jhvu503mh

Publishing to

Last Notes

2026-03-12 22:47:47 UTC

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Thanks bro.
I’ve been taking a much-needed break from podcast interviews and social media.

2026-03-12 21:20:09 UTC

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Plebs + proof of real work for the win.

2026-03-12 20:51:06 UTC

Because I like you, here's a free glimpse of an amazing chart that I'm regularly watching... 👀
Three data lines are overlapping:
1. ISM Manufacturing PMI (multi-color line)
2. Global M2 (blue line)
3. Bitcoin price (red/green candles)
I still believe that the unimpressive bitcoin price performance in 2025 resulted primarily from the lack of a positive US manufacturing cycle since 2021.
Everything became distorted during the 2021 Covid-related, fiscal/monetary easing debacle, but cycles have a way of re-establishing themselves.
ISM Manufacturing PMI is finally starting to recover.
It will be interesting to see if the price of bitcoin responds in kind, as it (seemingly) has in the past.
Not a prediction, just some observations.
Cheers. 🍻
https://blossom.primal.net/d428fc79e6967527a568e95657b84c5c38726912aed4a3a357c35314116d2d96.png

2026-03-12 12:07:31 UTC

Issue #2 of Dr. Jeff's Macro Chartbook is live! 🔥
This week: Follow the Liquidity
→ Global M2 vs. Stocks & Gold
→ Bitcoin as a leading indicator at peaks... but a lagging indicator at troughs
→ The asymmetry that most macro analysts miss entirely
→ SPX/Gold at 1.31 — and the 3 notorious dates in history when it was last here
Free readers get Charts 1 & 2. Paid subscribers get the full picture — including the most interesting charts.
Read it here: https://open.substack.com/pub/jeffross191961/p/dr-jeffs-macro-chartbook-issue-2?r=8bgxt&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
Not investment advice. Just the charts that matter.

2026-03-10 18:32:22 UTC

Issue #2 of the brand-new "Dr. Jeff's Macro Chartbook" drops this Thursday, March 12th. 👀
Each issue: ~5 charts I'm actively watching as a fund manager, with commentary on what I think they're telling us. Macro, geopolitics, the occasional Bitcoin rant, and unsolicited health/wellness advice -- all included at no extra charge. 😁
If you missed Issue #1 -- the most important macro chart of the last 100 years -- you can read it here:
https://jeffross191961.substack.com/p/dr-jeffs-monthly-macro-chartbook
Note: I will never give individual investment advice. Don't ask. 😉

2026-03-10 18:13:04 UTC

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I didn’t know that was an option. Thanks!

2026-03-10 17:47:57 UTC

A systematic process is ♾️ better than a prediction.

2026-03-09 19:32:35 UTC

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Just as ISM Manufacturing PMI is increasing (a positive), global liquidity rate of change is slowing a bit (a negative). I'll try to touch on the nuances (and their implications) more in the newsletter. -- We are living in interesting times...

2026-03-09 16:38:29 UTC

I'm doing a new thing. On Substack. 👀
Hopefully, it will provide value to some of you!
https://blossom.primal.net/c44ac727fac3c64c9b2d4730ac705cae776fc464e3e487bd4650effdb5960002.jpg
https://open.substack.com/pub/jeffross191961/p/dr-jeffs-monthly-macro-chartbook?r=8bgxt&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

2026-03-07 04:33:03 UTC

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Yep. Still holds true.
I’ll be astonished if the price is below $69k again any time after 2026.

2026-02-17 19:03:05 UTC

Have you traded your savings account today, degen?

2026-01-16 02:54:43 UTC

John 14:27
[27] Peace I leave with you; my peace I give to you. Not as the world gives do I give to you. Let not your hearts be troubled, neither let them be afraid.
- Jesus of Nazareth

2026-01-14 19:30:02 UTC

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🤝

2026-01-14 19:18:55 UTC

Based on the amount of comments (primarily on YouTube) that I am a "moron" who should "stay in [my] lane" and not discuss geopolitics because I am "way out of [my] depth"...
I would recommend that such folks take some time to actually read the National Security Strategy of the United States of America, which was published by the Whitehouse in November 2025.
Afterwards, if you would like to have a civilized discussion about my misinterpretations of the Trump administration's geopolitical and military actions/intentions, I would be amenable.
Here is a link for your ease:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf

