<unnamed>

Public Key

npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0

Profile Code

nprofile1qqsx45lz5dyp3v2neq0533v0gnj3n8nmflydhcmczzsqph8rey9hwsqpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduerqdaz

Publishing to

relay.damus.io

Last Notes

2026-02-25 18:31:11 CET

Odd how the price has spiked with Jane Street sidelined. Think it was Max Keiser who said JPM had a short on MSTR so big it would collapse them if the price mooned again. Occurred to me these large connected entities might be working together -- JPM shorts MSTR, scrambles to build competing products (or just hopes to delay/destroy it), knows Jane Street is good for the price manipulation of the underlying, both have inside info re overleveraged players, where the liquidation points are. We'll see, just seems like a hell of a coincidence of timing.

2026-02-25 16:02:38 CET

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author died in a plane crash IIRC
https://blossom.primal.net/e417d88285692d8e34fb6b89081a424ba65e874d8d4c0f15c4a7e0ed8f6f06b3

2026-02-25 15:52:23 CET

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Actually have a copy of it -- bought it at a used bookstore a few years ago. Read some of it, will re-visit.

2026-02-25 15:15:25 CET

Normally I'd out this in a highlighter format and post it natively, but too many screenshots, so I'm linking to the Substack. Plus, probably the only one who will get it is @nprofile…xr40
https://www.chrisliss.com/p/why-we-will-never-have-agi

2026-02-24 15:09:42 CET

Saw a David Icke interview, saw one with Whitney Webb -- it's all doom and gloom, you are owned, dominated, controlled, disempowered. This and total compliance to the state are but two sides of a coin.

2026-02-24 15:07:26 CET

Saw an interview with Kobe Bryant. Someone asked him if he loves winning or hates losing more. Kobe replied neither, when he's on the court he's just trying to figure it out.

2026-02-24 15:05:11 CET

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real man sets up a work station, does his podcast

2026-02-24 15:03:00 CET

Went to the basketball courts last week with my 14-YO daughter who plays for a local club. Worked on her threes, showed her my spin move, played horse a few times, etc.
We might be paying taxes to pedophiles, the CBDCs might enslave us all yet, but as of February 2026 you can play ball with your kid on a sunny day in the park, and that's the reality.

2026-02-23 15:39:47 CET

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Have not

2026-02-21 08:46:23 CET

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Unless Kalshi were doing it and offering 7 percent on the held funds.

2026-02-20 22:36:37 CET

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He also rented a car two days after he was suicided apparently. And yes, it's the Three-Body Problem that had that exact scenario only via an alien race. Good science fiction is indistinguishable from prophecy.

2026-02-20 20:42:24 CET

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saw that, but who was the third?

2026-02-20 11:03:43 CET

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Step 1: Find 100 YODLs.
Step 2: Lambo.

2026-02-20 10:57:45 CET

My take on the Epstein Files. Trump could not release them. Too many powerful people implicated, would undermine his agenda. Too many of his friends implicated too. His own cabinet (Lutnick). So he needed Massie to do it for him, but he had to shit on Massie. Just like Elon, when his Tesla dealerships were getting vandalized, broke with Trump, vandalism stops, then he says Trump's in the files to create demand from the left for their release. Massie and Kahanna release them, Trump calls it a hoax, but people get exposed.
My take on the "aliens". Maybe real. Maybe not. But what's most important isn't just the aliens but the tech we now have, alien-derived or not. It has to be made public, free-energy, teleportation via wormholes (research MH-370). Simpletons will scream "distraction from the Epstein files" but the Epstein files are a net positive for Trump so long as he has deniability from being responsible for their release.
Two leading physicists were murdered in home invasions in the last two months. Probably not a coincidence. My guess is the big reveal is less about aliens and more about world-changing tech that's been hidden from the public, that physics actually DID progress massively since the 1970s, only was deemed too disruptive, too dangerous, so fake physics that led nowhere (string theory) was pushed in academia, and compliant midwits were too eager to go along in exchange for prestige while cutting edge physics was being done via military and private contractors.
Lot of powerful people benefit from the status quo, don't want to see it overturned. If Trump were sincere in wanting to drain the swamp, he wouldn't be able to do it directly. He'd have to play them. A lot of things you see in the news are not for you. They're for the swamp to keep them believing that Trump still works for them.
I could be wrong. Trump could be part of the swamp or worse -- the more insidious alternative to the swamp we embrace once it has been drained. But it's naive to think Trump and his cabinet are not thinking strategically and are well aware of how most of its moves would be perceived by people who think they've "woken up." Again, I'm not saying Trump is the good guy or that what comes after will necessarily be better. I'm only saying don't be a simpleton and fall for the obvious and tired takes. There's much more going on than that IMO.

