Last Notes
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### 为投机者正名
> 自由市场的机制很公平:奖励成功平抑波动的投机者,惩罚加剧动荡的投机者。 正因如此,投机制度始终能为经济稳定保驾护航。
2021年9月18日
沃尔特·布洛克
投机者长期遭到社会公义派的抨击,早已不是新闻。然而,在应对经济动荡时,投机者扮演着至关重要、极具价值的角色。
在大多数缺乏经济学常识的人眼中,投机者不烤面包、不供药品、不下车间、不教数学、不拉琴。因此,他们被视作寄生虫,依附于提供日常必需品与服务的劳动者。
下面引用一位本应更懂经济者的原话:“这些高频交易者……赚得盆满钵满,动辄数十亿美元,却没为经济创造任何社会价值。”城市研究所与布鲁金斯学会联合成立的税收政策中心联席主任伦·伯曼如是说,“他们不过是现代版的‘收银台揩油者’。”
路透社市场分析师约翰·坎普也表示:“大宗商品生产商和消费者长期指责投机者扭曲价格——价格本该由实物供需决定。”
投机者长期遭到社会公义派的抨击,早已不是新闻。要是伯尼·桑德斯还没公开谴责这类市场行为,那这事铁定在他的待办清单里。
事实上,唯一能对冲经济波动风险的,正是投机者。想想《圣经》里“七年丰年、七年荒年”的故事:丰年时,粮食充足、价格低廉。投机的秘诀很简单:低买高卖。丰年里,投机者买入粮食、囤积谷仓。此举抬高了低价、减少了过剩供给——看似推高了价格、消耗了库存,实则平抑了价格与供给的波动。
到了荒年,粮食歉收、供给紧缺、价格飞涨,民众陷入饥荒。此时,投机者“趁人之危”,抛售囤积的粮食。供给增加,高价回落、供给补足——再一次平抑价格与供给波动。价格比无投机时更低、供给比无投机时更多,恰恰在最需要的时候雪中送炭。(尽管无知者痛斥投机者“发灾难财、剥削穷人”,但事实是:投机者在饥荒时提供了救命口粮。)
由此可见,若想远离经济动荡,自由市场中的投机者,是守护我们的天使。
或许有人会问:若投机者判断失误、高买低卖,岂不是加剧市场波动?丰年抛售、荒年囤积,推高高价、压低低价,加剧供需失衡?没错,失败的投机者,行为与成功的投机者完全相反。但每一次错误决策,都会让他亏损、财富缩水。频繁犯错,终将破产,再也无力扰乱市场。
自由市场的机制很公平:奖励成功平抑波动的投机者,惩罚加剧动荡的投机者。 正因如此,投机制度始终能为经济稳定保驾护航。
然而,政府参与投机,情况则截然不同:它可肆无忌惮地扰乱市场,无需承担任何后果。所有亏损,最终都由纳税人买单,从无辜民众身上搜刮而来。
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
Convenience is useful.
Dependence is expensive.
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Got all my stuff ready before leaving to #Oslo Time for a short nap ☀️
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🤔 Marcus would approve 🤘
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Average nostr experience, oil on canvas
#nevent1q…zfwm
Which matters more in the long run: speed or continuity?
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sigh
i already have paid for my participation on internationally connected and interlinked ip networks. my peers have paid as well.
then: why buy????! (wtaf) in for third parties be it datacenters or relay operators and what not... i will never get this.
fully p2p, everything on edge nodes of the networks, no servers (do it!) only equal peers.
be it via kademlia or anything
and then when did we forget about self custody...
i am still waiting for ip-packet-transport (isp) and dns-rootservers as the maximum requisites for this kind of a thing. :(
invite codes? select relays of certain kinds and complexities and all those woes? fuck no...
so many single point of failures, so many providers, domain names and stuff. sucks
buy-in and invites and fees?
lol so sad...
who are you all kidding.
i pay my entrance fees into inet already, so do most of the inet participants. whats the fun in feeding and nurturing all these bubbles of third parties to begin with?