2026-01-14 15:24:46 UTC

Another quarterly Mastermind banger with @nprofile…5gu2 , @nprofile…hs8c , and @nprofile…9pq8 ⚡
We discussed:
- Venezuela
- Taiwan/China
- Restructuring of the geopolitical world order
- Semiconductors
- Elon Musk's predictions
- The Clarity Act
- US Treasury yields
- Jerome Powell
- Bitcoin
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bzzFBvzONBo

2026-01-13 20:20:24 UTC

Silver looking the most technically overbought at the moment.
Time for market participants to rotate?
🤔
https://blossom.primal.net/2f786e6839d1b3066cee5d47187e8783f41206b5332c0055f2c109e296cd35f3.png

2026-01-08 17:39:04 UTC

“The marginal cost of intelligence is trending toward zero.“
- Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross

2026-01-07 17:35:32 UTC

Suspected US foreign policy "interests" for possible/probable intervention (in no particular order) by 2028:
1. Venezuela ✅
2. Colombia
3. Cuba
4. Greenland
5. Panama
6. Brazil
7. Manitoba/Saskatchewan/Alberta
8. Guyana
9. Nicaragua
10. Bolivia
11. Multiple Caribbean island nations

2025-12-29 15:06:09 UTC

My 2026 bitcoin price guesses (in USD terms):
Average price: $145,000
As high as: $700,000
As low as: $50,000
(Just my guesses. Never individual advice.)

2025-12-27 16:56:02 UTC

For investors:
“Don’t fight the fiscal stimulus” is the new “Don’t fight the Fed.”

2025-12-26 19:54:46 UTC

We are all geopolitical analysts now.

2025-12-19 23:56:32 UTC

Bitcoin and AI are both competing for the same, limited electrons in the Western Hemisphere.
In 2025, AI is winning the electron race.
Bitcoin and AI are both competing for the dwindling purchasing power of fiat currencies in the Western Hemisphere.
In 2025, AI is winning the purchasing power race.
--------
2026 promises to be interesting. 🍿

2025-12-15 15:29:35 UTC

Status update:
Bullish on accelerating Congressional borrowing and spending in 2026.
🐂🤡🌎

2025-12-10 21:19:24 UTC

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More and more people are beginning to understand that Bitcoin is universal energy money.
#nevent1q…7ja2

2025-12-07 17:44:06 UTC

Some guesses for 2026:
1. The Federal Reserve will lower the fed funds rate below 3.5%...
2. Which will spur economic growth and inflation...
3. Which will cause the long end of the Treasury yield curve to rise towards and above 5%...
4. Which will be unacceptable to Wall Street and the current administration...
5. Which will induce the Fed to begin yield curve control...
6. Which will cause material weakness in the US dollar...
7. Which will lead to further currency debasement...
8. Which will become fodder for large increases and volatility across risk assets.

2025-12-03 22:49:24 UTC

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Originally posted in January 2025, I reposted it because many people who were excitedly using leverage during the bull market were starting to get liquidated during the current bear market.
I hate to see it.

2025-11-23 01:48:18 UTC

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An epic take 😂

2025-11-20 20:24:43 UTC

What I'm watching... 👀
Priced in gold, the last time MSTR was as oversold (in RSI terms) on the weekly charts as it is today was during the deep valley of the flash Covid recession in March of 2020 (see vertical green lines).
At that harrowing time, MSTR reached as low as $9 per share.
For a long-term investor, this may be a proverbial "blood in the streets" moment for MSTR shareholders.
Not investment advice... but interesting to note.
Thoughts?
https://blossom.primal.net/9e37ba56a0a8945196a4108bf860d8d36719fba73168c452d93042ea30126c07.png

2025-11-20 05:02:53 UTC

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Despite the end of the shutdown, the Liquidity Blob remains stuck in the government’s coffers.
Bitcoin is screaming for more liquidity.
The 2-year Treasury yield is screaming for a lower fed funds rate.
But, sadly, the market screams are falling on deaf ears.
It’s painful to watch.