2026-02-20 10:16:52 CET

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Another person onboarded to nostr today -- easier than I thought it would be. Key is to realize your pre-coiner listeners who appreciate your work really want to pay but reasonably don't want to subscribe. Self-interest is what gets people to do something, not high-minded platitudes about "freedom" or "censorship resistance".
#nevent1q…sgs6

2026-02-19 21:58:30 CET

Excerpt from latest podcast:
https://v.nostr.build/lybQO6w2A9FgZaz4.mp4
Full podcast: https://rumble.com/v75z6zm-what-could-it-possibly-be.html

2026-02-19 11:55:45 CET

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Not playing this video. Spent too much time on detention in middle school at the hands of these types.
#nevent1q…r37j

2026-02-19 11:38:59 CET

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sure, DM me some times that work. I'm on western European time, 5 hours ahead of ET.

2026-02-18 23:27:22 CET

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We can consider all that, but first, I want EVERY elected official and those they appoint to register ALL their assets, show us all their emails, texts and browser history, log all their in-person meetings, post their phone number, email addresses and home addresses. They are *public* servants after all and should lead by example. Only when this has been done under penalty of law, should they get around to debating what *private* citizens might disclose. So long as they do ANYTHING in secret, have any of their actions, work or communications classified, they are in no position to make privacy policy for everyone else.
#nevent1q…fr9m

2026-02-18 21:18:51 CET

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no, she said it was pretty bad

2026-02-18 21:14:36 CET

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zaps

2026-02-18 21:02:24 CET

Twitter is good for information to some extent, but I've been posting less and less on my main acccount. I mean what else is there to say to the normies there after the Epstein files?

2026-02-18 20:53:44 CET

14-YO daughter went to a basketball tournament three hours away this week, had to sleep on the floor of an under-renovation old classroom, eat garbage food and play in three games while hanging out with people she had just met who had all known each other for years. Got home last night at 9, went to bed at 1 (she's on break), slept in. At 2:30 pm, I remembered she was home (had actually forgotten), went in and woke her up. Anyone's guess how late she would have slept had I not remembered.

2026-02-15 15:23:52 CET

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moral of the story: never give the middle school principal serious power
#nevent1q…n8wv

2026-02-14 20:31:56 CET

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There's some region that registers symbolic rendering of violence as actual violence, can't tell the difference. Hence people think misgendering someone is akin to actually physical harm.

2026-02-14 20:29:39 CET

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thanks John -- much appreciated!

2026-02-14 14:44:16 CET

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you must mean a second layer of tinfoil

2026-02-14 14:17:13 CET

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Ha — just imagine all you guys are so much more tech savvy than me. And yeah that makes sense re ETH. Zero interest in it in any event.

2026-02-14 13:39:24 CET

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was wondering if other people were thinking the same

2026-02-14 12:11:54 CET

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above my paygrade

2026-02-14 10:32:06 CET

cc @nprofile…8u47
https://blossom.primal.net/c78beec4017d5e77aac37350592fabf135038c9b23956a6fac3a215229d59ad4.png

2026-02-14 10:17:43 CET

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The number of "suicides" and
"accidents" that are not suicides is probably unfathomable. Prince, Michael Jackson, Kurt Cobain, Chris Cornell, Anthony Bourdain to name a few, but it's my base case they murdered a lot of our most based and talented artists. If you want to know why the culture is such slop now, consider that the ass-lickers like Rage On Behalf Of The Machine, Bruce Springsteen, Robert DeNiro and Neil Young are at no risk and as such have squandered the brilliance they once had.
#nevent1q…wcfp

2026-02-14 10:10:52 CET

Had a dream I was hanging out with Bill Gates and he was a personable and nice guy. Woke up and remembered I had at least one similar dream that I was hanging out with Hillary and got the same impression. Maybe it was a message from my unconscious not to despise people I don't know about whom I have only second-hand information, but my first thought was this might be due to subliminal messaging through some medium they've tapped into to mitigate the public response to learning about their misdeeds. Like they sent out a message that bypasses the conscious mind to make the public less hostile to them when the truth comes out. I don't know. I am paranoid enough to think it's possible.

2026-02-13 12:55:10 CET

Nice of the Netherlands to take one for the team, taxing unrealized gains. Serious FAFO.

2026-02-10 15:31:05 CET

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always thought it was odd how when normies watch the Bourne movies wherein the CIA is trying to frame and kill its own agent to avoid accountability, no one was like "no way the CIA would do that," you didn't even need to suspend disbelief for one second. But in real life if you allege the CIA tampered with our elections or murdered some foreign leader, they call you a conspiracy theorist and act like it's insane to think the CIA would do something like that.
#nevent1q…wtqu

2026-02-09 20:42:19 CET

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I know this is just a news posting bot, but zero hedge doesn't know shit. None of these idiots saying, "I told you it was a bubble, narratives aren't fundamentals". STFU. Things go up, things go down, in the long run we'll know what was a narrative and what was fundamental.
#nevent1q…w3re

2026-02-08 12:42:04 CET

Corporate media is running epistemic bailouts for world views that were rejected by the market (reality). This creates zombie worldviews that are not only irresponsive to market forces (facts), but are outright hostile to them.