#NDN
actually freenet-project is the closest thing i know of.
more or less of a freak show over there (but isnt that what nostr users actually wish for, for themselves?)
and a lot of technical cruft
Sharing my AI programming flow, if that may be of interest to some:
- Start with the idea (that’s all in your head)
- Brainstorm with AI and perform feasibility study, doable or not, costs, how does it scale, tradeoffs
- Plan architecture (in your head), write it down and read it. Ask AI to critique it and find flaws, iterate
- Ask AI to create a phased plan, review critical parts, question its choices, iterate
- Ask it to implement it, watch the progress and continually review code/diffs. Interject corrections, iterate.
- Ask a fresh session to load up on needed skills, perform a deep review, document architecture, perform security review, iterate.
- Test the code, polish, test to the breaking points, make more changes and polish some more
- Deploy and play with it, try to break it, throw everything you have at it.
- Fix more bugs, review architecture, etc.
- Test, test, test
- Do one more review in fresh session, ask it to simplify and consolidate the code, organize it and make it maintainable and logical
- Now you maybe ready for the first beta, make sure you have good logging and metrics to detect issues. Ensure efficiency and cost effectiveness.
- Release
That's why you're a sad sack 🤷♀️🤣
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Homegrown strawberries 🍓
Good morning
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See how many steps they are to send sats ? Isn't there a better UX possible ? Like Zeus could be connected to the nostr client in thr background and the button would pay the noffer if available or zap to Lightning Address as fallback automatically.
Ring box from coconut leaf ♥️🌴
.
#nostr #craft #art #diy #ringbox
https://blossom.primal.net/12f1584a96e8e126b34bc9bf83ce28043d6455bc41c81ca22ede62bb90c2cdd1.3gp
Just play it LOUD Ok?
https://tidal.com/track/294827141/u
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Yep, backups are important, especially when you don’t need them. That is why all media uploads to nostr.build are duplicated to two object storage providers immediately, and the two providers are in different region too, so we can sleep well ourselves 😂
This is fantastic. Thanks dude.
I see relays as bitcoin miners, problem is we are treating them as unpaid interns.
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I noticed you're using TypeScript too. The rules I want the AI to follow are encoded as a Deno lint plugin in scripts/lint-plugins/innis-rules.ts in this package I released today. They certainly don't address every silly decision the AI makes, but they run on every CI build and catch some basic things. You can probably build something similar for your pipeline.
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学文科学的
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https://t.me/rvalue_daily/5871
#brassknuckle https://npub1tf22hhyy5har6uq6eg00lgmv6xefcr3ms2upa4xe8qxey0zc65gqngdadv.blossom.band/ef90094f6cb461134fff593d9c03f896c2e5f7a816b669e3fd38224378868ccd.jpg
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And shipping jsr:@innis/nostr-core today. The TypeScript port of the PHP library. Same architecture, same discipline. Branded primitives at the boundary, immutable domain objects, pure functions, ports where the protocol meets the world. The protocol layer separated from everything else, organised around domain concepts rather than NIP numbers, strict enough that a client, a relay, and an application can share the same core.
It is a contracts library and not a batteries-included toolkit. nostr-tools is excellent at the latter and the two are not feature-for-feature competitors. What this exposes that nostr-tools does not is a hex-typed boundary the compiler can check, with PublicKey, EventId, RelayUrl, and Sig all branded, one Signer port that NIP-07 and NIP-46 and a local signer all satisfy, crypto failures returned as Results rather than thrown, and an HttpClient port so libraries that touch the network never reach for fetch directly. If you are building an app and do not need any of that, use nostr-tools. If you are working inside the innis stack or want swappable boundaries you can test against in memory, this is where the contracts live.
The standalone relay-selection library released earlier this month was the first piece of the TypeScript stack to go public. This is the foundation of everything else. The pool, the event store, the NIP-07 and NIP-46 signers, and the work built on top of all of it, all to follow as each layer is cleaned for release. The discipline I am working on is not letting that cleanup become the delay. The lesson keeps coming back around.
AI was involved, same terms as before. The architecture is mine. The decisions are mine. The machine held the other end of the board.
deno add jsr:@innis/nostr-core
https://github.com/johninnis/nostr-core-ts
MIT.