2025-10-28 20:40:13 UTC

Regarding the much discussed coming Age of Abundance…
Universal basic services (UBS) would be much wiser and more beneficial for humanity than universal basic income (UBI).
UBS examples may include widely available:
- Clean water
- Electricity
- Bandwidth
- Safe roads and bridges
- Food
- Housing
- etc.
Discuss.
#AI
#Robotics
#UBS
#UBI

2025-10-23 20:05:10 UTC

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💯

2025-10-22 14:34:25 UTC

Another fun quarterly Mastermind discussion with @nprofile…5gu2 , @nprofile…hs8c , @nprofile…9pq8 , and myself.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ut8keXlTyjw

2025-10-11 14:46:49 UTC

The US has long weaponized the US dollar against its adversaries (including China).
China is now starting to weaponize the global manufacturing and supply chain against its adversaries (including the US).
This won’t end well for the US dollar’s multi-decade hegemony and status quo of the West’s geopolitical “elites.”
Consider owning some bitcoin and gold while the debasement of the dollar accelerates over the coming 5-15 years.

2025-09-23 16:16:24 UTC

I generally despise politics and am neither a Republican or Democrat, but somebody needs to lay it out:
A Revolution--likely violent--is coming soon.
Income inequality in the US--and around the world--is reaching catastrophic proportions.
History says that this discrepancy in income and living standards is strongly correlated with Revolutions... usually bloody.
If the Ruling Elite and Billionaire Class don't address this developing situation with practical solutions in the near-term, then (I predict, based on historical precedent) that this will NOT end well for said Elites.
The current monetary and financial system has reached a breaking point and, if it is not proactively fixed, it will eventually be overthrown.
One clear example of the obnoxious and increasingly intolerable inequality is in the CEO-to-Worker compensation ratio (see graph).
https://blossom.primal.net/f42d1085df33b3afdefa11d1e93ff3140e0d6bae002cbe8051c2aef049ee5d6c.png
Hope in the future of America is fading... and many lower income Americans are growing desperate.
In light of this and many other large (and widening) discrepancies, here are Five Fixes for the Ruling Elite and Billionaire Class to strongly consider (and quickly implement):
1. C-suite executives at all public and private US companies should immediately institute policies to lower their compensation packages and/or raise their Workers' compensation packages, in order to reach a CEO-to-Worker ratio of 30-to-1, or less.
2. Though long considered "untouchable," Social Security needs to be intelligently adjusted. I know many wealthy American seniors who neither need nor even want to receive Social Security payments, and would actually be relieved if their payments went instead to their fellow Americans who are suffering financially. -- SOLUTION: Immediately phase-out Social Security payments to senior Americans in the highest income deciles and transfer these same payments to younger Americans in the lowest income deciles.
3. A progressive (income-based) student debt jubilee. -- While I believe strongly in general debt repayment obligations, many recent college graduates are straddled with large levels of debt while available jobs are vanishing. Negative income and a negative net worth cannot be survived for long, as even basic food and shelter needs become out of reach. This becomes an impossible situation to navigate... eventually leading to desperate (likely violent) actions. -- Such hopelessness and aggression are already manifest in high and rising rates of drug and alcohol usage, riots, suicide, and homicide.
4. Disincentivize ownership of multiple homes. -- Many younger Americans are simply priced out of home ownership, while many older Americans own two or more homes. This discrepancy is increasingly insufferable to younger Americans. -- SOLUTION: Americans can easily be disincentivized to own more than one home through tax policy. Doing so would cause many older Americans to try to sell their additional homes, increasing market supply, and decreasing prices to a reasonable level.
5. Increase the progressive Death Tax for the ultra-wealthy. -- Allow entrepreneurial Billionaires and (soon) Trillionaires to enjoy the fruits of their labors while they are alive, but then let the living standards of all Americans be raised upon their passing. Multi-generational family dynasties are over-rated and generally unproductive. -- SOLUTION: Directly transfer progressive Death Tax proceeds to lower income Americans. Make these transfer payments open-source, so everyone can watch the benefits of the inventive and industrious citizens accrue to all Americans.
--------
Finally, I believe that the coming Age of AI and Robotics will only accelerate the above-mentioned trends and accentuate the need for shrewd and well-timed solutions.
It is time for the Ruling Elite and Billionaire Class to act while they still can, or (as history shows) the Worker Class will rise up and do the dirty work for them.