2026-02-07 13:28:39 CET

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I would buy 30 kg of those habaneros.

2026-02-05 21:27:59 CET

The fiat system's last stand?

2026-02-04 20:56:00 CET

So our fridge was leaking, took a photo of the model, uploaded it to AI, told me to unscrew the panel, pull it off and run a hair dryer on the drain until the ice melted and that shit actually worked.

2026-02-04 18:36:00 CET

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I'm aware of that, but even on its own machine if it has access to your personal files, emails, accounts, internet access...

2026-02-04 18:30:57 CET

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You guys cover the privacy implications? Wanted to play around with this, but terrified I'd be giving it access to things I'd later regret.

2026-02-04 15:33:43 CET

Put this behind the paywall on my substack, but figured I'd post for free on nostr:
Super Bowl 60
I haven’t felt as strongly about a Super Bowl pick since 2014 when the record-setting Peyton Manning Broncos took on the Legion of Boom/peak Russell Wilson Seahawks. Here’s a video of that prediction from 12 years ago.
Most of you know my pick already, but I’m putting a paywall on this as a differentiator for my paying subscribers. Believe it or not, they really exist, and every now and then I need to provide some value that’s not freely available to everyone.
Super Bowl LX
Patriots +4.5 vs Seahawks (45.5)
Before I looked at the line, I expected it to be about seven. The Seahawks had just beaten a Rams team that’s tough on both sides of the ball and blown out a 49ers team that was competitive all year. The Patriots benefited from the easiest regular season schedule in the league, drew the Chargers who were missing their entire offensive line, the Texans in a weather game where CJ Stoud had five turnovers and the Broncos in another weather game without their starting quarterback. They happen to represent the AFC, but even today, the Bills would be favored against them on a neutral field as would the Broncos with a healthy Bo Nix.
The other trend I’ve documented at length is that elite defenses tend to overperform expectations in the Super Bowl. One can form theories as to why this is, but the examples are overwhelming from the underdog Seahawks crushing Manning’s Broncos to the 2016 Broncos (underdogs) stifling Cam Newton’s 15-1 Panthers to the 2000 Ravens to the 2002 Bucs (underdogs) to the 2020 Bucs who took apart Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Even the Giants two improbable wins over Tom Brady were largely due to a defense (though not highly ranked on the year) that was loaded with edge rushers and playing out of its mind in the playoffs. For whatever reason, if there’s a Super Bowl, and one team has an elite defense, that team tends to win and cover.
But is the Seahawks defense elite? Let’s look at the numbers. Sorted by yards per play, the Seahawks (4.6) were second only to the Broncos (4.5). And they did this despite playing the Rams (6.2 YPP, 1st) twice. The Patriots defense was middle of the pack (5.2 YPP) despite getting the Jets (4.4 YPP, 29th) twice and other bottom-10 offenses like the Browns (32nd), Raiders (31st), Saints (27th), Panthers (26th) and Bucs (24th). And the Texans, who they saw in the playoffs, were 23rd, the Chargers 21st and the Broncos 16th, and that was with Nix, not Jarrett Stidham. Essentially, the Patriots defense is average at best.
On offense, the Patriots were second at 6.2 YPP, but the Seahawks were fourth at 5.9 YPP, and given the disparate competition, I’ll call that a wash. But as I mentioned, for whatever reason in the Super Bowl, even one of the all-time offenses, Peyton Manning’s 55-TD pass Broncos, got smoked by an elite defense. Defense really does seem disproportionately to win championships.
Seahawks 34 - Patriots 19

2026-02-03 23:45:10 CET

Listened to about half of the @nprofile…6dtc pod, and something clicked for me. The Yen blows up, people are worried the Japanese who own $5T in US assets might be forced sellers, so they flee into a neutral reserve asset (gold). If Japan dumps UST and stocks, gold is protection. So gold (and silver) moons, but that trade gets crowded. If only there were another neutral reserve asset available at a discount.

2026-02-02 19:27:26 CET

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people think this?

2026-01-26 20:00:55 CET

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Would be shocked if they get more than a handful of real users.