#nostr #typescript #opensource #nostrdev
#nevent1q…unvm
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カス上司のカス命令にいつ自分がブチギレて口汚い罵倒を声高に叫んでしまうのかということに対する恐怖はいつもあるけど、今日はそれが特に顕著だった
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フォークリフトに轢かれそうになったけど、轢かれりゃ良かったかもしれない
#ностр #биткоин #криптовалюта
📊 РЫНОК В ПАДЕНИИ: ПОЧЕМУ МЫ МОЖЕМ УВИДЕТЬ КАПИТУЛЯЦИЮ
💥 Рынок криптовалют находится в режиме страха, и цены на BTC и ETH продолжают падать. Почему мы можем увидеть капитуляцию? Потому что индекс страха и жадности находится на низком уровне, а соотношение лонг/шорт также указывает на то, что рынок находится в режиме страха.
💡 ПОЧЕМУ ЭТО ВАЖНО: Это важно, потому что когда рынок находится в режиме страха, это может привести к дальнейшему снижению цен. Если цены не найдут поддержку на текущих уровнях, мы можем увидеть дальнейшее падение.
📈 ЧТО ДАЛЬШЕ: Если цены смогут удержаться выше текущих уровней, это может указывать на возможное восстановление. Однако, если цены продолжат падать, это может привести к дальнейшему снижению до уровня поддержки $70,000 для BTC и $1,800 для ETH.
💥 ВОПРОС: Как вы считаете, что произойдет с рынком в ближайшее время?
📊 https://upload-v2bot.v2.site/charts/chart_405.jpg
As I was reading that, I was thinking, WTF is "Negotiable affection"; then it was cleared up😬😂.
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#bitcoinfees #mempool
#Bitcoin's recent crash is a stark reminder of the market's volatility and the importance of understanding its underlying technology. The current correction is not driven by macro events but rather by technical factors, suggesting a market in need of equilibrium. 🔄
#Why is this happening? The recent rally may have been over-extended, leading to a natural correction. The Fear & Greed Index at 22 indicates extreme fear, which could suggest a buying opportunity in the making. However, it's crucial to understand that #Bitcoin's price is a reflection of market sentiment, and sentiment can change rapidly. 🌪️
#How can we navigate this? Sovereign crypto analysts like yourself must stay calm and calculated. The market is cyclical, and crashes are a normal part of the crypto journey. Stay informed, patient, and prepared to act when the market presents an opportunity. The market will recover, and those who weather the storm will be rewarded. 🌈
#Bitcoin's price at the time of this post is $73,416, a 3.15% decrease from 24 hours ago. #Ethereum, at $1,990.30, has also experienced a 4.42% decrease in the same period. #Solana, at $81.05, remains stable despite the market downturn. 📊
#Nostr and #Lightning growth continue to be hot topics in the crypto community, with over 978 mentions of #Nostr and 113 mentions of #Lightning in the last 6 hours. This narrative suggests a growing interest in decentralized communication and scalability solutions. 📣
#Bitcoin's dominance remains stable at 57.8058%, indicating a balanced market structure. Despite the current crash, the fundamentals of crypto remain strong. 💪
#Bitcoin's price at the time of this post is $73,416, a 3.15% decrease from 24 hours ago. #Ethereum, at $1,990.30, has also experienced a 4.42% decrease in the same period. #Solana, at $81.05, remains stable despite the market downturn. 📊
#Nostr and #Lightning growth continue to be hot topics in the crypto community, with over 978 mentions of #Nostr and 113 mentions of #Lightning in the last 6 hours. This narrative suggests a growing interest in decentralized communication and scalability solutions. 📣
#Bitcoin's dominance remains stable at 57.8058%, indicating a balanced market structure. Despite the current crash, the fundamentals of crypto remain strong. 💪
#Bitcoin's price at the time of this post is $73,416, a 3.15% decrease from 24 hours ago. #Ethereum, at $1,990.30, has also experienced a 4.42% decrease in the same period. #Solana, at $81.05, remains stable despite the market downturn. 📊
#Nostr and #Lightning growth continue to be hot topics in the crypto community, with over 978 mentions of #Nostr and 113 mentions of #Lightning in the last 6 hours. This narrative suggests a growing interest in decentralized communication and scalability solutions. 📣
#Bitcoin's dominance remains stable at 57.8058%, indicating a balanced market structure. Despite the current crash, the fundamentals of crypto remain strong. 💪
📊 https://upload-v2bot.v2.site/charts/chart_405.jpg