2025-09-22 21:44:04 UTC

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Ahh yes… government price controls.
What could possibly go wrong?
#nevent1q…lt8a

2025-09-22 14:39:15 UTC

I wonder why the United States federal government is showing so much interest in Venezuela (and its neighbors) lately?
Hmm... 🤔
https://blossom.primal.net/10374b8c352f06751c8b48fb35665a0559dd0a7d03cfa3d8015859715387e904.png

2025-09-19 22:14:44 UTC

Make the Working Class Great Again.
Seriously. We need to do this before America falls over the precipice.
🇺🇸 🧡

2025-09-08 22:07:59 UTC

I don’t care who you voted for.
The only legitimate fix is the separation of money and state.
This remains the fight of our generation.
Don’t lose sight… or hope.
Bitcoin is money of the people, by the people, for the people.

2025-09-05 19:01:10 UTC

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This new interview with @nprofile…zx9t (Nik Bhatia) and @nprofile…sjd4 was fun and wide-ranging...
We discussed:
- The post-2020 monetary and fiscal policy regime
- The correlation of ISM Manufacturing PMIs and the fiat price of #bitcoin
- Global liquidity and the now-infamous "Liquidity Blob"
- Deep concerns about the current geopolitical state of affairs and possible (inevitable?) coming conflict with China
- Reasons for optimism regarding #AI and #Robotics
- ...and much more!
Check it out and let me know your thoughts below!
#nevent1q…veh2

2025-08-04 13:19:49 UTC

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Awesome… Congrats Ella!

2025-08-01 19:15:08 UTC

What I'm watching (explained in detail)... 👀
1. Reverse head-and-shoulders
- Left shoulder
- Head
- Right shoulder
2. Breakout
3. Re-test
4. Next move (rip higher)?
#bitcoin
Just my guess. It won't be perfect. You do you.
https://blossom.primal.net/b96bb32b0fb88cb36573977a1fd1b6aeb756b03c70b1c7df6816c95180baf0e3.png

2025-08-01 14:30:50 UTC

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UPDATE: What I'm still watching... 👀
#bitcoin CME gap now filled. Extreme short-term bearishness.
Re-test nearing completion?
If so... 🔥 🚀 🔥
(Just my guess... and I'm often wrong... You do you.)
https://blossom.primal.net/64f996637340c31d92351779112157580e337e029b5c2400379bd17be9c07296.png
#nevent1q…0r43

2025-07-31 21:01:46 UTC

Based on a (conservative) full year diluted earnings projection of $80/share, #MSTR (share price ~$400/share) is currently trading at a P/E of approximately 5.
lol
Eat your heart out, value investors.
https://seekingalpha.com/news/4475909-strategy-q2-earnings-blow-past-consensus-aided-by-bitcoin-rally-delivers-strong-guide

2025-07-31 14:28:07 UTC

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Mea culpa.
July is winding down.
I was wrong about this particular guess regarding the fiat price of bitcoin.
Haters, send the hate. It is well-deserved.
Remarks:
1. I am often wrong.
2. I still think bitcoin is headed to $140k+ in the very near future.
3. I could be wrong about #2, so please ignore.
#nevent1q…repl

2025-07-30 21:09:32 UTC

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Actually, I said it could hit 475k… which seems even more la la land now. 😂🍻

2025-07-30 20:36:51 UTC

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Only if the PMI rips higher (to ~60) before the end of the year.
It continues to disappoint, which is historically abnormal, and which (I believe) is weighing on any potential exponential move higher by bitcoin

2025-07-30 19:11:54 UTC

Another gripping FOMC press conference today featuring Fed Chair: Jerome "Wet Blanket" Powell
https://blossom.primal.net/5a6273b68764b7a1670babeb6832a5a4d72fb7a6992791ab5bb95b11739de5ef.png

2025-07-29 22:00:09 UTC

I am not just bullish right now...
I AM PARTICULARLY BULLISH.
#bitcoin
Get some.
🔥 🐃 🔥

2025-07-29 17:32:15 UTC

Buying calls and selling puts on bitcoin proxies in my fund like a degen this morning.
lol
But that’s just me. You do you.