2026-01-26 11:48:00 CET

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1. Humans are inherently *capable* of violence and evil, yes because what drives human behavior (mostly) is incentives. If you do not strongly disincentivize violence, it's a virtual certainty that *some* humans will use it against regular people, and society will be at the mercy of those most willing to use it. Libertarianism fails to disincentivize violence against the innocent. Communism fails to incentivize wealth creation among the capable, and when resources are scarce, violence ensues. They both ignore basic, fundamental obvious facets of human nature.
2. There may be other options, but what's not optional is the credible threat of retributive violence should you commit violence against someone else. Again, feel free to live in the wild west and hunt people with your posse if you prefer, but most people are going to want to outsource that task.

2026-01-26 11:37:53 CET

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Ignoring being able to go to your job in many cases? To attend public events, grab a meal out with your family? I mean I don't know how this is not clear. ICE doesn't affect you AT ALL, so long as you choose not to interfere with one of their operations.
Here's another angle to consider:
https://blossom.primal.net/f81bdc1b6ddc2544ef1dea99ebaa550a1c62985d77d703618f9c847834ecb19b.png

2026-01-25 23:07:01 CET

Libertarianism and communism are two sides of the same coin. That coin is denial of human nature.
The solution to human prosperity at scale is balance between top down and bottom up, which means limited government, armed citizens, minimal coercion (laws, police, etc.) required to create good conditions for individual freedom and prosperity.
Like pulling weeds from the garden so the desired varietals can grow. Libertarianism is like letting the garden get overrun, communism is like spraying it with Roundup.

2026-01-25 18:25:34 CET

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It's just "defund the police" all over again. Yes, ICE or the police could overstep, no you are VERY unlikely to be a victim of it. Stop conflating this with real widespread violations like forced injections. It's not even close.

2026-01-15 19:18:43 CET

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Haha, never play anymore unless my daughter wants to play.

2026-01-14 18:02:33 CET

damn I think I might have lost @npub138y…aszc' private key

2026-01-07 16:33:36 CET

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it's happening as they revise the childhood schedule first, small steps to deprogram people from seeing it as a religious rite. Once the deprogramming succeeds, and they are judged on the merits, it will be like an avalanche. I don’t think they can put the genie back in the bottle. Too many people know, and once the taboo has been broken… we’ll see. Maybe not quite Nuremberg, but I don’t see how they avoid some kind of reckoning.

2026-01-06 16:51:27 CET

Feels like Popper's Paradox of Tolerance is more relevant than ever. You can be tolerant, but if you tolerate intolerance, tolerance is gone. So you must not tolerate intolerance.
When people complain (and I have in the past) about El Salvador almost certainly violating rights (even gang members are innocent until proven guilty), you get to a contradiction: if the tolerant system wherein everyone gets full due process under the law has been destroyed and abused beyond recognition, then you might have to use supra-constitutional force. If a neighboring country is actively harming and undermining your own, you might have to use force that violates its sovereignty.
Whether El Salvador was really in such a situation (I’ve never been there), I don’t know for sure. I can only go by what I read online. And whether Maduro was really doing everything he’s alleged to have done and it had a material impact on the security of our votes or the health of our citizens, I don’t know.
Governments who want to use these extra-legal powers to achieve desired ends are notoriously deceitful and self-serving in the justifications for their actions.
But it’s naive and misguided IMO not to acknowledge the principle in itself: namely, that if circumstances are such that the institutions themselves are no longer capable of delivering justice and/or protecting the liberty of the people, then you cannot restrict your actions to what’s legal within their own rules. You must make an exception and be intolerant to this intolerance.
It cannot be correct that one should rely on the courts to ensure due process or comply with international law if those institutions are coopted and broken.
The question as to whether Bukele in ES or Trump in seizing Maduro were justified in doing what they did can and should be argued. That Trump says so is obviously not good enough.
But what I see now is people who believe that even if Venezuela were deliberately and materially harming the US that Trump needed to play within the rules even if the harms done were set up to circumvent them.

2026-01-04 11:44:40 CET

The stalest genre of geopolitcal analysis is the one-note retards who see EVERYTHING as “this is a distraction,” “this is another neo-con forever war,” “this is done at Netanyahu’s behest,” “this is more of the same” no matter what happens.
That’s not to say that these conclusions couldn’t be correct in any given case — they might, and surely they have at times in the past — but applying them lazily to EVERY case is retarded.
The world-weary “I told you so” mantra in the face of ANY development is a tell a person hasn’t looked into what’s going on, and just wants to sound savvy to others.
You are under no obligation to pay attention to geopolitics — maybe you’d even be better off hiking in the mountains and swimming in freezing lakes. But if you’re not paying attention except to headlines and hot takes, why make the discourse dumber?

2026-01-03 19:40:22 CET

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but those institutions are no longer credible

2026-01-03 16:01:29 CET

I don’t know whether taking out Maduro was good policy or bad, time will tell. I do know for sure people comparing it to invading Iraq and killing 1M people to take out Saddam Hussein are retarded.

2026-01-03 13:33:25 CET

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there might be one, we'll see