2025-07-29 13:12:21 UTC

"Ultraprocessed food is associated with a greater burden of atherosclerotic plaque in the carotid artery."
All Radiologists know this, but few normies do because of false advertising, misleading marketing, malevolent government incentives, and pseudoscientific nutrition studies.
Recommendation:
Eat clean. Eat whole foods... including meat and eggs.
Eat little to no processed "foods" ... which are actually pseudofoods and undermine your health over the long run... even if marketed as "healthy."
https://blossom.primal.net/e0100a2403b2e3f7fa7b025e53950981ba47a103dc24e0f03d25f6d3160319a5.png

2025-07-28 16:51:02 UTC

Three Monetary Truths:
Over time...
1. The US dollar (and other government fiat currencies) are DEPRECIATING stores of value.
2. Gold is a STABLE store of value.
3. Bitcoin is an APPRECIATING store of value.

2025-07-27 20:23:10 UTC

“I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”
- Jim Carrey

2025-07-25 12:25:27 UTC

Relentless Purchasing Power Progression.
#Bitcoin #PowerLaw
https://blossom.primal.net/30c24c0a58abfdc42c38af06f280808d1f5c0a6118b14408f2869e9f4e738cca.png

2025-07-23 12:02:37 UTC

Do not watch this.
@nprofile…5gu2
@nprofile…hs8c
@nprofile…9pq8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UFS4QYLKSAM

2025-07-22 22:36:26 UTC

Trying to quit social media altogether, but can't... cuz #nostr and... bored.
AMA

2025-07-22 21:41:28 UTC

There is team Red
and also team Blue.
They exist for themselves
and not for you.
————
Don’t kid yourself… or waste your time and efforts trying to fix them.
Defund their violent and nefarious shenanigans.
————
They grow and prosper by stealing your hard-earned purchasing power via incessant currency debasement.
————
Take it back.
#Bitcoin

2025-07-22 20:47:43 UTC

Hands down, peaches are the world’s best fruit.
I will die on this hill.

2025-07-20 14:58:29 UTC

Happy Sunday, family.
Touch some grass. 🧡
https://blossom.primal.net/9732b406afea48fc500887ee4a855edd386777b65921d5841f237e6deabcbbd7.mov

2025-07-18 17:32:42 UTC

Thoughts on Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTCs)
POSITIVES:
1. BTCs are inevitable at this point in monetary history. Many of us saw them coming many years ago.
2. BTCs put the theory of "Speculative Arbitrage" or "Speculative Attack" into practice. That is, they sell/short depreciating US dollars and go long/buy appreciating bitcoin. -- This is a *nearly* surefire way to increase purchasing power over time.. and will hasten the transfer of purchasing power from traditional fiat assets into the Bitcoin network.
3. Done well--by employing shrewd levels of leverage and well-constructed financial instruments at opportune times--BTCs may outperform bitcoin over a multi-year period.
4. Many current and future strategies of "mining fiat" by BTCs will perform well during a bull market, and should serve to increase "bitcoin yield" over time... benefitting bitcoin-focused shareholders.
NEGATIVES:
1. The more BTCs that exist, the more downward pressure will build upon their respective mNAVs.
2. Many current and future strategies of "mining fiat" by BTCs will perform poorly during a bear market, likely resulting in extreme declines in share price and--more significantly--loss of balance sheet bitcoin via margin calls and/or outright sales to maintain solvency.
3. The management of many current and future BTCs will inevitably deploy "too much" leverage "too late" into a bull market and will put their operating company and bitcoin and shareholders at risk.
4. Poor management decisions and fees will lead to chronic underperformance of many BTCs.
5. Trusting BTC managers (and their custodians) to safely custody their (and their shareholders) bitcoin is its own risk over individual custody in cold storage. Though more convenient, there will be more points of failure.
6. Most importantly, Bitcoin isn't just some speculative fiat asset... IT IS, LITERALLY, A COMPLETELY NEW AND BETTER FORM OF MONEY, WITH IT'S OWN FINANCIAL ECOSYSTEM AND GLOBAL ECONOMY. Intertwining, fiat assets and Wall Street products with the Bitcoin monetary and financial network continues to empower and encourage the traditional fiat system, with its perverse incentives and power structures.
--------
OPINION:
I don't begrudge those OG Bitcoiners who are participating in BTCs... which seem to be the darlings of the current Bitcoin bull market. In fact, as a traditional hedge fund manager-turned-Bitcoiner, I have one foot in the fiat world and one foot in Bitcoin... so I am the Chief of Hypocrites.
But I think that we--and future generations--would be best served by simply removing ourselves from the current fiat economy and focusing our TIME and ENERGY into building better products and services on the (completely separate and sustainable) Bitcoin network.
This will hasten the separation of Money and State and will allow us to more quickly engineer a better tomorrow.
--------
Just my two sats. Hope it helps.
Onward and upward.

2025-07-18 12:39:57 UTC

My Three Burners Theory of #bitcoin bull market price action.
Burner #1: Liquidity
Current setting: Medium
Burner #2: Economy
Current setting: Low (but starting to rise? ... watch ISM data)
Burner #3: Leverage
Current setting: Low
OPINION:
We won't see an exponential move (ie, a "blow-off top") until all three burners are on High.
https://blossom.primal.net/b5c4b14b52d5fbd3eb7359cece8134689da96c1632ce2318dacfcca6ad2c0124.png

2025-07-18 01:57:05 UTC

If you showed 100 Americans a picture of a steak vs a picture of a seed oil-laden protein bar, I’m guessing that at least 80% would choose the protein bar as the healthy option.
Similarly, fried eggs vs a granola bar.
Pseudo-nutrition marketing is extremely powerful and misleading.
We’ve been seriously duped… much to our own detriment.
Discuss.

2025-07-17 14:33:12 UTC

Ditch your (fiat) doctor?
"Modern diet" often means modern disease.
Funny how focusing on what humans ate for millennia (meat!) often reverses the damage done by new-fangled, chemical-laden, fiat "foods."
Your gut knows. Your brain knows. Listen to them.
#CarnivoreLife #ProcessedFoodIsntFood #OptimalHealth

2025-07-16 23:14:46 UTC

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This would be a good Polymarket poll...
"Who will be the next Bitcoin Infuencoor (handpicked by Wall Street) to be put in charge of a Bitcoin Treasury Company?"
lol
#nevent1q…h588

2025-07-16 22:47:56 UTC

Raise your hand if you are a Bitcoin influencer and have not YET received a call to run a multi-billion dollar Bitcoin Treasury Company.
This will help Wall Street figure out who’s left to choose from.

2025-07-16 21:05:00 UTC

Permanently defund the Red and Blue clowns in D.C.
#Bitcoin

2025-07-15 20:50:19 UTC

Nauseating levels of Saylor-imitating Bitcoin treasury companies at this point.
They may do well in the bull market… but there will be extreme wreckage during the subsequent bear market.
Regular folks should simply stack sats and chill while the chaos unfolds. 🍿

2025-07-15 20:12:50 UTC

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UPDATE: 👀
Pushing my luck a bit here...
I don't make the rules... I just draw the magical lines, circles, and arrows.
After the recent reverse head-and-shoulders #bitcoin breakout, I would love to see a retest at the ~$113k-114k level, followed by a large bounce to the $140k-160k level.
I'll probably be wrong--as I often am--but a guy can dream.
As always, you do you.
https://blossom.primal.net/873ffc8092db0af5831092307bfa40ddaa6158ac7e13a35a189ba412cf757256.png
#nevent1q…rmtf

2025-07-15 17:08:51 UTC

The real problem is that personality disorders thrive on open source social media platforms and protocols.

2025-07-14 13:29:17 UTC

Don't feed the system that feeds off of you.

2025-07-13 19:24:13 UTC

Apple Inc. is the new Blockbuster.
You can almost smell the increasing obsolescence.

2025-07-10 21:24:47 UTC

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UPDATE: 👀
I don't make the rules... I just draw the magical lines and circles.
You do you.
https://blossom.primal.net/05ab87a1592661778d243962786121809711f698b8a5d17ff8e655778a75ad69.png
#nevent1q…m7kp

2025-07-01 19:43:57 UTC

Bureaucrats, Academics, Managers, and Administrators don't build wonderful new societies and cultures...
They oversee, hasten, and profit from their decline.

2025-06-30 15:27:48 UTC

The biggest risk I see over the coming 6-12 months--among both normies and many Bitcoiners--is a general unpreparedness for potential extreme upside bitcoin price volatility in fiat terms.
Consider yourself warned.

2025-06-28 18:40:34 UTC

ELIMINATE ALL CAPITAL GAINS TAXES WHEN USING BITCOIN TO PURCHASE ANY AMOUNT OF GOODS AND SERVICES.
THIS SHOULD BE PRIORITY #1, SINCE BITCOIN IS INTERNATIONAL ENERGY MONEY.

2025-06-27 17:46:52 UTC

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I don’t do many interviews these days, but this was a fun one with @nprofile…a59y, who continues crushing it with What Bitcoin Did.
Let me know what you think of my “three burners under the bitcoin price kettle” theory… which I think is particularly apt. 🔥🔥🔥
#nevent1q…7hvh

2025-06-26 21:56:29 UTC

It's been awhile...
So here are more magical lines drawn on a chart... 👀
I drew this potential reverse head-and-shoulders pattern back in late May and have been watching the price action with much interest.
OPINION #1:
If the bitcoin price retests the $111k-112k region in the coming days/weeks, then buckle up for some serious upside price action.
OPINION #2:
$140k-160k would be a reasonable (and relatively quick) price target.
OPINION #3:
Don't take any of this stuff too seriously. Just stack sats and chill. 😎
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Regardless of the outcome--and whether or not the current business cycle extends into 1H 2026, which is interesting to consider--I wish each of you well.
Onward and upward.
https://blossom.primal.net/d77e95f90a4efb75afcc2a79e0febe6c37dea0631a75d542e38e9111169ddbe4.png

2025-06-03 21:59:04 UTC

Forget the nonsensical garbage that is the "Food Pyramid"
Here's the Simple Food Stack for optimal health (for the majority of humans):
1. Meat (preferably red meat)
2. Eggs
3. Butter
4. Salt
5. Water

2025-05-30 23:03:40 UTC

You can just keep your thoughts to yourself and not post things.

2025-05-30 22:02:26 UTC

Key takeaways from the 2025 conference:
1. Stablecoins are the future.
2. Politicians got your back and deserve your vote.
3. Blockchain is the revolution.
4. Wall Street deserves your bitcoin and your trust.
5. Crypto is incredible technology.
6. Everything will be tokenized.
7. Bitcoin is okay.
8. Las Vegas is the perfect location for this conference… so we’re doing it again next year!

2025-05-28 21:34:21 UTC

How’s the 2025 Las Vegas Crypto Bros and Pandering Politicians Conference going?

2025-05-23 02:20:46 UTC

Might disappear again.
See you (maybe) in late June or July at $140k to $160k or so.

2025-05-15 15:53:10 UTC

Don’t just opt out. Build a better world. 🧡

2025-05-13 15:52:35 UTC

CONFESSION:
Today I came to the humorous, but accurate, realization that the only reason I spend any time on social media is that my IRL friends have little to no interest in investing, macroeconomics, and even Bitcoin.
Related, the urge to unplug and permanently touch grass is incessant for me now that I am not trying to grow my business and brand.

2025-04-15 22:26:11 UTC

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It will become very obvious once the actual bull market starts.
Covered call strategy + fees will drastically underperform MSTR over the long run.

2025-04-11 18:02:42 UTC

I’ve been in full-recluse mode lately, trying to wrap my head around the massive monetary and financial shift that is currently underway… along with its geopolitical ramifications.
The only other macro person I hear talking about it is Darius Dale, so I recently resubscribed to his research service. *Strong recommend*
In short, it’s becoming increasingly clear to me that we (may) have just entered a period of long Global Hard Assets vs short US-based financialized/fiat assets, similar to the 1930s, 1970s, and 2000s.
The investment implications are profound and, likely, long-lasting.
🍿
#FourthTurning